NFL/NCAAF Picks (52-40-2)

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by Diesel51, Nov 11, 2011.

  1. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    I'm gonna start posting my picks for the hell of it. This is only my second week getting into this, had some beginners luck last week and went 5-1.

    NFL:
    Steelers -3
    Jags -3
    Houston -3
    Baltimore -6.5
    49ers -3.5
    Pats +2
    Also a parlay of Jags/Ravens/49ers/Pats

    NCAA:
    Boise/TCU over 58
    Oregon/Stanford over 67.5
    Stanford -3.5
    Penn State +3
    USC -11.5
    USF -3

    All lines from Bookmaker, we'll see how it goes this week.
     
  2. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Just to add to it, hit the over on Houston/Tulane last night, lost the over on Raiders/Chargers last night so 1-1 so far this week.
     
  3. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Went 11-3-1 on the week. Added a bet on the Titans +160.

    Too bad the Ravens screwed me out of my parlay and were my biggest play of the week. Currently have a parlay open of Pats +3, Pats/Jets over 47.5, Green Bay -13, GB/Minnesota over 50. We'll see if that hits.
     
  4. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Ball State/No. Ill over 72
     
  5. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Western Michigan @ Miami Ohio over 60
     
  6. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Alright, finalized my picks today. 1-2 on the week so far.

    College:
    Wisconsin -14 (L)
    Michigan -3 (W)
    Boise State -16.5 (W)
    USC +14.5 (W)
    K State +9 (W)
    SMU Houston over 75 (L)
    Cal Stanford over 55.5 (W)
    Va Tech -10.5 (L)

    NFL:
    Tennessee Atlanta over 44
    Seattle St. Louis over 37.5 (very small bet, just wanted to put something on it cause the number's so low)
    San Francisco -9.5
    Detroit -7
    Dallas -7.5
    Buffalo +2.5
    New England -14.5
     
  7. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

  8. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Adding ND first half -14 (L)
     
  9. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    Good job so far keep it up Diesel
     
  10. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Thanks man.

    Thanksgiving picks:

    Im not picking any of the games on the spread or money line for my straight bets, just going with the over/unders. They are the best bets for these games in my opinion.

    I like Detroit/GB over 56, Dallas/Miami over 44, and SF/Baltimore under 38.5.

    Also, I'm messin around with some small money thanksgiving parlays.

    One of GB -255, Dallas -305, San Fran +155, and Detroit/GB over 56. ($15 to win $119.99).

    Second parlay is GB -6, Detroit/GB over 56, Miami/Dallas over 44, Dallas -7, and SF/Baltimore under 38.5. ($15 to win $365.39).

    Doubt the parlays will hit, but it's Thanksgiving and it'll be fun to watch. Good luck to everyone this week!
     
  11. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Terrrrrible week so far.

    Lost today on Houston over 75, Arkansas plus 12.5. Hit on Houston -3. Yesterday the Thanksgiving games killed me.

    Anyway, here's tomorrow's picks:

    Clemson +150
    Baylor -12.5
    Penn State +14.5
    Auburn +21.5
     
  12. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    NFL Card:

    Houston -3...Jumped on this one big early in the week, line has since moved to 6.5. Really need this one to bounce back.
    Jets -9.5
    Carolina -3
    Cincinnati -6.5
    New England -3
    Giants +7.5
    Denver/SD under 41.5
     
  13. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
    Donor

    This week a number of the NFL games should hit under the lines, possible overadjustment after last weekend's games. Especially the early games. If that Denver/SD line moves down more, it might be worth it to play the over. SD has looked like hot garbage all season and so has Denver, but something about it feels like it could be a high scoring game...now watch it turn into a 6-5 slugfest.
     
  14. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Adding the over on tonight's game
     
  15. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    I'm playing the under on Broncos games until I am proven otherwise. Tebow's offense kills the clock, their defense is playing lights out, just an all around recipe for low scoring games thus far.
     
  16. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
    Donor

    Definitely can't blame that, could possibly do the same with the Bears depending on who and where they play. Took the over on the MNF game once I saw Bradshaw was out again. Probably wouldn't have made a difference since he doesn't play in the secondary.
     
  17. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    NCAA Picks:
    USF +2.5 *
    LSU -13.5 ***
    Wisconsin -9.5 ***
    Baylor -2.5 **
    K State -10.5 *
    Houston -13 *
    OU/Ok St. over 74 **
    No Ill/Ohio over 70 *
     
  18. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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  19. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Small slate of NFL picks today. Mostly playing some BS parlays to try and make some money back, terrible strategy but I got killed yesterday.

    Here are my straight picks tho:
    Baltimore -6.5
    Tennessee +115
    Green Bay -6
    49ers -13.5

    Also threw in a small amount on one of those fantasy points H2H plays, Megatron -2 vs. Colston
     
  20. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
    Donor

    welp, green bay was a tough beat. had them at -6.5, almost thought they'd go for the TD.

    in hindsight i wish i'd made some play on a few of the earlier games today. for some reason saw that Denver was down with 4 minutes left and felt like they'd win anyway.
     
  21. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Yeah, that was a tough game to pick. Just when you start thinking the Giants are done they always pull out a few good games. They just love being the underdog. I try to avoid picking games against/for them simply because they are so erratic.

    I think I'm gonna start wagering more money on only a few games, as opposed to spreading my money around on games I'm less confident on. It seems to kill me. Ended up going 3-1 today on games that I just felt very confidently about as opposed to yesterday pointlessly using/losing money on so many college games.
     
  22. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Chargers -3**
     
  23. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Week 14:

    Atlanta -3***
    Atlanta/Carolina U48*
    San Fran -4**
    San Fran/Arizona U40*
    Baltimore -16**
    Denver -3.5*
    Denver/Chicago U35.5**
     
  24. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    And, small $10 ML parlay of Houston +120, Philly +145, NYG +160 to win $130.14

    And a small $15 parlay of 49ers -4, 49ers/Arizona U40, Denver -3.5, Denver/Chicago U35.5 to win $184.25
     
  25. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Great start to bowl season:

    Had Temple -7, and a teaser of Ohio +6, ULL +11.5, and FIU +2

    NFL tomorrow:

    Green Bay -13.5**
    Jets +3*
    Denver +7*
    Tennessee -6.5**
    Seattle +3.5**

    Teaser:
    Titans -.5
    Saints -.5
    Bengals -.5

    Parlay:
    Redskins +6.5
    Titans -6.5
    Seattle +3.5
    Packers -13.5

    Green Bay -13.5
    Jets +3
    Titans -6.5

    Small underdog ML parlay $13 to win $254.41:
    Carolina +240
    Seattle +175
    NYJ +120
     
  26. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    yikes
     
  27. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Tell me about it man. I got absolutely murdered today. Took out a good chunk of my winnings for the year. Hoping bowl season makes up for it. This just sucks
     
  28. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Definitely shouldn't put all my faith in two picks, Tennessee and green bay alone killed me
     
  29. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    Yeah...sorry to hear about that. Here is to bowl games this week.
     
  30. CocknBalls

    CocknBalls SCAR Tissue
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    What are your picks for Cincinnati/Houston?
     
  31. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    I did a 6 pt teaser and teased the spread to Houston +2 and over 31.

    Didn't even want to pick this game to be honest, but if I had to pick I'd take Houston and the under.
     
  32. Diesel51

    Diesel51 Active Member
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    Well now that it moved to 4.5 I might take Cinci. I don't know man, I'm not touching this game straight up, so don't put a lot of stock in what I say.