Preseason is nice because there are some obvious angles out there depending on the team's situation. Head coaching philosophy is key, gotta pay attention to coaches' preseason history ATS on a week-by-week basis
Unders as a whole normally win more often than not in my personal experiences. random players out there at all times and it's just easier to play defense without the normal 1s than offense
Redskins/Bills Over 34.5 New England Patriots -3 Pittsburgh Steelers +1 Ravens/Falcons Under 34.5 Packers/Chargers Over 37
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 Buccaneers/Dolphins Over 33 New York Jets +1 Arizona Cardinals +2.5 Vikings/49ers Under 34
Looks like I was dead wrong on the line movement. Probably due to the fact the Raider's HC went on record as wanting to win tonight. That's not usually the attitude in the preseason.
We've got some pretty solid reverse line movement on the Browns vs. GB tonight. Opened: GB -4x; 73% of public on the Packers; line currently at GB -3. Cleveland +3 is the bet. edit: 17 packers missed practice Tuesday; Both CB will not play. That's part of the line movement, but the 1's don't play much anyhow.
Couldnt buy luck in that game. A 50 yard TD for Cincy, Atlanta twice inside the 5 on first down and settle for 2 Field Goals. Then at the end of half there was a personal foul against Cincy which I thought would make it a 52 yard FG attempt to end the half, since it was a dead ball foul it carries to the 2nd half.
Any lines you guys like tonight? I'm probably going to be on Vikings -2x. That line looks off to me (and the public). Which makes me think Vikings are the bet. Public is on Buffalo (64%).
Here are some records and trends for the games Tennessee @ Tampa Bay Munchak: 3-2 ATS Overall, 0-1 ATS This Year; 2-3 O/U Overal 1-0 This Year Schiano: 1-0 ATS 0-1 O/U Titans: 22-13 ATS as an Underdog Bucs: 22-23 ATS as a Favorite Titans: 13-1 Road Underdogs vs. Opponent off Straight Up ATS win
Miami @ Carolina Philbin: 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U Rivera: 1-4 ATS Overall, 0-1 ATS This Year; 3-2 O/U Overall, 1-0 O/U This Year Miami: 27-16 as an Underdog Carolina: 12-18 as a Favorite Miami: 1-5 away vs opponent off Straight Up favorite loss Carolina: 1-8 vs opponent off Straight Up favorite loss; 2-11 ATS in last 13 games; 0-5 ATS in last 5 Week 2 games
Detroit @ Baltimore Schwartz: 9-4 ATS Overall, 0-1 ATS this year; 6-6-1 O/U Overall, 0-0-1 O/U this year Harbaugh: 10-7 ATS Overall, 1-0 ATS this year; 6-11 O/U Overall, 1-0 O/U this year Detroit: 22-25 as an Underdog Baltimore: 23-24 as a Favorite Detroit: 7-1 last 8 games ATS under Schwartz
Buffalo @ Minnesota Gailey: 6-13 ATS Overall, 1-0 ATS this year; 12-7 O/U Overall, 0-1 O/U this year Frazier: 5-4 ATS Overall, 0-1 ATS this year; 3-6 O/U Overall, 0-1 O/U this year Buffalo: 30-27 as an Underdog Minnesota: 27-21 as a Favorite Buffalo: 0-4 away under Chan Gailey Minnesota: 8-1 favorites in last 9 as Favorites, 6-1 at home when < .500, 2-0 off SUATS loss under Frazier
Jacksonville @ New Orleans Murlarkey: 5-4 ATS Overall, 0-1 ATS this year; 3-6 O/U Overall, 1-0 O/U this year Vitt: 2-0 ATS, 0-2 O/U Jacksonville: 18-9 as an Underdog New Orleans: 18-25 as a Favorite
Oakland @ Arizona Allen: 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U Wisenhunt: 8-13-1 ATS Overall, 0-2 ATS this year; 11-11 O/U Overall, 1-1 O/U this year Oakland: 23-22 as an Underdog Arizona: 19-15 as a Favorite Arizona: 2-6 as Favorites under Wisenhunt
New York Giants @ New York Jets (-1) Coughlin: 33-29-4 ATS Overall, 1-0 ATS this Year; 42-24 O/U Overall, 1-0 O/U this Year Ryan: 7-6 ATS Overall, 0-1 ATS this Year; 8-4-1 O/U Overall, 0-1 O/U this Year Giants: 19-24 as Underdogs Jets: 20-15 as Favorites; 5-0 off Straight Up loss under Rex Ryan; 10-2 ATS in Week 2 Kansas City (-1) @ St. Louis Crennel: 10-7 ATS Overall, 1-0 ATS this Year; 7-10 O/U Overall, 1-0 O/U this Year Fisher: 32-30 ATS Overall; 0-1 ATS this Year; 34-27-1 O/U Overall, 1-0 O/U this Year Kansas City: 16-29 as Favorites; 2-14 ATS in last 16 games; 0-9 ATS in Week 2 St. Louis: 21-29 as Underdogs; 5-1 ATS after allowing >35 points; 1-6 ATS in Week 2 Washington @ Chicago (-1) Shanahan: 42-33-2 ATS Overall, 0-1 ATS this Year; 48-29 O/U Overall, 0-1 O/U this Year Smith: 15-18-1 ATS Overall, 0-1 ATS this Year, 17-17 O/U Overall, 0-1 O/U this Year Washington: 18-23 as Underdogs Chicago: 16-25 as Favorites; 0-4 Home off Straight Up favorite loss San Francisco @ Houston (-3) Harbaugh: 3-2 ATS Overall, 1-0 ATS this Year; 1-4 O/U Overall, 0-1 O/U this Year Kubiak: 14-9-2 ATS Overall, 1-0 ATS this Year; 18-7 O/U Overall, 1-0 O/U this Year San Francisco: 21-17 as Underdogs Houston: 4-9 as Favorites; 1-9 Favorites if favored by 3 or less Seattle @ Denver (-1) Carroll: 16-9-1 ATS Overall, 1-0 ATS this Year; 14-12 O/U Overall, 1-0 O/U this Year Fox: 19-21-1 ATS Overall, 1-0 ATS this Year; 20-20-1 O/U Overall, 0-1 O/U this Year Seattle: 31-19 as Underdogs Denver: 33-26 as Favorites Dallas @ San Diego (-3) Garrett: 2-3 ATS Overall, 1-0 ATS this Year; 2-3 O/U Overall, 0-1 O/U this Year Turner: 25-26-6 ATS Overall, 1-0 ATS this Year; 36-21 O/U Overall, 0-1 O/U this Year Dallas: 21-23 as Underdogs San Diego: 22-17 as Favorites; 0-4 Under in Week 2
Philly 1st Half tonight. Reid saying the starters will be in until the 3rd quarter. Pats playing 3 preseason games in 10 days. Doubt Bellichik runs them ragged
Yeah, everyone is all over Philly. The line has moved 5x pts. I'm taking the under 41 and will take NE +3