Official Tornado Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by GoodForAnother, May 10, 2010.

  1. BrentTray

    BrentTray Mark Norvall
    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersKansas City RoyalsKansas City Chiefs

  2. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    My work forecast challenge starts tomorrow. I'll share as I do them. At least twice a week for 6 of 10 weeks is my goal.
     
  3. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    Duck2013 and Futureman like this.
  4. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

  5. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

  6. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    This one is likely a significant tornado. Debris lofted to at least 17k feet plus falling out of the sky 25 miles north of greensboro
     
    bertwing likes this.
  7. Big Ern McCracken

    Big Ern McCracken Well-Known Member
    Donor
    North Carolina TarheelsSouth Carolina Gamecocks

    Here in Lex, SC. Nasty storms went through about 230, was under tornado warning for about 30 mins. Have been without power since then.
     
    #11557 Big Ern McCracken, Apr 15, 2018 at 7:25 PM
    Last edited: Apr 15, 2018 at 7:35 PM
  8. Jeffrey Lebowski

    Jeffrey Lebowski Obviously you're not a golfer
    Donor
    Georgia BulldogsAtlanta HawksAtlanta FalconsWWE

    Got hit by that storm around 1. Pretty heavy rain for a long time
     
  9. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
    Donor
    Clemson TigersNebraska CornhuskersCarolina Panthers

    Where in Lexington?
     
  10. Big Ern McCracken

    Big Ern McCracken Well-Known Member
    Donor
    North Carolina TarheelsSouth Carolina Gamecocks

    About a mile up the road from Lake Murray Dam
     
  11. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
    Donor
    Clemson TigersNebraska CornhuskersCarolina Panthers

    In the Lexington side? My parents live about a mile up the road on the irmo side, they didn’t get the bad shit I guess
     
  12. Big Ern McCracken

    Big Ern McCracken Well-Known Member
    Donor
    North Carolina TarheelsSouth Carolina Gamecocks

    Yeah, Lex side near 378, apparently trees/powerlines down everywhere on this side of town. Power just came back on.
     
    cutig likes this.
  13. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
    Donor
    Clemson TigersNebraska CornhuskersCarolina Panthers

    That part of the county always gets the bad shit. Growing up we never got much, but the tornadoes and big hail were always across the dam
     
    Big Ern McCracken likes this.
  14. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    From same storm that hit Greensboro

     
  15. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

  16. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

  17. oldberg

    oldberg However, there are chill
    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersKansas City RoyalsNew York GiantsSporting Kansas City

    So this kinda come out of no where?
     
  18. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    There was an enhanced threat in the area with possible tornadoes forecast. The warning itself was a tiny bit late, but it should not have been a surprise.

    Friday was the more hyped event, but this looks like it might have been "bigger"
     
    shaolin5, Futureman and oldberg like this.
  19. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

  20. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
    Donor
    Clemson TigersNebraska CornhuskersCarolina Panthers



    Probably going to give this dude another donation for his streams this year. Pretty good watch last year
     
    oldberg and lomcevak like this.
  21. BrentTray

    BrentTray Mark Norvall
    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersKansas City RoyalsKansas City Chiefs

    Greensboro, NC hit pretty hard as well.

     
    xec and lomcevak like this.
  22. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
    Donor
    Clemson TigersNebraska CornhuskersCarolina Panthers

  23. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    A pretty strong couplet SW of Richmond, VA

    rs_kakq_wdtr1_1523844010.png
     
    cutig likes this.
  24. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    Two areas of rotation

    rs_kakq_wdtr1_1523844613.png
     
  25. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
    Donor
    Clemson TigersNebraska CornhuskersCarolina Panthers

  26. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    Two distinct storms.

    You can tell if a storm is cycling when the rotation wanes, but never goes away, before strengthening again.

    Or you'll see one meso arc off to the left of the storm (often off to the NNW) as a new one forms/becomes dominant in it's place. The Dodge City tornadoes from 2016 were like that if I recall
     
    cutig likes this.
  27. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
    Donor
    Clemson TigersNebraska CornhuskersCarolina Panthers

    I gotcha. I looked At it again and kinda realized it didn’t look the same as the strong storms I remember in the Midwest that would cycle like that.
     
  28. bertwing

    bertwing check out the nametag grandma
    Staff Donor
    Arkansas RazorbacksNew Orleans SaintsTiger Woods

    Watching "SuperTornado- Anatomy of a Mega Disaster" on Amazon Prime revisiting the Joplin tornado.

    It's pretty interesting and brings back a lot of memories.
     
    lomcevak likes this.
  29. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    I'll have to look for that
     
    bertwing likes this.
  30. Funshot Residue

    Funshot Residue Fine Young Cannibal
    Donor
    Virginia CavaliersMiami MarlinsMiami Dolphins

    Elon is 10 miles from my house. Road still closed this morning. We got lucky. The path of that cell paralleled the mountain/ridge that we are on the other side of. Local reports are that everyone is safe, with some minor injuries. Total cliche, but it is hard to imagine this happening so close to home. I drive through there twice a day.
     
    lomcevak and bertwing like this.
  31. Futureman

    Futureman Fan of a known softball powerhouse
    Donor TMB OG
    Mississippi RebelsHouston AstrosHouston Rockets

    Were those tors embedded in a line or semi discreet
     
  32. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    I'll have to look again, cause I was distracted by hockey last night and only looked at the circulations.

    I'm pretty sure they were semi isolated supercells just ahead of the main line. It was messy overall
     
    Futureman likes this.
  33. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    Glad it missed you and that it appears there weren't any serious injuries
     
  34. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

  35. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    Well, first forecast for the challenge. Bleh, not a lot going on. Could be some hail, but wind looks more likely.

    Just as likely nothing happens/storms form but stay sub-severe.

    Fairly potent upper level wave will move through the Northwest with modest 500mb flow overspreading much of Montana and Idaho. Despite, meager low-level moisture, steep 700-500mb lapse rates will yield ~ 500-1000 J/kg MUCAPE and when coupled with bulk shear values in excess of 50 knots will support a very marginal chance at a severe storm. Storm mode looks to be in the form of pulse-like/multi-cell convection, however, given strong shear, a transient supercell or two is possible.

    Expect any convection to form in an area of enhanced low-level convergence to the NE of the surface low in central MT. The lift collocated with an area of modest instability could yield an isolated hail report. However, given the dry boundary layer, severe wind gusts look most probabilistic.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
    Futureman and cutig like this.
  36. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
    Donor
    Clemson TigersNebraska CornhuskersCarolina Panthers

    Randomly assigned locations?
     
  37. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    No assigned locations. We pick where we think there will be severe weather and forecast for that point

    We pick a point, determine the main threat (hail, wind, tor), and then write a discussion. Scored based upon proximity to a severe report, if there is one
     
    cutig likes this.
  38. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
    Donor
    Clemson TigersNebraska CornhuskersCarolina Panthers

    Gotcha. You going to have some fun and do one for Friday in Texas?
     
  39. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    Yeah, that's the plan. Trying to avoid SPC discussion for now. It's technically guidance, but I want to see what I think first as we get closer
     
    cutig likes this.
  40. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    A quick look at things and places I'll watch for the challenge.

    Overnight Tuesday: NE KS and western MO: maybe a small chance of elevated storms with some hail

    Thursday: SE NM: all hazards

    Friday eastern NM/western TX: all hazards
     
    cutig likes this.
  41. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    Greensboro tornado rated ef2
     
    Futureman likes this.
  42. Prospector

    Prospector I am not a new member
    Arkansas Razorbacks

    Arkansas had 11(?!) tornados
    Multiple Tornadoes Confirmed So Far, Including EF-2
    Updated: Apr 16, 2018 05:46 PM CDT

    [​IMG]
    Update:
    LITTLE ROCK, Ark. - Storm surveyors with the National Weather Service continue assessments from the severe weather outbreak on Friday (April 13).

    As of mid-morning on Monday, the total stands at 11, as follows:

    • Mountainburg (Crawford County) EF-2
    • Gamaliel Landing (Baxter County) EF-1
    • Umpire (Howard County) EF-1
    • Ozone (Johnson County) EF-1
    • Lavaca (Sebastian/Franklin counties) EF-1
    • Oppelo (Conway County) EF-0
    • Crossett (Ashley County) EF-1 (Two tornadoes)
    • Montrose (Ashley/Chicot counties) EF-2
    • El Dorado (Union County) TBA (Two tornadoes)
    Total tornadoes for the year in Arkansas stands at 20.

    Update (4/15/18 9:20 p.m.):

    ASHLEY COUNTY, Ark- The National Weather Service out of Jackson, MS submitted survey results on Sunday confirming three tornadoes in far South Arkansas.

    Two tornadoes remained in Ashley County. One was discovered 8 miles southwest of Crossett. This tornado uprooted and snap many trees, causing damage to a few homes. The damage found was consistent with an EF-1 tornado with wind speeds of 100 mph.

    Another tornado track was discovered 4 miles east of Crossett. Several trees along the path were uprooted and snapped. A few small sheds received damage. This damage was consistent with an EF-1 tornado with a wind speed of 100 mph.

    The third tornado touched down in Ashley County and continued into Chicot County before ending. It was given an EF-2 rating with winds peaking near 115 mph. According to the survey report, the top of a silo was removed and the structure was bent, two homes had exterior damage with one losing a large amount of roofing material, and a travel trailer was destroyed. All of this damage was was located near US HWY 82 at the Ashley/Chicot County line. As the tornado continued into Chicot County, two sets of wooden transmission poled were found snapped and a mobile home sustained damage.

    Update:

    OPPELO, Ark. - The National Weather Service in Little Rock confirmed a tornado caused damage in Oppelo. It was given an EF-0 rating with estimated winds of 65-85 mph. According to the survey, several trees were snapped or uprooted near Timberlake Reservoir.

    Update (4/15/18 6:28 p.m.):

    LAVACA, Ark. - At 6:23 p.m. CDT on Sunday, the National Weather Service in Tulsa confirmed a fifth Tornado touched down near Lavaca, Arkansas, on Friday, which was classified an EF-1 with winds between 85 and 95 MPH.

    Update:

    LITTLE ROCK, Ark. -- On Sunday, a survey team from the Little Rock National Weather Service office completed a storm damage assessment located in Johnson County in the community of Ozone. They found damage consistent with an EF-1 tornado with winds of 105 mph.

    Original story:

    LITTLE ROCK, Ark. -- On Friday evening and into the overnight hours, Arkansas was rocked with severe weather. Thunderstorms left damage to many locations across the state.

    By the end ot the severe weather event, more that three dozen reports were submitted that spanned from tornadoes, wind damage, flooding, to hail.

    The National Weather Service began surveying storm damage Saturday across the state to determine the cause. Below is what has been discovered so far:

    Straight-line wind damage was found in Mountain Home, located in Baxter County. Utility poles were blown down. Several businesses sustained heavy damage and a nursing home lost part of its roof and had to be evacuated. This type of damage was consistent with wind speeds of 85-90 mph.

    To the north of Mountain Home in Baxter County, an EF-1 tornado with winds of 85- 110 mph was confirmed. The survey team found damage to a church, garage and outbuildings along with several trees snapped or uprooted.

    In the Greers Ferry area, damage was reported to be from straight-line winds of 85 to 90 mph.

    In Conway, the damage on the UCA campus is consistent with straight-line winds of 75 mph.

    The National Weather Service also surveyed the Mountainburg area in Crawford County. The preliminary results have the damage being caused by an EF-2. Multiple buildings were damaged with numerous snapped and uprooted trees.

    In Southwest Arkansas, a survey team went to the Umpire Community in Howard County They discovered damage that would be caused by an EF-1 rated tornado. This survey is still ongoing.

    Keep in mind, surveys are still being completed and will take several more days before they are finished. Please check back for new updates.
     
    BrentTray likes this.
  43. oldberg

    oldberg However, there are chill
    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersKansas City RoyalsNew York GiantsSporting Kansas City

    Oh great more snow for me this weekend :killme:
     
    BrentTray likes this.
  44. BrentTray

    BrentTray Mark Norvall
    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersKansas City RoyalsKansas City Chiefs

    FUCK
     
    oldberg likes this.
  45. oldberg

    oldberg However, there are chill
    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersKansas City RoyalsNew York GiantsSporting Kansas City

    I hope the forecast holds and temps stay at the 40 mark but fuck, the way this spring has gone I’m fully expecting 12+ inches
     
  46. spagett

    spagett Got ya, spooked ya
    Donor

    Meridian is such a weird city to drive through. Most interstates don't pass right through the middle of a city at street level (or close to it).
     
  47. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

    Let's look at all those severe reports I nailed

    [​IMG]

    Lol I was way off. I figured I was going out on a limb, but also figured that is a storm did form, they often spit out a few severe gusts out west
     
    oldberg, Oranjello, Futureman and 2 others like this.
  48. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

  49. lomcevak

    lomcevak The suck zone
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishDetroit TigersDetroit LionsDetroit Red Wings

  50. cutig

    cutig My name is Rod, and I like to party
    Donor
    Clemson TigersNebraska CornhuskersCarolina Panthers

    At least there could be some drought relief coming this week.

    That is, if it isn’t a giant charred scar by then
     
    lomcevak likes this.