Official 2025 CFB Talk Thread: The Year of Diego McGloin

Is Arch Manning actually good? Outside of running the ball in the playoff I’ve never seen him play (don’t watch much Texas football)

honest question

 

no one really knows yet. but everyone is trusting the name Manning

he lit up Mississippi St and played ok vs ULM when Quinn was out last year

 

Just for some context, here is what a gentleman named Tucker Gleason of the Toledo Rockets put up against Miss St last year

 

lol seems about right. Clanga's defense was #110 in 2024 based on FEI including 123rd in yards per play

 

Auburn 14 eh

 

there are definitely some odd ones

Va Tech #26
USC #19
Illinois #44
Kansas #30
Mississippi St not dead last in the SEC

 

ayyyyyyeeeee Top 50

 

here's where I'm at the 1st week of June

9 Boise (11-2) @ 8 Penn St (10-2)
12 Michigan (9-3) @ 5 Georgia (10-3)

11 LSU (9-3) @ 6 Ohio St (10-3)
10 Alabama (9-3) @ 7 Kansas St (10-3)

1 Texas (12-1) in Sugar
4 Clemson (11-2) in Orange

3 Notre Dame (11-1) in Cotton
2 Oregon (12-1) in Rose

 

Yawwwwwnnnnn

 

welcome to major college football where much of the sport is predictable year over year

 

Looking at it on paper gave me the courage I needed to skip the season

 

A season w expectations for your team. The worst

 

I feel like you said something similar to me at this time last year

 

Not us, Not down here

 

Last year was a weird year for us. Fell short of making the playoffs which was the hope, but still had a 10 win year. 10 win seasons falling short is a huge step up for Mizzou.

This year is more of a 'see what we got' type year. Defense should be nasty but offense is pretty much brand new. Kind of fun.

 

Preseason expectations for middle tier programs are awful. This whole season will be viewed a failure if we go 10-2, when that is a fantastic year for PSU. I much prefer the expectation of 8 wins and you win 10. Much better fan experience. I’m already disappointed and the season hasn’t started.

 

FPI strength of schedule to start 2025...

 

Our fanbase is full of miserable old turds so you're not wrong, but I'm pretty excited that we appear to legitimately have a shot at a national title. As long as we go 10-2 and make the CFP again I'll consider the season a success; basically a base line Franklin season. Still remains to be seen if he can finally figure out how to beat an Oregon or OSU. If you're disappointed that we don't do that you haven't been paying attention for the past decade. It's just who we are.

 

You will come around to the existential dread once we lose a one score winnable game at home to Oregon in late September

 

Well obviously, that's part of the cycle.

 

coinflip between 11-1 and 10-2 and another CFP berth (and likely home game)

only 1 game as a dog as of today imo

just get in the field, that's all that matters

Spoiler

 

where every loss is a good loss

 

Arch is good for sure but the hype and expectations on him are ridiculous.. and will be hard for him to live up to it especially in his first year starting with basically with a whole new OL as well

 

ESPN doing ESPN things.

 

I really don’t think it’s that outrageous. I don’t think it’s an outlandish take to say the bottom half of the SEC is solidly better than the bottom half of the other 3 conferences. I imagine these numbers are all pretty close from like 10-50

 

I got 12 of 16 SEC teams in the top 20 for my SoS, but not the entire conference. I have Missouri at #39 and Tennessee at #46 SoS

and yes, things are very close. the avg P5 team would project to win:

5.4 to 7.3 games vs SEC schedules (Florida is hardest, Tenn easiest)
5.8 to 8.0 games vs B1G schedules (Wisky is hardest, Illinois easiest)
6.5 to 8.9 games vs ACC schedules (Cuse is hardest, UVA easiest)
7.1 to 8.2 games vs BXII schedules (TCU is hardest, TTech easiest)

and 7.7 games vs ND's schedule

 

Preseason strengths of schedule are bad at best.

 

How do you get your SOS?

 

identify the rating of an average team and then apply it to all schedules and rank the projected wins it spits out

so my SoS is what would the average team's record be vs schedule x? now vs schedule y? etc

so I have a constant across all schedules and it accounts for home/road

 

oh I don't disagree at all

I built this for end of year but it obviously produces preseason ranks too

 

Last year I was bearish on my team's particular results.

This year I'm looking at what playoffs actually look like and going meh.

You are right though, I will probably be on here poor mouthing any given year. It's the smart position for a Gamecock fan

 

I need to get my head in the game though because according to the Sicko Committee Creed, All Football Is Good Football.

 

Don’t know where else to put this

 

Talk about your all time backfires

 

Oh-no

 

I'm prepared to judge an entire metric off one data point because VT at 26 is fucking dumb

 

He already left Michigan, right?

 

they voted for chaos, they got chaos.

but at least they dont have unisex bathrooms.

 

Someone start a thread. Here’s your title

 

Santa officially unemployed

 

BET!

 

That logo is never seen in any context that isn’t disappointing.

 

random summer topic of the day:

the last time the SEC went 3 straight years without winning at least a share of the national title was 1999-2002 (FSU, OU, Miami, OSU)

does the "drought" end in 2025?

SEC: 1998, 2003, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022
ACC: 1999, 2013, 2016, 2018
B1G: 2002, 2014, 2023, 2024
BXII: 2000, 2005
P12: 2003, 2004
Big East: 2001