*** Official Powerball/Mega Millions thread, now $170/20million***

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by Hogview, Oct 27, 2011.

  1. Arkadin

    Arkadin inefficiently efficent and unclearly clear
    Donor

    He's always fired up. He gets stoked about mini horses and 'time machines'
     
  2. Shu

    Shu there is no custom title

    Of course it can happen. Just rare.
     
  3. swiggle

    swiggle Ya'll finished or ya'll done?
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    Missouri TigersSt. Louis CardinalsArizona CardinalsSt. Louis BluesLiverpool

    realizing you can do pretty much anything just about anywhere in the world must feel a little liberating
     
    Arkadin likes this.
  4. Shu

    Shu there is no custom title

    But that particular statistic will never get anything close to 500:1.

    Statistcis in it's nature is pure. They are the same everywhere in math. But the casino table doesn't adhere to pure laws of statistics.
     
    Legend likes this.
  5. Arkadin

    Arkadin inefficiently efficent and unclearly clear
    Donor

    Magnets?
     
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  6. colonelrascals

    colonelrascals Mayonnaise-colored Benz, I push miracle whips
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    you make me want to die
     
  7. Arrec Bardwin

    Arrec Bardwin La Araña Discoteca
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    :roll:
     
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  8. Duck70

    Duck70 Let's just do it and be legends, man
    Donor
    Oregon Ducks

    yea, no kidding it wont be 500:1. Every single of those 500 spins will have a 1/2 probability of bring black or red. If its red for 500 straight, on the 501st roll there is a 1/2 probability it will be red or black
     
  9. mb711

    mb711 West Coast Barner
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    He goes by feel, bro
     
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  10. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
    Staff Donor TMB OG
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    Shu is Shu'ing and the Nightingale System in which Shu is basically playing at casinos is hilarious as you need an unlimited bank roll and no limits in order to work.
     
  11. Shu

    Shu there is no custom title

    Yeah I know. That's why I start out at like $10. The tables I play on are like $1,000 limit. You don't need an unlimited bank roll if your first bet is cheap. But if you win 4 times an hour, that's $40 - not too bad.
     
  12. DistantFactor

    DistantFactor Sesquipedalian
    Donor
    Oregon DucksPortland Trail Blazers

    But if you lose 4 times in an hour you lose $40.

    Fucking gambling how does it work?
     
  13. Arrec Bardwin

    Arrec Bardwin La Araña Discoteca
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta FalconsChelseaAtlanta United

    Yeah, Table limits destroy that system.

    If it's a 1000 limit table, even if your starting bet is only $10, you only get 6 spins before you limit out.

    Your prob. of R/B is .4737 to win, so .5263 that you lose.

    If you play 100 spins in a night of gambling, then your odds of losing it all are pretty high.

    Here is some of the math behind it, and that is if your odds are 50/50

    http://mathforum.org/library/drmath/view/56637.html
     
  14. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Holy :facepalm:

    Math how does it work?
     
  15. Arrec Bardwin

    Arrec Bardwin La Araña Discoteca
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    Cliffs on this for anyone who doesn't want to read.

    If you flipped a coin 100 times, there is a .54 probability you will get 6 heads in a row.

    Translate that "heads" to "losing in roulette" (which has an even higher prob. than flipping heads) and you conclude that if you spun a roulette wheel 100 times using Shu's system, more often than not you would lose all of your money.
     
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  16. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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  17. bwi2

    bwi2 Not affiliated with BWI
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    And to be clear, losing costs $630. Winning means $10. I can't believe more people haven't thought of this.
     
    Iron Mickey likes this.
  18. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    You are just retarded. If its that simple why doesnt everyone in the world do this? Stupidity.
     
  19. DUCKMOUTH

    DUCKMOUTH People don’t you know, don’t you know
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    Southern Mississippi Golden EaglesNew Orleans SaintsGrateful DeadPoker

    Shu is easily my favorite poster on TMB.
     
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  20. Where Eagles Dare

    Where Eagles Dare The Specialist Show On Earth
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    I'm glad I read this. I'm going to AC Friday. GONNA BE FUCKING RICH!!!!!!!
     
  21. Shu

    Shu there is no custom title

    Often times I lose many more times than four an hour. As long as I go 1 - 5 with the last bet being won, I come out ahead (assuming I double up each time, which I do).
     
  22. Shu

    Shu there is no custom title

    So you're telling me that if I flipped a coin a set of 100 times, 100 times that 54 of those 100 sets I would get heads 6 times in a row at least once?
     
  23. Arrec Bardwin

    Arrec Bardwin La Araña Discoteca
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    On average, yes.
     
  24. Shu

    Shu there is no custom title

    Y'all are missing one important part of this thing.

    I often wait and watch until the wheel has rolled red or black 2 or 3 times in a row and then start betting.

    So when I am at spin 5, the wheel actually has to hit the same color 7 or 8 times in a row.
     
  25. Arrec Bardwin

    Arrec Bardwin La Araña Discoteca
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    Holy fuck.
     
  26. Arrec Bardwin

    Arrec Bardwin La Araña Discoteca
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    Now convinced Shu is a troll.
     
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  27. mb711

    mb711 West Coast Barner
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    Shu is reminding me of the mph chick from Utah with his last few posts
     
  28. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    :roll: Each spin/roll is an independent event and has no affect on the previous or future rolls.
     
  29. Shu

    Shu there is no custom title

    Unless you have a huge bank roll and can get a higher limit table, you aren't gonna get rich.

    But you can get drunk for free, have fun at the casino, and walk away with a few hundred dollars a night. Not too bad, iyam.

    Now there have been times I lost my ass. It sucks losing $1,280 plus what I chased with the prior bets (10,20,40,80,160,320,640 - close to $2,500 altogether) chasing $10. Sucks quite bad actually.
     
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  30. Sam Elliott

    Sam Elliott Job title: Assistant Bouncer at the Double Deuce
    Florida State SeminolesChicago BullsGreen Bay PackersTampa Bay LightningManchester United

    Gotta pick up a ticket tomorrow
     
  31. Arrec Bardwin

    Arrec Bardwin La Araña Discoteca
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    I bet you come out to around a little under even if you add it all up.
     
  32. Shu

    Shu there is no custom title

    You're absolutely right.

    But the totalitary of it is not independent.

    What are the odds it rolls a particular color 8 times in a row? Very slim. Much less than 50%.

    Eventually it is gonna hit.
     
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  33. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    :roll: and :facepalm:

    <3 Shu
     
  34. Shu

    Shu there is no custom title

    Not a troll. Trolling is dumb. I don't even see the point.

    I did troll one time back on the recruiting board on the os.

    The day before Christmas I explained to everyone how I opened a present early and it was a Tommy Hilfiger sweater and how excited I was to wear my new sweater and Levis jeans to the family gathering.
     
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  35. triple-r

    triple-r Not the mama!
    Donor TMB OG
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    Ok so say this is how it goes.

    R (no bet)
    R (no bet)
    (You bet black)
    R (you lose)
    (you bet black)
    R (you lose)
    (you bet black
    B (you win)
    B (no bet)
    (you bet red)
    B (you lose)
    (you bet red)
    B (you lose)

    And it isn't like it's unlikely that a color hits 4 times in a row because I saw it happen constantly when I was in Vegas for 3 days.
     
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  36. Shu

    Shu there is no custom title

    Yeah. Sometimes I just cut my losses after a few rolls. But you're right - I never claimed it made me a lot of money.
     
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  37. Arrec Bardwin

    Arrec Bardwin La Araña Discoteca
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta FalconsChelseaAtlanta United

    Goddamnit you are stupid.

    What level of education do you have?
     
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  38. Jax Teller

    Jax Teller Well-Known Member
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    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesTennessee TitansNashville PredatorsNashville SC

    Got my tickets today. If I win I'll send Shu to explore his underwater ruins.

    and cut off his oxygen supply while he's down there
     
  39. colonelrascals

    colonelrascals Mayonnaise-colored Benz, I push miracle whips
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    i've been wondering this all day
     
  40. Nole96SC

    Nole96SC Old Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Florida State SeminolesSneakers

    Thread needs less Clark Griswald in Vegas and more lottery dreams.
     
  41. Irush

    Irush Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG

    500 milli?

    jesus cocks man, that is a lot.
     
  42. LuPoor

    LuPoor Cuddle with the homies watching Stand By Me
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    Tulsa Golden HurricaneOklahoma City ThunderTottenham HotspurSeattle Kraken

    :roll: at this page. This is incredible.
     
  43. JGator1

    JGator1 I'm the Michael Jordan of the industry
    TMB OG
    Florida GatorsTampa Bay RaysTampa Bay BuccaneersTampa Bay LightningChelsea

    Yep. Hoping this can drag out a few weeks so I can buy the winning ticket when I'm in Georgia.
     
  44. JohnLocke

    JohnLocke Terminally Chill
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    bless your heart shu
     
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  45. Aaron Hernandez

    Aaron Hernandez LikeMyPostCampaign: https://bit.ly/2kKJpot
    Donor
    Liberty Flames

    lol you are dumb as fuck. there's no such thing as a winning strategy for roulette. do you have any sort of understanding of statistics?
     
  46. Emma

    Emma
    Donor
    Wisconsin BadgersMilwaukee Brewers altMilwaukee BucksGreen Bay Packers

    Leave Shu alone please. He's good stuff guys.
     
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  47. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Shu is being a moron, but this might not be a troll. I had this same exact conversation with a college-educated person last year.
     
    Where Eagles Dare likes this.
  48. $abear

    $abear Well-Known Member
    Donor

    The doubling strategy - picking up pennies right in front of a steam roller.
     
  49. rodmansrage

    rodmansrage wearing a hoodie.

    do you have a newsletter that i might be able to subscribe to?

    pm me details if so.
     
  50. fetumpsh

    fetumpsh Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Not too bad at all.
     
    Where Eagles Dare likes this.