Kevin Pelton's model is broken if it thinks these win totals for GS, Indiana and Boston are remotely possible. https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/46521096/nba-2025-2026-season-win-projections-all-30-teams
When Lowe did his most confusing teams pod he shouted out Kevin Arnovitz and I realized I’d love him as a regular on Lowe’s new pod, googled him and he is pretty much laying low now. Hope wherever he is he is enjoying life
Warriors as the 2 seed in this western conference seems really crazy. Even if you think (correctly imo) that it's a scary team at full strength, it's so fucking old that they're hardly ever going to be at full strength
Yeah, it’s a broken model if it thinks there is even a one percent chance that team is healthy enough to win that many games. Indy and Boston are bad but at least semi-understandable in the East. Neither is happening but there will be some weird totals in the East
The only fear surrounding the warriors is that of the grim specter of death hanging over those old men.
The East isn't close to the West, but he has the 12th team in the East (Chicago) in his projection winning 38 games. If that's how it plays out, where are Boston and Indiana feasting to get to the mid-40s without Tatum coming back? Just because they can beat teams like the Bulls, Raptors and Hornets doesn't mean they're going to sweep them all 12-0. Indiana might be good, but no one really knows what it will look like because it's going to look completely different from the last 2 years without those guys. And he says Boston has 8 above average players and I would love to know who those 8 are if Tatum isn't one of them. I got to 7, and that was counting Boucher and Queta because I got lost after counting Brown, White, Pritchard, Hauser and Simons.
They shouldn’t leave that much money just sitting out in the open; I hear Memphis is basically a war zone.
Between this and the Shaolin monk training I'm getting pretty concerned about what he's gonna do to everybody this season. This is potentially way scarier than skinny Luka or skinny Zion or magic surgery Tatum
I don’t love that Fox is already hurt. Not enamored with Castle and Harper playing my turn your turn while Wemby floats at the elbow. I’m hoping for more clarification on the backcourt situation as the season unfolds
Seems kind of odd that Russ is still out there and there hasn't been much or any buzz about him going somewhere outside of some Sacramento rumored interested back in July.
SGA is 27 and Wemby is a size that seems more prone to injury. I get that one. Jokic going into year 31 season is a little bolder but maybe NCHusker is an NBA GM and we didn't know.
is it too early for predictions? West 1. OKC 2. Denver 3. Minnesota 4. LA Clippers 5. LA Lakers 6. Houston 7. Golden State 8. San Antonio 9. Dallas 10. New Orleans 11. Portland 12. Phoenix 13. Memphis 14. Sacramento 15. Utah East 1. Cleveland 2. New York 3. Detroit 4. Orlando 5. Atlanta 6. Miami 7. Milwaukee 8. Boston 9. Chicago 10. Indiana 11. Philadelphia 12. Charlotte 13. Washington 14. Brooklyn 15. Toronto WCF: OKC over Denver ECF: NYK over Orlando Finals: OKC over NYK MVP: Nikola Jokic ROY: Cooper Flagg DPOY: Victor Wembanyama MIP: Shaedon Sharpe 6MOY: Ty Jerome COY: Mike Brown Other - Zion plays 59 games. Embiid plays 27. Giannis only around 50 and he'll leave the team before the end of the year and head to Athens, being the first international star to demand a trade and threaten just not returning to the US. - Markkanen gets moved at the deadline for either a package around Kuminga, a package around Jerami Grant, or a package Detroit puts together. - Lebron quietly plays out the year in LA. No trade demands, no major headlines. This is also the first year where it's clear he's not all-nba caliber anymore. - Tatum comes back. He doesn't improve Boston. - Amen Thompson struggles to build on last year like so many expect (basically, he doesn't take a superstar leap) and Durant misses 20+ games; Houston underwhelms compared to expectations. - Clippers are fined a massive amount of money and Ballmer is given a suspension from the organization for a year or so, but no draft pick punishments or anything that ultimately affects the franchise. Over / Under Spoiler Using the line from Pelton's win totals article, which I guess is ESPN BET OKC: 62.5 - Over GSW: 46.5 - Under DEN: 53.5 - Over LAC: 47.5 - Over HOU: 53.5 - Under LAL: 48.5 - Under MEM: 40.5 - Under MIN: 49.5 - Over DAL: 40.5 - Over SAC: 34.5 - Under SAS: 44.5 - Over POR: 33.5 - Over PHX: 31.5 - Over NOP: 30.5 - Over UTA: 18.5 - Under CLE: 56.5 - Over ORL: 51.5 - Over NYK: 53.5 - Over IND: 38.5 - Under BOS: 40.5 - Over MIL: 42.5 - Under ATL: 46.5 - Over DET: 45.5 - Over TOR: 38.5 - Under MIA: 38.5 - Over PHI: 42.5 - Under CHI: 31.5 - Over CHA: 28.5 - Under BKN: 20.5 - Under WAS: 20.5 - Under
That's not even on his basketball reference page, and they put every nickname ever used even one time on there.
Ware playing like a monster in preseason Jakučionis voted "steal of the draft" Spo voted best coach Play-in gonna be lit