I'll have you all know I was able to arrange standing in front of this tonight while she was filming. I have no idea if the framing or angle of the shot will show it, but I gave it my best shot. Story should air next week or maybe the week after. They are doing a series of like seven of these tales.
Small update Big shout out to those of you that donated right after the storm.. I had set that aside and it's coming in big handy right now as this is all out of pocket for me right now while CF3234 fights those evil bastards at the insurance company so every penny you guys gave was excellent and beyond appreciated. Floors tomorrow, should finally get the fam all back together this weekend. For the last few weeks they have been staying at grandmas. I get off work, go change, and then go to grandmas until everyone goes to bed then come home and let the dog out and sleep here. Not fun but light at the end of the tunnel is bright.
Can you post the pics a different way? None of the IMG's you posted are showing for me. This is what I see:
I regret to inform you that DrTomOsbourne was standing in front of the sign the entire time. A for effort, F for execution.
yeah, this is not ideal. Very bad spot for this. Also, cycling back through the last few days of weather models (gfs and euro) -- seems like neither model handled how deep this low got to (currently at 923 mb)
Man that coastline got crushed today. Likely to be one of the larger death tolls from a hurricane due to all the refugee camps.
Whatever it ends up being, we are finally getting desperately needed rain in SW Florida. It's barely rained since Hurricane Ian, so dry.
Every time we get any rain where I’m at just north of Tampa, it splits our area. Our house has hardly gotten any ran since January. Our lakes are down about 7’ right now.
It's crazy how much below normal rainfall the entire west coast has gotten since rainy season ended. Completely wiped out the above normal totals from last year.
These guys are pretty great when it comes to Houston area weather, so I expect their hurricane coverage to be equally worth following
Pretty far out and not normal to see storms in the eastern Atlantic in June...but the temps out there are already at peak season levels. I think when the El Nino shear dies off in stretches this season, it's going to be very active.
Only pushback I would provide is that if El Nino continues on the rocketship that it is currently projected to be, I'm not sure how many periods we will have where shear isn't a prohibitive factor to at least some degree. Especially as we get towards the fall months, when ENSO will be near its peak. I don't think we will end up too far from normal because of that this season, in spite of the record Atlantic warmth. Could see it being a little more active than usual during the summer with more of the basin to work with than typical of this time year, but also with an earlier end than you would typically see because shear gets more overwhelming this fall.
Correct. Just as a comparison, I went back to 2006 and picked out years that were either El Nino years or La Nina years during the fall, to compare what tropical storm, hurricane, and major hurricane numbers are in those years. The starred years are the stronger El Nino/La Nina years (ENSO is greater than +1 or less than -1, respectively), since we are expected to have a stronger El Nino this year. El Nino years: 2006: 10 TS, 5 H, 2 MH *2009: 9 TS, 3 H, 2 MH 2014: 8 TS, 6 H, 2 MH *2015: 11 TS, 4 H, 2 MH 2018: 15 TS, 8 H, 2 MH Average: 10.6 Tropical Storms, 5.2 Hurricanes, 2 Major Hurricanes La Nina years: *2007: 15 TS, 6 H, 2 MH 2008: 16 TS, 8 H, 5 MH *2010: 19 TS, 12 H, 5 MH *2011: 19 TS, 7 H, 4 MH 2016: 15 TS, 4 H, 2 MH 2017: 17 TS, 10 H, 6 MH *2020: 30 TS, 13 H, 6 MH 2021: 21 TS, 7 H, 4 MH 2022: 14 TS, 8 H, 2 MH Average: 18.4 Tropical Storms, 8.3 Hurricanes, 4 Major Hurricanes With the warmer waters in the Atlantic, I would lean towards the higher end of the El Nino years (despite a stronger El Nino). Something like the totals reflected in 2018 (14-15 tropical storms, 7-8 hurricanes, 2-3 major hurricanes) seems like a reasonable outlook to me for this year, and that isn't too far from an average hurricane season
All that said, all it takes is one or two storms to make it a 'bad' season, even if numbers aren't all that high. 2018 (which I think the numbers will be similar to) still brought Michael and Florence. 1992 only had seven named storms and four hurricanes, but one of them was Andrew.
Looks like Bret stays weaker than forecast a few days ago, pushing it south into the Caribbean. But, will it survive the shear? If it does, we've got a July 4th storm heading for the Gulf.
Officially TS Bret as of 5pm. If it keeps a fast speed, stays weaker at a high end TS and stays south of Hispaniola, might have something for the US.
Sounds like Bret won't reach hurricane status anymore and is going to hit it's end in the eastern Caribbean due to shear.