Gambling Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by bro, Nov 25, 2020.

  1. rut row

    rut row Well-Known Member
    Rutgers Scarlet KnightsNew York YankeesBrooklyn NetsNew York Giants

    FUCK
     
  2. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Surprised to see in a game expected to be so close that the 4-point underdog up 10 still isn't the favorite
     
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  3. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Depth is the factor. Even though it’s a BTB game for the 6ers the 4th quarter will feature some guys for BKLN who generally aren’t in those spots/with those roles.
     
  4. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    I'm not sure, I don't think the algos really are aware of that? they don't even know who won a coin flip
     
  5. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Individual players are inputs in the algo though. At least in NBA, nfl not so much outside of QB.
     
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  6. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    do you have any resources on the algos?
     
  7. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    LIU
    Merrimack
    TN Tech

    !!
     
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  8. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Nothing ever easy.
     
    bro likes this.
  9. spagett

    spagett Got ya, spooked ya
    Donor

    God damnit Wisconsin
     
  10. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Just what I’ve heard over the years listening to VSIN. But star players are fairly predictable in NBA because there are so many games that they play in a season/career. When a bench player has start for a star their usage rate may be similar but efficiency is not likely to be. Or even more macro the team metrics used in the algo will be less the stats from the player in question (because in basketball adjustments for stars at all positions can make sense since so few guys are on the court).

    I ended up taking Phi -7 2H
     
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  11. spagett

    spagett Got ya, spooked ya
    Donor

    Fucking Brad Davison you rotten cunt
     
    cdaysker likes this.
  12. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    But also it seems like 6ers don’t give a fuck
     
  13. All_Luck

    All_Luck OK. Cool Husk em!
    Nebraska CornhuskersColorado RockiesDenver NuggetsKansas City ChiefsColorado AvalanceUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamLiverpoolBig 8 ConferenceNebraska Cornhuskers altFormula 1

    Anyone know why SAS moved from +6 to +9?
     
  14. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Wasn’t paying attention but perhaps the daily ritual of bron and AD being confirmed after being listed as gtd?
     
  15. All_Luck

    All_Luck OK. Cool Husk em!
    Nebraska CornhuskersColorado RockiesDenver NuggetsKansas City ChiefsColorado AvalanceUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamLiverpoolBig 8 ConferenceNebraska Cornhuskers altFormula 1

    DEN - 2.5
    DEN O223

    MIN +10

    SAS +9
    SAS O226
     
  16. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Like it’s a second chance scoring orgy for Brooklyn
     
  17. All_Luck

    All_Luck OK. Cool Husk em!
    Nebraska CornhuskersColorado RockiesDenver NuggetsKansas City ChiefsColorado AvalanceUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamLiverpoolBig 8 ConferenceNebraska Cornhuskers altFormula 1

    IG CLE +5.5
     
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  18. Houndster

    Houndster Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG

    Late here, but this was such a no brainer. I hammered the live line purely out of spite since I had Iowa -5.5
     
    bro likes this.
  19. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Fuck the Sixers.
     
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  20. rut row

    rut row Well-Known Member
    Rutgers Scarlet KnightsNew York YankeesBrooklyn NetsNew York Giants

    hedged after the nets took the early lead. will still finish $50 ahead.
     
    ohhaithur likes this.
  21. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Did the same with illinois down 14 at half. Now a tie game
     
    Houndster and like this.
  22. Houndster

    Houndster Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG

    Nevada IG +645


    They’re down 20-18 so hoping to arb here in a few minutes
     
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  23. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    love the idea but god you had awful timing
     
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  24. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    I am actually going to find a pilot on LinkedIn and message him simply “go fuck your self” because the Portland pilots are having a 2H that makes Mount St Mary’s look decent
     
    letan likes this.
  25. Houndster

    Houndster Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG

    Lol figured that was the case when it moved to +1015 a minute later
     
  26. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    it's playing with fire when the team you're betting against is that much better unfortunately
     
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  27. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    I will be MIA for the next couple days. Going to the tennis tournament tomorrow and then Ill either be drinking my sorrows away on Saturday or drinking to celebrate
     
  28. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    This Nuggets game is very frustrating
     
  29. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Had $1,000 on Denver -2.5 (-108). Just took Dallas +2.5 for $1,000 (-109). Take a tiny loss and dont have to sweat this shit any more
     
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  30. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    I let that Lakers game get away from me a bit :laugh:
     

    Attached Files:

    #3230 ohhaithur, Jan 8, 2021
    Last edited: Jan 8, 2021
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  31. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Just entered tonights data for College Basketball.

    Would have been a rough night
     
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  32. Super Vegeta

    Super Vegeta I'm starting to feel like I'm entering my slut era
    Donor
    South Carolina GamecocksCarolina Panthers

    That SAS-LAL over tho
     
  33. Butthead

    Butthead narmas, narmas

    listened to the weekly betting episode of the ringer nfl pod with warren sharp earlier

    apparently 2014 was the last time phillip rivers played a game in the temperature range it's going to be in buffalo on saturday (mid-low 20s). he is also now 39 years old. as a casual, this is the sort of thing that makes me want to do something stupid with bills -6.5
     
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  34. Super Vegeta

    Super Vegeta I'm starting to feel like I'm entering my slut era
    Donor
    South Carolina GamecocksCarolina Panthers

    OT for DEN-DAL. The over lives.
     
  35. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    you would've shit your pants
     
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  36. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    There was an IG double parlay that had Den 2.5/O222.5 for +1800 and I typed in my wager then deleted it. Sad
     
  37. Super Vegeta

    Super Vegeta I'm starting to feel like I'm entering my slut era
    Donor
    South Carolina GamecocksCarolina Panthers

    Ive got both Den -2.5 and o223 and i had written off both just a few minutes ago. It looks like i will at least break even on this game.
     
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  38. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    I felt so smart for not taking the triple-double bets
     
  39. Super Vegeta

    Super Vegeta I'm starting to feel like I'm entering my slut era
    Donor
    South Carolina GamecocksCarolina Panthers

    I searched them up, had them planned out and almost pulled the trigger but ended up convincing myself it wouldn't happen
     
  40. Guns

    Guns horse paste aficionado
    Donor

    I needed that
     
    Super Vegeta likes this.
  41. All_Luck

    All_Luck OK. Cool Husk em!
    Nebraska CornhuskersColorado RockiesDenver NuggetsKansas City ChiefsColorado AvalanceUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamLiverpoolBig 8 ConferenceNebraska Cornhuskers altFormula 1

    Man fuck DEN.
     
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  42. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Got annoyed with so many teams melting down I put a Wendel Clark sized bet on ucla -4.5 and boy was that a thriller
     
  43. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    doncic finished with 9 assists, we did it!
     
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  44. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWENebraska Cornhuskers alt

    Damn went 3-1 in CBB, my only L was the under in UCLA/ASU, which was under by 14 after regulation but then they scored 20+ in OT.
     
  45. Squints

    Squints oiling and lotioning, lotioning and oiling
    Donor
    Sporting Kansas CityLiverpoolBig 8 ConferenceNebraska Cornhuskers alt

    On a discord group for DFS with other categories/channels for various topics. Anyways, a dude hit a +9020 tennis parlay he listed last night. I was gonna tail for a cup of coffee (bc degenerate) but fell asleep before. :killme:
     

    Attached Files:

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  46. DUCKMOUTH

    DUCKMOUTH People don’t you know, don’t you know
    Donor
    Southern Mississippi Golden EaglesNew Orleans SaintsGrateful DeadPoker

    Liking Ravens -3.5 and Bills -6.5.
     
  47. spagett

    spagett Got ya, spooked ya
    Donor

    Ravens are dead to me after last year
     
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  48. Squints

    Squints oiling and lotioning, lotioning and oiling
    Donor
    Sporting Kansas CityLiverpoolBig 8 ConferenceNebraska Cornhuskers alt

    Bills and Bucs teaser imo
     
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  49. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWENebraska Cornhuskers alt

    I know your pain...have a friend who’s a huge data guy and plays so many “value” MLs especially in tennis. I can never pick the right time to follow him. I know not to pick and choose but I also don’t feel like betting a bunch of long shots all the time in hopes one hits.

    Last year he had Burrow to win the Heisman pre-season.
     
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  50. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Yep. Also jumping on props for bills offense.

    teasing titans and Steelers sunday
     
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