FSUsem's 2019 Bowl Season Thread -- Starring: The Sheet Vol. 2

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 19, 2019.

  1. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Perfect for u55....
     
  2. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Georgia Bulldogs

    Wow I'm actually glad that UT line went up because I took the ML. I may stop after that one, but Ohio looks too enticing.
     
    dome foam likes this.
  3. KJROD20

    KJROD20 the ends will justify the means.
    Boston Red SoxBoston CelticsNew York RangersSeton Hall Pirates

    0-3 yesterday, woof.
     
  4. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    Ohio for all the marbles!
     
  5. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    I was randomly checking my book late last night and Ohio dipped to 7.5. I got 7 for -120.
    I checked 10 mins ago and it was 8. I checked just now and it's 9....
     
    Dildo Dawgins likes this.
  6. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Georgia Bulldogs

    I ended up getting at -8.5. I would've definitely bought a half point if I could get it to -7. I'm putting everything I won on that lucky Tennessee ML bet on this one to keep it rolling into the weekend so I will certainly lose betting on wild card games.
     
    FSUsem likes this.
  7. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    I made a large bet on the Pats. Yup.
     
  8. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Standard procedure at this point.
     
  9. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Georgia Bulldogs

    Fuck this 4th quarter and Ohio.

    Edit: omfg. What stupid play-calling but I'll take it.
     
    letan, FSUsem and RogueDeadGuyAU like this.
  10. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

  11. RogueDeadGuyAU

    RogueDeadGuyAU Well-Known Member
    Auburn TigersPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia 76'ersPhiladelphia EaglesAtlanta United

    Drops an easy interception for game lol
     
    FSUsem likes this.
  12. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Wow. Nice pick
     
    FSUsem likes this.
  13. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Awesome defense these last two drives. JFC
     
  14. RogueDeadGuyAU

    RogueDeadGuyAU Well-Known Member
    Auburn TigersPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia 76'ersPhiladelphia EaglesAtlanta United

    Love the play calling!
     
  15. RogueDeadGuyAU

    RogueDeadGuyAU Well-Known Member
    Auburn TigersPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia 76'ersPhiladelphia EaglesAtlanta United

    A win’s a win. Count it!
     
  16. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    I’m not sure what exactly happened, but after last nights .5 point loss I’ll take it.
     
  17. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Georgia Bulldogs

    Wow so two miracle finishes with UT moneyline and Ohio -8.5. I may seriously pack it in for the bowl season (I'll probably drop a few dollars on LSU if stays under 6).
     
    FSUsem likes this.
  18. RogueDeadGuyAU

    RogueDeadGuyAU Well-Known Member
    Auburn TigersPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia 76'ersPhiladelphia EaglesAtlanta United

    This is a typo right? (Source: VegasInsider)
     

    Attached Files:

  19. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    The Ceasars website says 5.5, plus basically everywhere else I look, so I would think?
     
  20. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    I would think so, lowest I’m seeing is 5.
     
  21. Smuggy

    Smuggy Well-Known Member

    Down how many units so far, 3?
     
  22. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Picks are 15-17, -9.8 Units

    2 Unit Plays, 3-2, +1.6 Units
    **Liberty +6
    **Auburn/Minnesota Under 54.5

    **Buffalo -6.5
    **Michigan +7.5
    **Eastern Michigan +13

    3 Unit Plays, 4-8, -14.4 Units
    ***Wake Forest +4
    ***Utah -7
    ***Utah/Texas Over 55

    ***Kent State +6.5
    ***Mississippi State -5.5
    ***Oregon +3
    ***Illinois +6.5
    ***Penn State -7
    ***Central Michigan +3.5
    ***Temple/UNC Over 53.5
    ***App State -17
    ***Boston College +7.5

    4 Unit Plays, 4-5, -6.0 Units
    ****Tennessee -1.5
    ****FIU +1
    ****UCF -15.5
    ****Oklahoma +14
    ****Navy -1.5
    ****Florida State +3.5

    ****Air Force -2.5
    ****Western Michigan +3.5

    ****Baylor +4

    5 Unit Plays, 4-2, +9.0 Units

    *****Air Force/Washington St. Under 70.5
    *****BYU -2
    *****Wyoming -7
    *****LSU/Oklahoma Under 76
    *****Clemson/Ohio St. Under 63
    *****Ohio -8
     
  23. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Won 54 units and lost 58, so 4 units before subtracting out the VIG to get to 9.8 units.
     
  24. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Not following System A on FAU, Louisiana Tech, Iowa, Alabama, Notre Dame, Kentucky, and Minnesota is costing me a winning bowl season.

    System A is still going strong at 22-14 ATS (61%)

    When A & B agree, 12-9 ATS (57%)

    When all 3 agree, 9-6 ATS (60%)
     
  25. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

  26. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    **Southern Miss +7.5
    ***Southern Miss/Tulane Under 56.5
     
    #226 FSUsem, Jan 4, 2020
    Last edited: Jan 6, 2020
  27. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Just saw a Clemson +6 pop up at Bovada. All 3 systems agree on Clemson at that number. With 80% of the money continuing to come in on LSU since it opened, that number might get bigger.
     
  28. bstaple12

    bstaple12 Nole World Order
    Atlanta BravesAtlanta FalconsFlorida State Seminoles

    Seems like system A kills it every season
     
  29. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    ****Louisiana Lafayette -14
     
  30. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

  31. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    A few days ago, I bought 1.5 pts for only -135 to +7.
    Took Clemson ML too.
     
    FSUsem likes this.
  32. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Yeah also on the ML. So much value on Clemson.
     
  33. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    System A is 16-7 ATS (70%) this year when it shows 4+ points in value for one side.

    Clemson is showing nearly 20 points in value.
     
  34. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
    Donor
    Real MadridJacksonville JaguarsFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Rays

    are you saying system a thinks clemson should be favored by 2 tds?
     
  35. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Based strictly on stats used in the system, yes.
     
    letan likes this.
  36. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    This seems like one of most sharp vs public games I’ve seen in a while on the side and total. Despite 2/3 of the money on LSU, we’ve seen the line drop from 5.5/6 to 4.5/5 with perhaps more line movement to come. About the same number of tickets have been on the over and we’ve seen it drop from 70 to 66.5/67. Sharp money seems to be sneaking in on Clemson and the under while the public hammers LSU and the over.
     
    Corky Bucek likes this.
  37. bstaple12

    bstaple12 Nole World Order
    Atlanta BravesAtlanta FalconsFlorida State Seminoles

    Just took Joe Burrow under 4 total passing touchdowns for the game
     
    Corky Bucek and FSUsem like this.
  38. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Wow, seeing 4s out there. Love the line movement.
     
  39. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Georgia Bulldogs

    Got it at 4.5. wish I would've been able too get +6 but it's only a small bet for rooting interest. I did see double result LSU win first half and Clemson win the game at +650. Thought that had some decent value.