took Marquette ML again today not sure what to make of the Vols/KU game David Montgomery overs tomorrow have a good vibe about the Seahawks (do not tail my vibes are tragic)
I doubt I’ll touch it but honestly wouldn’t even consider taking the over unless it got to like 23 as 13-10 is about as high of a score I can imagine. However with how much Nebraska turns it over and how much better Iowa’s special teams are…there is some potential for short fields. Nebraska has done pretty good holding teams to FGs in the red zone though.
I forget the stat, but there have been 5 or 7 totals 33 or under this season… And all of those games have stayed under. There’s a shortcut sharps use in Cfb totals, bet under the lowest totals on the board and over the highest totals on the board and generally speaking you will come out ahead.
after taking like 7 Iowa unders in a row, I took the over last week. Set up to hit. Really torn on this week. might have to dig back to the under
This is a big week for “5 win teams leaving it all on the line to make a bowl.” 2017-2022 (2020 excluded) teams that “need” to win in final game to make a bowl are 40-25-1 ATS (62%), and 35-31 straight up (53%) dogs in these spots are 28-16 ATS (64%), 16-28 straight up (36%) Favorites who need to win to make a bowl are 12-9-1 ATS (57%) and ***19-3 (86%)*** straight up. throw in EMU last night as a dog that needed it and won and the numbers are marginally better
fun little update here! had an 8 pick parlay at +1374 odds and my only loss was nuggets ML against magic. nuggets lost by 5 and allowed 42 points in the 4th quarter :)
So much action today it’s hard to keep up. Packers +8.5 Packers u47 Cowboys o48 49ers o43 Khalif Raymond over 11.5 rec yard Love o1.5 TD passes Tons of prop parlays
And the live total in Packers is 59.5. plz punt here Lions. I need like 3 stalled drives in a row to have a shot at getting off u47
I can now get Lions +200 while having Packers +329. Think I'll just ride Packers but they can absolutely blow this.
Hard Rock left this on in the 1st quarter when Love was 8/9 Over 20.5 -125 JORDAN LOVE - PASSING COMPLETIONS Packers @ Lions Wager $900.00 Paid $1,620.00 ID 234705200010104020
Hit this SGP at +160. Good start to the day Over 199.5 +160 JORDAN LOVE - TO RECORD 200+ PASS YARDS Lions vs. Packers Over 24.5 +160 DAVID MONTGOMERY - TO RECORD 25+ RUSHING YARDS Lions vs. Packers Over 199.5 +160 JARED GOFF - TO RECORD 200+ PASS YARDS Lions vs. Packers Over 24.5 +160 AJ DILLON - TO RECORD 25+ RUSHING YARDS Lions vs. Packers Over 24.5 +160 JAHMYR GIBBS - TO RECORD 25+ RUSHING YARDS Lions vs. Packers Over 49.5 +160 AMON-RA ST. BROWN - TO RECORD 50+ RECEIVING YARDS Lions vs. Packers Over 24.5 +160 SAM LAPORTA - TO RECORD 25+ RECEIVING YARDS Lions vs. Packers
And my 18 game SGP Parlay actually was very very close Jordan Love: Over 0.5 Interception - Dead Over 20.5 Completions Over 200 Passing Yards Over 14.5 Rushing Yards Patrick Taylor Over 10.5 Reciving Yards - Only 4 Over 10.5 Rushing Yards AJ Dillon Over 47.5 Rushing Yards - 43 Over 12.5 Receiving Yards Jayden Reed Over 39.5 Reciving Yards - 34 Christian Watson Over 43.5 Receiving Yards Jared Goff Over 1.5 Rushing Yard Over 200 Passing Yards Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns Josh Reynolds Over 21.5 Receiving Yards - 15 Jahmyir Gibbs Over 47.5 Rushing Yards Jameson Williams Over 23.5 Receiving Yards Kalif Raymond Over 11.5 Receiving Yards David Montgomery Over 50 Rushing Yards
wish I’d seen it before I bet but I did well enough on props that I turned a small profit on game one
They were +370 any time td so it makes some sense I guess. Idk I had a few bucks left in my account and threw a dart
Have a bonus +700 parlay for anytime TDS for Deebo, McCaffrey, and Kittle. Just need a Kittle TD now.