Low tornado probability with this storm. Weak low level shear + surface winds out of the NE + storm may not be surface based (inflow into theb storm is rooted above the surface)
Eventually it all may congeal. Already some evidence of things going linear back in MO. Will only continue east-southeastward today
Storms from earlier took out a limb from my tree, that hit my house and put a hole in my roof. Fuck me.
Storm reports thus far http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/170527_rpts.html http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/reports/
Latest mesoscale discussion re: the above bow echo Spoiler Mesoscale Discussion 0872 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0424 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017 Areas affected...southeastern MO Concerning...Tornado Watch 275... Valid 272124Z - 272230Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 275 continues. SUMMARY...A high-end and intense bow echo will move across southeastern portions of MO and likely result in widespread 70-100 mph gusts. The area over far southeastern MO, far southern IL, and western KY is being considered for a Particularly Dangerous Situation Severe Thunderstorm/or Tornado Watch. DISCUSSION...Radar imagery shows a very intense and compact bow echo from 15 mi south-southeast VIH to 25 mi north-northeast UNO. The environment is characterized as very unstable with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE immediately ahead of the bow. 50-kt effective shear will support a a long-lived MCS as it moves around 55-kt to the east towards the MS-OH river confluence over the next few hours. KSGF single site radar imagery showed a 80-95 kt rear inflow jet around 9000 feet above radar level. Expecting efficient downward momentum transport within the RIJ region of the bow with widespread gusts in the 70-100 mph range---resulting in extensive tree damage within the localized higher-end swaths. ..Smith.. 05/27/2017 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF... LAT...LON 37979188 37929098 37548950 37248936 36828946 36608977 36799089 37159209 37979188
Today is one of those days that reminds ppl that wind and hail beyond tornadoes can fuck shit up, sadly. Be safe everyone
Would be a hell of a welcome home if I show up on Monday to a truck with no windows. Anxiously refreshing currently while I'm awake to see if anything pops off
Low level shear across central OK is weak. Could modulate the tornado threat initially. Bigly hail though
I'm about 30 minutes north of that bow. The wind here was insane. Can't imagine what it's like down there.
Discrete cell behind the line in NE OK just got warned. Seems like this one could be a big deal? Or is that line ruining the atmosphere?
Looks like it's behind the outflow/quasi front and may not be surface based. Dunno, only on mobile right now. It's moving east too which isn't helping
I know the tor watch goes till midnight, but is the risk for tornadoes going to diminish with all the discrete cells popping up at sundown?
Could still persist. Usually get an increase in the low level jet --> better low-level shear --> Greensburg EF5 was a good example of a strong low level jet after sunset