Official 2025 CFB Talk Thread: More of a Northern sport

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by Corch, Jan 21, 2025.

  1. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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    Boston Red SoxBaltimore RavensColumbus Blue JacketsTiger Woods

    fan duel dropped all but a handful of BXII win totals
    upload_2025-2-21_8-41-50.png

    upload_2025-2-21_8-42-51.png

    and here's a look at the Top 40 in talent acq 2022-25 and how many of those top 40 teams each has to play (UF plays 10 of their 12 games vs top 40 in TA)
    upload_2025-2-21_8-43-48.png
     
  2. TC

    TC Peter, 53, from Toxteth
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    South Carolina GamecocksCarolina PanthersCarolina Hurricanes

  3. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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    that schedule is so absurd lol
     
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  4. Sir Phobos

    Sir Phobos be a hitter, babe
    Donor TMB OG

    you know at least three of those teams on UF's schedule will end up .500.
     
  5. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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    probably. but 5 or 6 of them will probably win 9+

    it's essentially the same schedule as 2024. and in the 2024 regular season they faced 6 teams who won 9+

    Texas 13-3
    Georgia 11-3
    Tennessee 10-3
    Ole Miss 10-3
    Miami 10-3
    LSU 9-4
     
  6. Tex

    Tex Week 0 Enthusiast
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    Can Texas win a couple more?
     
  7. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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    jake-gyllenhaal-no-way.gif
     
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  8. Tex

    Tex Week 0 Enthusiast
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    CB likes this.
  9. Redav

    Redav mostly cows and rocks
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    Hell yeah kill the spring games. Great idea. It wasn't another thing that made cfb unique and helped pique interests for the coming year in a slow sports time of the year. I love all of this
     
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  10. PSU12

    PSU12 The Grand Experiment
    Penn State Nittany LionsBaltimore OriolesPittsburgh Steelers

    This has gotta be the most anticipated recruit in Nebraska football history. This kind of story makes for message board glory.

     
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  11. PSU12

    PSU12 The Grand Experiment
    Penn State Nittany LionsBaltimore OriolesPittsburgh Steelers

    Where is the bone throwing old guy gif?
     
  12. football501

    football501 I once ate a Twix with the wrapper on it
    TMB OG
    Nebraska CornhuskersKansas City RoyalsEvertonAvengersUnited States Men's National Soccer Team

    ?
    [​IMG]
     
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  13. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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    just screwing around this morning...so how about a mock CFP in late February. Tex will be happy
    upload_2025-2-25_11-14-1.png
     
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  14. 40wwttamgib

    40wwttamgib Fah Q, Ohio
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    this reads another ND vs. OSU final, as the good lord intended :awesomeface:
     
    JC, ButchCassidy and CB like this.
  15. theseasonisover

    theseasonisover Well-Known Member
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    ah well nevertheless
    IMG_3912.jpeg
     
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  16. Celemo

    Celemo Ban the Corner 3
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    Michigan WolverinesPortland Trail BlazersDetroit Tigers

    for the full Nebraska glory, kid would've been from Beaver Crossing or some place like Palmer where they still play 8 man football
     
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  17. Tex

    Tex Week 0 Enthusiast
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    I'm ready to hang the banner
     
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  18. 40wwttamgib

    40wwttamgib Fah Q, Ohio
    Donor

    STOP THE COUNT
     
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  19. Shinzon

    Shinzon °°°°°
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    Florida GatorsChelsea

  20. PSU12

    PSU12 The Grand Experiment
    Penn State Nittany LionsBaltimore OriolesPittsburgh Steelers

  21. 40wwttamgib

    40wwttamgib Fah Q, Ohio
    Donor

    some of those is like burning money. 3.2 million for drew allar? :facepalm:
     
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  22. IvanTheTerrible

    IvanTheTerrible Well-Known Member
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    So many gritty white boys are about to get Oklahoma scholarships.
     
  23. Sir Phobos

    Sir Phobos be a hitter, babe
    Donor TMB OG

    Auburn spending like that to get the results they get is wild.
     
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  24. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    Guys that’s not a comprehensive NIL list
     
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  25. PSU12

    PSU12 The Grand Experiment
    Penn State Nittany LionsBaltimore OriolesPittsburgh Steelers

    Pretty sure it’s just a “valuation” tool and is not accurate really at all
     
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  26. Sir Phobos

    Sir Phobos be a hitter, babe
    Donor TMB OG

    sheeeeeeeeeeeeesh

     
  27. gowolverines8

    gowolverines8 Well-Known Member

    These failed nfl personnel guys are going dupe so much money out of cfb in the next few years
     
    Nole0515, construxboy and PSU12 like this.
  28. Gunners

    Gunners Nicking a living
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    lol at Oregon not being on that
     
  29. Gunners

    Gunners Nicking a living
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    I recognize the top 10 but would be lucky to get 50% of the rest
     
  30. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    We keep our NIL deals quiet



    :unclephil:
     
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  31. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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  32. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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    Boston Red SoxBaltimore RavensColumbus Blue JacketsTiger Woods

    quick ref of the top 50 in the way too early SP+ for 2025
    upload_2025-2-27_10-5-9.png
     
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  33. IvanTheTerrible

    IvanTheTerrible Well-Known Member
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    Sitting at #50
    [​IMG]
     
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  34. Fuzzy Zoeller

    Fuzzy Zoeller College football > NFL
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    SP+ just can't quit Alabama lol
     
    Corch likes this.
  35. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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    still waiting on the official schedule to be finalized, but here's where I have them as of now
    upload_2025-2-27_10-27-31.png
     
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  36. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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    all driven by recruiting at this point
     
  37. IvanTheTerrible

    IvanTheTerrible Well-Known Member
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    Which respect bro
     
    CB likes this.
  38. IvanTheTerrible

    IvanTheTerrible Well-Known Member
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    Low key think Grubbs might set it on fire for them this year.
     
  39. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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    curious if this solidifies Mack at QB and allows DeBoer and Grubbs to run more of what they want (more like Washington 2022-23)
     
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  40. Corch

    Corch Cup o coffee in the big time
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    Interested to see if it was Grubbs genius that made that all go or how much of it was Michael Penix just being really fucking good.
     
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  41. PSU12

    PSU12 The Grand Experiment
    Penn State Nittany LionsBaltimore OriolesPittsburgh Steelers

    Maybe but I wouldn’t have guessed offense or offensive playcalling / design to be their issue last season. It was more so personnel (Milroe) and their defense. No reason to think they will be bad on offense but would like to see Mack throw before I think there is an explosion coming. That Washington team had a shit ton of talent all over.
     
  42. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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    10 best (according to SP+) for each power conference and then their 10 best opponents for 2025
    upload_2025-2-27_12-34-57.png

    upload_2025-2-27_12-35-15.png
     
  43. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
    Donor TMB OG
    Oregon DucksGreen Bay PackersDetroit Red WingsBayern Munich

    Does recruiting include the transfer portal?
     
  44. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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    from Connelly

    I base SP+ projections on three primary factors, weighted by their predictiveness:

    1. Returning production. The returning production numbers are based on rosters I have updated as much as possible to account for transfers and attrition. Combine last year's SP+ ratings and adjustments based on current returning production numbers, and you're pretty far down the projections road. In fact, this factor accounts for more than 60% of the overall projection at this point.

    2. Recent recruiting. This piece informs us of the caliber of a team's potential replacements (and/or new stars) in the lineup. It is determined by both the past few years of recruiting rankings and the quality of incoming transfers, and it accounts for about 14% of the current projection.

    3. Recent history. Using a chunk of information from previous seasons gives us a good measure of overall program health. It stands to reason that a team that has played well for one year is less likely to duplicate that effort than a team that has been good for years on end (and vice versa), right? This factor accounts for a little more than 20% of the projection, and it focuses only on what happened within the past three seasons. I used to use a weighted history stretching back five years, but that's a less effective approach now with the changes in the sport.
     
    The Banks likes this.
  45. Tex

    Tex Week 0 Enthusiast
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    We are all invested in Virginia football. Can we get a breakdown CB
     
  46. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    So does he use 247 or On3 for recruiting/transfer ratings or does he have his own for the 11K FBS players?
     
  47. Gunners

    Gunners Nicking a living
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    Connelly is very good but hasn’t adjusted to portal era well
     
  48. CB

    CB I'm the laziest person you will ever meet
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    Honestly, I have no idea which service he uses

    He works for ESPN, so it's probably their ratings
     
    The Banks likes this.
  49. PSU12

    PSU12 The Grand Experiment
    Penn State Nittany LionsBaltimore OriolesPittsburgh Steelers



    :roll:
    Make it more fair for Alabama!