FSUsem's 2019 Bowl Season Thread -- Starring: The Sheet Vol. 2

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 19, 2019.

  1. RogueDeadGuyAU

    RogueDeadGuyAU Well-Known Member
    Auburn TigersPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia 76'ersPhiladelphia EaglesAtlanta United

    Burreaux -10 or better is a RogueDeadGuyAU best bet.
     
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  2. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Saw -6.5 at DK per twitter.
     
  3. KJROD20

    KJROD20 the ends will justify the means.
    Boston Red SoxBoston CelticsNew York RangersSeton Hall Pirates

    I got -4.5 when it opened, it's at -5.5 rn.
     
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  4. stexraider

    stexraider Fire Everybody
    Donor

    we are same
     
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  5. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Georgia Bulldogs

    I will 100% take +7 with the QB who is 25-0 and been in this exact same position before. Probably just 1u to make it interesting.
     
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  6. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Was thinking the same thing. Line prior to the semifinals was going to be about a pkem. I think Clemson would've done the same thing to Oklahoma. A little value on Clemson at the moment. Interested to see how the line shakes out. Because of the semifinals I think the public is going to be strong on LSU. This sets up for insufferable Dabo to create another "awwww shucks, woe is us" underdog moment.
     
    #106 FSUsem, Dec 30, 2019
    Last edited: Dec 31, 2019
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  7. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Screen Shot 2020-01-04 at 8.38.58 AM.png
     
    #107 FSUsem, Dec 30, 2019
    Last edited: Jan 4, 2020
  8. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Records SU & ATS

    ACC: 3-3, 4-2
    MWC: 3-2, 3-2
    Big Ten: 2-1, 2-1
    MAC: 3-1, 2-2
    SEC: 1-1, 2-0
    Sun Belt: 1-2, 2-1
    CUSA: 3-3, 2-4
    Pac 12: 1-2, 1-2
    Big 12: 1-2, 0-3
    AAC: 1-3, 1-3
     
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  9. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Interesting split on the O/Us (overs listed first)

    AAC: 4-0
    CUSA: 4-2
    MAC: 3-1
    MWC: 3-2
    Sun Belt: 2-1
    Group of Five: 16-6

    SEC: 1-1
    Big 12: 1-2
    Big Ten: 1-2
    ACC: 2-4
    Pac 12: 1-2
    Power Five: 6-11
     
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  10. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    My bowl picks 10-7 (59%), up 3.3 units with standard -110 juice

    System A hitting 13-8 (62%) this year

    Let's make some more money
     
  11. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
    Donor
    Real MadridJacksonville JaguarsFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Rays

    picks have been great so far. thanks for them. how confident are we in each today?
     
  12. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ****Western Michigan +3.5
     
    #112 FSUsem, Dec 30, 2019
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2020
  13. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ***Mississippi State -5.5
     
    #113 FSUsem, Dec 30, 2019
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2020
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  14. All_Luck

    All_Luck OK. Cool Husk em!
    Nebraska CornhuskersDenver NuggetsKansas City ChiefsBig 8 ConferenceNebraska Cornhuskers alt

    I have leans on both rn as well. Liking Illinois and Florida as well
     
  15. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Pittsburgh PenguinsOhio State BuckeyesPittsburgh SteelersCincinnati Reds

    FSUsem do you have records of your unit picks?
     
  16. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ***Illinois +6.5
     
    #116 FSUsem, Dec 30, 2019
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2020
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  17. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Gonna be looking at the Orange Bowl for a bit. Lean to UF and the under, might be a small play on one or both.
     
  18. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    WKU has very good playmakers. I am staying away from this one. GL
     
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  19. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    LOL what a stupid finish.
     
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  20. Tommy Callahan

    Tommy Callahan Well-Known Member
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    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta Braves

    I have got to start paying closer attention when making bets. Took western Kentucky instead of western Michigan
     
  21. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Seriously. Where was the 12th guy? The announcers were morons and kept double counting a guy.

    I’ll take it, but dumb finish. Bowl crew wanted to go home.
     
    letan likes this.
  22. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Live overall bowl record this year based on units?
     
  23. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Pittsburgh PenguinsOhio State BuckeyesPittsburgh SteelersCincinnati Reds

    Yea and any back history. I appreciate all your effort.

    just curious to see what your hit % are based on the unit bets.
     
  24. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
    Donor
    Real MadridJacksonville JaguarsFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Rays

    I was thinking the same thing. Never saw that 12th man
     
  25. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    All my bowl picks are posted in this thread. Its 11-7 up 7.3 units at the moment. I dont have the year by year breakdown for past bowl seasons but they should be near the end of the other bowl season threads that you can find on the Gambling board.
     
  26. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Pittsburgh PenguinsOhio State BuckeyesPittsburgh SteelersCincinnati Reds

    sorry if I was being confusing. I can go back.

    what I was trying to look at was to see what the 2 star picks record was, 3 star, 4 star and 5 star.

    just to see if you hit a higher percentage on any lower star games like you hit 60% of your 3 star picks.


    Just wanted to see if you tracked that.
     
  27. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Ahhh gotcha. I do occasionally within the bowl season post those records but don’t think I have an all time record of that off hand
     
  28. asmith2021

    asmith2021 Member

    Any plays for Florida game?
     
  29. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    None for me, sheet likes UF and the under. Cant get a good feel for which Virginia team will show up.
     
  30. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Damn, seeing 16s for UF. At the point the sheet is pretty much in agreement.

    The under is tough to follow the sheet on because it includes the great D numbers from the first part of the year for UVA. Pretty porous secondary lately bc of injuries.
     
  31. skiedfrillet

    skiedfrillet It's not a lie if you believe it.
    Donor
    Clemson Tigers

    Took the under and now I’m crying
     
  32. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    I have fla -14.5 and uva smaller +16
    I mean, there is no way this works....:popcorn:
     
  33. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
    Donor
    Real MadridJacksonville JaguarsFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Rays

    Had florida -13 from when it first opened and knew I was gonna get fucked when they mentioned the uva coach believed in fucking moral victories
     
  34. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    That one stung
     
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  35. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    I had u55, then u69.5 (live), plus UF -14. What a debacle of a final drive.
     
  36. ClemsonGrad06

    ClemsonGrad06 Member

    FSUsem any play on the early game?
     
  37. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    I played a teaser UK +8.5 and o41.
    And over longest TD 41.5 yards. Good prop to play in bowl games that don't mean anything...teams tend to break out trick plays, air it out, etc.
     
  38. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    None for me on the Belk Bowl. System A likes Kentucky but tough to back such a one dimensional underdog, especially with Bud Foster getting so much time to prep for them. In his last game.

    Still looking at the rest.
     
  39. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ****Florida State +3.5
     
    #139 FSUsem, Dec 31, 2019
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2020
  40. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    *****Wyoming -7
     
    #140 FSUsem, Dec 31, 2019
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2020
    letan, CUAngler and ClemsonGrad06 like this.
  41. CUAngler

    CUAngler Royale with Cheese
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersAtlanta Braves

    Gross. Going to hold my nose and trust the medicine.
     
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  42. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Haha. As someone who has been pretty pessimistic about FSU this season, everything seems to be pointing in their direction today.
     
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  43. CUAngler

    CUAngler Royale with Cheese
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersAtlanta Braves

    Ha you caught me before my edit. Let’s do it
     
  44. RogueDeadGuyAU

    RogueDeadGuyAU Well-Known Member
    Auburn TigersPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia 76'ersPhiladelphia EaglesAtlanta United

    Thoughts on the over in this Sun Bowl?
     
  45. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ****Navy -1.5
     
    #145 FSUsem, Dec 31, 2019
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2020
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  46. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Sheet likes the over and FSU likes to play fast. No lean from me though. Bigger money on the under.
     
  47. Tommy Callahan

    Tommy Callahan Well-Known Member
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    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta Braves

    I need a big day after my net 8 unit fuckup yesterday
     
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  48. RogueDeadGuyAU

    RogueDeadGuyAU Well-Known Member
    Auburn TigersPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia 76'ersPhiladelphia EaglesAtlanta United

    FSU is missing a lot of starters. Especially on the offensive side of the ball. Not sure walk ons will be able to run up the score. I'll probably just sit this one out.
     
  49. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
    Donor
    Florida State SeminolesChicago CubsChicago BearsMiami Heat2pac

    Missing Akers. Who else?
     
  50. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Yeah they’re not missing anyone other than Akers on offense. Granted, thats a big absence. But ASU is actually missing both their top RB and WR.