How much of point spread do you guys generally look for before betting the middle I am mostly talking about betting an over or under, looking good to hit, and then betting the opposite for the second half.
I stay away from that stuff my friend. The only time I look at something like that is if I'm covering the final leg of a parlay.
This is something I'm interested in, as well. Sometimes I think it's just to take the win. For instance, the other night the USM game was like 51, I think. it was 7-0 at half. If you had the under, probably just best to take the win. 2H was like 25, I think. 25 + 7 = 32 so you'd have a 19 point middle. Obviously it'd be great to double up, but would also suck to take o/2H and end up losing. If the 1H was 21 and the 2H was 25, I could see doing it. It cover you in case the 2H goes nuts and they put up 40. Gives you a middle of 7, too. I guess I kinda look at it as insurance with a chance to win double. If I don't need the insurance (like the USM under), then I just take the win. There's probably a good middle range, just not sure what it is
I'm sure someone has done research that would tell you the ideal number that makes betting the middle a go, I just personally think it's bad betting karma.
Eh, not really. It makes a ton of sense in some situations. Like I said, it's like insurance with a chance to hit it big. That's how I look at it, at least.
If I bet a middle I never double up for this reason, unless I don't like how the 1st half went and am just trying to cancel my bet. I will usually bet about 50% of my full game total.
I hit a middle on Friday night on the TCU-Baylor game. Had a 3 game teaser where the first 2 games hit Thursday night and final game was TCU +5 I think it was $40 to win $37 Put another bet $40 to win $36 on Baylor +4.5 right before gametime. Worst case I was gonna lose $3-4. Ended up winning $73. Maybe have done it 3-4 times in my life in situations like this. I need a significant amt of points to do it though at least a touchdown buffer
This is the one scenario where I will bet this - when you can get a hedge + a middle of a substantial number of points.
Thanks for the input. The reason I asked was because I was thinking about doing it with the Miami game last night. I bet the over on the game needing 45.5 to hit. At the half it the total was 34. I only needed 11.5. The second half O/U was 24.5 and I was seriously considering betting the under. I had a 13 point middle, and had a bunch of key numbers in between. The second half ended up under at 22. Essentially I guaranteed that I would at most lose juice, or I had a good chance of doubling up. Should I have bet the under in the second half IYO?
Yea with almost 2TDs as a middle for a total that's a pretty good # to do it. But at the same time, if you only need 11.5 points in a half of football and they scored 34 in the 1st half, your initial bet was a lock. So it's all about trying to go double or nothing at that point.