Official Horse Racing Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by mtsucalico85, Apr 9, 2015.

  1. Gallant Knight

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  2. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
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    god damn. missed that while driving to ocala. want me to buy you a horse with your winnings while I’m here?
     
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  3. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
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    What else are we gonna win on today?
     
  4. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    I feel like anything Irad is on wins right now. Might take a flyer on famished next one.
     
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  5. Gallant Knight

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    I bought one last week at the two year old sale

    trainer and his wife are in love
     
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  6. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    Trying to beat the favorite and going with a 2,3,7 exacta box. And 7 to win.
     
  7. Gallant Knight

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    $10,000 on Tap It To Win
     
  8. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
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    gd. leggo!
     
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  9. JGator1

    JGator1 I'm the Michael Jordan of the industry
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    forgot who I picked in a free Fanduel contest but go whoever!!!!!
     
  10. Gallant Knight

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    Tiz the law a beast
     
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  11. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    absolutely. That was super impressive. Would love to see him vs Charloton and nadal
     
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  12. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Charlatan is good, don't get me wrong, and he's definitely closer to Tiz the Law than he is to any other horse that just ran in the Belmont, but I don't think he's quite on the same tier as Tiz the Law, Honor A.P., or Nadal. At least when we are talking classic distances. Shame that we won't get to see Nadal run against them.

    Very impressive performance from Tiz the Law, but with that said, the best 3YO that ran at Belmont today was Gamine. That was pure destruction.
     
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  13. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    Gamine is nasty
     
  14. Gallant Knight

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    I hope gamine runs in the derby
     
  15. Gallant Knight

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    Big day next Sunday

    05D2B855-37FC-48FF-AC91-6A0FD6570928.jpeg
     
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  16. Gallant Knight

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  17. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
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    how are you feeling about the 8th and 9th?
     
  18. Gallant Knight

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    Wish the 8th was an extra 100 yards but feel good

    feel confident about hitting the board in the 9th. Could win. The two favorites freaked on a wet fast track and it hasn’t rained out there in 10 days
     
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  19. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Only got one race in.
     
  20. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
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    damn wonder what happened to make them stop after the first race?
     
  21. Gallant Knight

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    The lady who handles the silks tested positive
     
  22. Alshon

    Alshon Well-Known Member
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    Is there a website that will notify you when a horse is entered in a race?
     
  23. Gallant Knight

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    Create an account on equibase and you can add horses to your virtual stable and will notify you when they’re entered and when they work out
     
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  24. Alshon

    Alshon Well-Known Member
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    Just what I needed. Thank you sir.
     
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  25. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
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    My buddies horse won the 2nd race at Saratoga.

    Effinity. 2 starts a 1st and 2nd
     
  26. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Meanwhile...in Japan:



    While the turf does seem to suit her (and American Pharoah horses have had some turf success) - with that pedigree, I wish she was in the U.S. and racing on dirt. Careless Jewel could be a bit wild in her own right, but when she was on, she was very good, winning the Alabama by 11 lengths. She was just unfortunate enough to be completely overshadowed by running her races in 2009 while both Rachel and Zenyatta were at their peak - neither of which she ever faced.
     
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  27. Gallant Knight

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    That horse must be an idiot. Lots of tapits are headcases. And American pharaoh is a failure at stud so far
     
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  28. Gallant Knight

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    The 3

    fastest equibase figure for 2 year old at lone star. Waiting for other figures

    that was fun
     
  29. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Did you expect that kind of race from him first time out, or did that even surprise you a little bit? Asking mostly because he went off at 12-1.
     
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  30. Gallant Knight

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    Paul lo duca tweeted his picks for lone star



    I was telling the guy who bought him for me that he was going to win. I almost always feel pessimistic the day of races but I felt really good about this one
     
  31. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Well at least he listened...
     
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  32. Gallant Knight

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    Have five horses entered from Sunday to Tuesday. By far the biggest few days of my career. Two stakes races.

    total purses: $200,000

    In March 2018 I called Danny Pish out of the blue and told him I wanted to figure out how to own a horse

    Wild
     
  33. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    all at lone star? Let us know the ones to bet, I will be betting all day.

    good luck.
     
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  34. Gallant Knight

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    i really like my horse herbs love in the turf stakes on tuesday. she is 2-1 morning line though so not much value
     
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  35. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Travers day today. Will follow along with the stakes races here, though I have been cold today so far. I typically talk about the Travers day maiden race as a spot that a top 2YO or two will debut in, and that Pletcher horse, Mutasaabeq, certainly looked the part in that field. Also think the horse that finished 3rd, Raise the Rent, is one to watch as the distances increase.

    I'm going to give the 5, Letruska, a shot here in the Ballerina. Step up in class, for sure, but I don't think any of the bigger names are in great form right now (Bellafina, Serengeti Empress, Come Dancing), and speed figure wise she fits right in there. Would have Serengeti Empress second.
     
  36. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    For Race 9, I will go with My Sister Nat (4) over Mrs. Sippy (1) in an exacta.
     
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  37. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Not going to try and beat Gamine (5) here. I'm just going to go with a straight exacta of Gamine over Venetian Harbor (6).
     
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  38. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Tiz the Law (6) and Uncle Chuck (3) deserve to be the clear top two choices. But I don't see much value in betting either on the win end. I don't think the difference between those two and the rest of the field is as drastic as the prices indicate. One horse I have been extremely high on dating back to his maiden breaker is Caracaro (7), and my main idea will be to get him into the exotics. I really liked his Peter Pan when he came off a lengthy layoff and, even though he came in 2nd to Country Grammer (2), I think you could make the argument he had the worst trip. Only concern is if this is too much, too soon for him. Country Grammer would be fourth for me, and I could see using him underneath as well, but I'll largely stick with the top 3.
     
  39. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    I can't help but make a small win bet on Caracaro at what looks like it is going to be somewhere between 15-1 to 20-1. He isn't the likeliest winner, but I think he should be closer to 8-1 to 10-1.
     
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  40. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    And in the span of a minute, Caracaro goes from 19-1 to 11-1.
     
  41. Gallant Knight

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    My gamine - tiz the last double paid 2.1 for 1. That was free money
     
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  42. Alshon

    Alshon Well-Known Member
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    109 Beyer for TTL yesterday.
     
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  43. Gallant Knight

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    Won the first one. Second one 4mtp
     
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  44. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    Let’s go Kona Katie
     
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  45. Gallant Knight

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    She’s regressed
     
  46. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Necker Island was a horse that I kept betting and kept losing on all year. He finally came through for me today, as I keyed him underneath Art Collector in tris (and used about four other horses in the other spot, one of which was Attachment Rate). Returned just over $86 for a $1 bet with a 2-5 shot on top.
     
  47. Gallant Knight

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    todays the day. have horses in the second, 7th and 8th races at lone star. i like herb's love in the turf stake--i think her price will drift up to something more like 4-1. and i like my horse policy limit to hit the board in the $100,000 futurity in the 8th. every other horse in the race needs the lead to win and he has shown ability to close. i think the extra half furlong will help. also, it sounds like he really got a lot of out of his last race and is doing well.

    both herbs love and policy limit are for sale in the auction at lone star on 8/24. so good showings today should really boost their value. we got a call last week with someone's opening offer being $35,000 for policy limit. i just turned them down and didn't negotiate. so if he runs well today it will be interesting to see what he sells for.
     
  48. Alshon

    Alshon Well-Known Member
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    Will follow both plays, good luck.

    What's with the late post times? Not familiar with Lone Star.
     
  49. Gallant Knight

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    Hot as f right now so night racing a little cooler
     
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  50. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    just got home from baseball. Pumped that the races starting now for you. Let’s go!!