yeah, that's where I'm getting my plays is basically road dogs with 60+% and then taking the favorite....it's not nearly as good as CFB.
just a little...every non CFB game is just a little unless I specify otherwise...no way I have confidence is this stuff beyond like 20 a game for the most part.
yeah I can't think of a decent angle to try and follow. stuff like # of players a team uses in a game, who does the most scoring, etc. can vary a lot from one team to another to try and compare and get a consistent formula to play or not plya on them. right now i'm mainly trying to focus on smaller conferences though, especially ones with good teams (that part is still getting figured out...) to try to recognize value in smaller schools playing against schools with larger fanbases, to a point that it might create a false underdog sentiment. like expecting Team A from Large Conference 1 to blow away Team B from Small Conference 2, which would happen in football usually, but not basketball. Trying to think of a better reason than "they're a better team", but it seems easy to take Davidson over Wofford tonight at -6 and then turning around on Saturday and checking out the Wofford-Citadel line and taking Davidson over Furman whenever that line comes out. Could be tempted into taking Davidson to cover against Vandy depending on how that line comes out. same w/ tonight's Cleveland State & Georgetown games. Cleveland State -6.5 and Georgetown +8.5 ... not as confident about the Georgetown one though. If anything, that one might just be a $5 or less play, or just bookmark the box score of it to review later on. Bama has 2 guys who play really well and then 3+ role players to fill in around them.
yeah, I've been trying to stay with home favorites vs public dogs...and it's barely below 50%...that's not good at all...
I don't know if watched that game or what not but they were winning by 10, then went into OT and they were losing by 10 ... lost by 8.
Yeah they covered it was a good pick thx. Now you like auburn, what do you think of baylor and mo st?
you took mount st mary's? I mean everybody in the free world is on them, so I don't blame you ... that's just the kind of game I would look the other way at Mizzou St.