Randomly took five. I’m on my phone so couldn’t easily refer to the picks. Think I took some overs that were unders. And I’ll be on a plane when most of the games are on. All #vibes.
I was betting like Russian semi pro ping pong when the pandemic first started and no other sports were on and I was hitting at like 72% for a straight month. Never been on a heater like that before or since.
ohhaithur have you seen worse? I'd break shit. https://www.instagram.com/reel/CzWy7Kvv8Vu/?igshid=MTI5cWswNXdxbWdlcw==
2012 Belk Bowl is the worst I've seen but I think the worst ever is USC vs. Arizona State in 1996. To lose +8.5 in overtime is incredible
Adding… TT/Kansas O 61.5 Michigan -4.5 Michigan 1H -2.5 Michigan ML + U 45 Memphis -6.5 & USF -6.5 (teaser +158) Utah ML +260 UT/Mizzou O 58 FSU/Miami O 51 Oregon -9.5 + Bama -6.5 (teaser +106)
Finally getting to watch and bet 2nd halfs in college basketball. God I am a masochist in betting 2nd half unders. Hit a 3 to be down 9 with 14 seconds and calling timeout and still fouling. It never makes SENSE
Also the joys of having multiple books. 2nd Half Cornell/Fordham is play My normal book, Bookmaker total is 78 Hard Rock total is 81
hard rock lines are extremely beatable. Like I'm considering flying down just to crush them for a week until I get banned
Easy mode: do +EV promos Medium mode: compare sharp books to Hard Rock lines, bet accordingly Hard mode: build a model
Losing the South Carolina/Vanderbilt over by 1.5 points when they MISSED 2 extra points in the fourth quarter. Pain
Follow up questions - the promos all seem like shit to me. Do I just need to compare them against other books to see if they’re decent? And where do you pull in data for your models?
I haven't looked at your promos but they sometimes have good ones in other states I, a crazy person, built my models by hand. I scrape the relevant data from various sites that have the data I need ie I can pull stuff from Baseball Savant or Pro Football reference on a given week
Damnit Kansas fighting back from down 13 in the 4th to tie it up only to allow a game winning fg drive with 30 seconds and not even getting to OT.