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Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by goose, Nov 4, 2015.
Consensus 5-10 I believe
Week 1: 0-5
Week 2: 3-2
Week 3: 2-3
Nevermind. You got it.
If zona wins tonight I'll call this a mild success for the weekend
Week Four consensus:
Lol well fuck me
Lol at me even thinking about going in on the Fucking Browns...
Damn. Consensus did well.
Six contestants 80+% right now.
Debating when to start tailing someone.
I think my fading days are done after yesterday...
I meant like who do you tail if there's six guys. The first year RoundingAgain emerged #1 and we just rolled with his picks.
Tailing or fading today?
I think I'm going to tail Schematic Advantage. I faded Detroit, though.
Haven't looked yet, thinking of seeing if the top few agree on some and following.
Let’s do it
This is what I have for the early games, took some chances but fuck it have to recover from yesterday
Marriotta out and the team that loses in London is like 80% a winner after that week. Cmon smoking joe
Tailing Schematic Advantage was a disadvantage for my bank account. He went 2-3. Broke even by fading the top consensus pick.
Last year the same stuff happened, it seemed like there'd be a new guy in first weekly, because the prior leader would go like 2-3.
Unlike the first year we did this and rounding seemed to go 4-1 or 5-0 the final six weeks.
Of course I don't fade the consensus it went 4-1.
Top four guys in the standings
1 JACQUES TUZ PHI NYJ DET GB JAC 20-6 76.9%
2 CUBBIES79 PHI CLE MIN SF LAR 20-6 76.9%
3 CALI CAPPERS SF TB PIT LAC IND 20-5 80%
4 SEOUL CYCLE GB LAR PIT DEN IND 19-5-1 79.2%
PIT GB DET DEN LAR are top 5 consensus
I took KC -3', Min +3, NO -5, NYG +12, and JAX -1'
Hate when the consensus matches some of the top guys plays.
1:00pm NFL Football 252 Houston Texans -7½ -125* vs Cleveland Browns 1:00pm
1:00NFL Football 253 New England Patriots/New York Jets Over 47½ -110*
1:00pm NFL Football 255 Miami Dolphins +15½ -155* vs Atlanta Falcons
1:00pm NFL Football 257 Detroit Lions +180* vs New Orleans Saints
1:00pm NFL Football 259 Green Bay Packers -3 -115* vs Minnesota Vikings
1:00pm NFL Football 261 Chicago Bears +220* vs Baltimore Ravens
1:00pm NFL Football 263 San Francisco 49ers/Washington Redskins Over 45½ -110*
Hate when I am dead before halftime for the 1PM slate.
yeah but i will take 4-2 all day long
Leader now 24-6, with two 23-6-1 behind him, then a few 23-7.
Last week I tried to take some popular picks among the top guys ended up with:
Not sure the record, but this week's consensus. 5th and 6th picks had the same % of picks so I included it
1. CIN (+5.5) 810 29.5%
2. GB (+5.5) 803 29.5%
3. CAR (-3) 750 27.5%
4. DEN (+1.5) 729 26.5%
5. SF (+6.5) 687 25%
6. WAS (+5) 681 25%
Top 4 contestants, lots of consensus picks in here:
1 TUNNEL VISION CLE CIN GB DEN WAS 24-6 80% 24
2 SL2 ATX CAR GB NYG DEN ATL 23-6-1 79.3% 23.5
3 PONYTAIL DAVE CIN MIN GB ARI ATL 23-6-1 79.3% 23.5
4 TIMOTHY BILLOW CIN MIN DEN ATL WAS 23-7 76.7% 23
Week by week breakdown of the top guys:
Tunnel Vision has gone 4-1, 4-1, 4-1, 4-1, 3-2, 5-0
SL2 has gone: 2-2-1, 4-1, 5-0, 4-1, 3-2, 5-0
Dave: 2-3, 4-1, 4-1, 5-1, 3-1-1, 5-0
Billow: 2-3, 4-1, 5-0, 5-0, 3-2, 4-1
For whatever reason, I think I’m going with Timothy Billow’s picks this week. Cincy, Min, Den, ATL, Wash
Did the same for normal bets. Did throw some small ones on CLE and GB just more for insurance reasons
8 Team Parlay
Pending 10/22/17 1:00pm NFL Football 452 Cleveland Browns +7½ -160* vs Tennessee Titans
Pending 10/22/17 4:25pm NFL Football 455 Cincinnati Bengals +7½ -190* vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Pending 10/22/17 1:00pm NFL Football 458 Minnesota Vikings -200* vs Baltimore Ravens
Pending 10/22/17 1:00pm NFL Football 466 Green Bay Packers +4½ -125* vs New Orleans Saints
Pending 10/22/17 4:05pm NFL Football 469 Dallas Cowboys -275* vs San Francisco 49ers
Pending 10/22/17 4:25pm NFL Football 473 Denver Broncos -128* vs Los Angeles Chargers
Pending 10/22/17 8:30pm NFL Football 475 Atlanta Falcons +7½ -240* vs New England Patriots
Pending 10/23/17 8:30pm NFL Football 477 Washington Redskins +4½ -110* vs Philadelphia Eagles
Thanks to the last minute TD in BAL/MIN, I won a 4 game parlay
I only had $3.16 left on my account, so I bet it all. Won about $39, NBD
Top 5 consensus 0-5?
12-23 YTD I think
Top guys sucked ass too. Gonna be in Vegas next week was hoping someone would have emerged by now
Anyone else fading Washington tonight?
I locked WAS yesterday but might come back and take PHI. Undecided. Yesterday sucked.
Can't wait to fade the consensus and go 0-5 this week
I wouldn’t fade it after this week. I’m not.
You think it will bounce back?
only needed to win 3/6 in NFL to win a 3 week carryover for weekly prize in office football pool. went 2-4 after going 7-0 in college to set me up for $$$$
basically just had to go 50% on Sunday to win ~$600
Actually forgot to make my picks until 5pm Saturday afternoon. Woke up and didn't even remember who I had picked
I think the top 10 will be better than .500.
12-28 YTD I believe for top 5
CAR (+2) 844 31%
NO (-9) 801 29.5%
SEA (-5.5) 797 29.5%
ATL (-4.5) 766 28%
LAC (+7) 746 27.5%
6. DAL (-2) 745 27.5%
Y’all picked someone out we’re tailing this year?
I’m taking Tunnel Vision’s picks today. Carolina, San Fran, Chargers, Dallas, and Detroit