Official Hurricane Season Thread (Swings and Roundabouts))

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by NittanyKnight, Jun 28, 2011.

  1. Nole0515

    Nole0515 Well-Known Member
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    I always imagined it to be a flight sim joystick. Also do you draw straws for who gets to steer it?
     
  2. bigred77

    bigred77 Well-Known Member
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    Guys, we all know Biden is the only one who gets to steer
     
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  3. Nole0515

    Nole0515 Well-Known Member
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    no wonder they wobble so much
     
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  4. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Shh I've already said too much

    It's the radar
     
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  5. JGator1

    JGator1 I'm the Michael Jordan of the industry
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    Dropped outta the race solely so he could steer hurricanes the last few months.
     
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  6. steamengine

    steamengine I don’t want to press one for English!
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    The Yucatán has gotten absolutely abused this season
     
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  7. CF3234

    CF3234 Fan of: Bandwagons
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    Was responding to the banks and adding context to your post. My bad
     
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  8. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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  9. CF3234

    CF3234 Fan of: Bandwagons
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    Oh. How sad.

    moving on…
     
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  10. PeterGriffin

    PeterGriffin Iced and/or sweet tea is for dirty rednecks.
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    Yup! 8.5 year old female named Rei, all white with just a little "eyeliner" around one of her eyes. She is awesome and loving and hyperfriendly. Unfortunately never got adjusted to other dogs though, or we'd have another one or two younger bull terriers. Never likely to have any other breed.
     
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  11. The Milkman

    The Milkman Send lawyers, guns and money, shit has hit the fan
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    Nice! My guy is 12.5. Friendly and the most loyal dog I’ve ever been around. I’ve been lucky that he was adjusted really early. He likes all dogs but huskies. Does Rei ever get the spins? IMG_4427.png
     
    #25761 The Milkman, Oct 18, 2024
    Last edited: Oct 19, 2024
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  12. JGator1

    JGator1 I'm the Michael Jordan of the industry
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    Social media culture is the fucking worst. Got my power back last night and I feel insanely lucky compared to others.
     
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  13. PeterGriffin

    PeterGriffin Iced and/or sweet tea is for dirty rednecks.
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    She definitely used to when she was younger and will spin a little and roll around in the grass outside but inside, she sheds energy by leaping on and off the couch, running into walls (created holes on at least two occasions), and shaking the living fuck out of her toy du jour.
     
  14. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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    Nadine has formed and will make landfall today as a low end Tropical Storm. Crazy this just gets us to the typical seasonal average of 14 storms.

     
  15. Champ

    Champ Well-Known Member
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    Lol @ Oscar’s trajectory. Even storms don’t wanna go to Cuba right now.
     

    Attached Files:

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  16. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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    Even Oscar had its own version of rapid intensification. This thing would have been a sizeable hurricane if it was August instead of October

     
  17. billdozer

    billdozer Well-Known Member
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    Buncombe County acknowledges substantial overcount in earlier numbers as NC chief medical examiner’s office completes official death count.

    by Lucas Thomae October 18, 2024

    North Carolina appears to be nearing a final death count for Tropical Storm Helene, which is welcome news after concerns that the state’s official numbers were undercounting or lagging in counting fatalities.

    An earlier high death count from Buncombe County had implied that the Office of the Chief Medical Examiner was dealing with a backlog of bodies after the storm, but Carolina Public Press has learned that is not the case. The earlier numbers from Buncombe appear to have been a significant overcount.

    Representatives from the state Department of Health and Human Services told CPP that each decedent is being tracked and cared for at a morgue in one of two locations — Asheville and the Office of the Chief Medical Examiner in Raleigh.

    As of Friday, three decedents tied to the storm are undergoing continued examination in Raleigh. No additional decedents in Asheville were awaiting examination or identification at that time.

    As of 10 a.m. on Friday, DHHS has confirmed 95 deaths related to Helene across 21 counties. The three bodies being examined in Raleigh have already been included in the total death count.

    Buncombe revises death count
    Buncombe County Sheriff Quentin Miller said in a press conference Oct. 3 that the county had 72 deaths and more than 200 people missing after the storm. However, the most recent DHHS data reported only 42 deaths in Buncombe. The sheriff is not disputing that finding.

    Although the search for bodies is still ongoing in some parts of Western North Carolina, DHHS media relations director Patsy O’Donnell told CPP that the department does not expect a substantial rise in the official death toll for Buncombe or surrounding areas.

    Buncombe officials later walked back their initial reports of 72 deaths and have since referred to the state’s numbers.

    “We absolutely are saying DHHS is the source on that,” Public Information Director Matt Marshall told CPP on Thursday.

    Public information officer Christina Esmay later provided further clarification about the discrepancy in an email statement to CPP.

    “In the early aftermath of Hurricane Helene all deaths were being classified as storm-related and from Buncombe County. However, as the days progressed BCSO was able to identify who had passed away due to the hurricane, who was in fact from Buncombe County, and who passed away from other causes,” Esmay’s email read.

    “Compounded with the lack of consistent communication, due to widespread outages, the Buncombe County fatality number that was initially provided to Sheriff Miller has decreased.”

    How NC confirms storm-related deaths
    Before being included in the death count, fatalities from Helene are verified by the Office of the Chief Medical examiner, which reports them daily. The OCME investigates all deaths in North Carolina due to injury or violence, as well as natural deaths that are suspicious, unusual or unattended by a medical professional.

    In the case of Helene, OCME uses guidance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to certify that reported deaths were a result of the storm.

    The department, which has faced scrutiny in recent years because of long wait times for autopsy reports, has longstanding budget and staffing requests with the N.C. General Assembly. However, DHHS insisted that staffing was not an issue when it came to completing the death count from Helene.

    “OCME is sufficiently staffed for this response, and staff are incredibly busy working and focusing their efforts to care for the decedents and to support the families left behind” media relations manager Kelly Haight told CPP in an email.

    The department received an assist from a 44-person Disaster Mortuary Operational Response Team, which is a federal asset comprised of coroners, mortuary officers, medical examiners and other specialists that supports local mortuary services in the event of a disaster.

    OCME pulled additional resources from Wake County, the FBI, the State Bureau of Investigation, the N.C. National Guard and agencies in other states to help with fatality search and recovery efforts. How NC confirms storm-related deaths

    Data provides snapshot of lives lost
    North Carolina has confirmed 95 deaths related to Helene across 21 counties.

    Buncombe has the most reported deaths with 42, followed by Yancey with 11. A complete list appears at the end of this article.

    The exact causes of those deaths include drowning, motor vehicle crashes, wind or tree trauma, landslides, blunt force injuries, lack of basic necessities, missing medical appointments and hypothermia due to environmental exposure. A plurality, 32 of the reported deaths, were due to drowning, followed by landslides with 20 deaths.

    The oldest victim was a 91-year-old woman in Yancey County who was recovered from an area affected by flooding and a mudslide. Four of the confirmed victims were children under 10-years-old.

    Several of the recovered victims included in the death count do not yet have confirmed ages or causes of deaths, and that information is likely to be updated in the coming days.

    Helene death count in NC by county
    The following list is alphabetical by county and is based on the Tropical Storm Helene-related death count numbers that DHHS released as of 9 a.m. Friday. Counties with no deaths are not included.
    • Ashe County, 1
    • Avery County, 4
    • Buncombe County, 42
    • Burke County, 1
    • Catawba County, 1
    • Cleveland County, 2
    • Gaston County, 1
    • Haywood County, 5
    • Henderson County, 7
    • Macon County, 2
    • Madison County, 4
    • McDowell County, 1
    • Mecklenburg County, 2
    • Mitchell County, 2
    • Polk County, 1
    • Rowan County, 1
    • Rutherford County, 3
    • Wake County, 1
    • Watauga County, 2
    • Yadkin County, 1
    • Yancey County, 11
     
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  18. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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    It's like the NHC and models just decided they were done with hurricane season after Milton and gave up on forecasting.

     
  19. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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    Obviously some of this is accounted for in better work by FEMA and the government, but the trend is undeniable as extreme weather gets more frequent.

     
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  20. The Milkman

    The Milkman Send lawyers, guns and money, shit has hit the fan
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    I spend half my time in Veracruz, half my time in Mexico City. We've received 12" of rain since Sunday in Veracruz from the Tropical storm in the southern gulf. The water from the sink/shower in my condo is now brown
     
  21. Keef

    Keef Liked by Pierre Gasly
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    upload_2024-10-23_15-33-16.png

    Still early, but I don't love that
     
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  22. Redav

    Redav mostly cows and rocks
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  23. Nole0515

    Nole0515 Well-Known Member
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  24. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    I do think the western Caribbean should be monitored next week and weekend, as there is reasonable support for some sort of tropical disturbance and the environment should be favorable for development.

    With that said, it's too early to be that alarmed if you are in the Southeast...that 12Z GFS run is an outlier compared to its ensemble members in that of the 21 ensemble members (almost all of which show some development) that make up the GEFS, I think only two of them actually bring a storm into the Gulf of Mexico. The ensembles are generally more supportive of a track towards Cuba and the Bahamas should anything form as opposed to a track into the Gulf. And that is just among the GFS suite of guidance, which is more aggressive (as it often is) than the ECMWF or it's ensembles. I haven't seen the 12Z ECMWF Ensembles, but from the 00Z run, a little over half of the 50 members had some sort of development, and only 2-3 of those made it into the Gulf of Mexico. ECMWF was generally weaker than the GFS/GEFS as well.
     
  25. PeterGriffin

    PeterGriffin Iced and/or sweet tea is for dirty rednecks.
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    upload_2024-10-24_7-15-31.gif
     
  26. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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  27. Rock

    Rock Well-Known Member
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    this dipshit is probably drunk already at 8:30 am. I would not take any insight from him
     
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  28. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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    Agree on the drinking part, he's got a serious alcoholism problem.

    But the models are the models, it's showing up as a 40% chance elsewhere.
     
  29. Rock

    Rock Well-Known Member
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    he also openly calls his daughter the R word, and isn’t a meteorologist. Fuck him
     
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  30. PeterGriffin

    PeterGriffin Iced and/or sweet tea is for dirty rednecks.
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    I am also not a meteorologist, were the concerns about a hurricane hitting Georgia/North Carolina on/around Nov 5th negated by these models at this time, considering 7 days left to the election?
     
  31. NineteenNine

    NineteenNine Divers are, in fact, wankers. It's science.
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    It’s all up to the whim of Dank Brandon.
     
  32. Rock

    Rock Well-Known Member
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    the one outlying model run from 15 days out? No it’s not there anymore
     
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  33. billdozer

    billdozer Well-Known Member
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    An update on the road to Chimney Rock

    We feel there needs to be some clarification made about the road from Bat Cave to Chimney Rock. First, we are not trying to take away from the effort that was put in or get into any of discussions about what was or wasn’t done, but rather inform the public of the current situation.

    Second, there was a temporary road put in for private or emergency use. This does not mean that Hwy 64/74 has been repaired or re-opened for public travel. The main thing this road has done is allow some residents to access their home that there was no access to before.

    Understand this road is a very narrow one lane dirt path road. With spring heads making it muddy in places, the more this road is traveled, the harder it makes it for residents to get to their homes. Even without having received additional rain, this road will be hard to navigate in many vehicles without 4WD.

    Keep in mind when you are hearing that Hwy 64, Hwy 74 or Hwy 9 has reopened, this really means that the roads are somewhat passible and down to a one lane dirt or gravel access in most areas. To say they are open is not a good representation for what most think of. Again, these roads are open enough for residents to access their homes and for emergency vehicles.

    The recovery for these roads to be fully operational is going to take time. In many places the land where the roads were no longer exist and roads will have to be completely redesigned before any construction can begin. We have tried to explain this to say, that the roads in the afore mentioned areas will not support anyone other than the people who live there.

    [​IMG]
     
  34. CF3234

    CF3234 Fan of: Bandwagons
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    Every chimney rock tourist Facebook group.

    I booked an air bnb there for November 7th. Do you think that we will be able to use the resident only road since we are staying at a house?
     
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  35. bigred77

    bigred77 Well-Known Member
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    Does anyone know if we can make it up the road in our 2023 Hyundai sonata?
     
  36. Duck Smoker

    Duck Smoker Cheekbones like geometry and eyes like sin.
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    My wife manages mountain road projects like these for a living. They have to overstaff to have enough people to repeatedly explain to the idiots who live there how long a process this will be, and explain to idiots who don't live there why the cops will be called if they continue up the road. It beats nothing, but that is an unpleasant looking short-term fix.
     
  37. bruce bowen

    bruce bowen Well-Known Member
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    All timer on the Sarasota subreddit a day after Milton "Hey! Pennsylvanians here coming to Sarasota next week, does anyone know if the drum circle will be happening next Sunday? We just have so much fun at it!"
     
  38. billdozer

    billdozer Well-Known Member
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    This was done by a road builder for a mining company. Took 3 days to get it made.
     
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  39. skeezy

    skeezy what is this? meowschwitz?
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    How far out are the forecasts made? Going to Jamaica in mid November and wanted to watch the forecast
     
  40. CF3234

    CF3234 Fan of: Bandwagons
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    Rain forecasts start at 10 days. Hurricane forecasts don’t start until there is evidence of a storm developing.
     
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  41. Mr Midwest

    Mr Midwest Pitbull doesn’t have anything on me
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    Parents condo in Venice is still out of power since Helene. I guess they’ve got skid loader, dump trucks, and earth movers moving tons and tons of sand away from the complex. It basically filled the entire pool up with sand and all the pipes, buried a 3 ft high wall picket fence as well.
     
  42. Duck Smoker

    Duck Smoker Cheekbones like geometry and eyes like sin.
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    Never heard of that before. Who owns that washed out road (fed, state, county, etc.)? Haven't heard of a Rocky Mountain state that would let a private firm do that for a fed/state road, but we also haven't seen flooding on that scale in terms of number of roads lost that fast and so much population/enterprise isolated by it. My wife usually only works fed/state projects that move a little slower. Occasional county roads.
     
  43. billdozer

    billdozer Well-Known Member
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    https://www.wbng.com/2024/10/30/coa...OsWzn0DNXoPvadidIg_aem_usfBh3ebW72rOmUEQLAGmg

    North Carolina officials estimated a permanent road fix to Chimney Rock, Hwy 64, would take several months to almost a year to complete. Nevertheless, a team of West Virginia coal miners knew the need for a temporary road was needed and accomplished the task (a temporary road in the Chimney Rock River Beds) in under a week. This is not permanent by any means but it has helped give access to areas that desperately needed it. Their commitment and proficiency deserve significant recognition and thanks. Importantly, they voluntarily undertook this project.

    [​IMG]
     
  44. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    Good on those dudes
     
  45. Duck Smoker

    Duck Smoker Cheekbones like geometry and eyes like sin.
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    That's pretty badass.
     
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  46. Nole0515

    Nole0515 Well-Known Member
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    [​IMG]
    Joes last turn with the sticks
     
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  47. NineteenNine

    NineteenNine Divers are, in fact, wankers. It's science.
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    *honing*
     
  48. Nole0515

    Nole0515 Well-Known Member
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  49. Nole0515

    Nole0515 Well-Known Member
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  50. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
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    Up to 70% chance of a named storm forming. Appears someone in the Gulf is going to get at least a Tropical Storm mid next week

     
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