Gambling Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by bro, Nov 25, 2020.

  1. rcragg82

    rcragg82 Well-Known Member
    Donor

    I downloaded the Pikkit Bet Tracker app a few weeks ago and they gave you a lot of analysis. You link all your sportsbook and it shows trends by sports, sportsbook, types of bets, teams, even players. For example, I need to stop betting KC Chiefs running back player props but I'm good at NBA and I broke even on the NFL this past season. It will pull in every bet from the past 3 years/
     
  2. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    do you just login and link your accounts? will it analyze prior history?
     
  3. rcragg82

    rcragg82 Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Yes and yes. Once you create an account, it will prompt you to log in to all the sportsbook accounts you have. Then it will analyze all of those both open and settled bets.

    Then you will be able to filter by all sorts of categories (sports, sportsbooks, weeks/months/years). For example, I went 65-63 with a 2.29% ROI in CFB last season.
     
  4. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Bet this after yesterday.

    Brooks Koepka ML+802
    Masters - Update #1 - US Masters 2023 - Winner
    Risk:$400.00Win:$3,208.00
     
    Corky Bucek likes this.
  5. Gunners

    Gunners Nicking a living
    Donor
    Ohio State BuckeyesBaltimore OriolesWashington WizardsWashington Football TeamWashington CapitalsArsenal

    Put a big bet on Miami -6.5 bc I didn’t realize Brooklyn had tiebreaker which was idiotic

    Took a nearly 20% loss cashing out then bet Wizards ML and over Kispert points. Cashed out Wizards ML at around 90% in 3rd quarter and Kispert points hit

    Can’t believe I pulled that off
     
  6. Gunners

    Gunners Nicking a living
    Donor
    Ohio State BuckeyesBaltimore OriolesWashington WizardsWashington Football TeamWashington CapitalsArsenal

    Capitals aren't trying, Florida is playing great and 1 team has everything to play for and the other nothing

    Gonna go kinda big on Florida -150 ML
     
  7. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    this is fascinating
     
  8. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    What did you learn?
     
  9. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    That I’m not a great straight line bettor. I make my money on parlays. That I should stick to tennis, the nfl and college basketball
     
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  10. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Sgps or are you coincidentally losing straight bets but winning them when they're in a parlay?
     
  11. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    it just says parlays, but I do win a fair amount on the NFL via SGPs. I think anecdotally I can say that when I place a O/U or spread bet on, for example, college football, it tends to go poorly.
     
    ohhaithur likes this.
  12. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Pikkit taught me to move my fall rec soccer league from Wednesday to Monday. I make way more on MACtion than MNF
     
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  13. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed A Succulent Chinese Meal
    Staff Donor
    Seattle MarinersOregon DucksPortland TimbersPortland Trail Blazers

    this app is great

    IMG_5783.PNG

    up 11% with some +odd bets on Embiid for MVP, Quickley for 6MOY, Bryce Young as 1st overall, and a few other NFL Draft/NBA Playoff random ones.

    maybe i should stop while i'm ahead? or maybe i should gamble way more?
     
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  14. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    really really small sample size but still nicely done
     
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  15. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    unfortunately I could only go back about a year when I have several years of DK and FD usage
     
  16. teel

    teel Schiano Man
    Donor
    Rutgers Scarlet KnightsNew York MetsNew York GiantsNew Jersey DevilsNational League

    Frantically trying to cash out on DK with the Panthers up 1 but receiving multiple errors, Panthers then score to make it 4-2. Infuriating
     
  17. teel

    teel Schiano Man
    Donor
    Rutgers Scarlet KnightsNew York MetsNew York GiantsNew Jersey DevilsNational League

    They stole my money :bird:

    A8C05680-37A7-4ED5-8301-1459773DE493.jpeg
     
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  18. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed A Succulent Chinese Meal
    Staff Donor
    Seattle MarinersOregon DucksPortland TimbersPortland Trail Blazers

    what sort of bets are people placing on the draft? i think it's my favorite event to bet as it really adds to the drama of the broadcast.

    i'm on a bunch of random ones for small dollar amounts:

    - JSN drafted by Tennessee (+2000), Houston (+500), or New England (+600)
    - Michael Mayer first TE selected (+110)
    - Tyree Wilson first DEF selected (+500)
    - Witherspoon selected ahead of Gonzalez (+210)
    - Bryce Young first overall (+110 and +250)

    and just added:

    - Nolan Smith top 10 (+130)
    - Deonte Banks over20.5 (+100)

    i would really like to find something for the chargers drafting Jordan Addison or Michael Mayer but don't have odds for it right now. hoping there are more props as we get closer to Thursday though i like how the rumors have evolved re: Young, Wilson, and Witherspoon over the last couple of months to where we are now.

    4/24, based on twitter rumors that one of these guys may go #3:

    - Paris Johnson Jr top 5 (+400)
    - Devon Witherspoon top 5 (+1000)

    4/24, more rumors:

    - Jordan Addison second WR taken (+250)
    - LAC selecting Michael Mayer (+650)
    - Colts selecting Will Levis (+170)
    - Hendon Hooker selected in first round (-140)
    - Jaymyr Gibbs first RB taken (+1000)

    4/25, fully buying in despite already having exposure here:

    - 1. Young 2. Wilson 3. Anderson exact order (+650)

    4/26, just adding more dumb shit

    - Joey Porter Jr under19.5 (+145)
    - Zay Flowers over 22.5 (+100)
    - Bijan Robinson second RB taken (+2500)
     
    #11218 Handcuffed, Apr 23, 2023
    Last edited: Apr 26, 2023
    MtOread and juice like this.
  19. devine

    devine hi, i am user devine
    Donor
    West Virginia MountaineersChicago BullsPhoenix SunsPittsburgh PenguinsManchester CityPittsburgh PiratesSan Diego PadresBarAndGrillCoors Light

    I have officially retired
     
  20. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    I had an asinine amount of money on Jalen Carter going #1 and then he decided to drive drunk. I'm sitting out the rest in protest
     
    dblplay1212 and Handcuffed like this.
  21. Hawks11

    Hawks11 The arsonist has oddly shaped feet
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesAtlanta Hawks

    Fellas, I received some fantastic news this morning. I’m so happy I could cry. I’m going to be ok.
     
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  22. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Here are some rumors I've heard from a couple people in the know. Im betting these but things change of course so dont kill me if these all go wrong

    First rumor for the 2nd overall pick to Houston. Jalen Carter mother is buying a house in Houston. There is a rumor of Houston trading down so it makes sense because my other contact said there is no way Carter is Top 5 after the arrest because the NFL won't allow it. Now there is a rumor the Texans are trading the #2 pick so it would make sense.

    Made a $200 bet with the guy, he said Gibbs will be the first RB drafted. Think thats crazy but being a 10 year NFL vet, hes got the connections there.

    Same guy said Joey Porter Jr will be drafted #16 or 17 and he said thats a done deal. Washington has told him they are taking him at 16. Pittsburgh will 100% take him if he gets past there and Pittsburgh knows this and might trade up to get him.
     
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  23. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Gibbs as the first RB is +1000
     
  24. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed A Succulent Chinese Meal
    Staff Donor
    Seattle MarinersOregon DucksPortland TimbersPortland Trail Blazers

    the better bet would be bijan robinson +2500 as the second RB taken
     
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  25. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    That Gibbs one is just way off the wall to me. If he nails this, than defintely he has that insider knowledge. I went heavy on Porter Under 19.5
     
  26. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    And heavy on Running Backs Over 1.5 1st Round
     
  27. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed A Succulent Chinese Meal
    Staff Donor
    Seattle MarinersOregon DucksPortland TimbersPortland Trail Blazers

    there were some twitter rumors about how some teams preferred Gibbs. I put a small amount of money on Gibbs as RB1 earlier this week based on those rumors.
     
    Wendel Clark likes this.
  28. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Did not know that. He told me what hes heard from teams is they see Gibbs as a CJ2K clone.

    Also this dude was a Head Coach at 1-AA after his career.

    Actually headed to his birthday party soon (not saying the date for confidential purposes). A lot of former teammates will be there.
     
  29. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Also another thing he said, Lamar Jackson will start for the 49ers next year. But he had been saying the Falcons for a long time
     
  30. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    I think I might but some money on Bovada and take that Bijan the 2nd running back at +2500
     
  31. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    And trade both Purdy and Lance? Seems like a stretch
     
    bro likes this.
  32. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    ya they are sitting real pretty contract wise with those QBs.
     
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  33. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    only $3m in cap space too with a roster that should make the Super Bowl. I'll take the "no" side of that bet at -1000
     
    bro likes this.
  34. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed A Succulent Chinese Meal
    Staff Donor
    Seattle MarinersOregon DucksPortland TimbersPortland Trail Blazers

    with milwaukee losing, feels like every single boston vs. ________ matchup just became +EV
     
  35. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    They're going to be -400 in some series so idk. They haven't looked great

    I was just going to post my Heat MLs from tonight but I had a Bucks future from way back so I'm not even allowed to be that happy
     
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  36. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed A Succulent Chinese Meal
    Staff Donor
    Seattle MarinersOregon DucksPortland TimbersPortland Trail Blazers

    yeah i just looked on DK and boston is -170 to win the conference. even though they're the heavy favorite, it just takes one sprained ankle and things change.

    guess i should have bet it this AM when milwaukee was still sort of a favorite in the series
     
    ohhaithur likes this.
  37. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Probably the best EV+ day for casuals in a really long time. All three FanDuel boosts cash (+200, +200, +300), basically every DraftKings early win underdog wins
     
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  38. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    I just put 1k on Lightning to win the series down 3-1 at +939
     
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  39. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Said he heard today now Texans are making calls for Lamar now
     
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  40. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    :laugh:
     
  41. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Yes I’m bias with negativity on my team. However Tampa was the superior team in games 3 and 4. And if Tampa wins tomorrow, you know the Leafs players are going to be like oh fuck here we go again
     
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  42. MtOread

    MtOread chopped and scrooged
    Donor
    Kansas JayhawksKansas City RoyalsKansas City ChiefsBig 8 Conference

    Wendel Clark joined you on the Joey Porter Jr. under, got it on DK at +170 and elsewhere at +185.
     
    Wendel Clark likes this.
  43. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Talked more about it last night. He did say there is only 1 chance he falls past the Steelers. Thats if one of Skoronski, Johnson or Jones OT fall to them at 17. Also said possible the Steelers move up but slim chance of that.

    But I am heavy on this Porter play
     
    letan likes this.
  44. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed A Succulent Chinese Meal
    Staff Donor
    Seattle MarinersOregon DucksPortland TimbersPortland Trail Blazers

    damn i hate basically all of my bets right now. the draft day rumors have blown a different way.
     
    ohhaithur likes this.
  45. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Big odds change for CJ stroud to go 3 overall. From my source, titans are the team that is making the trade involving Derrick Henry to Arizona
     
  46. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWENebraska Cornhuskers alt

     
  47. Tricky Gator

    Donor TMB OG
    Florida Gators

    Thoughts on who gets drafted 1st Kincaid or Mayer?
     
  48. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    It's basically arbable with DK having Mayer -110 and FanDuel having Kincaid +150. I like Mayer for that price
     
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  49. Tricky Gator

    Donor TMB OG
    Florida Gators

    Bovada has it Mayer -180 Kincaid +145
     
  50. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    If you're going to bet one of those it would be Kincaid at those prices but I'm not sure I like either price
     
    Tricky Gator likes this.