Could be interesting. Shear orientation with respect to the front would favor more discrete supercells. Overall shear is quite good, but that's not all that surprising as we're moving into the time of year with stronger jet streams. If you've ever wondered why severe weather is favored on fall and spring, it's the stronger jet associated with a larger temperature gradient in the cool/transition seasons (simplifying of course). Temp gradient --> stronger jet --> stronger wind shear. Also generally why we have more frequent, stronger weather systems in the winter compared to summer.
Pretty messy setup today. This first round and another a bit later. Glad I'm not working the forecast desk for this. Currently socked in with clouds and storms
Supercell here trying to get it's act together, it's a bit north of the warm front so it's likely elevated an the tor threat isn't super high
Likely tornado on the ground south of fort Wayne, in. Not great radar coverage, but seeing evidence of debris being lofted to at least 7k feet.
This storm is cycling. Old mesocyclone (labeled as 1) is moving of to the NE while a new area of broad rotation is forming (meso #2)
was pretty excited to see I'll be getting some thunderstorms today while missing out on the severe threats, looks like it won't get here until midnight though
Watch the right two panels, velocity on top, correlation coefficient on bottom. Big bloom of blues on the cc that is collocated with velocity right after wabash --> lots of debris being lofted
Yup. The Aussie that does all the chasing around the states needs to find him a attractive copilot with that accent. He’d make a fortune
lol I love when ppl preface with something like "now I know this is 384 hours out, but if this verifies, look out..." (spoiler alert: it won't verify) and then two tweets later they're bitching about ppl posting bullshit model maps online. the internet is a weird place
It’s great to follow what is apparently two groups. People who hype and then the people who subtweet the people hyping. And I’m pretty sure depending on the event they swap sides.
It's not even Thanksgiving yet and I'm already longing for spring... Anyway, here's a neat site from the SPC that allows you to go back and see storm reports, met data, and all watches and discussions from most relatively severe weather events since 2000: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/events/ Info on how they choose events to archive (although I'm not sure if it's still 100% accurate): http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/events/introduction.html
Monday we went into a tornado warning with the front that passed through that's causing all the snow.
Was doing some training today and came across radar data from the April 28, 2014 Louisville, MS EF4 tornado. You can still see the track of the tornado via the lack of vegetation in the satellite image. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20140428 http://www.weather.gov/jan/2014_04_27_28_29
I did an internship in Mississippi in 2012. Got to go to one of the refuges by yazoo city, even two years later you could clearly see the path of the tornado. In 2016 I was down in eureka, ks for work a week or two after that tornado. I was probably more impressed with the snapped trees and damage swath out in the country than anything I saw that summer. Nature is scary.
I drive by the bridge the 2013 Moore EF5 took out everyday. The trees around that area are all sheared off almost 5 years later.
Same with the 2014 mayflower arkansas tornado. All the trees through the interstate are all stripped off and no growth still.
Yep I drove through there last year and noticed that That thing was an EF5 and nothing can convince me otherwise.
Every once in a while, I drive by a section hit by the St. Louis Good Friday tornado. There are a lot of trees in that area and it looks similar to the first section of grass you cut after letting it go for a long time. Just a perfect outline in the shape of a tornado.
I'll just leave this here before most of the northern half of the country gets ready for a blast of Arctic air later this week http://www.ustornadoes.com/2017/12/18/top-u-s-tornado-videos-2017/