Gambling Thread

Took UCF at -9.5

 

Did the Bama/UT total jump 5 points overnight? I swear it was 60 yesterday. I was liking under 60 but like under 65.5 even more. I just don't see Texas scoring 20+.

 

Who do I use my 100 percent CFB profit boost on at DK?

 

I’m terrible at betting CFB

 

I got UCF at -5 at the last second

 

It was a trap.

 

I had first half -3 also so either way at this point I push minus the juice

 

I live bet the Louisville money line after the last Ucf punt -175

 

Took UCF -5

Now I'm on Ville -2.5

 

Me and you are in the exact spot.
The best i can do is break even

 

We know what’s coming Dbl

 

Push

 

Sigh of relief on that

 

Fuck yes. I was positive UCF was going to win by one and bone me.

 

Take JRP back #Mississippi Rebels

 

Same but -140

 

Ml was -170 for me but -2.5 was -165 so I jumped

 

Lesson learned: never bet on Malzahn as a favorite

 

God damnit ucf. Fucking losers

 

That line was pure bait

 

Ok what’re losing on today? Or should I wait until I’m borderline black out in Gainesville to bet today? That worked pretty well for me last weekend

 

Bama/UT u65 for 3u
UF -6
ND -20.5

 

Parlayed 1h -4 for k state and unc

 

Man that opened at ~56.5? Lots of steam.

 

I'll fade the public. This should be Bama's best defense since 2016 so I don't see Texas putting up 25+. Maybe it ends up a crazy early day shootout, but I'll take the 65.

 

Yeah I agree, just acknowledging the inflated number.

 

UNC -7
Army ML
Tennessee -5.5
USC -9

 

Like TN, Miss St, CMU, UNC () ATS today.

Also like A&M/App and OSU/ASU overs.

I also think Miss St is gonna be a team to watch this season. Wouldn't be shocked if they finished 2nd in division. Will likely pick them against LSU next week if spread is -7 or better.

 

It was 66 yesterday, wish I'd grabbed it then

 

Wonder how many people hammered the under when Ewers got hurt.

 

all my books have been frozen the whole time, they don't offer much when the ball's at the 1. I might after the TD though

 

Two things:

1. "Fading the public" isn't profitable
2. "the public" doesn't move lines that much

 

Hope Bama has to punt so this live line gets below 14.5.

 

I was just trying to sound like I know what I'm doing.

 

Added Bama -13.5 at -130

 

well you got the live under right. It's dropped 10 points in the last 9 minutes

 

Na I didn't add anything on it, can't lie. I had too much on u65 pre game to add more lol

 

Had Bama covering 12.5 at half. Womp womp.

 

ohhaithur Bama/UT, I have u65 for 3u. It's now 46.5. Should I middle that?

 

Damn it jumped to 51.5 quick

 

Back to 47 wtf

 

Nm looks like they are offering multiple lines either different juice. It's 47.5 now.

 

It's a sharp line now so I wouldn't. You don't have any edge on your over bet. Unless you're uncomfortable with your exposure on u65, the best financial play is to let it ride

If you find a live over that's priced incorrectly that's how you middle

 

Makes sense. I feel pretty good about u65 at 10-10 half.

 

With Card in and Texas slowing down tempo I think you should be.

If it gets to 40.5 or 41 in the first 8 minutes of the half I expect to hit the over for my middle

 

Down to 40 but I ain't touching it at this point. Might not make 30.

 

didn't happen soon enough to hit my target so I'm riding as well. o37 -110 is my line right now