FSUsem's 2019 Bowl Season Thread -- Starring: The Sheet Vol. 2

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 19, 2019.

  1. RogueDeadGuyAU

    RogueDeadGuyAU Well-Known Member
    Auburn TigersPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia 76'ersPhiladelphia EaglesAtlanta United

    I must've misread but I thought they were rolling with multiple walk-ons in starting roles and with backup WR's as well. My mistake.
     
  2. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Bingo
     
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  3. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Long TD winner

    I tailed on this one. Thanks
     
  4. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Well aint that some bullshit.
     
  5. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    What a little punk. Full launch.
     
  6. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Fla St game already has me triggered.
     
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  7. RogueDeadGuyAU

    RogueDeadGuyAU Well-Known Member
    Auburn TigersPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia 76'ersPhiladelphia EaglesAtlanta United

    Wow VT just got fucked on that play. Why no timeout there??
     
  8. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ha, same
     
  9. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
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    Jesus the end of the v tech kentucky game couldn’t have gone any worse for me
     
  10. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    FSUsem posted this in the wrong thread. Posting to make sure everybody sees it


     
  11. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ***Utah -7
    ***Utah/Texas Over 55
     
    #161 FSUsem, Dec 31, 2019
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2020
  12. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Sun Bowl rivaling the 2018 Cheez It Bowl for incompetence
     
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  13. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    These over long TD props are hitting at a ridiculous rate. :bananallama:
     
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  14. Tommy Callahan

    Tommy Callahan Well-Known Member
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    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta Braves

    James Blackmon. Woof
     
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  15. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Seriously. Holding the ball wayyy too long. #BoogerAnalysis
     
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  16. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Rough ending to the night but a damper on a promising day.

    Today system A and B are split on every game.

    A favors:
    Alabama +5.6 value
    Minnesota +3.4 value
    Oregon +4.6 value
    Baylor +5.6 value

    B favors:
    Michigan +2.8 value
    Auburn +2.1 value
    Wisconsin +3.9 value
    Georgia +6.7 value

    The Avg O/U leans:
    Bama/UM: Under +6.1
    Auburn/Minny: Under +4.6
    Oregon/Wisconsin: Over +0.1
    Georgia/Baylor: Over +7.2

    Happy New Year. Let's make some money. Picks coming soon.
     
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  17. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    My bowl picks are 13-12, -1.3 units after juice

    System A is 18-11 ATS against the closing number. System B is 15-15 ATS. 11-7 ATS when both agree and 7-5 ATS when all three agree.
     
  18. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    **Michigan +7.5

    I think this is the first time going against A, but remember the systems don't take into account injuries and players sitting out. I think there's a little value in getting more than a TD against the most public bet of the bowl season (bama) that for the first time in a while is playing an exhibition game.
     
    #168 FSUsem, Jan 1, 2020
    Last edited: Jan 4, 2020
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  19. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    **Auburn/Minnesota Under 54.5
     
    #169 FSUsem, Jan 1, 2020
    Last edited: Jan 4, 2020
  20. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ***Oregon +3
     
    #170 FSUsem, Jan 1, 2020
    Last edited: Jan 4, 2020
  21. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ****Baylor +4
     
    #171 FSUsem, Jan 1, 2020
    Last edited: Jan 4, 2020
  22. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Even though I'm not a fan of college teasers, a 6.5 teaser at -115 getting Baylor +10.5 and over 34.5 looks pretty appetizing as well. Also considering sprinkling smaller action on ML parlays of these underdogs in great motivational spots against some disappointed favorites.
     
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  23. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    Had this played when it came out. Favorite play on the entire bowl card. Probably means we get a bunch of flukey TDs. Tread lightly gents. The line is cursed by me
     
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  24. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Yeah the defenses match up well plus Minny OC left...hoping we start the year out right.
     
  25. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Bama/Michigan total steaming hard to the over. Seeing 61s now.
     
  26. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Going back to the over long TD 54 in Bama Mich.
     
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  27. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
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    Perfect start lol hoping for 35-0 Auburn.
     
  28. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    LOL
     
  29. comrade static

    comrade static i love french fries
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    Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma Sooners

    glad I follow this. Couldn’t have been easier!
     
  30. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Georgia Bulldogs

    I hopped on this and score in first 5:30 of game.

    Too bad I also played 1H -4 to offset -7.
     
  31. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Not playing long TD in Wiscy
     
  32. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Can’t find a 3.5 on Oregon
    Gonna wait til live to see if I can get a good price
    U26 1H though
     
  33. Craig Pettis

    Craig Pettis The first million is the hardest- Hitler
    Donor
    Memphis TigersTennessee VolunteersSt. Louis CardinalsMemphis GrizzliesMetal

    It’s insane the clip they’re hitting this postseason

    misake
     
  34. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    Oops
    I did get my Oregon 3.5 tho
     
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  35. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ***Boston College +7.5
    ****Tennessee -1.5
     
    #185 FSUsem, Jan 2, 2020
    Last edited: Jan 4, 2020
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  36. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    *****Ohio -8
     
    #186 FSUsem, Jan 2, 2020
    Last edited: Jan 4, 2020
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  37. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
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    Damn UT is at -3 for me now
     
  38. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    The Sheet went
    Cant imagine they'd be going to 3.5 so might wait for a 2.5 to pop up if you want to get it under 3.
     
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  39. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    I’m on tilt and have had some terrible luck lately so ended up just taking UT on the ML. A little more juice, but I’m on the verge of having to pay up so figured what’s a few more bucks.

    Let’s go Rocky Top.
     
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  40. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Georgia Bulldogs

    We still liking BC without Dillon and their HC and OC?
     
  41. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    With Dillon sitting for BC, I may stay away.
    Wind and rain today, so under is in play. I did play the 1H under 27.5.
     
  42. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Yeah he decided to sit almost a month ago. No surprise there. This is going to be a trench battle in the rain and BC should be able to win outright or keep it within a score.
     
  43. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    I was wrong on Tennessee, seeing some 3.5s strt to pop up.
     
  44. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    God fucking damnit. Weather stoppage in Bham. u27.5 1H was looking good. :fuckoff:
     
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  45. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Yeah can’t wait for them to resume in perfect weather and the over to hit.
     
  46. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    Cincy is going to win this game going away.
     
  47. wolfpck

    wolfpck haters gonna hate
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    North Carolina State Wolfpack

    This is over. BC is dog shit.
     
  48. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    I need the under to salvage this debacle.
     
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  49. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    If this 1H under goes over I am going to be on massive tilt. :facepalm: It doesn't help that BC runs a play every 15 secs, and goes 3 and out...and then can't stop Cincy.
     
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  50. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Yeah, I really expected BC to try and grind one out, not average 47 second drives.
     
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