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Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 19, 2019.
Burreaux -10 or better is a RogueDeadGuyAU best bet.
Saw -6.5 at DK per twitter.
I got -4.5 when it opened, it's at -5.5 rn.
we are same
I will 100% take +7 with the QB who is 25-0 and been in this exact same position before. Probably just 1u to make it interesting.
Was thinking the same thing. Line prior to the semifinals was going to be about a pkem. I think Clemson would've done the same thing to Oklahoma. A little value on Clemson at the moment. Interested to see how the line shakes out. Because of the semifinals I think the public is going to be strong on LSU. This sets up for insufferable Dabo to create another "awwww shucks, woe is us" underdog moment.
Records SU & ATS
ACC: 3-3, 4-2
MWC: 3-2, 3-2
Big Ten: 2-1, 2-1
MAC: 3-1, 2-2
SEC: 1-1, 2-0
Sun Belt: 1-2, 2-1
CUSA: 3-3, 2-4
Pac 12: 1-2, 1-2
Big 12: 1-2, 0-3
AAC: 1-3, 1-3
Interesting split on the O/Us (overs listed first)
Sun Belt: 2-1
Group of Five: 16-6
Big 12: 1-2
Big Ten: 1-2
Pac 12: 1-2
Power Five: 6-11
My bowl picks 10-7 (59%), up 3.3 units with standard -110 juice
System A hitting 13-8 (62%) this year
Let's make some more money
picks have been great so far. thanks for them. how confident are we in each today?
****Western Michigan +3.5
***Mississippi State -5.5
I have leans on both rn as well. Liking Illinois and Florida as well
FSUsem do you have records of your unit picks?
Gonna be looking at the Orange Bowl for a bit. Lean to UF and the under, might be a small play on one or both.
WKU has very good playmakers. I am staying away from this one. GL
LOL what a stupid finish.
I have got to start paying closer attention when making bets. Took western Kentucky instead of western Michigan
Seriously. Where was the 12th guy? The announcers were morons and kept double counting a guy.
I’ll take it, but dumb finish. Bowl crew wanted to go home.
Live overall bowl record this year based on units?
Yea and any back history. I appreciate all your effort.
just curious to see what your hit % are based on the unit bets.
I was thinking the same thing. Never saw that 12th man
All my bowl picks are posted in this thread. Its 11-7 up 7.3 units at the moment. I dont have the year by year breakdown for past bowl seasons but they should be near the end of the other bowl season threads that you can find on the Gambling board.
sorry if I was being confusing. I can go back.
what I was trying to look at was to see what the 2 star picks record was, 3 star, 4 star and 5 star.
just to see if you hit a higher percentage on any lower star games like you hit 60% of your 3 star picks.
Just wanted to see if you tracked that.
Ahhh gotcha. I do occasionally within the bowl season post those records but don’t think I have an all time record of that off hand
Any plays for Florida game?
None for me, sheet likes UF and the under. Cant get a good feel for which Virginia team will show up.
Damn, seeing 16s for UF. At the point the sheet is pretty much in agreement.
The under is tough to follow the sheet on because it includes the great D numbers from the first part of the year for UVA. Pretty porous secondary lately bc of injuries.
Took the under and now I’m crying
I have fla -14.5 and uva smaller +16
I mean, there is no way this works....
Had florida -13 from when it first opened and knew I was gonna get fucked when they mentioned the uva coach believed in fucking moral victories
That one stung
I had u55, then u69.5 (live), plus UF -14. What a debacle of a final drive.
FSUsem any play on the early game?
I played a teaser UK +8.5 and o41.
And over longest TD 41.5 yards. Good prop to play in bowl games that don't mean anything...teams tend to break out trick plays, air it out, etc.
None for me on the Belk Bowl. System A likes Kentucky but tough to back such a one dimensional underdog, especially with Bud Foster getting so much time to prep for them. In his last game.
Still looking at the rest.
****Florida State +3.5
Gross. Going to hold my nose and trust the medicine.
Haha. As someone who has been pretty pessimistic about FSU this season, everything seems to be pointing in their direction today.
Ha you caught me before my edit. Let’s do it
Thoughts on the over in this Sun Bowl?
Sheet likes the over and FSU likes to play fast. No lean from me though. Bigger money on the under.
I need a big day after my net 8 unit fuckup yesterday
FSU is missing a lot of starters. Especially on the offensive side of the ball. Not sure walk ons will be able to run up the score. I'll probably just sit this one out.
Missing Akers. Who else?
Yeah they’re not missing anyone other than Akers on offense. Granted, thats a big absence. But ASU is actually missing both their top RB and WR.