Gambling Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by bro, Nov 25, 2020.

  1. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    They had a game last week where their +1 was cheaper than their ML and a direct arbitrage with the opponent's ML. I maxed both and was hoping for a one-point win but didn't get it

    Their alternate lines are generally suspect and hitting them gets you limited because their algorithm is weak
     
    letan likes this.
  2. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    dumb ML parlay

    Guardians
    Phillies
    Blue Jays
    Padres
     
  3. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    also building a SGP for Carolina to get absolutely shut down by SF this weekend.
     
  4. tigerbishop11

    tigerbishop11 call Tyrone
    Donor
    New York MetsClemson TigersNew York JetsNew York Rangers

    I parlayed the NRFI in the 4 games today, halfway there
     
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  5. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    jumped on this with you

    first five innings of PHI - STL - under 2.5
    NRFI - the remaining two games today
     
  6. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideNew York YankeesJacksonville Jaguars2pacSneakersFormula 1

    Shame on me for forgetting to bet these games but I'm now on Cards, Mariners, and Mets.
     
  7. VASooner

    VASooner Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Washington NationalsOklahoma City ThunderDallas CowboysOklahoma SoonersLiverpool

    2 of these in a couple weeks... I don't hate it

    upload_2022-10-7_15-15-23.png
     
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  8. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    There was a promo for the top 3,000 elite DraftKings members today: pick the World Series winner. And everyone who is right splits a $1m pot. Game theory in action, a lot of people faded favorites for big payouts. Here are the final splits after the team selections were revealed, which one would you want?

    1. LAD: $1,128
    2. NYY: $1,828
    3. HOU: $2,035
    4. ATL: $3,249
    5. NYM: $3,259
    6. PHI: $7,042
    7. STL: $10,772
    8. TOR: $10,865
    9. CLE: $13,888
    10. SEA: $17,895
    11. TB: $21,278
    12. SD: $24,419
     
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  9. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    if being realistic, give me Houston.

    If looking for a larger pay day, I'd be between Cleveland / Toronto.
     
  10. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideNew York YankeesJacksonville Jaguars2pacSneakersFormula 1

    I'd probably take Mets or Braves based on this numbers. I think any of the top 5 could win it and I wouldn't be shocked.
     
    ohhaithur likes this.
  11. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    I faded NYY/NYM/PHI because I (rightly) thought they would be overpicked since the majority of DraftKings' elite members are from PA/NY/NJ

    I went with Atlanta, a little disappointed in the low payout, I think I'd rather have a longshot right now
     
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  12. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    nice humblebrag about being an elite DK member.

    I wouldn't want a NL WC team, that's for sure.
     
  13. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Nothing humble bout it. Y'all know I bet a ton
     
  14. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    I assume being elite means winnings, not total bets placed.
     
  15. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    No it's total bets placed. One of the most difficult things I had to think about when deciding this was how many of the people who bet that much money are morons and how many are sharp.

    I figured the Yankees would bring out people who had more money than sense so they were never going to be a pick for me
     
  16. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideNew York YankeesJacksonville Jaguars2pacSneakersFormula 1

    :usasmug:
     
    ohhaithur likes this.
  17. Detlef Schrempf

    Detlef Schrempf Back to Back to Back AAU National Champs
    Donor

    Took nebraska and Nevada tonight
     
  18. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideNew York YankeesJacksonville Jaguars2pacSneakersFormula 1

    Haye myself right now. I have Cards, almost bet Phillies +940 in the 8th down 2-0 with half the Cards action. Phillies now up 6-2.
     
  19. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed I live inside my own heart, Matt Damon
    Staff Donor
    Seattle MarinersOregon DucksPortland TimbersPortland Trail Blazers

    this feels like the ultimate trap game. line is way too fishy.

    obviously i think the niners basically shut out the panthers. so why is the line just -6.5?
     
  20. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    b/c carolina also has a good defense
     
  21. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed I live inside my own heart, Matt Damon
    Staff Donor
    Seattle MarinersOregon DucksPortland TimbersPortland Trail Blazers

    they finally increased the Christian Kirk Rec Yds prop so i'm off that one this week

    instead, i'm on:

    Devin Duvernay O35.5 rec yds
    Olamide Zaccheaus O27.5 rec yds
    George Kittle U3.5 rec
    Nick Chubb anytime TD (boosted to +120)

    then a couple of silly same-game parlays involving the niners/panthers game. the one that feels most likely is Niners -6.5 + Fumble Lost in game + Scoreless Quarter at +480
     
  22. rut row

    rut row Well-Known Member
    Rutgers Scarlet KnightsNew York YankeesBrooklyn NetsNew York Giants

    Memphis why are you doing this to me?
     
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  23. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    [​IMG]

    Me watching this when I was trying to take Houston +5000 nearly killed me. So mad I missed out
     
    dblplay1212 likes this.
  24. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
    Donor
    Real MadridJacksonville JaguarsFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Rays

    wow I quit watching at the beginning of the 4th thinking it was over
     
  25. rut row

    rut row Well-Known Member
    Rutgers Scarlet KnightsNew York YankeesBrooklyn NetsNew York Giants

    -2.5 was feeling real good when they were up 19 in the 4th :killme:
     
    letan likes this.
  26. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Close but no cigar
     
  27. Detlef Schrempf

    Detlef Schrempf Back to Back to Back AAU National Champs
    Donor

    Woof
     
  28. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
    Donor
    Real MadridJacksonville JaguarsFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Rays

    bro how you feeling about Tennessee today?
     
  29. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Feels like a trap / stay away. But I took them -2.5 just because
     
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  30. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideNew York YankeesJacksonville Jaguars2pacSneakersFormula 1

    ohhaithur any way to know what that Mariners were when it was 8-1?
     
  31. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    +3500. A terrible price
     
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  32. MtOread

    MtOread chopped and scrooged
    Donor
    Kansas JayhawksKansas City RoyalsKansas City ChiefsBig 8 Conference

    Matt Stafford to throw an INT -120
    Gabriel Davis to have a reception over 21.5 yards -110
    Terry McLaurin over 58.5 receiving yards
    Under in the SF/CAR game + Jeff Wilson over 68.5 rushing yards +259
    Najee Harris under 56.5 rushing yards -110
     
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  33. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
    Virginia CavaliersDallas CowboysTiger WoodsLos Angeles Angels of AnaheimUnited States Men's National Soccer Team

    NE -3
    TB -10
    Ravens -3
    Ten -1
     
  34. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed I live inside my own heart, Matt Damon
    Staff Donor
    Seattle MarinersOregon DucksPortland TimbersPortland Trail Blazers

    DK boosted Nick Chubb anytime TD and it hits less than 10 minutes into the morning games
     
  35. rut row

    rut row Well-Known Member
    Rutgers Scarlet KnightsNew York YankeesBrooklyn NetsNew York Giants

    Miami down to their last roster qb and the jets still -160 ml.
     
  36. Detlef Schrempf

    Detlef Schrempf Back to Back to Back AAU National Champs
    Donor

    You watch Zach Attack play QB?
     
  37. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideNew York YankeesJacksonville Jaguars2pacSneakersFormula 1

  38. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    I'm in my feelings seeing Shakir being so good but not scoring the week we all bet him
     
    Detlef Schrempf likes this.
  39. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Falcons backdoor cover to keep the perfect record
     
  40. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
    Virginia CavaliersDallas CowboysTiger WoodsLos Angeles Angels of AnaheimUnited States Men's National Soccer Team

    The Bucs doing next to nothing in the 2nd half sucked.
     
  41. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Somehow the Pittsburgh/Buffalo Under hits
     
  42. Detlef Schrempf

    Detlef Schrempf Back to Back to Back AAU National Champs
    Donor

    That jags game was a kick in the dick since I teased them
     
    dblplay1212 likes this.
  43. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Kyler rushing yards, live prop
     
  44. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Boom
     
  45. MtOread

    MtOread chopped and scrooged
    Donor
    Kansas JayhawksKansas City RoyalsKansas City ChiefsBig 8 Conference

    4/5 on these, successful week
     
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  46. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed I live inside my own heart, Matt Damon
    Staff Donor
    Seattle MarinersOregon DucksPortland TimbersPortland Trail Blazers

    won on zacchius o27.5 yds, chubb anytime td, and kittle o3.5 catches. have duverney o35.5 yds tonight

    lost my two >+1000 parlays (though i did nearly win a niners one and lost it due to two long kick returns, but i also needed a last minute pick-6 and a missed pat so it wasn't a bad beat). i'm just betting these for fun but there's nothing that fun about losing a few hundred dollars over a season. i want to hit one!
     
  47. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
    Donor
    Real MadridJacksonville JaguarsFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Rays

    Lost every bet I made today!
     
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  48. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Had a great day betting SF over Carolina. Thanks baker! Hit +600 SGPs in that game and the bills game
     
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  49. Gunners

    Gunners Nicking a living
    Donor
    Ohio State BuckeyesBaltimore OriolesWashington WizardsWashington Football TeamWashington CapitalsArsenal

    Not till Thursday and Bears suck too but an even ML seems like tremendous value

    I also suck at this so wouldn’t listen to me
     
    bro likes this.
  50. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    I’m definitely getting on Chicago
     
    Gunners likes this.