That is astonishing to me. 2,000 is a lot of people. Holy shit. And that storm was less than 100 miles from me. Fuck.
Just got back from Abaco and I dont even know what to say. First off thanks to anyone who helped the relief effort on any way. The situation now as best as I can tell is that Marsh Harbour is no longer liveable. I never went far inland but between what I saw from the coastline and what the people we evacuated said, it's like hell on Earth. There's just no functional society left and nowhere to even start. It looks like a scene from a firebombed city in WW2. They won't ever know the final death toll because apparently a lot of undocumented Haitians were killed. A lot of the evacuated people just said you may as well burn it flat and start over because of all the dead people and animals there right now. Sixteen thousand people lived there and virtually all of them no longer have a job or a place of their own to stay. It's just unimaginable. It's basically just a mass evacuation zone now. Hope Town and the other out islands seemed a little better. A lot of damage to some buildings but nowhere near the amount of casualties and there's still a lot to build around. They are just going to need a lot of supplies and financial aid to get back on their feet. What hurts is that Marsh was a big part of the supply chain that fed those outer islands.
Today, the mountain town of Buford has only 1 permanent resident. Hundreds of people everyday pass through the town on Interstate 80 but only one man, Don Sammons, holds down the fort. Sammons operates the Buford Trading Post, and has been alone since 2008 when his son moved away. Despite its tiny size, it has become somewhat of a roadside attraction for its street sign that states quite plainly: Elevation 8000, Population 1.
Anybody bored and looking for something to kill a BUNCH of time with? If you don’t already know about this, have fun: www.windy.com
Phone isn’t letting me link anything, but looks like there could be a big storm off SE coast on Monday
Another similar to windy https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-93.76,38.38,1487
we're expecting tropical storm conditions here on Amelia Island Sunday night into Monday morning. have seen another model that takes this thing across the peninsula and into the gulf, but this seems to be the more reliable projection for the moment.
so I just moved to Florida and my company gets daily briefs on significant weather coming out of the Atlantic, I'm just now seeing this thread but will contribute what I get sent. the below is this morning's daily briefing. Active Systems 38 Disturbance 38 is currently located over the east central Bahamas. A slow track towards the northwest is expected over the next few days while gradually strengthening. A turn more towards the north and northeast is forecast to occur Sunday into early next week, and the system will likely pass east of Florida and the Carolinas. However, some of the outer rainbands could bring some locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to coastal areas. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. The chance of tropical development is near 100 percent. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 39 is located along 36W and is moving towards the west at around 15 mph. The system has some thunderstorm activity and limited rotation associated with it. A continued westward motion is expected over the next several days. The disturbance will likely be near the Lesser Antilles early next week, where conditions are forecast to become more favorable for development. The chance of tropical development over the next week is 50 percent. A disturbance may form in the western Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Conditions could be marginally favorable for some brief development before the system likely moves inland into Texas early next week. Regardless of development, some locally heavy rainfall will be possible in south Texas from this disturbance. The chance of tropical development is 5 percent. Disturbance 40 has been identified along 23W. A track towards the west is expected over the next few days. Conditions could become favorable for some development by early next week. The chance of tropical development over the next week is 20 percent. Disturbance 37 is along 58W and is moving towards the west-northwest at around 10 mph. The system continues to weaken, and will likely dissipate this weekend over the northeastern Caribbean Sea. Tropical development is not expected.
Is there a pressure system that tends to knock these storms away from the east coast? Or does it have something to do with the geography and how hurricanes react to giant land mass?
Monday 9/16 update - looks like Disturbance 40 is next one to watch Active Systems Humberto Hurricane Humberto is located about 755 miles west-southwest of Bermuda. Humberto is moving to the northeast at 8 mph. Maximum winds are near 80 mph. The hurricane is forecast to pass close enough to Bermuda to produce significant impacts on Thursday. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 41 is located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. The system is a mid to upper-level low pressure area. Conditions could become favorable for some tropical development over the next 24 hours before it moves inland into Texas on Tuesday. If development occurs, the system likely wouldn't become stronger than a weak tropical storm. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely bring a threat of heavy rainfall to Texas later today through Thursday. The chance of tropical development has decreased to 10 percent. Disturbance 40 is located about 1200 miles to the east-southeast of Barbados near 10.5N, 42.0W. It is moving towards the west at around 14 mph. The disturbance is forecast to turn to the northwest this week. The disturbance is becoming better organized as an area of low pressure has formed. Conditions are forecast to be favorable for development over the next several days. The disturbance could become a tropical storm by Wednesday or Thursday. Disturbance 40 is forecast to pass about 300 miles to the north of the northern Leeward Islands and the British and U.S. Virgin Islands on Saturday. The chance of tropical development is estimated at 80 percent over the next seven days. Disturbance 39 is located across the eastern Caribbean along 62W and is moving towards the west at around 25 mph. The system is expected to weaken over the next few days as it tracks westward across the Caribbean Sea. The disturbance is producing enhanced shower and thunderstorm activity across the Lesser Antilles and this should continue into tonight. This thunderstorm activity will spread across the British and U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later today into Tuesday. Tropical development is not expected. Disturbance 42 has been identified a few hundred miles to the west of the Cape Verde Islands along 30W. It is forecast to move to the west-northwest over the next several days. There is a very low chance that the system may develop early this week before environmental conditions become unfavorable for development later this week. The system may dissipate well to the east of the Caribbean. The chance of tropical development is estimated at 10 percent.
Overall upper level flow across the US is generally from West to east. Or you'll have a high pressure center near Bermuda that steers things away from the coast
Well, Harvey was 30+ over 4 days. This looks to only be 10+ over 3 days, sooooooooooo not as much as Harvey but sure to flood the city nonetheless.
Active Systems Humberto As of the 4 AM EDT (3 AM CDT) advisory, Humberto was located about 380 miles west of Bermuda. It is moving to the east-northeast near 14 mph. Humberto should accelerate throughout today. On this track, Humberto should pass a little north of Bermuda tonight, bringing winds of hurricane force to the islands. Winds are 115 mph. Some slight intensification is possible prior to reaching Bermuda. Thereafter, weakening is likely. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. Jerry Tropical Depression Ten just intensified into Tropical Storm Jerry. Jerry is located about 780 miles east-northeast of Barbados. It is moving to the west-northwest near 14 mph. This general motion should continue for the next few days. On this track, Jerry should pass a little north of the Leeward Islands on Friday and early Saturday. Winds are 40 mph. Some slight intensification is forecast during the next couple of days. Jerry should be a weak to moderate tropical storm when it passes north of the Caribbean. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. Imelda Imelda has moved north of downtown Houston. It is a weakening tropical depression. It should continue to move slowly to the north during the next couple of days. However, flooding rainfall remains likely for much of eastern Texas, including the Houston and Beaumont metro areas. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 42 is located along 37W. it is moving to the west near 10 mph. A west-southwest motion is likely during the next few days. Early next week, the system is expected to approach the Windward Islands. It could bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to the islands. In addition, environmental conditions appear as if they will be somewhat favorable for tropical development. There is a 30 percent chance of tropical development from this disturbance. Disturbance 39 is in the central Caribbean along 70.5W, south of Hispaniola. The disturbance is expected to move slowly to the west during the next several days. This will take the system toward the northwest Caribbean. There is a 10 percent chance of tropical development. Disturbance 43 is located over western Africa. It is expected to emerge into the Atlantic within the next 24 hours. The disturbance should move to the west. There will be no immediate threat to land. The chance of tropical development is 20 percent. Spoiler
Wanted to play Mid ocean, some guys are, but unfortunately wedding shit is fucking the groomsman. Looking forward to our hurricane party
I was supposed to play mid ocean but my contact had a funeral to attend the day we were going to play
same. Half way down the course, there will be a local kid selling used Pro V1 balls for like $1.50 each.