Official Tornado and Runaway Barge Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by GoodForAnother, May 10, 2010.

  1. RockHardJawn39

    RockHardJawn39 #FranklinOUT
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    It's a fucking mess in kingfisher. Our site is flooding and big wind gusts
     
  2. bertwing

    bertwing check out the nametag grandma
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    Had some nice lightning overnight into this morning

    [​IMG]
     
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  3. BLACK & GOLDschlager

    BLACK & GOLDschlager Well-Known Member
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    Have any of you of ever heard of Gary lezak and his LRC?
     
  4. Futureman

    Futureman Check you later kemosabe
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    Dime sized hail and 75mph winds just blew through and my asleep 5 month old didn't even move. She's a future storm chaser for sure.
     
  5. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Yeah. I've heard about it but he's been weird about sharing many details. I'd like to see him publish a paper on it
     
  6. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Day 8 risk. I didn't look super closely at work, was kinda busy, but the models did seem in decent agreement. One to watch for sure

    [​IMG]
     
  7. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    There's our morning MCS in all of it's messy ass glory

    screenshot0 3.png
     
  8. bertwing

    bertwing check out the nametag grandma
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    Tornado outlook for today shifted south. Booo

     
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  9. Futureman

    Futureman Check you later kemosabe
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    At full mast
     
  10. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    SPC wording:

    The synoptic setup which the medium-range models have been forecasting for a couple days, could result in a significant severe weather event on Friday into Friday night across parts of the southern and central Plains with tornadoes, large hail and wind damage possible. Due to the potential for a higher-end event on Friday, have added a 15 percent contour where model consensus places the greatest chance of severe weather

    I don't want to hype, esp this far out cause things will change, but definitely one to watch
     
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  11. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    In your yard?
     
  12. bertwing

    bertwing check out the nametag grandma
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    No, some good friends about a quarter mile down the road.

    I'm expecting some decent flooding this afternoon though
     
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  13. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
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    Not sure if you can answer this or not, but is this any different than last weeks 8 day outlook for today's event? Seemed like the wording was similar.
     
  14. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Yeah. It seems there is better agreement with this event than for today's when it was that far out. Things started looking less certain the days after that outlook last week.
     
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  15. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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  16. bertwing

    bertwing check out the nametag grandma
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    Crazy how quiet Oklahoma has been so far this spring and how wild GA has been

    Edit: and Nebraska too
     
  17. BrentTray

    BrentTray I’m thinking Dorsia.
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    Wow and Nebraska doesn't really start ramping up until May. Really active spring.
     
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  18. Futureman

    Futureman Check you later kemosabe
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    Oklahoma is due which worries me it could be a very active May
     
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  19. BrentTray

    BrentTray I’m thinking Dorsia.
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    Nebraska, Western/Central Kansas and Oklahoma are all due.
     
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  20. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
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    Yeah Nebraska kicks off in May - June right?
     
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  21. BrentTray

    BrentTray I’m thinking Dorsia.
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    Yup, and we get a "second season" in late September - October.
     
  22. je ne suis pas ici

    je ne suis pas ici Well-Known Member
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    lomcevak give me your latest thoughts on rain totals for bham tmrw with the latest runs

    There is moisture in the caribbean that is hangin around. Hope it can get pulled up since the low pressure (lol) is dropping further and further south
     
  23. BLACK & GOLDschlager

    BLACK & GOLDschlager Well-Known Member
    Nashville Predators

    I think most of May is actually gonna be quiet, at least for May standards. June could be the best month for w ks and Nebraska.
     
  24. BLACK & GOLDschlager

    BLACK & GOLDschlager Well-Known Member
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    This is gonna be a fun watch. Models are in good agreement with the potent system but there seems to be differences in Thursday night into Friday which may or may not mess things up in some areas. The euro has had the Friday storm farther west as of yesterday but I haven't looked recently.
     
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  25. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Im gonna look tonight at work. See how it looks.

    Glad to have another person posting in here. Weather fan or a met?
     
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  26. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Tornado watch incoming

    [​IMG]
     
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  27. Futureman

    Futureman Check you later kemosabe
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    Just came across this video of the June 1998 Columbus, Nebraska monster wedge which luckily didn't damage much of anything. I wish a doppler on wheels was anywhere near this tornado to confirm it was only an EF-2 :facepalm:

     
  28. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    That's a healthy tornado
     
  29. BLACK & GOLDschlager

    BLACK & GOLDschlager Well-Known Member
    Nashville Predators

    Just a fan of weather. Maybe fascination is a better word. I don't really root for tornadoes, flooding, etc but since they happen I enjoy following the models and how things play out and seeing how wrong my thinking was. I also love looking at how different mets handle situations all over the country. The only thing I root for actually happening is an inch of snow in the south because damn it's amazing.
     
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  30. Futureman

    Futureman Check you later kemosabe
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    Reminds me of a larger Fairdale, IL torndao
     
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  31. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    I definitely see that. The motion on that tornado looks quite violent
     
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  32. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Kick ass
     
  33. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Best supercell of the day thus far is in.... DC

    screenshot0.png
     
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  34. BrentTray

    BrentTray I’m thinking Dorsia.
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    One of my favorite tornado videos out there. That roar is awesome and terrifying.
     
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  35. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Most ensembles put .15-.4" for you. A lot have nothing too. I'd like to think you'll get at least a quarter inch. Or at least hope
     
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  36. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Tornado warning in TN, just like we all thought...

    kohx_20170421_2103_BR_0.5.png
     
  37. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Tornado watch incoming, for real
     
  38. BLACK & GOLDschlager

    BLACK & GOLDschlager Well-Known Member
    Nashville Predators

    How do you post pics and videos here
     
  39. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    [​IMG]
     
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  40. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    You can upload or use imgur and the add pictures or video buttons next to the smiley option.

    YouTube and Twitter will embed, can just post the links
     
  41. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
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    Not a damn thing in Texas yet
     
  42. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
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    Ah now I see the watch. Those storms N or Ardmore worth watching, or is this just going to congeal into a mess like Wed?
     
  43. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Yeah, eventually. The longer that takes to occur, the better the tor potential

    Still some capping issues in TX
     
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  44. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
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    Mid-level rotating?
    Screenshot_20170421-165047.png
     
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  45. je ne suis pas ici

    je ne suis pas ici Well-Known Member
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    yeah .25 is my mark as well. hoping for .3+

    next sunday still lookin good though on my end, yeah?
     
  46. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Definitely the one to watch right now. It's near the outflow boundary that was put down by the earlier convection. Enhanced low level shear along that boundary
     
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  47. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
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    One near tish didn't get swallowed up and kinda took a dive to the SE Screenshot_20170421-171306.png
     
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  48. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    Here's that southern storm

     
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  49. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
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    That southern storm is now tornado warned

     
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  50. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
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    Daniel Shaw explaining turning right on red to his viewers. He's pretty good to watch, I am curious why an Australian news co is covering severe weather in the midwestern US