FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread 25-12 (68%), +32.6 Units (:chatzy:)

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 7, 2009.

  1. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    Re-evaluating here. I'm trying to get too cute and not paying enough attention to the sheet. The system diff is 6-3. The Off O/U system is 7-2.
     
  2. YoungBuckWG

    YoungBuckWG Well-Known Member
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    yeah cause the sheet had usc at -9.9 so i took the trojans but ill admit with a little offence from bc it definetly could have gone the other way
     
  3. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    ****Clemson/UK Under 53
    ****Georgia -7
    ***Clemson -6.5
    ***UGA/TAMU Under 66
     
  4. Godspeed11

    Godspeed11 New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    A guy I have been following (have not played all of his plays) is 8-1 ATS, and 8-1 picking the outright winner. He will most likely hit a cold streak, but he does a decent write up of each game, so at the very least he gives some insight into the games. He also projects a score which is nice. His 8-1 record picking the outright winner is from the projected scores not necessary plays. Anyways, his play today is Kentucky +6.5. His projected score is Kentucky 38 Clemson 34. I should of probably put this in a different thread, but I like following your picks, and because of your very different picks on this game I may sit this one out, or make a very small play.
     
  5. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    I respect you respecting that guys opinion, but Mistaflava is a moron. If you actually go through his write-ups half of it is wrong. The worst part is his money management. Everyone on thetx knows that guy is a hack. I think his record like .500 in NFL but he's down over 600 units. He's a chaser. He was down 90 units on NFL going into last monday night and, surprise surprise, the guy had his 100 unit monday night game of the year. It lost. I'll get down off my soapbox now.
     
  6. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    Mistaflava is a big chaser like you said and his unit system is ridiculous. How many times can he make a 100 unit primetime game of the month in a month? The guy has had some good plays but is primarily full of shit.
     
  7. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    Sem-
    which of the O/U columns do you pay more attention to?

    Thanks
     
  8. Godspeed11

    Godspeed11 New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    Sem, I have only been following him since the bowl season. But let me say this, one - I do not put too much stock into star systems...I just compare picks to mine. Secondly, the guy may just be awful when it comes to betting; but I have been winning comparing his picks and mine. I did take the under in Clemson/ Kentucky. Good luck Sem.
     
  9. Godspeed11

    Godspeed11 New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    Hey Sem, I have not been looking at that other site for long. Who is worth paying attention to when it comes to CFB/ NFL? Thanks. Also, on the service plays thread...which services do you think are legit.
     
  10. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    On that site, Stewie and OldmanTed are good. Always thought highly of GoSooners also.
     
  11. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    Back on track.
     
  12. soonerintx

    soonerintx New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    :beerchug: :feelsgoodman:
     
  13. wbarksda

    wbarksda New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    Hell of a day today sem, college and nfl!
    :chatzy:
     
  14. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    :chatzy:

    5-0-2 +16 Units
     
  15. Trojan Lore

    Trojan Lore New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    Nice Job Sem!!
    Keep it rolling. :beerchug:
     
  16. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    Updated Sheet.

    Green = Favorite Covering, Over, and correct pick by the systems
    Red = Underdog Covering, Under, and wrong pick by the systems

    [​IMG]
     
  17. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)

    Couple Notes:

    -After 5 overs to start the bowl season, we've had 5 unders to even it out.
    -The System Diff is 7-3 (70%)
    -The Off O/U Number is 8-2 (80%)
    -In games where the O/U numbers were all on one side, it is 4-1 (80%)
    -The teams who the line shifts favored have gone 2-6 ATS (25%)
     
  18. ucfknight333

    ucfknight333 New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    Sem, at what line would you stop taking the Gators at 4 units when it reopens?
     
  19. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 26th-28th)


    Plays for Tomorrow:
    ****Georgia -7
    ***UGA/TAMU Under 66

    Early Plays:
    ****Arkansas -8
    ****UF -10
     
  20. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    Conference Records:

    [​IMG]
     
  21. Trojan Lore

    Trojan Lore New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    SEM,
    Good Luck finding UF at minus 10.
     
  22. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    14 probably.
     
  23. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    Yeah, glad I jumped on it early.
     
  24. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    Thread is 5-5, +0.8 Units
     
  25. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    I got it at 10 right when all of the Kelly to ND talk started.
     
  26. soonerintx

    soonerintx New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    I just went back and looked, and I got it at -10, however I also got Bama at -5.5 :facepalm:
     
  27. Whammy

    Whammy Donde es
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    So to be clear, whatever team under the "system difference" part of the chart is who the chart predicts to win?
     
  28. fgrauzer

    fgrauzer New Member
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    Should I wait on that A&M/UGA O/U? Have a feeling I could catch a higher # to play the under on.
     
  29. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    The "System Diff" column is what it thinks the line should be.
     
  30. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    I already see it at 66.5 at some places. It might get higher tomorrow.
     
  31. Whammy

    Whammy Donde es
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    I don't understand exactly. How do you read the O/U column, you said its 8-2?
     
  32. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    The Off O/U column is 8-2. Green means a correct pick. The numbers are what it thinks the predicted total will be.
     
  33. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    Sem, Georgia down to -6.5. Still like it at 4 units ?
     
  34. Charlie Sadler

    Charlie Sadler one of the best living coaches in football history

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    Whew. I had under 66. That was too close for comfort.
     
  35. ucfknight333

    ucfknight333 New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

     
  36. wbarksda

    wbarksda New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    :chatzy: :chatzy:

    On a ROLL!!!
     
  37. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    No Shit, whew. Almost screwed my under parlay w/ Clemson last night. Good times right now :chatzy: :beerchug:
     
  38. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    And 2 tomorrow, let's keep it rolling . :gfa:
     
  39. YoungBuckWG

    YoungBuckWG Well-Known Member
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    that failed two point conversion kept me under.... :chatzy: :chatzy: :chatzy: :chatzy: :chatzy: :chatzy:
     
  40. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    CFB Bowls: 7-5, +7.8 Units
     
  41. Trojan Lore

    Trojan Lore New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    Nice Work SEM
     
  42. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    **UCLA/Temple Under 45.5
    **Wisconsin +4
    ***Idaho +1.5
    ***Arizona +1
     
  43. Godspeed11

    Godspeed11 New Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 29 and 30th Picks)

    I am with you on the Temple/ UCLA under. I was big on Arizona until the line flopped 4 points...I down sized the bet. I am huge on Miami, so besides that...good luck.
     
  44. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 29 and 30th Picks)

    Whoa, Arizona line jumps 1.5 points in about :facepalm:4 hrs today, what-the-fuck.
     
  45. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 29 and 30th Picks)

    Same w/ Idaho as well. :ohnoes:
     
  46. RedMosquito

    RedMosquito Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Updated Sheet Page 4)

    38 pts entering the 4th :ohnoes: :ohnoes: :ohnoes:
     
  47. Phi Mus Love Boones Farm

    Phi Mus Love Boones Farm Well-Known Member
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 29 and 30th Picks)

    I got it at 44.5. Can give up 1 more FG :ohnoes:
     
  48. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 29 and 30th Picks)

    Same here, also took 2nd half U21.5 :ohnoes: :ohnoes: :ohnoes:
     
  49. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 29 and 30th Picks)

    Temple loves to run. Hopefully we get a 6 or 7 minute drive here that stalls inside the 10. Temple kicks a FG forcing UCLA to get a TD. They fail and Temple runs the clock out.
     
  50. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Re: FSUsem's Bowl Season Thread (Dec. 29 and 30th Picks)

    Wishful thinking I guess