Gambling Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by bro, Nov 25, 2020.

  1. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Are you headed out there this week?
     
  2. DuffandMuff

    DuffandMuff Well-Known Member
    Tampa Bay LightningSan Diego Padres

    I can arrive in Vegas at 9AM next Saturday and fly out at 10PM. $79.

    Hmm tempting.
     
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  3. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    If you are, DM me. Ill be there from Tuesday to Monday
     
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  4. kennypowers

    kennypowers Big shit like a dinosaur did it
    Donor TMB OG
    UCF KnightsAtlanta BravesJacksonville Jaguars

    Landing Thursday mid morning and flying out Sunday morning, I’ve gone 2 out of the last 3 years. One of the guys I go with is good friends with a pro poker player from south Florida who booked a suite at aria for two weeks so he has unlimited tickets basically to the aria vip watch party which we’ll be using heavily. Friday I booked a bay at atomic golf for the afternoon games. Saturday maybe do Fremont and lose everything on cheap craps tables.
     
  5. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Took Iowa State +4000
     
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  6. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    +4500 on DK if you go in for more
     
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  7. kennypowers

    kennypowers Big shit like a dinosaur did it
    Donor TMB OG
    UCF KnightsAtlanta BravesJacksonville Jaguars

    Guide my hand kenpom
     
  8. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor



    or maybe don't add more lol
     
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  9. Andy Reocho

    Andy Reocho Please don't get lost in the sauce
    Staff Donor TMB OG
    Kansas JayhawksKansas City RoyalsKansas City ChiefsNewcastle UnitedBig 8 ConferenceFormula 1

    Got my first prize picks lineup of the 2025 MLB season loaded.
     
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  10. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Has anyone bet college basketball player props
     
  11. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWENebraska Cornhuskers alt

    Yes, my site usually only has them available for MM (not all games)…but I’ll also mess around with Sleeper since I had some deposit bonuses I’m still using.
     
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  12. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    yeah. some states don't let you though
     
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  13. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    I know some people consistently do well with CBB props but my experience is the volatility meter is turned up to 10.

    they do randomly have some terrible lines though. Stojakovic o14.5 vs Stanford at ACC tourney was easiest play of year(he had 37 of their 73 points). But for every one of those you’ve got a Juwan Gary who managed to have single digit points in like 5 conference games with totals of 147.5+, 2nd leading scorer on the team/14 ppg.
     
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  14. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Yeah Florida is one of them
     
  15. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Connection in DFW. Had to have my breakfast of champions, Whataburger
     
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  16. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWENebraska Cornhuskers alt

    At least on the prop apps it seems like most of them are blindly just set at whatever the season average is, and rarely accounts for recent performance. But yeah seems like with CBB you’re always at risk of a WTF performance or some team scoring 52 points.

    Usually what I’ll try to do is look at KenPom and see if I can find any mismatches when it comes to maybe a team that can’t get boards vs a guy who gets the majority of their teams rebounds. Same with 3s, like Nebraska you knew there’d be games they’d give up 12+ threes so might as well try to find the guy who needs 2.5 and drains 7.
     
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  17. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWENebraska Cornhuskers alt

    I’ll probably talk myself into taking UNC in the play in game since it seems like the team everyone complains about ends up winning a game or 2. lol that’s about all the research I’ve been able to do so far.
     
  18. kennypowers

    kennypowers Big shit like a dinosaur did it
    Donor TMB OG
    UCF KnightsAtlanta BravesJacksonville Jaguars

    I am getting nothing done at work, so I wrote a python code that uses the kenpom API to get data that you can plot. You can choose basically any two variables and any combination of teams (i.e. just tourney teams, or specific matchups). Full disclosure, I will likely use NONE of this data to make bets.
    rank_vs_tempo.png
    off_def.png
    3pt.png
     
  19. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Went to the Wynn for the first time. Nice spot made $400 playing Blackjack, they gave me a casino host already :roll:

    Walked to the Venetian got absolutely pummeled on Craps for about a $3k loss. Walked back to Caesars and made it all back.
     
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  20. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWENebraska Cornhuskers alt

    Who needs KenPom?!?
     
  21. It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens

    It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Kind of like Memphis to make round of 16 at +600. Dainja is playing out of his mind right now. I know the computers hate them.
     
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  22. Andy Reocho

    Andy Reocho Please don't get lost in the sauce
    Staff Donor TMB OG
    Kansas JayhawksKansas City RoyalsKansas City ChiefsNewcastle UnitedBig 8 ConferenceFormula 1

    Yea well I lost $5 during the first wave of basketball games last night, then ended up $15 on the night overall.

    :nahnah: I know you’re jealous.
     
  23. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Very jealous after this morning. Went to walk to the sportsbook, stopped by craps. Lost and than stopped at the blackjack and lost some more. Being stipid this morning
     
  24. Illinihockey

    Illinihockey Well-Known Member
    Chicago CubsChicago BullsChicago BearsChicago BlackhawksIllinois Fightin' IlliniLiverpool

    unless you bet more, you can’t win it back
     
  25. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    I doubt he's just going to go out and bet more on this trip. Seems unlikely
     
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  26. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    You should probably stop letting them entice you into going to Vegas and losing your shirt on table games
     
  27. VASooner

    VASooner Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Washington NationalsOklahoma City ThunderDallas CowboysOklahoma SoonersLiverpool

    Yeah Vegas is cool and all but can someone please tell me what to bet on for the tournament?
     
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  28. It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens

    It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens Well-Known Member
    Donor

  29. DuffandMuff

    DuffandMuff Well-Known Member
    Tampa Bay LightningSan Diego Padres

    BFF got wind of this and decided she would like to tag along. However, she’s busy this Saturday so we will be going next Saturday. Told her that defeats the purpose, but that fell on deaf ears.
     
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  30. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWENebraska Cornhuskers alt

    Muskies!!!!
     
  31. It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens

    It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Added +7.5 live. Good start to the tourney.
     
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  32. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Dez Bryant being apart of Gambling Twitter is wild
     
  33. kennypowers

    kennypowers Big shit like a dinosaur did it
    Donor TMB OG
    UCF KnightsAtlanta BravesJacksonville Jaguars

    Kenpom kind of favors UNC if you follow the tempo is a good thing in March approach. This is limited to just the Friday teams (except vandy, not sure how they snuck in there).

    IMG_9949.png

    On flight to LV to lose money as well. Probably just going to bet every underdog in what will surely be an unprecedented day for the favorites.
     
  34. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Taking every underdog first to 10 points for $100 this week
     
  35. It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens

    It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens Well-Known Member
    Donor

  36. All_Luck

    All_Luck OK. Cool Husk em!
    Nebraska CornhuskersColorado RockiesDenver NuggetsKansas City ChiefsColorado AvalanceUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamLiverpoolBig 8 ConferenceNebraska Cornhuskers altFormula 1

    Creighton ML +130
    Creighton +3.5
     
  37. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    2-0 1st to 10
     
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  38. Upton^2

    Upton^2 blocked just a park away, but I can't really say
    Donor
    Clemson TigersAtlanta BravesCharlotte HornetsCarolina PanthersArsenal

    Just followed this for Montana
     
  39. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Fucking had their chances. I put $100 on all of the underdogs
     
  40. All_Luck

    All_Luck OK. Cool Husk em!
    Nebraska CornhuskersColorado RockiesDenver NuggetsKansas City ChiefsColorado AvalanceUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamLiverpoolBig 8 ConferenceNebraska Cornhuskers altFormula 1

    Live McNeese +3.5
     
  41. All_Luck

    All_Luck OK. Cool Husk em!
    Nebraska CornhuskersColorado RockiesDenver NuggetsKansas City ChiefsColorado AvalanceUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamLiverpoolBig 8 ConferenceNebraska Cornhuskers altFormula 1

  42. MtOread

    MtOread chopped and scrooged
    Donor
    Kansas JayhawksKansas City RoyalsKansas City ChiefsBig 8 Conference

    Live bet Clemson team total under 42.5, under 46.5, and under 52.5 about 7 minutes ago, this is electric right now.
     
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  43. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    thinking you go 2-1 but what a silly sweat that might be
     
  44. ned's head

    ned's head Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Not to be a party pooper but there was a really good/sad story on gambling on this week tonight

     
  45. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    this tempo is going to be scary if they can keep it within 15ish
     
  46. MtOread

    MtOread chopped and scrooged
    Donor
    Kansas JayhawksKansas City RoyalsKansas City ChiefsBig 8 Conference

    Yeah not an ideal last 90 seconds, it’s been fun but I may be in trouble.
     
  47. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    yeah it's a good video but awful topic. it's going to be a burden on society for decades. worst thing since since the sackler family probably
     
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  48. MtOread

    MtOread chopped and scrooged
    Donor
    Kansas JayhawksKansas City RoyalsKansas City ChiefsBig 8 Conference

    It was fun while it lasted lol.
     
    ohhaithur likes this.
  49. Illinihockey

    Illinihockey Well-Known Member
    Chicago CubsChicago BullsChicago BearsChicago BlackhawksIllinois Fightin' IlliniLiverpool

    Fucking mcneese, play some defense
     
  50. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    1st to 10 Underdogs. $100 on each, 7-9 +30.00 haha
     
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