Landing Thursday mid morning and flying out Sunday morning, I’ve gone 2 out of the last 3 years. One of the guys I go with is good friends with a pro poker player from south Florida who booked a suite at aria for two weeks so he has unlimited tickets basically to the aria vip watch party which we’ll be using heavily. Friday I booked a bay at atomic golf for the afternoon games. Saturday maybe do Fremont and lose everything on cheap craps tables.
Yes, my site usually only has them available for MM (not all games)…but I’ll also mess around with Sleeper since I had some deposit bonuses I’m still using.
I know some people consistently do well with CBB props but my experience is the volatility meter is turned up to 10. they do randomly have some terrible lines though. Stojakovic o14.5 vs Stanford at ACC tourney was easiest play of year(he had 37 of their 73 points). But for every one of those you’ve got a Juwan Gary who managed to have single digit points in like 5 conference games with totals of 147.5+, 2nd leading scorer on the team/14 ppg.
At least on the prop apps it seems like most of them are blindly just set at whatever the season average is, and rarely accounts for recent performance. But yeah seems like with CBB you’re always at risk of a WTF performance or some team scoring 52 points. Usually what I’ll try to do is look at KenPom and see if I can find any mismatches when it comes to maybe a team that can’t get boards vs a guy who gets the majority of their teams rebounds. Same with 3s, like Nebraska you knew there’d be games they’d give up 12+ threes so might as well try to find the guy who needs 2.5 and drains 7.
I’ll probably talk myself into taking UNC in the play in game since it seems like the team everyone complains about ends up winning a game or 2. lol that’s about all the research I’ve been able to do so far.
I am getting nothing done at work, so I wrote a python code that uses the kenpom API to get data that you can plot. You can choose basically any two variables and any combination of teams (i.e. just tourney teams, or specific matchups). Full disclosure, I will likely use NONE of this data to make bets. Spoiler Spoiler Spoiler
Went to the Wynn for the first time. Nice spot made $400 playing Blackjack, they gave me a casino host already Walked to the Venetian got absolutely pummeled on Craps for about a $3k loss. Walked back to Caesars and made it all back.
Kind of like Memphis to make round of 16 at +600. Dainja is playing out of his mind right now. I know the computers hate them.
Yea well I lost $5 during the first wave of basketball games last night, then ended up $15 on the night overall. I know you’re jealous.
Very jealous after this morning. Went to walk to the sportsbook, stopped by craps. Lost and than stopped at the blackjack and lost some more. Being stipid this morning
You should probably stop letting them entice you into going to Vegas and losing your shirt on table games
BFF got wind of this and decided she would like to tag along. However, she’s busy this Saturday so we will be going next Saturday. Told her that defeats the purpose, but that fell on deaf ears.
Kenpom kind of favors UNC if you follow the tempo is a good thing in March approach. This is limited to just the Friday teams (except vandy, not sure how they snuck in there). On flight to LV to lose money as well. Probably just going to bet every underdog in what will surely be an unprecedented day for the favorites.
Live bet Clemson team total under 42.5, under 46.5, and under 52.5 about 7 minutes ago, this is electric right now.
yeah it's a good video but awful topic. it's going to be a burden on society for decades. worst thing since since the sackler family probably