You’re a good dude man. I was in a bad place when I was giving you shit. You’re one of the best in this thread. Keep it up friend.
I’m part of a huge event. The owners of Teelings are coming in for our tailgate so it’s gonna be huge. Got like 4 parking passes.
It was so predictable, I went on the espn app and there is an article from heather dinich, she put out a top 12 with a&m number 6 saying that their loss to nd looks better and better but then she doesn’t have nd in her top 12…great logic.
Honestly, that’s not even a bad thing even though I am philosophically opposed to it. A&M being ranked high does more for our resume than anything we can do ourselves. And if/when A&M loses again, I’d rather they fall from #6 than #11.
The committee is always much more rationale and looking to make money. If there is any way to have a home game in south bend for the first ever round of playoff games they will make it happen.
Texas A&M winning out and winning the SEC is actually the best thing for us, so I have no issue with a highly ranked A&M. And if they lose, we jump them immediately. They’re not a concern whatsoever.
Assuming we win out, there are two ACC teams ahead of us. If Miami wins that conference, we jump Clemson. If Clemson wins it, I think we probably jump a 1 loss Miami too as long as we beat up on FSU. Miami’s resume won’t be very impressive. Wouldn’t shock me if the SEC and B1G champ game losers remain above us but really depends. So I think we’re looking at a 7 seed - at worst - if we win out and don’t do it in an ugly fashion.
I am curious how much they will punish the losers of conference championship games. I tend to think it won’t be very much, which would hurt ND if the ACC and Big 12 top teams can dodge upsets the rest of the way.
I think the one thing we really need to root for are favorites to win the conference championship games. If the top 5 type teams win their conferences, the losers will fall and we won’t get jumped. Best case scenario for us.
Miami's season makes me feel like the joker: -Cal had a 96+% win probability between mid 3rd and mid 4th quarter and let the game get away -Probably should have lost to Va Tech; VT had higher win probability whole 2nd half until 3 mins left (VT probably got screwed on final play) -Somehow not playing the 3 other best teams in the ACC (Clemson, Pitt, SMU) -Only 1 of 4 non-conference games is a +.500 FBS team - 4-3 Florida They're going to waltz to an undefeated record despite having 2-3 games they could have easily lost and probably lose to Clemson in the ACC title game then still end up ~6 overall ahead of us at 12-1. I think my favorite scenario, though, would be SMU beating Pitt, Pitt beating Clemson, and just rooting for Miami to beat whoever gets the tie breaker to confirm ACC gets one
Army 47 FSU 69 Virginia 73 Army up to 21 in Coaches and has two winnable games Set up very well for us
Breaking it down a bit further… Seeds 1 thru 4, in no particular order… - SEC Champ - B1G Champ - ACC Champ - Big 12 Champ Then you have different types of teams beyond that… - Conference championship game losers - 1 loss P4 teams that didn’t make their conference championship game Of those two groups of teams, I only really foresee the loser of the SEC and B1G to get the benefit of the doubt. And there’s a good chance those losers are two loss teams anyway. We have to root for that scenario. Then you have 1 loss teams who didn’t make their championship game. I don’t see too many of those teams existing in the first place. Long story short, unless we randomly start getting jumped by 2 loss teams, I think we’re going to be closer to 5 or 6 than we will 9 or 10. I think the statistical models are even underrating our likelihood of getting a home playoff game. And even they’re more likely than not.
if they run the table 7/8 seed is the floor. And that assumes there are no unforeseen upsets and the SEC/Big10 doesn’t cannibalize themselves
Randomly, seeing a lot of ND hate from Iowa State people in my feed on Twitter lol They probably realize the Big 12 is only getting the winner in. A one point with over 5-3 Iowa is their only above .500 P5 win
If somehow the loser of the Big 12 championship game gets into the playoff, that would be a wonderful matchup. Likely the 11 seed.
12-0 BYU vs 12-0 Iowa State in the championship probably takes away any shot we have at getting in at 10-2, but would mean the route for the 6 seed (my guess is it’s our most likely seed) would potentially be #11 Loser than #3 Winner
I remember the last time Iowa State thought they were in our league. https://www.google.com/search?q=not...#sie=m;/g/11h847wg_q;6;/m/012hfxch;dt;fp;1;;;
Iowa State is having their best start in program history. They're not gonna do any playoff damage. Let them ride the high
My cousin’s girlfriend won $11k today on a TD prop parlay that included Brock Wright. She only bet $10 and bet 5 different TEs would score