nba thread

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by Tobias, Feb 22, 2018.

  1. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    sam shakusky not trying to get you to stop posting your bets in the nba thread. just trying to have a place where they are organized in one spot so we can discuss our degeneracy together
     
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  2. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    FUCK GUNNERS

    I bet on Charlotte tonight bc I like to feel pain. No logic except for the seemingly inflated line combined with public money being thrown at the dog.

    Also Cleveland ML.

    I’ll end up playing the LAC/GSW game but don’t really have a good angle on it. The only capper that I occasionally tail likes LAC but he constantly slanders the dubs and i feel like it’s a spite pick
     
  3. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    devine in case you wanna dabble in nba gambling
     
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  4. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    betting on charlotte is a wild move

    i may join you on general principle
     
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  5. UKupNorth

    UKupNorth Well-Known Member

    Cavs -3 1H
     
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  6. devine

    devine Make Devine A Mod Again
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    I know nothing about the nba but I’ll still be in here
     
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  7. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Cavs first to 20 -150
    Cavs ML -214
    Kelly Oubre over 11.5 points
    Hornets -7

    I can't find an angle on the late night game but still want to bet it so I'll parlay Clippers/Over and probably look to jump in live at some point

    Really like my picks but I'm over-invested in the Cavs game and typically fall on my face when I post picks before tip so we shall see.
     
  8. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    damn I can't get odds on which team will score first on the account i'm currently playing while waiting for the other to cash out.

    somebody bet Hornets first score -125 and enjoy a steak on me
     
  9. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    ^first winner of the thread
     
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  10. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Well, first 4 posted bets were winners bet the Cavs ML loss will be costly. I hedged with Washington +11.5 early, but I’ll still net -1.6u

    I parlayed clippers, lac/gsw over, and Knicks ML. I think I’m going to take a semi-hedge here with GSW
     
  11. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Ended up hedging the parlay with a 1 unit GSW play and took the over live at 231.5 for 2 units. As long as the over holds on it should be a profitable game
     
  12. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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  13. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Whatup playas I am already on them too. I guess it’s time to start deciding what we’re going to do with all this money we win
     
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  14. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    The 76ers have covered every 1Q bet since the new year
     
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  15. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    gsw bricking wide open shots is not tight
     
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  16. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Four quarters my friend. GSW likes to wait til the 3Q to open it up
     
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  17. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    I have a squeeze play going Celtics ML 2u/Knicks +7 1U. Hoping to thread the needle...
     
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  18. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    I think there is some money to be made on this Suns team down the stretch
     
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  19. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    i Love u
     
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  20. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Hit a squeeze play suns +7 Portland +3.5 (live) but missed over 210.5 by 0.5. And lillard definitely got fouled on that finish, bullshit. 2-1 ain’t bad for the game though

    Just took lakers ML -125 live line for 2U because what the hell its Saturday night ya know
     
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  21. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    So much winning ITT
     
  22. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Detroooooooit Basketbaaaaaaall
     
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  23. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    you’re betting against our buzz?
     
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  24. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Currently rocking my “grant hill: the new motor city madman” tee
     
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  25. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Just looked back at the schedules and I took Detroit opening night and Charlotte on MLK Day. Looking to sweep the season series today
     
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  26. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Fucked with the hornets, got stung
     
  27. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    don’t ever doubt us again bitcc
     
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  28. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    I may get very lucky and cash a pelicans ticket after they were down like 25.

    I have spurs +6 but just took Cavs ML -150, trying for the squeeze
     
  29. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    no reason to mince words, yesterday was a fucking embarrassment. detroit was literally down 30 at one point, shit like that will throw off your confidence. the cavs ML play also took a beating as well, but I can't say I regret that pick as it did appear that the route was about to be on. to make matters worse, I think I jinxed the 76ers as they missed a layup and a tip-back and lost their first 1Q of 2018.

    tonight we bounce back

    Nets ML -150
    Hawks +2
     
  30. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    how much are you betting a week, sam
     
  31. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    a good bit; I've been a heavy gambler since my early teens. i was a bookie in college so I'm used to having constant action. thankfully, I'm generally good at picking winners and have made considerably more than I've lost.

    fun fact: i considered attempting a pro poker career before attending law school.
     
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  32. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    i am a terrible gambler and end up negative most weeks but its never more than $20 or $30 so no big deal. i just enjoy the action win or lose

    was up $13 this past week so feeling good and excited to see that venmo payout :cool:
     
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  33. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    that is a good thing, keep it that way. unfortunately i don't have the ability to watch sports without viewing it through a gambler's lens.

    here is a fun podcast:

    https://www.bettheboardpodcast.com/
     
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  34. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    the nets line has run 1.5 points since it opened which makes me feel really good about that play. Chicago needs that L way more than Brooklyn does.

    the jazz (+2.5 at home vs Houston) would be such a sharp-but-scary play tonight with the rockets coming off a tightly contested contest last night and traveling. plus the jazz have the secret weapon joey motherfucking ingles...if I am plus-money when that game tips I think I will try to double down on the Jazz. If I am down or even i'll probably stay away or look for a live-line entry point.
     
  35. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    This isn't my rationale but I'll be tailing: Valanciunas total points+rebounds. He should be looking at extended minutes tonight as they can't really afford to play Ibaka at the five against Drummond.

    Player props usually come out around 3 pm

    TODAY'S PLAYS:

    ATL +2 -110
    Brooklyn ML -150 (kind of big)
    Suns +8 -115
    Jazz +3 -120 (wait-and-see/option play)
     
    #35 sam shakusky, Feb 26, 2018
    Last edited: Feb 26, 2018
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  36. The Hebrew Husker

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    I sub to their pod on iTunes but they haven’t updated since January? Do you normally listen through their site then?
     
  37. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    The super bowl one was the last one I believe. They’re weekly during football season and then just sort of randomly pop up from there.

    He is also a regular guest on The Roundtable on WJOX in Bham on Wednesday’s around 11:15 AM.

    http://www.joxfm.com/listenlive/
     
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  38. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    I’ve got three bills on Rockets to win NBA Finals +850 and I’m trying to decide whether to hedge it. Any thoughts?

    Could take the Warriors to win the West -255, but that seems like it would give most of the value away.
     
  39. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Over 85% of the public money is on LA but the line isn't budging...Hawks are not the fun play, but they are the sharp play tonight. I am not sure what Vegas sees in them, as they are in full-scale tank mode and the Lakers are actually trying to win games, but I am going to ride with the guys in the desert. Also just found out that the Hawks cut my man Ilyasova :(

    56% of public money on Chicago yet the line has gone from Nets -3 to Nets -5, ML opened up -140 and ran to -210. Vegas loves Brooklyn here...Chicago needs to lose this game much worse than Brooklyn does.

     
  40. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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  41. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    It was a tough day to be betting dogs. Took a pretty miserable beat with the Suns (+8) who were down 2 with 2 to go and ended up losing by 9.

    Thankfully I am up right now so I got kind of irresponsible and put $550 on Minnesota 2H and turned a shitty night into a positive.

    Looking forward to a big Tuesday night!

    Sorry for the shit picks.

    FD70742B-214F-49C4-BA3E-9D4A8A01D202.png
     
  42. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    sam shakusky what are we thinking about miami -3? kinda like it myself
     
  43. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Tobias I think the line is around -5, and I don't know if I would be comfortable laying 3/2 to buy them to -3. I could see the Heat struggling with the Lakers' size and length. I like this Lakers roster, but I try to avoid backing a young team who had the night off in Miami the night before the game.

    I will probably stay away from that game. To be honest I really don't like anything on tonight's slate very much as of right now. I want to like Philly but I don't think I'm quite there yet.
     
  44. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    cavs are -3 (-105) on my book
     
  45. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    the cavs are atrocious at home against +.500 teams, i think they've won like 2 games by more than three points. if the public stays heavy on the cavs (they will) and the line doesn't move i would probably take Philly which would seem to be the sharp play. honestly, though, all four games on tonight's slate seem to be toss-ups to me; i have yet to find an angle i am confident in.

    i told my brother i would go to the marshall vs uab game with him so i will be backing the uab blazers 1H ML -160. go blazers.
     
  46. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    devine and i are coming off a 4-1 cbb night and leaning towards wisky +3 at noon vs maryland if you wanna hop on the money train with us
     
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  47. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    nice pick boys! wire to wire.

    I missed tip and ended up taking Manchester City -135 as my matinee play. They are currently tearing Arsenal a new asshole.

    Any thoughts on NC State vs Ga Tech tonight? I don't follow ACC basketball but the line movement screams "hammer GT +3."
     
  48. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    Lakers +6 -125
    Philly +3.5 -120
    Phi/Cle Under 224 -110
    Allen Crabbe over 14 points

    All relatively small bets, I can't say I am in love with any of these.
     
  49. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    leaning towards cavs -2.5 rn
    state -2 seems too good to be true but i may just roll with it
    ditto for uva -4
     
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  50. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky Well-Known Member
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    UAB blew a 10 pt lead but hit a late shot to cover. Lots of drama. Headed home to watch NBA now

    May bet Sacramento tonight