Dime sized hail and 75mph winds just blew through and my asleep 5 month old didn't even move. She's a future storm chaser for sure.
Yeah. I've heard about it but he's been weird about sharing many details. I'd like to see him publish a paper on it
Day 8 risk. I didn't look super closely at work, was kinda busy, but the models did seem in decent agreement. One to watch for sure
SPC wording: The synoptic setup which the medium-range models have been forecasting for a couple days, could result in a significant severe weather event on Friday into Friday night across parts of the southern and central Plains with tornadoes, large hail and wind damage possible. Due to the potential for a higher-end event on Friday, have added a 15 percent contour where model consensus places the greatest chance of severe weather I don't want to hype, esp this far out cause things will change, but definitely one to watch
No, some good friends about a quarter mile down the road. I'm expecting some decent flooding this afternoon though
Not sure if you can answer this or not, but is this any different than last weeks 8 day outlook for today's event? Seemed like the wording was similar.
Yeah. It seems there is better agreement with this event than for today's when it was that far out. Things started looking less certain the days after that outlook last week.
lomcevak give me your latest thoughts on rain totals for bham tmrw with the latest runs There is moisture in the caribbean that is hangin around. Hope it can get pulled up since the low pressure (lol) is dropping further and further south
I think most of May is actually gonna be quiet, at least for May standards. June could be the best month for w ks and Nebraska.
This is gonna be a fun watch. Models are in good agreement with the potent system but there seems to be differences in Thursday night into Friday which may or may not mess things up in some areas. The euro has had the Friday storm farther west as of yesterday but I haven't looked recently.
Im gonna look tonight at work. See how it looks. Glad to have another person posting in here. Weather fan or a met?
Just came across this video of the June 1998 Columbus, Nebraska monster wedge which luckily didn't damage much of anything. I wish a doppler on wheels was anywhere near this tornado to confirm it was only an EF-2
Just a fan of weather. Maybe fascination is a better word. I don't really root for tornadoes, flooding, etc but since they happen I enjoy following the models and how things play out and seeing how wrong my thinking was. I also love looking at how different mets handle situations all over the country. The only thing I root for actually happening is an inch of snow in the south because damn it's amazing.
Most ensembles put .15-.4" for you. A lot have nothing too. I'd like to think you'll get at least a quarter inch. Or at least hope
You can upload or use imgur and the add pictures or video buttons next to the smiley option. YouTube and Twitter will embed, can just post the links
Ah now I see the watch. Those storms N or Ardmore worth watching, or is this just going to congeal into a mess like Wed?
Yeah, eventually. The longer that takes to occur, the better the tor potential Still some capping issues in TX
Definitely the one to watch right now. It's near the outflow boundary that was put down by the earlier convection. Enhanced low level shear along that boundary
Daniel Shaw explaining turning right on red to his viewers. He's pretty good to watch, I am curious why an Australian news co is covering severe weather in the midwestern US