Obama needs to call up Bush to get his code for the weather machine. Spoiler I am joking in case anyone takes it serious
If y'all are just going out for 8 hours, they probably won't be heading too far out. If they ask if you want to troll or bottom fish, I'd say stick to bottom fishing. You won't catch a whole lot trolling nearshore besides some kings, unless you run up on a weedline or something.
Cobia are pelagic, they run along the beaches during the spring and then move offshore to wrecks later in the summer
yeah, I'm sure we're just going to bottom fish. We're heading down there for a bachelor party and will be consuming an abundance of alcohol with the intention of bringing some fish back home.
that set up would equal an atlantic version of the fujiwhara...not sure the atlantic is capable of that
Tropical Storm Gert is floating around out there southeast of Bermuda. Tropical storm warnings are up for the island. Outside of that; nothing really going on.
If yall like weather, waves and the like check out a book called The Wave by Susan Casey. I got this book for a flight and ended up finishing it in like 3 days. It follows around big wave surfers, wave charters, ocean researches to try and find out what makes freak waves 2 to 3 times the size of the waves around them. It also touches on what global warming means for the seas/storms. Good easy read
Think the one over Burkina Faso could be interesting as well (a long way down the road). Saw some long range models today, and that cluster will be in more of a conducive environment for development than the first one, as that will encounter some dry air initially. Doesn't mean that that storm can't be a threat though, here is the 10 day ECMWF forecast:
I am a big fan of Invest 93 developing at some point into a nice hurricane at some point in the next 2 days. All will depend if it gets into the gulf or not.
The forecasters are getting excited about wave that east of the islands right now. It will be a late next week type of storm if it develops.
Just looked over the newest GFS run for that cluster going over the eastern islands in the next few days and holy shit if it follows that track. It was a major Cat 4/ Cat 5 slamming Louisiana and New Orleans in a week's time. Good thing is so far the models have been pretty wrong in the long run this season.
Looks a lot like Emily's projected path at that point, and that would take it right over the Hispaniola mountains too.
over cuba too...nothing to worry about if it takes that path...hispanola and the spine of cuba, no chance...but if it splits the gap or goes south...ruh roh
Yeah, GFS was obviously picking up on that southern route NAM straight into Hispaniola. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/index_ref_l_loop.shtml
Weather channel thinks the high pressure over the Atlantic will stay strong and with the other high pressure over Texas, it seems like a Florida landfall is where this thing is going.
Just over 48 hours from Hispaniola and we still don't have a TD yet. Models still want to blow it up. Figured this would be a good place to put this since we don't have another weather thread. Pretty amazing. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H1dtHyYcWH8&feature=player_embedded
about to be upgraded to irene, they found west winds and the convection really started popping the last few hours
best change the subject line because this one will be talked about for quite a while...five of the reputable models have it reaching cat 4 and then depending on hispanola and cuba, a powerful storm hitting south florida...
Interesting strength prediction from the NHC. As Cronk mentioned all the models have it blowing up big time off the coast of south Florida, but the NHC only has it as a tropical storm. I hope they aren't underestimating it and have to suddenly change the projected intensity much closer to landfall, leaving people with little time to prepare for something bigger than a TS.
Mother nature has really disappointed me. I was hoping some of the pacific hurricanes would hit Hawaii, but that shit never happens.
south florida...target is pointed right at you...as a major....three models have cat 3's hitting so fl now...then it heads north and stalls over inland georgia/north carolina
Well, if it makes landfall in SFL, then it will be mostly rain by the time it gets to my neck of the woods, so I don't care.
Trough looks to be stronger with a weakness in the Atlantic High, probably going to let this slip north of Hispaniola, stay off of Florida with a landfall anywhere from S. Georgia to the Carolinas with a potential to miss the whole east coast. But we will see where this is in 24 hours.
latest models...most models have been trending east like sam mentioned, not sold yet on a fish...center keeps reforming north towards the convection which is good in that it makes fish more possible but bad in that it may miss cuba and hispanola if it hits the US and that will be a major major hurricane...still five days out but 95% it stays in the NHC cone so this is something to keep paying attention to
Not impressed by this storm especially if it drags across the islands. The models always blow things up as it get nears the straits. The longer that it stays south of the PR, Cuba, and DR/Haiti islands; the bigger story this will become. If it drags across those islands; it is going to be a nice rain maker with a nice breeze.
Best case for everyone is a weak very slow moving lopsided storm that makes land fall between Key West and Miami, dropping heavy rainfall up the Florida peninsula, and tracking just west of Atlanta to help kill the drought in the southeast. Unfortunately it's likely to stay away from that track.
definitely starting to ramp up, down about 6mb over the last few hours...visible shows everything starting to spin up and wrap around
I usually don't pay attention to hurricanes until they hit Cat 3, but the new place I'm at loses power like once a week. brahman is concerned.
And moving at 20mph, nice clip that will have it near Puerto Rico in 10 hours, and on top of Hispaniola by this time tomorrow. Definitely leaning towards the lower intensity scale, the storm is already level with the tip of Hispaniola and going to trip right over the mountains in DR and Haiti unless the Atlantic High weakens even more.