Official Hurricane Season Thread (Swings and Roundabouts))

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by NittanyKnight, Jun 28, 2011.

  1. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    I've been lurking. We've been quite busy with severe weather since July 4th... Haven't been in the mood to talk weather outside of work
     
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  2. HuskerInMiami

    HuskerInMiami Well-Known Member
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    A broad low pressure system located about 1100 miles west-southwest
    of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing limited shower and
    thunderstorm activity. Slow development of this system is expected
    during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to
    15 mph, and a tropical depression is likely to form several hundred
    miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are now
    forecast to become unfavorable for additional development by early
    next week
    as the system approaches the Lesser Antilles.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
     
    #16802 HuskerInMiami, Aug 1, 2019
    Last edited: Aug 1, 2019
    stangd likes this.
  3. indeed

    indeed All In The Game
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  4. Zebbie

    Zebbie Hey Mike, guess what I have in my underwear?
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    I hope not, or it’s gonna be like a train out there since it’s been pretty quiet so far
     
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  5. sc_chant

    sc_chant Be A Dog
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    As warm as the water has been here this year, I fear another rough year is coming.
     
  6. CF3234

    CF3234 Fan of: Bandwagons
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  7. BWC

    BWC It was the BOAT times, it was the WOAT times
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    Get to deal with this bastard over the weekend.

    [​IMG]


    Looks to be more annoying than bad, but will be my first direct-ish hit after experiencing the sideswipe from Mangkhut last September.
     
  8. One Knight

    One Knight https://www.twitch.tv/thatrescueguy
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    Good luck with that dude, hope its not too bad. Straight line winds seem low but not sure how geography will affect you as far as rain and flooding.
     
    #16808 One Knight, Aug 23, 2019
    Last edited: Aug 23, 2019
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  9. BWC

    BWC It was the BOAT times, it was the WOAT times
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    I'm good, as I'm a couple miles inland and relatively high ground. Had torrential rains when I first moved here last August that led to flooding that killed 6 people in the city.
     
    One Knight likes this.
  10. One Knight

    One Knight https://www.twitch.tv/thatrescueguy
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    Living in Florida, flooding is so rare because of the soil, its always been crazy how such a small amount of rain (relatively speaking) can cause deadly flash flooding. Glad you are in a higher elevation.
     
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  11. BWC

    BWC It was the BOAT times, it was the WOAT times
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    Just hope those in the lowlands do alright :ohdear:
     
  12. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  13. gilstein21

    gilstein21 Tight Rip 26 Seal Right
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    Pretty tight grouping on south Florida but lots can change
     
  14. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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    Biggest variable will be the shear impact on Dorians strength. If the shear is strong, won't matter where Dorian ends up.
     
  15. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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  16. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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    Seems some sort of system will survive the Caribbean, question is at what strength?

     
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  17. Jigga

    Jigga Ty Webb is a mean person
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    9C4BBB1C-D860-4369-BD2F-49A0D93A24FE.png
    Happy weekend in south Florida
     
  18. One Knight

    One Knight https://www.twitch.tv/thatrescueguy
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    ECMWF 00Z run has it basically right over Orlando
    ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_8.png
     
  19. Fuck this

    Fuck this Oh Hey
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    I haven’t driven without seeing the hood of my car in a week so I welcome it.
     
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  20. MORBO!

    MORBO! Hello, Tiny Man. I WILL DESTROY YOU!!!!
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    As long as this shit doesn't fuck up another damn football weekend for us (what would it be, four seasons in a row or some shit?)...
     
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  21. Mr Bulldops

    Mr Bulldops If you’re juiceless, you’re useless
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  22. Jigga

    Jigga Ty Webb is a mean person
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    So much for any Saturday college football games in the state of Florida
     
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  23. WhiskeyDelta

    WhiskeyDelta Well-Known Member
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    Three years streak
     
  24. skrouse

    skrouse Well-Known Member
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    UCF plays Thursday
     
  25. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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    Saturday games should be fine, it's not moving that fast.

    Appears to be honing in on West Palm up to Cape Canaveral Sunday late morning. Many more model runs to go...
     
  26. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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  27. HurtsMcGoo

    HurtsMcGoo I DECLARE BANKRUPTCY!!!
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  28. osuteke2

    osuteke2 You're a custom title.
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    We've gotten a lot of rain already in the last 48 hours in PBC.
     
  29. Jigga

    Jigga Ty Webb is a mean person
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    Where in the 561
     
  30. osuteke2

    osuteke2 You're a custom title.
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    Gardens
     
  31. NittanyKnight

    NittanyKnight They got love bites and everything
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    Still has to navigate the end game boss before it even has a shot. At this point; it is a mess of a storm and has to run the shredder to have a shot at Florida.
     
  32. HuskerInMiami

    HuskerInMiami Well-Known Member
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    [​IMG]
    From 8 AM EST:
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
    #16832 HuskerInMiami, Aug 27, 2019
    Last edited: Aug 27, 2019
  33. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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    Appears to be some disagreement in the models on how strong the high pressure is. Some have it slightly less potent, allowing Dorian to steam into Cape Canaveral. Others have it pushing towards Florida and directing Dorian west even southwest near Fort Lauderdale.



     
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  34. One Knight

    One Knight https://www.twitch.tv/thatrescueguy
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    Which are typically the better predictors of intensity, the dynamical or statistical models?
    It's weird seeing the track guidance in such agreement (relatively speaking), and the intensity guidance have such variation between models, usually the exact opposite.
     
  35. poor paul

    poor paul Well-Known Member
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  36. RavenNole

    RavenNole Well-Known Member
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    That would not be ideal
     
  37. poor paul

    poor paul Well-Known Member
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  38. Prospector

    Prospector I am not a new member
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    Well hello Erin
     
  39. Boom TittyMilk

    Boom TittyMilk User Formerly known as Big R
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    Mother fuck, suppose to be at the beach in SC this weekend. Need this thing to take a turn east and fuck up the middle of the Atlantic
     
  40. RavenNole

    RavenNole Well-Known Member
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    Time to start really taking this shit seriously
     
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  41. Jigga

    Jigga Ty Webb is a mean person
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    Slowing down could be really bad
     
  42. Mix

    Mix I own a Fuddruckers with Scottie Pippen
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    I guess if we're gonna get one this weekend would be the best time for it but this sucks.
     
  43. BrentTray

    BrentTray I’m thinking Dorsia.
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    Time to nuke it.
     
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  44. 40wwttamgib

    40wwttamgib Fah Q, Ohio
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    Good thing FEMAs coffers haven’t been robbed recently.
     
  45. Codename Duchess

    Codename Duchess Well-Known Member

    Looks like I picked a good weekend to go to the Keys
     
  46. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Very good thread here, if you're so inclined

     
  47. HuskerInMiami

    HuskerInMiami Well-Known Member
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    Does the government ever use drop anything in the atmosphere to slow these things down?
     
  48. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Can see it now on the San Juan radar

    rs_tjua_wdtr1_1566993766.png
     
  49. elfrid

    elfrid he thinks the carpet pissers did this?
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  50. BWC

    BWC It was the BOAT times, it was the WOAT times
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    Nukes fo sho