Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) Re-evaluating here. I'm trying to get too cute and not paying enough attention to the sheet. The system diff is 6-3. The Off O/U system is 7-2.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) yeah cause the sheet had usc at -9.9 so i took the trojans but ill admit with a little offence from bc it definetly could have gone the other way
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) ****Clemson/UK Under 53 ****Georgia -7 ***Clemson -6.5 ***UGA/TAMU Under 66
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) A guy I have been following (have not played all of his plays) is 8-1 ATS, and 8-1 picking the outright winner. He will most likely hit a cold streak, but he does a decent write up of each game, so at the very least he gives some insight into the games. He also projects a score which is nice. His 8-1 record picking the outright winner is from the projected scores not necessary plays. Anyways, his play today is Kentucky +6.5. His projected score is Kentucky 38 Clemson 34. I should of probably put this in a different thread, but I like following your picks, and because of your very different picks on this game I may sit this one out, or make a very small play.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) I respect you respecting that guys opinion, but Mistaflava is a moron. If you actually go through his write-ups half of it is wrong. The worst part is his money management. Everyone on thetx knows that guy is a hack. I think his record like .500 in NFL but he's down over 600 units. He's a chaser. He was down 90 units on NFL going into last monday night and, surprise surprise, the guy had his 100 unit monday night game of the year. It lost. I'll get down off my soapbox now.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) Mistaflava is a big chaser like you said and his unit system is ridiculous. How many times can he make a 100 unit primetime game of the month in a month? The guy has had some good plays but is primarily full of shit.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) Sem- which of the O/U columns do you pay more attention to? Thanks
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) Sem, I have only been following him since the bowl season. But let me say this, one - I do not put too much stock into star systems...I just compare picks to mine. Secondly, the guy may just be awful when it comes to betting; but I have been winning comparing his picks and mine. I did take the under in Clemson/ Kentucky. Good luck Sem.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) Hey Sem, I have not been looking at that other site for long. Who is worth paying attention to when it comes to CFB/ NFL? Thanks. Also, on the service plays thread...which services do you think are legit.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) On that site, Stewie and OldmanTed are good. Always thought highly of GoSooners also.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) Updated Sheet. Green = Favorite Covering, Over, and correct pick by the systems Red = Underdog Covering, Under, and wrong pick by the systems
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) Couple Notes: -After 5 overs to start the bowl season, we've had 5 unders to even it out. -The System Diff is 7-3 (70%) -The Off O/U Number is 8-2 (80%) -In games where the O/U numbers were all on one side, it is 4-1 (80%) -The teams who the line shifts favored have gone 2-6 ATS (25%)
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) Sem, at what line would you stop taking the Gators at 4 units when it reopens?
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th) Plays for Tomorrow: ****Georgia -7 ***UGA/TAMU Under 66 Early Plays: ****Arkansas -8 ****UF -10
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) I got it at 10 right when all of the Kelly to ND talk started.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) I just went back and looked, and I got it at -10, however I also got Bama at -5.5
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) So to be clear, whatever team under the "system difference" part of the chart is who the chart predicts to win?
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) Should I wait on that A&M/UGA O/U? Have a feeling I could catch a higher # to play the under on.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) The "System Diff" column is what it thinks the line should be.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) I already see it at 66.5 at some places. It might get higher tomorrow.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) I don't understand exactly. How do you read the O/U column, you said its 8-2?
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) The Off O/U column is 8-2. Green means a correct pick. The numbers are what it thinks the predicted total will be.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) Sem, Georgia down to -6.5. Still like it at 4 units ?
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) Whew. I had under 66. That was too close for comfort.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) No Shit, whew. Almost screwed my under parlay w/ Clemson last night. Good times right now
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) that failed two point conversion kept me under....
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4) **UCLA/Temple Under 45.5 **Wisconsin +4 ***Idaho +1.5 ***Arizona +1
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 29 and 30th Picks) I am with you on the Temple/ UCLA under. I was big on Arizona until the line flopped 4 points...I down sized the bet. I am huge on Miami, so besides that...good luck.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 29 and 30th Picks) Whoa, Arizona line jumps 1.5 points in about 4 hrs today, what-the-fuck.
Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 29 and 30th Picks) Temple loves to run. Hopefully we get a 6 or 7 minute drive here that stalls inside the 10. Temple kicks a FG forcing UCLA to get a TD. They fail and Temple runs the clock out.