NFL Week 4

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by slhorn, Sep 25, 2012.

  1. The Hebrew Husker

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    Alright, so can you explain this to me like I am 7 years old.

    Lets say we have these two situations:

    Pats +3 (Bovada) and Pats +4 (Pinnacle)
    Pats +4 (Bovada) and Pats +3 (Pinnacle)


    What are the plays?
     
  2. The Hebrew Husker

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    Noon games:

    Jets+3.5
    Pats -3.5
    ATL -7
    STL +2.5
     
  3. Line 4 Guy

    Line 4 Guy Well-Known Member
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    My big play is SD/KC > 43.
     
  4. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    You're just confusing yourself with that post. just using 3/4 here for an example but the spread can be 3/4/7/10 whatever

    Pinnacle: Team A is -3 Over Team B
    Bovada: Team A is -4 over Team B

    Take Team B

    all there is too it
     
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  5. texasraider

    texasraider thanks
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    MONSTER DAY up 17 units
     
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  6. Line 4 Guy

    Line 4 Guy Well-Known Member
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    :like:
     
  7. The Hebrew Husker

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    Congrats man
     
  8. Blue Circle

    Blue Circle Creepin

    I went 7-6 on the weekend but 2 biggest plays lost. Anyone have a good play for tonight? Really want to get back to even heading into next week.
     
  9. The Hebrew Husker

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    As of now I am feeling the Eagles.
     
  10. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Definitely Eagles or nothing.
     
  11. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    I might just stop betting College. I've been killing it in the nfl.

    Had Patriots and the 9ers who both covered easily. For a unit apiece. Then had both those picks plus the under for the 9ers and the over for the pats for 1/2 unit to pay out 5. It hit.

    Now I have the over the packers and saints at 54 and that's looking really good.
     
  12. GuyOnA_Buffalo

    GuyOnA_Buffalo Orphans, Cougars & What Not
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    The jets covered?
     
  13. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    Sorry meant 9ers. Editing now.
     
  14. Rowdy Burns

    Rowdy Burns War Eagle Baby!

    Missed my tease play but hit the other two easily. If the saints hold on to cover then I'm making a big play on the eagles. Also hit a small bet on Dufner in the Ryder cup. Good day so far after a few drunk bets got me yesterday.
     
  15. GuyOnA_Buffalo

    GuyOnA_Buffalo Orphans, Cougars & What Not
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    Giants/Eagles u46x
     
  16. jaygabriel

    jaygabriel Well-Known Member
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    Pats and Bengals put me at 10-2-1 for the weekend.

    Anyone explain the Eagles love for tonight? Really, really want to go with Giants +2.5.
     
  17. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    As do I. I also think the under the play here tonight more tho.
     
  18. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    $25 under the payout # if the saints hold on and cover 7.5. Aka right back where I started the week. Will probably make a small parlay on tonights game or parlay something tonight with something tomorrow just for action. Not chancing going over the # though if I don't have to.

    opinions on sides/totals of SNF+MNF encouraged. initial leans are eagles, over, cowboys, over
     
  19. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    I'm the complete opposite. Having a really good college season, but I'm terrible at capping NFL games.
     
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  20. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    We should work together imo.
     
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  21. texasraider

    texasraider thanks
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    Fat Jack is 3-0 again. 10-1 in NFL last two weeks.

    He has the Eagles tonight.
     
  22. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    I have the under and the giants.
     
  23. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    sooooo Reverse Pinny/Bovada. Pinny -2 and Bovada -1 tonight

    mean anything?
     
  24. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    well I took an absolute fucking bath this week.
     
  25. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    nah, the numbers between 0 and 3 are usually pretty fluid
     
  26. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    I'm going to roll with you on the under. Liked the Eagles, but that line has dropped like a rock in the last hour at Cris and Pinny. Spooked me.
     
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  27. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Parlayed the Eagles -120 and Under 46.5 for the minimum bet of $10:welpseeyalater:

    if it loses I would have lost $10 this week and will start over fresh next week.
     
  28. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    took 2h o21 I gotta get something tonight.
     
  29. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    Wow it's been a helluva day. won 2.75 more units there. Over 10 units for the day. That'll do.
     
  30. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Had the Browns, Panthers, U/PhiNYG, and Denver O2H this week.

    4-0 in NFL? I guess a blind squirrel... :idk:
     
  31. Rowdy Burns

    Rowdy Burns War Eagle Baby!

    Best day of the year today. Went 5-1 and the only loss was the teaser, which I missed one game by 2 points. Leaning towards the Cowboys or the over tomorrow night
     
  32. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    sounds like everyone had a profitable day yesterday pretty much. mine would have been better had Tampa held on for that ML parlay I had with them, but a $100 day in NFL is great IMO

    what do we like tonight? CBoys? Under?

    public heavy on the over, line has gone from 45 to 41.5 (read this don't have a link to back it up so correct me if it's wrong)
     
  33. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    What's the play tonight boys? King_Of_Expo_Park GuyOnA_Buffalo

    I was leaning Bears and the under.

    #Cowboys are 7-12-1 ATS as 4-point or less favorites

    Last 24 #Cowboys games, favorite has covered 4 times; underdog has covered 20 times (83%!)
     
  34. Line 4 Guy

    Line 4 Guy Well-Known Member
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    *CHICAGO is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) vs. good passing defenses - allowing 175 or less passing yards/game since 1992.**The average score was CHICAGO 11.7, OPPONENT 22.4**
    *
    *Smith is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of CHICAGO.**The average score was CHICAGO 14.9, OPPONENT 25.1*
     
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  35. Line 4 Guy

    Line 4 Guy Well-Known Member
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    I'm just putting a small wager on the under.
     
  36. GuyOnA_Buffalo

    GuyOnA_Buffalo Orphans, Cougars & What Not
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    Chi +3

    Not a big trend guy, but MNF trends can be pretty telling.

    Bears are 8-3 ATS past 11 MNF road games
    Cowboys 1-6 ATS past 7 on MNF
     
  37. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    On bears and over.
     
  38. comrade static

    comrade static i love french fries
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    it sure does make me nervous betting with cutler. you never know what you are going to get with him.
     
  39. GuyOnA_Buffalo

    GuyOnA_Buffalo Orphans, Cougars & What Not
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    Very true. He and Romo both.
     
  40. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    I played the Boys and the over. I think Dallas gets enough pressure on Cutler to cause some turnovers and set Dallas up on some short field possessions.
     
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  41. texasraider

    texasraider thanks
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    Fat Jack likes the Bears so I like the Bears
     
  42. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    I played this as well.
     
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  43. GuyOnA_Buffalo

    GuyOnA_Buffalo Orphans, Cougars & What Not
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    what the fuck is Gruden talking about? Josie Wales vs. John Wayne?
     
  44. Line 4 Guy

    Line 4 Guy Well-Known Member
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    I was gonna only play the under but also threw some on a prop bet. Cutler throws a pick before a td for even money.
     
  45. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    parlayed dallas -165 / under 41.5. baby bet
     
  46. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    haha he's such a dork
     
  47. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Rolled with you on this.

    And I <3 Gruden. Could listen to him talk X's and O's all day.
     
  48. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Can anyone explain to me why Dallas doesn't run 4-wide from the shotgun all game?
     
  49. GuyOnA_Buffalo

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    Bears aren't playing prevent all game like they were there.