Dang, SPC used "significant severe event" in the discussion. I'll have to take a closer look later today.
Wow, how in the hell does that happen? The failing NWS just continues its downward trend. Very unfair!
Maybe, just maybe, there are things about weather that we don’t fully understand and may never in our lifetimes. In 1999 or so, Salt Lake City was hit by a tornado and I don’t think there was even a severe storm warning issued.
I'll have to go back and look at this event, but I seem to remember the circulation wasn't very obvious via the regular Doppler, but more obvious via the terminal Doppler radar. Terminal Doppler has higher resolution, but shorter usable range So if the person wasn't using that radar, I'm not really surprised it was missed
Quite possibly. I'm in Colorado, so I haven't had much time to look for myself. I'll be driving back tomorrow. Storm mode will likely be the discriminating factor. If can get some fairly isolated supercells, could be more of a traditional outbreak. I do know the cold front will likely make everything go linear later
Tomorrow looks weird. It looks like one of those days where the "hype" could disappoint some. It's a highly sheared environment with just enough instability. Warm-sector lift ahead of the front could make or break the tornadic potential - can we get enough lift to sustain some storms + enough destabilization to take advantage of the shear available. I have no doubts we'll see a lot of severe reports late tomorrow into the overnight as the cold front crashes down, including possibly significant tornadoes. However, I'm always looking for discrete supercells that yield the highest tornadic potential, and I'm just not sure. Could be the event where you get one or two storms ahead of the front that go bonkers and produce or you don't really get anything other than a lot of wind + a few spinups along the front late. Regardless, this looks to be a late event for much of the area and there will be a tight gradient between who gets severe weather and who doesn't.
Big fan of tornadoes but absolutely hate nocturnal ones. I’d much rather this system bust than verify in even a small way.
They are saying both the Belmont cell and the Atlanta cell both have confirmed tornados now. This is going to get ugly tonight.
Possible, but it needs to have vertical and temporal continuity. Would just have to look at a few more things
couple of tornado warned cells heading towards the Nashville area, just had one a bit north expire didn't feel like going to bed tonight anyway
Seems like at least 2 touched down here in Nashville area Got a little intense with a lot of wind in our neighborhood for about 10 mins
Ah the continuity part makes it a little easier to identify with more confidence. Here’s 3 tilts of the storm near Murfreesboro/Auburntown. Am I doing it right?
Scrolling through Spann's Twitter this morning, looks like things popped off late last night. Saw a report of one confirmed death
Damn, can't believe this outbreak was 5 years ago...Washington, IL ef4 that day https://www.weather.gov/ilx/17nov13-revisited https://www.weather.gov/lot/17Nov2013
Good twitter thread on the event with links to videos and such. I remember telling ppl that morning (I lived in Chicago) to be weather aware and I got a lot of "it's November you dumbass, not May"...
How does this idiot get caught, tossed and torn up by the tornado and not only manage to hold on to his cell phone the entire time, but also land next to the rest of his family that was in shelter and unharmed*? Edit: relatively unharmed
I drew that one. Appreciate user Luka holding up the base of the shaft and Id like to brag about my precision placement of the tip near Great Salt Lake
They pulled back the slight into OK. Things started to trend westward with the data last night. Likely see initiation back near i35. Strong wind fields today/good shear seems to be most favorable today