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Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by MtOread, Mar 22, 2021.
And it's not even close
Guilty as charged
Buick commercials are the worst. That song is like nails on the chalkboard
Andy Enfield coaches fun ass teams.
feels right to complete the corona triangle of championship teams
I will also allow Florida State to complete the Florida Triangle of Bucs, Lightning, Seminoles. Sorry Arkansas.
I really hope it's boring af to everyone but Arkansas
i don't even know what brand it is but the "you've got the brawns... and i've got the brains" song one is horrendous.
I am too
So many State Farm, Progressive, and Allstate commercials
kind of digging that song tbh
Pet Shop Boys flashback for us olds
Even when trying not to, ACC still shows up with that blue blood elitism.
He could smoke in peace.
i feel obligated to brag about my bracket because i doubt i'll ever do this well again
in the 100th percentile, ranked in the 8000s on espn
12 of 16 teams correct left (had UVA, Ohio St, SDSU, and Okie St)
8 of 8 teams remaining
that's a solid fucking lineup
We didn’t have our first team all-conference PG for over half our games and were decimated by covid to where we were down to like 5 scholarship players and had to play like 3 walk ons so we lost a few games we shouldn’t. Also people thought the Oregon State losses were bad and now they have egg on their face.
Advanced stats in a shortened covid ravaged season with minimal non-conference scheduling is worthless.
They lost to us, in Eugene. That should be reason enough.
How’s Oregon’s 6’6” and under lineup gonna stop Luka Garza and Iowa?
Uhh...just outscore them?
area poster uses 50 game sample to call data based on thousands of games worthless
Oregon State lost to Wyoming and Portland earlier in the year. Let’s not act like they have always been a juggernaut since they got hot in March.
H&R Block tax song and dance commercial
United States of Al because it looks so bad, but I know it’ll get like 8 seasons, syndication, etc.
Few years ago we were up by like 12 strokes, then got beat in match play. Hated it. Destroyed everyone all weekend and then that.
Small samples in March have much more long-term positive predictive than an entire season of work
Seriously though Jeff Linder is gonna crush it at WYO and be in the Big 12 or Pac 12 soon
Monday saw the last of the 14 highest paid public-school coaches eliminated. Leonard Hamilton is apparently among the lowest paid P5 HCs but has earned $675K in bonuses this season. Guy bets on himself
Advanced stats would’ve had y’all as a 4/5.
people who made a bet with him
Oats has already made himself a solid $200k.
Would jump to $500k if he can win out.
Things that make zero sense for $1,000
in case you missed the UM/LSU game...here's some stellar highlights
Am comparing to normal seasons. You think advanced stats have as much value this season than say 2019?
And we should’ve been a 2/3 based on how we played with our current squad (no covid absences and Will Richardson not out due to thumb surgery on his shooting hand).
Howard was too dark. Hmmmmmmm a little racist.
You believe that Oregon is one of the five to twelve best teams in the country?
They looked like it against Iowa, no doubt.
Your current squad lost to Oregon State by 11 on a neutral court, what, two weeks ago?
kevin durant wouldnt start for the oregon ducks
oregon state is probably a 1-2 seed tbh
Yea let’s hit the brakes on Oregon a bit here. They’re a good team that had the perfect matchup in Iowa to exploit. Super athletic team against an unathletic uninterested in defense team. Stars aligned for them.
You are a good poster, but you are out of your element here. Given the following:
- limited out of conference sample
- increased frequency of players out due to contact tracing
- increased frequency of time gaps between games
- inconsistent impacts of covid on practice routines
It is dumb to think advanced stats don’t have much wider error bars than normal. College basketball is inherently difficult to utilize advanced statistics in a predictive manner because you extrapolate data from a decent sample of data in a small community (conferences) and a tiny amount of data from a much larger community with small ties between them. On top of that, all of the out of community data is at the beginning of the season instead of randomly dispersed.
I agree with the bullet points (and with @thebanks revised statement that ratings this year aren’t as useful as the same ratings from 2019) but the post I replied to repeated an earlier statement that advanced statistics are worthless, and the chorus of conclusive statements itt about how good or bad conferences are based on the outcome of an exceedingly small sample of games.
Weighted efficiency ratings continue to be a better predictive tool than anything else available in college basketball - indisputably better than random subjective evaluations. Pomeroy ratings in particular are weighted towards recent results to address the “right now” argument and, at least this year, muffle some of the covid noise. Of course it’s not perfect or even a good approximation of perfect, but I’d take it ten times out of ten against the person who looks at last weekend, sees UCLA win three games against, and comes to the conclusion “wow, the PAC 12 really was a beast this year.”
He's listed at #58 which includes covid reductions for salaries. Now I'm angry because I realized Mike White (didn't take a covid salary reduction like most of the basketball coaches) is getting a fucking $700k retention payment as long as he's still at UF on April 15.