Mighty Quinn Mighty hit with Nevada (-10-1/2) Friday night. Today it's Navy and Ohio State. The surplus is 1,065 sirignanos.
Hondo Hondo, trying to bounce back from getting horn swoggled by the Cards Thursday night, ended up with a splitting headache last night when the Sawx failed to match his Yankee victory, which increased the deficit slightly to 1,365 kellys. Tonight, he'll re-deal the Cards with some dinero on Pineiro and mix in a play on the Horned Frogs of TCU. Ten units apiece.
Scott Ferrall NCAAF FREE PICKS FOR SATURDAY AGAINST THE SPREAD Bowling Green KENT +3 ½ (1) Western Michigan TOLEDO -7 ½ (2) Arizona State WASHINGTON STATE +21 (3) Utah State NEW MEXICO STATE +12 (4) POINTS TOTALS Utah / Colorado State OVER 52 Ohio / Akron OVER 51 ½ Kansas State / Texas Tech OVER 56 Stanford / Oregon State UNDER 50 ½
MLB DUNKEL LA Dodgers at St. Louis The Dodgers look to build on their 6-1 record in Vicente Padilla's last 7 starts. LA is the pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+155). Here are all of today's picks. SATURDAY, OCTOBER 10 Game 901-902: LA Dodgers at St. Louis Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Padilla) 15.703; St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.076 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 9 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+155); Under Game 903-904: Philadelphia at Colorado Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Martinez) 16.511; Colorado (Hammel) 15.308 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 9 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+115); Under
RatedPicks NCAA Football (College): CFB 10/10 Purdue at Minnesota pick: Minnesota pts: -3 2 units CFB 10/10 Alabama at Mississippi pick: Alabama pts: -4.5 2 units CFB 10/10 New Mexico at Wyoming pick: Wyoming pts: -10 2 units CFB 10/10 TCU at Air Force pick: TCU pts: -10.5 2 units MLB Playoffs: MLB 10/10 LA Dodgers at St Louis Cardinals pick: St Louis Cardinals pts: -1.5 (+135) 2 units MLB 10/10 Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies pick: Philadelphia Phillies pts: +115 2 units
WAYNE ROOT'S UPSET CLUB Ole Miss (+4½) over Alabama 6*UCLA (+3½) over Oregon Both games are at 3:30 PM
THE SPORTS ADVISORS SATURDAY, OCTOBER 10 COLLEGE FOOTBALL (1) Florida (4-0, 2-1 ATS) at (4) LSU (5-0, 2-3 ATS) The marquee game of the week takes place under the lights at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, where fourth-ranked LSU hosts SEC rival and top-ranked Florida, which may have to go without star quarterback Tim Tebow. The Gators have been idle since a 41-7 rout of Kentucky on Sept. 26, jumping out to a 31-0 first-quarter lead and easily cashing as a 20½-point road chalk. Florida lost Tebow to a serious concussion in the victory, and although the former Heisman Trophy winner was cleared to practice earlier this week, his status for tonight won’t be decided until game time. If Tebow can’t go, sophomore John Brantley (4-for-6, 30 yards, 1 TD, no INTs vs. Kentucky) will get the nod. One week after needing a miraculous goal-line stand in the waning moments of a 30-26 win at Mississippi State, LSU went to Georgia and rallied for a 20-13 victory as a 3½-point road pup. The Tigers saw a 12-7 lead turn into a 13-12 deficit with 1:09 to play, but they got a 33-yard TD run from Charles Scott just 23 seconds later, followed by a successful two-point conversion, to steal the victory. LSU finished with 368 total yards (156 rushing) and allowed just 274 yards (45 rushing). Florida owns the nation’s longest winning streak at 14 in a row, all by double digits, and it is 11-1 ATS in lined action during this stretch. Meanwhile, LSU is riding a six-game winning streak (3-3 ATS) since a 38-3 thrashing of Georgia Tech in last year’s Chick-fil-A Bowl, and the Tigers have won 32 consecutive home games played at night. These rivals have split the last four meetings, with the Gators cashing each time. Last year in Gainesville, Florida cruised 51-21 as a 6½-point home favorite, finishing with a 475-321 edge in total offense (265-80 on the ground). In their last trip to Baton Rouge, the Gators suffered a heartbreaking 28-24 loss, blowing a 24-14 fourth-quarter lead as LSU converted five straight fourth-down attempts on their two late TD drives. However, Florida did easily cover as an eight-point underdog, improving to 5-0 ATS in its last five trips to the Bayou. Also in this rivalry, the visitor is on a 6-2 ATS roll, and the pup has cashed in five of the last seven. The Gators, who opened up with cupcakes Charleston Southern (62-3 win) and Troy (56-6), are putting up 45.5 points and 526.2 total yards per game, including 307.5 rushing ypg (7 yards per tote). By comparison, LSU is averaging 27 points but just 322 yards per outing, including 135.8 rushing ypg (3.7 ypc). Florida also rates the edge on defense, yielding just 7.2 points and 212.8 total yards per game, including just 120 passing yards per contest and 3.9 yards per pass attempt. LSU has been stout on the stop side, too, giving up averages of 14.8 points and 320.8 yards (116 rushing ypg, 3.3 ypc). In addition to its ongoing 11-1 ATS roll overall, Florida is on further pointspread tears of 23-7 overall, 11-1 on the highway, 21-7 as a favorite, 9-0 as a road chalk, 13-3 in SEC action (8-1 last nine), 5-1 in October and 17-4 against teams with a winning record. Despite last Saturday’s upset at Georgia, LSU has still failed to cover in 11 of its last 14 regular-season games and is on further ATS slides of 8-19-1 overall, 3-12-1 at Tiger Stadium, 8-21-1 in SEC play, 2-5 in October, 2-4 as an underdog, 3-6 versus winning teams and 0-4 after a non-cover. The one positive: The Tigers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 as an underdog of 3½ to 10 points. Florida has stayed low in four of its last five games overall, but otherwise Urban Meyer’s squad is on “over” rolls of 11-5 in conference play, 5-1 in October, 14-6 after a spread-cover, 15-5 against winning teams and 20-9 when playing on grass. The over for LSU is on runs of 17-9 overall, 13-5 in conference play, 5-2 in October and 4-1 as a home underdog. On the flip side, 10 of the last 13 clashes in this rivalry have stayed below the total, including five of the last seven at LSU. ATS ADVANTAGE: FLORIDA Michigan (4-1, 3-2 ATS) at (12) Iowa (5-0, 3-1 ATS) The Hawkeyes look to run their winning streak to 10 in a row when they resume Big Ten play by hosting Michigan at Kinnick Stadium. Iowa jumped out to a 14-0 lead midway through the first quarter against Arkansas State last week, then completely lost interest and held on for a 24-21 victory, falling way short as a 21½-point home favorite. The Hawkeyes did have a 420-286 advantage in total offense, but QB Richard Stanzi offset a 296-yard, three-TD passing day with two interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown. During its nine-game winning streak, Iowa has surrendered an average of just 13 points per game, allowing more than 17 points just twice. After climbing back into the national rankings with four straight home wins to start 2009, Michigan quickly slid back out of the Top 25 after last week’s 26-20 overtime loss at Michigan State as a four-point road underdog. Freshman QB Tate Forcier (17-for-32, 223 yards) tossed two TD passes with four minutes to play – the second with two seconds remaining – to help the Wolverines rally from a 20-6 deficit and force overtime. However, Forcier then threw an interception in the end zone on Michigan’s first overtime possession, and Michigan State turned around and scored the game-winner on a 23-yard run. The Wolverines were outgained 417-251, including 197-28 on the ground. These schools last met on the gridiron in 2006, with Michigan prevailing 20-6 as a 12½-point home favorite. The Wolverines have won the last three meetings and they’ve cashed in the last two – including a 23-20 overtime victory as a three-point pup in their last trip to Iowa City in 2005 – after Iowa had gone 8-0 ATS in the previous eight meetings (all as an underdog). In fact, prior to Michigan’s 2006 rout as a home chalk, the underdog had been on a 9-0 ATS roll in this rivalry. Michigan is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when catching between 3½ and 10 points, but otherwise Rich Rodriguez’s team is in pointspread ruts of 5-12 overall, 1-5 on the highway, 0-4 in Big Ten play, 0-5 in October, 1-5 after a SU defeat, 2-5 as an underdog and 2-5 versus winning teams. Iowa had a 5-0 ATS run halted when it failed to cover against Arkansas State, but the Hawkeyes are still on positive ATS runs of 37-17 at home, 6-2 in conference play, 4-1 in October, 7-0 against winning teams, 4-1 as a favorite and 10-2 when laying between 3½ and 10 points. For Michigan, the over is on upticks of 7-2 on the road (all as an underdog), 7-3 in conference play and 4-1 on grass. The over is also 3-1-1 in Iowa’s last five at home and 3-1-1 in its last five in October. ATS ADVANTAGE: IOWA and OVER Boston College (4-1, 3-1 ATS) at (5) Virginia Tech (4-1, 2-3 ATS) The Hokies are shooting for their fifth-straight victory when their ACC rivals from Boston College come calling in Blacksburg in this rematch of the last two conference championship games. Boston College upset Florida State 28-21 at home a week ago as a four-point underdog for its second straight ACC victory at home, the first being a 27-24 upset of Wake Forest as a one-point chalk. However, in their only road game this season, the Eagles stunk up the field at Clemson on Sept. 19, falling 25-7 as nine-point underdogs. Since their opening-season 34-24 loss to Alabama as a six-point underdog, the Hokies have been playing solid defense, giving up just 14.5 points a game. They beat Duke 34-26 a week ago in Durham, N.C., gaining 477 yards but falling short as a 17-point favorite. The last time Virginia Tech was at home, it blew out ACC rival Miami of Florida 31-7 as a 2½-point home ‘dog, rushing for 272 yards with RB Ryan Williams amassing 150 yards and two touchdowns. Boston College has won the last two regular-season meetings (SU and ATS), only to fall in each of the last two ACC title games (0-2 ATS). Last year, Virginia Tech lost 28-23 in the regular-season meeting as a three-point ‘dog, but routed the Eagles 30-12 in the title game as a one-point favorite. Dating to 2000 when both squads were in the Big East, Boston College is just 4-6 SU against the Hokies, but the Eagles have gotten the cash in eight of the last 11 overall and six of the last eight in Blacksburg. The Hokies are on ATS streaks of 28-12 in ACC action, 6-1 against teams with winning records and 4-1 following a non-cover, however they are on slides of 0-5 in October and 3-8 as a favorite. Boston College is just 1-5 ATS in its last six road games and 2-8 ATS in the last 10 after an ATS win, but the Eagles are on positive ATS streaks of 15-6 as an underdog, 12-4 as a road pup and 7-3 in October. The Eagles have topped the total in eight of their last 10 ACC games and four straight October contests, but the under is on runs of 10-4 on the road and 14-5 on grass. Virginia Tech has topped the total in five of its last seven October games, but the Hokies are on several “under” streaks, including 20-8 at home, 5-2 in ACC games, 7-2 as home favorites and 7-2 when favored by 10½ points or more at home. In this rivalry, the “under” is 4-2 in the last six battles overall. ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER Stanford (4-1 SU and ATS) at Oregon State (3-2, 1-3 ATS) After three straight home wins, Stanford travels to Reser Stadium in Corvallis, Ore., to face the Beavers in a Pac-10 matchup. The Cardinal destroyed San Jose State (42-17 as an 18½-point favorite) and Washington (34-14 as a 9½-point chalk) before beating UCLA a week ago 24-16 as a five-point choice. Stanford is averaging 31.2 points and 410 yards per game (221.8 rushing ypg),while the defense is yielding only 16.8 ppg and 324.8 ypg (114.2 rushing ypg). In fact, Jim Harbaugh’s team is averaging two more yards per carry than its opponents (5.5-3.5). Oregon State went to Tempe, Ariz., Last week and beat Arizona State 28-17 as five-point underdogs, ending a three-game ATS slide and two-game SU losing streak. The Beavers have dropped their last two home games, losing 28-18 to Cincinnati on Sept. 18 as a one-point home ‘dog, then dropping a 37-32 decision to Arizona on Sept. 26 as a 2½-point favorite. The Cardinal took last year’s contest 36-28 at home, cashing as 2½-point favorites, but it was just their third win in the last 10 years against the Beavers. Prior to last year, Oregon State had been dominating this series, going 9-2 SU and ATS, including 5-1 SU and ATS in Corvallis. Stanford is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 road games and 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road ‘dog, however it has cashed in four of its last five overall and six of its last seven in Pac-10 play. Even after their three-game ATS slide this season, the Beavers remain on a plethora of positive ATS streaks, including 10-4 overall, 9-3 at home, 30-10 in October, 7-2 in conference games, 44-18 following an ATS win, 35-15-1 as a home favorite and 9-3 after a SU win. For Stanford, the over is on runs of 8-2 as a ‘dog and 6-1-1 as a road ‘dog, but the Cardinal are also on “under” streaks of 42-18-1 in Pac-10 action, 26-12-1 on the highway and 23-5 in October. Meanwhile, the Beavers are on “under” runs of 4-1 overall and 5-2 following a SU win. Finally, in this rivalry the under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings and 4-0 in the last four clashes in Corvallis. ATS ADVANTAGE: OREGON STATE and UNDER (3) Alabama (5-0, 4-1 ATS) at (20) Ole Miss (3-1, 2-1 ATS) Alabama goes after its sixth straight win to begin the season and its sixth straight win over Ole Miss when it hits the road for the second week in a row for an SEC West clash with the Rebels at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. The Crimson Tide continued their impressive start to the season with last Saturday’s 38-20 rout at Kentucky, barely cashing as a 16½-point road favorite. After outgaining their first three opponents by margins of 343, 302, 336 and 171, the Tide had “just” a 352-301 yardage edge against the Wildcats, but the defense forced four turnovers and the offense committed none. Ole Miss rebounded from an ugly 16-10 loss at South Carolina – a defeat that knocked the team out of the Top 5 in the rankings – with last Saturday’s 23-7 rout of Vanderbilt as a 10-point road favorite. After managing just 248 yards, including 109 passing, against South Carolina, the Rebels produced 397 yards against the Commodores and surrendered just 240. QB Jevan Snead had an up-and-down game, going 19-for-34 for 237 yards and three TDs, but he also threw three interceptions. The Rebels went to Tuscaloosa last October and put a scare into then-unbeaten Alabama, rallying from a 24-3 halftime deficit by scoring all 17 second-half points, only to come up short 24-20 as an 11-point road underdog. The Crimson Tide have won the last five meetings dating to 2004, but Ole Miss is 4-0 ATS in the last four (all as an underdog), with the four contests decided by a total of 13 points. The host is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings, with Alabama going 0-4 ATS in its last four trips to Oxford. Going back to the start of last season, the Crimson Tide have won 17 consecutive regular-season games, with all but three being double-digit blowouts. In fact, including losses to Florida in the SEC title game and Utah in the Sugar Bowl, 17 of the Tide’s last 19 games have been decided by double digits. Meanwhile, since falling at Alabama last year, Ole Miss has won nine of its last 10, with the last eight wins being by 10 points or more. ‘Bama is in the midst of several positive ATS runs, including 9-3 overall, 6-1 on the road, 9-2 as a favorite, 7-1 as a road chalk (4-0 last four), 6-1 in SEC games and 8-2 after a straight-up win. The Rebels have cashed in eight straight games from the underdog role and eight straight against Top 10-ranked teams, and they’re on additional pointspread upticks of 16-5 overall, 3-0 at home, 6-2 as a home pup, 21-10 in October and 6-1 after a SU win. The Crimson Tide have topped the total in five of six overall (all as a favorite), but otherwise they are on “under” runs of 12-5 in October and 4-1 in SEC play. Ole Miss carries nothing but “under” trends, including 7-3 overall, 36-17 in SEC play and 5-1 in October. ATS ADVANTAGE: ALABAMA and UNDER
(22) Georgia Tech (4-1, 2-2 ATS) at Florida State (2-3, 1-3 ATS) Florida State hopes to bounce back from a pair of upset losses and put aside speculation about the future of legendary coach Bobby Bowden as the Yellow Jackets visit Doak Campbell Stadium for an ACC contest. Bowden’s 34th season with the Seminoles has been a rocky one. It started with a last-second, season-opening 38-34 home loss to Miami, Fla., followed by an embarrassingly close 19-9 home win over Division I-AA Jacksonville State. Florida State then went to No. 9 BYU and rolled 54-28 as an 8½-point road underdog, only to come back and lose the last two weeks to South Florida (17-7 as a 14-point home chalk) and Boston College (28-21 as a four-point road favorite). The ‘Noles are averaging 27 points and 402.8 total yards per game, but the defense is yielding 24 points and 407.4 ypg. Georgia Tech is coming off two impressive victories, first toppling ACC rival North Carolina 24-7 as a three-point home favorite, then knocking off Mississippi State 42-31 as a 5½-point road chalk in a non-conference contest last Saturday. The Yellow Jackets, whose triple-option attack is averaging 252.2 rushing ypg (4.8 per carry), haven’t won three in a row since a four-game win streak from late September to mid-October last year, a stretch of 11 games. Georgia Tech snapped a 12-game losing streak to FSU that dated to 1975 with last year’s 31-28 home win, pushing as a three-point favorite as the Seminoles lost a fumble in the end zone on second-and-goal from the 3-yard line with 45 seconds to play. The Yellow Jackets are 0-6 SU all-time in Tallahassee, including a 14-13 loss as a massive 24-point underdog in their last visit in 2003. Georgia Tech is 3-1-2 ATS in the last six clashes going back to 1999 (all as a pup). The Yellow Jackets are on ATS runs of 7-2 on the road, 7-2-1 against losing teams, 4-1-1 in October, 5-2-1 as a road underdog and 12-3-1 when catching three points or fewer. Florida State has failed to cash in seven of 10 October contests and is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 as a home favorite but is otherwise on pointspread surges of 6-1-1 after a SU defeat, 7-1-1 after a non-cover, 8-2 as a favorite of three points or less and 4-0 when laying three or less at home. For Georgia Tech, the under is on stretches of 5-2 on the road, 8-3 in ACC action, 28-10-1 as an underdog, 20-7 as a road pup, 8-0 as a ‘dog of three points or less and 20-6-2 in October. Conversely, the Seminoles are riding “over” streaks of 5-1 overall, 5-2 in conference, 15-6 after a SU defeat and 11-3 in October. Finally, the under is on a 3-1 run in this rivalry. ATS ADVANTAGE: GEORGIA TECH Wisconsin (5-0, 2-2 ATS) at (9) Ohio State (4-1 SU and ATS) Unable to crack the Top 25 despite a perfect 5-0 start, the Badgers will try once more to earn some respect when they head to the Horseshoe to meet Big Ten powerhouse Ohio State. Wisconsin held off Minnesota 31-28 as a three-point road underdog, and it did so the old-fashioned way, grinding out 295 of its 454 yards on the ground while limiting the Gophers to just 57 rushing yards (328 total yards). Both teams were sloppy with the football, each committing three turnovers. Take away a 44-14 home rout of Division I-AA Wofford, and the Badgers’ other four wins have come by point margins of 8, 3, 8 and 3 points. Ohio State has made a major statement since suffering a last-minute 18-15 home loss to USC, bouncing back with three dominating performances against Toledo (38-0), Illinois (30-0) and Indiana (33-14), going 3-0 ATS while outgaining all three by a total of 610 yards. Last week at Indiana, the Buckeyes jumped out to a 33-7 lead before allowing a touchdown on the final play of the game, but still cashing as a 17½-point road favorite. QB Terrelle Pryor has stepped up his play the last three weeks, passing for 503 yards with seven TDs and three INTs. Ohio State has won and covered the last two in this rivalry, including last year’s 20-17 road win as a one-point favorite, with Pryor scoring the game-winner on an 11-yard run with 1:06 to play. Before that, Wisconsin had gone 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS against the Buckeyes from 2001-2004, all as an underdog. In fact, prior to OSU winning the last two as a favorite, the underdog had cashed in seven straight meetings. Also in this rivalry, the visitor is on a 7-3 ATS run, with Wisconsin cashing in four of its last five trips to the Horseshoe. The Badgers are 5-1 ATS in their last six Big Ten contests, but they’re 4-9 ATS in their last 13 on the highway and 2-6 ATS in their last eight as a road pup. Ohio State has cashed in its last two home games after going 1-7 ATS in the previous eight in Columbus. Jim Tressel’s squad is also on pointspread rolls of 4-0 overall, 24-8 in Big Ten action, 19-9-1 as a favorite in Big Ten home games, 35-16 as a favorite, 5-1 when laying more than 10 points, 4-0 versus winning teams and 12-4 in October. Wisconsin’s “over” runs include 3-0 overall, 5-1 on the road, 4-0 in conference and 4-0 versus teams with a winning record. The over is also 3-1-1 in Ohio State’s last five league contests, but the under is 3-0-1 in its last four overall and 9-3-1 in its last 13 October affairs. Lastly, five of the last seven Badgers-Buckeyes battles have stayed low. ATS ADVANTAGE: OHIO STATE (15) Oklahoma State (3-1, 1-2 ATS) at Texas A&M (3-1, 2-2 ATS) Texas A&M looks to bounce back from its first loss of the season – and a humiliating one at that – when it welcomes the Cowboys to College Station for a Big 12 South matchup. Since a stunning 45-35 home loss to Houston as a 16-point favorite on Sept. 12, Oklahoma State has rebounded with easy wins over Rice (41-24, falling short as a 32½-point favorite) and Grambling (56-6 in a non-lined game). This is the Cowboys’ first road game of the season, and they’ll have to play without star WR Dez Bryant, who was ruled ineligible by the NCAA this week. With Bryant and QB Zac Robinson (602 passing yards, 5 TDs, 1 INT) on the field, Oklahoma State’s offense was getting progressively better each week scoring 24, 35, 41 and 56 points. After flattening three overmatched opponents (New Mexico, Utah State, UAB) at home to start the season – winning by a combined 135-54 – the Aggies met their match last week at Dallas Cowboys Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas, losing 47-19 to Arkansas as a two-point underdog. Despite the lopsided score, Texas A&M actually had a 10-0 lead and ended up outgaining the Razorbacks 458-438, including 163-113 on the ground, but the Aggies lost three turnovers, one of which was returned 85 yards for a touchdown. The Cowboys snapped a four-game losing skid to Texas A&M last year, rolling 56-28 and cashing as a 26-point home favorite. The SU winner is 7-1 ATS in the last eight clashes. Oklahoma State is 1-6 ATS in its last seven overall and has failed to cover in four straight against teams with a winning record, but the Cowboys have covered in four straight lined games in October. Meanwhile, the Aggies have failed to get the money in five of seven overall, eight of 13 at home, eight of 10 as an underdog and five of six against winning squads, but they’re 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 after a SU defeat. The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these schools, 8-2-1 in A&M’s last 11 conference games and 4-1 in A&M’s last five in October. However, eight of Oklahoma State’s last nine on the highway have stayed low. ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE (13) Oregon (4-1, 3-2 ATS) at UCLA (3-1 SU and ATS) The Ducks hit the road for the first time since an embarrassing season-opening loss at Boise State when they travel down the Pacific coast to the Rose Bowl for a Pac-10 clash with UCLA. Oregon has rebounded nicely for the Boise State debacle, ripping off four straight home victories, including pummeling Pac-10 foes Cal (42-3 as a 5½-point underdog) and Washington State (52-6 as a 35-point chalk) the last two weeks. In outscoring those two conference opponents 94-9, the Ducks rolled up a combined yardage advantage of 1,038-365, including 553-184 on the ground. After a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS non-conference campaign, the Bruins opened Pac-10 play at Stanford last Saturday and fell 24-16 as a five-point underdog. UCLA’s stout defense, which surrendered a total of 38 points and an average of 251 yards through its first three contests, gave up season-highs of 372 total yards and 174 rushing yards, contributing to the Bruins’ nine-minute time-of-possession deficit. The Ducks may have to go with untested junior QB Nate Costa (21 career pass attempts) in this game, as starter Jeremiah Masoli injured his knee in the rout of Washington State and missed much of practice this week. Costa is expected to start, with Masoli seeing only limited action, if any. Meanwhile, UCLA is expected to get starting QB Kevin Prince back after the freshman missed the last two games waiting for a broken jaw to heal. If Prince still isn’t ready, Kevin Craft (60.3 percent completion rate, 390 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) will start again. These teams have alternated wins and losses the last four years, with the Bruins going 3-1 ATS (2-0 ATS at home). Last year in Eugene, Ore., the Ducks eked out a 31-24 victory, but UCLA cashed easily as a 19-point underdog. Oregon had a 323-63 rushing advantage, but the Bruins held the ball for nearly 38 of the 60 minutes. The ‘dog is 6-1 ATS and the visitor is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings, and prior to failing to cover in their last two trips to Pasadena, the Ducks had been on a 5-0 ATS roll when visiting UCLA. The Ducks are riding ATS streaks of 6-2 overall, 4-0 in Pac-10 play, 13-5 in October, 6-0 after a SU win and 5-1 against winning teams. UCLA also sports several pointspread runs, including 4-1 overall, 25-8-1 at home since 2004, 21-8 as an underdog, 17-5 as a home ‘dog (10-2 last 12 as a home pup), 16-7 in Pac-10 action, 20-6 after a SU defeat, 15-5 after a non-cover and 16-5 versus teams with a winning record. However, the Bruins have failed to cash in five of their last six when catching between 3½ to 10 points. Oregon is on “over” stretches of 4-1 in conference, 9-1-2 as a favorite and 10-4-1 as a road chalk. Conversely, UCLA has nothing but “under” trends, including 7-1 overall, 5-1 at home, 6-1-1 in October, 20-7-1 in conference, 5-0 as a ‘dog and 8-2 as a home pup. Finally, the under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in this rivalry, though the winner has scored at least 30 points in five of the last six clashes. ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER (17) Auburn (5-0, 4-1 ATS) at Arkansas (2-2, 1-2 ATS) The unbeaten Tigers go after their second straight SEC road victory when they visit Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville to battle Arkansas. After four consecutive double-digit home wins to start the season, Auburn went to Tennessee last week and took a 26-3 lead into the fourth quarter en route to a 26-22 victory as a 2½-point road underdog. After scoring 37-plus points in their first four wins, the Tigers managed just two touchdowns against the Vols, but still rolled up 459 total yards (224 rushing). Auburn’s new-look offense is producing 41.4 points and 512.8 yards per outing (253.8 rushing ypg). The Razorbacks bounced back from a pair of tough SEC defeats to Georgia (52-41) and Alabama (35-7) with a 47-19 thrashing of Texas A&M as a two-point favorite in a neutral-site non-conference game at Dallas Cowboys Stadium. Take away a seven-point, 254-yard disappointment at Alabama, and Bobby Petrino’s high-octane offense is putting up 45.3 points and 503.3 yards per game, including 375.3 passing ypg. Both offenses are piloted by quarterbacks who are enjoying outstanding seasons. The Tigers’ Chris Todd is completing 58.7 percent of his passes for 1,230 yards with 12 TDs and just one INT, while Arkansas’ Ryan Mallett, a transfer from Michigan, has thrown for 1,148 yards (55 percent completion rate) with 11 TDs against just two INTs. The visitor has won and covered four straight meetings in this rivalry and is 6-1 SU and ATS dating to 2002, with the Tigers getting the money in their last three trips to Fayetteville. Last year, the Razorbacks went to Auburn and prevailed 25-22 as a 16½-point road pup, making the ‘dog 7-2 ATS in the last nine series clashes. The Tigers ended ATS slides of 0-5 on the road and 0-4 in October with last week’s upset at Tennessee, but they’re still just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 SEC contests. On the bright side, Auburn is on pointspread surges of 4-1 overall, 5-0-1 as a favorite of three points or less and 20-9-1 after a spread-cover. Meanwhile, Arkansas is on ATS runs of 4-0 in October, 5-2 as a ‘dog, 16-7-1 as a home pup and 4-1 when catching three points or less at home, but the Hogs have failed to get the money in four of their last five SEC battles. The under is 6-1 in Auburn’s last seven road games, 4-1 in its last five conference contests and 4-1 in Arkansas’ last five in October, but otherwise the “over” is on streaks of 4-1 for the Tigers overall, 5-0 for the Tigers as a favorite, 10-4 for the Razorbacks at home and 4-1 for the Razorbacks in SEC action. ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE (10) TCU (4-0, 2-1 ATS) at Air Force (3-2, 1-3 ATS) TCU puts a six-game winning streak on the line when it finally begins the Mountain West Conference portion of its schedule with a trip to Colorado Springs, Colo., for a meeting with Air Force at Falcon Stadium. The Horned Frogs started slowly against SMU a week ago, leading just 12-7 at the half, but they exploded over the final 30 minutes and cruised to a 39-14 win, coming up just short as a 28-point home chalk. TCU finished with 418 yards and allowed 224, and as usual, it owned a massive rushing edge, gaining 229 yards on the ground while holding SMU to minus-16 yards on 18 attempts. For the season, the Frogs are averaging 220 rushing ypg (4.7 per carry) and allowing an NCAA-low 47 rushing ypg (1.8 per carry), and they’ve outrushed each of their last eight opponents, including six by 146 yards or more. TCU has surrendered 16 points or less in 11 consecutive Division I-A games and 15 of 16 since the start of the 2008 season. Take away a 35-10 loss at Oklahoma last year, and the Frogs, who are 15-2 SU and (10-5 ATS in lined action) since the start of last year, have given up just 21 touchdowns since the beginning of 2008, and they’ve allowed 10 points or less nine times during this 17-game stretch. Air Force is coming off last Saturday’s 16-13 overtime loss to fellow service-academy Navy, falling short as a 2½-point road underdog to drop to 1-5 ATS in its last six lined games. Like TCU, the Falcons do the majority of their offensive damage on the ground, and they rank second nationally in rushing at 292 ypg (4.6 per carry). Air Force’s defense is also playing very well, giving up 12.6 points and 260 yards per contest. TCU’s current six-game winning streak began with a 44-10 rout of Air Force last November, cashing as a 20½-point home favorite. The Horned Frogs are 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six meetings (3-1 SU and ATS this decade), and the SU winner has cashed in each of the last seven clashes dating to 1987. Finally, the host is 6-1 SU and ATS since ’87, and the ‘dog has cashed in four of the last six. The Horned Frogs are riding ATS hot streaks of 23-9-1 in non-conference play, 26-12 as a favorite (12-5 last 17 as a chalk), 14-6 on grass and 6-0 after a non-cover. Air Force has covered in 11 of 15 in Mountain West play and eight of 11 at home, but in addition to their 1-5 ATS slide overall, the Falcons have failed to cash in five straight as an underdog and five straight against winning teams. The under is 5-2 in TCU’s last seven road games, 4-1-1 in its last six in October, 9-1 in its last 10 after a non-cover, 15-5-2 in its last 22 versus teams with a winning record and 4-1 in the Falcons’ last five overall. Conversely, four of the last five TCU-Air Force clashes have soared over the total. ATS ADVANTAGE: TCU and UNDER
THE SPORTS ADVISORS NLDS L.A. Dodgers (2-0) at St. Louis (0-2) After a shocking walk-off victory in Game 2, the Dodgers go for their second consecutive National League Divisional Series sweep when they send Vicente Padilla (12-6, 4.46 ERA) to the mound at Busch Stadium opposite the Cardinals’ Joel Pineiro (15-12, 3.49 ERA). Los Angeles managed just a single run on an Andre Ethier home run through eight innings on Thursday against St. Louis pitcher Adam Wainwright and entered the bottom of the ninth trailing 2-1. Then, with two outs and nobody on base, Cardinals leftfielder Matt Holliday misplayed a routine, game-ending line drive into a two-base error, and the Dodgers followed with a walk, an RBI single to tie the game, another walk and a line-drive single – all off St. Louis closer Ryan Franklin – to steal the 3-2 victory and take a commanding 2-0 lead in this best-of-5 series. L.A., which also upset St. Louis 5-3 in Game 1, has now won four straight games dating to Saturday, allowing a total of just eight runs, and the win streak follows a five-game losing skid. The Dodgers are also on positive streaks of 9-3 against right-handed starters, 7-1 as an underdog (4-0 last four as a pup), 8-3 versus the N.L. Central and 24-8 on Saturday. Also, Joe Torre’s troops, who swept the Cubs in the divisional round last October, have won five straight NLDS contests. On the downside, Los Angeles has lost four straight road games overall and six of its last eight playoff roadies. Going back to the regular season, the Cardinals have dropped five straight games and they’re 7-16 since Sept. 11, including 3-9 at home. They’re also in ruts of 0-4 as a home favorite, 1-5 against right-handed starters, 1-4 after an off day and 1-4 against the N.L. West. On the positive end of things, Tony LaRussa’s club has still won four straight postseason games at Busch Stadium and is also 8-2 in its last 10 on Saturday, 12-4 in its last 16 NLDS contests and 7-1 in its last eight NLDS home games. Despite being down 0-2 in this series, St. Louis remains 5-4 against Los Angeles this season and 11-6 in 17 meetings dating to 2007. Going back further, the Cardinals are 36-18 in the last 54 games overall against the Dodgers and an even more impressive 20-6 in the last 26 clashes at Busch Stadium. Padilla went 4-0 with a 3.20 ERA in six starts with the Dodgers after being let go by Texas, and the Dodgers won six of those seven games, including all four on the road, where the veteran right-hander was 3-0 with a 3.00 ERA with L.A. In his final regular-season start Sunday against the Rockies, Padilla allowed a run on four hits with 10 strikeouts and no walks in just five innings, winning 5-3. Padilla, who is making his first playoff appearance today, was very consistent with his innings for the Dodgers, pitching exactly five innings four times, 5 1/3 innings once and six innings twice, and only once did he throw more than 97 pitches. Padilla’s career versus the Cardinals is limited to seven appearances (three starts) covering 22 innings, and he’s 2-1 with a 3.68. In his only career start at Busch, Padilla pitched the Phillies to a 4-0 victory in 2002, scatting four hits (no walks) in eight innings. After a brilliant first five months of the campaign, Pineiro struggled after September 1, going 2-3 with a 4.99 ERA in seven starts, with the Cardinals losing five of his last six outings, including all three games at home. Prior to September, the right-hander 19 quality starts in his first 26 trips the mound, allowing two earned runs or fewer in 14 of those 19 games. Pineiro finished the year 7-6 in 15 starts at Busch Stadium despite a rock solid 2.87 ERA. He faced the Dodgers on July 29 at home and gave up just one run on six hits in eight innings, getting a no-decision as the Cardinals won 3-2 in 15 innings. He’s 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA in three career starts versus Los Angeles (eight earned runs allowed in 21 1/3 innings). Finally, Pineiro’s postseason experience is limited to one relief appearance in 2001 with the Mariners, and he gave up one run on four hits in two innings against the Yankees. The over is 4-0-1 in Padilla’s last five starts and 5-2 in Pineiro’s last seven outings. The Dodgers come into Game 3 carrying “over” trends of 8-3-1 on the road, 4-0 as an underdog, 4-0-1 after a day off, 5-1 on Saturday, 4-1 against the N.L. Central, 7-2-1 against right-handed starters, 8-2-1 versus winning teams and 6-2 in road playoff games (5-1 in the divisional round on the road). Similarly, for the Cardinals, the over is on runs of 4-1-1 overall, 3-0-1 at home, 3-0-1 against righty starters and 5-2-2 on Saturday. However, in the playoffs, St. Louis is on “under” stretches of 7-3 overall and 13-5 at home. Finally, in this rivalry, the under is 10-5 overall dating to the start of 2008 (5-2 in the last seven), and four of the last five battles at Busch have stayed low. ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS Philadelphia (1-1) at Colorado (1-1) Having captured home-field advantage with a surprising Game 2 victory in Philadelphia, the Rockies now look to take control of this best-of-5 series when they return to frigid Coors Field for Game 3. Colorado’s Jason Hammel (2-0, 4.42 ERA) will make his first-ever postseason start, while the Phillies have decided to hand the ball to veteran Pedro Martinez (5-1, 3.63) in a game where temperatures are expected to be below freezing. After managing just a ninth-inning run in Wednesday’s 5-1 loss to the Phillies and Cliff Lee in Game 1, the Rockies came out swinging Thursday and got a two-run homer for catcher Yorvit Torrealba, six strong innings from starter Aaron Cook and just enough relief pitching to hold on for the 5-4 victory. Philadelphia remains on hot streaks of 29-11 after an off day, 8-2 as an underdog (6-2 as a road pup), 8-2 against the N.L. West, 15-7 after a defeat and 7-2 in the playoffs going back to last year’s World Series title run. On the downside, the Phillies have lost six straight Saturday games. Colorado is on positive runs of 42-16 at home, 7-2 against the N.L. East, 51-24 against right-handed starters, 38-17 as a favorite and 50-23 after a victory. They Rockies have also won four of their last five divisional playoff games (all against Philadelphia) and four straight playoff contests as a favorite, but overall, they’ve still lost five of their last six in the postseason. The Phillies are still 5-3 against the Rockies this season (2-1 in Colorado), and since getting swept by the Rockies in the 2007 NLDS, Philadelphia has won 10 of 13 in this rivalry (four of five at Coors Field). Martinez didn’t sign with the Phillies until early July and didn’t make his first start for the team until Aug. 12. He was especially strong in September, going 3-1 with a 3.14 ERA in five starts. The Phillies went 8-1 in Martinez’s nine trips to the mound, including 3-1 on the road, where the veteran right-hander won three of those four games despite a 5.66 ERA. Martinez is 2-3 with a 4.31 ERA in 10 career appearances (eight starts) against the Rockies, but only two of those starts came recently, both last season with the Mets. First, he gave up six runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 7-1 loss at Coors Field in June 2008, then he came back three weeks later at Shea Stadium and allowed one hit and three walks in four scoreless innings, with the Mets winning 3-0. The former Cy Young winner is 6-2 with a 3.40 ERA in 13 lifetime playoff appearances (11 starts), all with Boston from 1998-2004. Hammel had a solid first season in Colorado, appearing in 34 games (30 starts). One of those relief appearances came Sunday at the Dodgers as he pitched two scoreless innings. The 27-year-old right-hander allowed three earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 12 starts, while surrendering just four runs each in the other two. He was consistent throughout the season, going 5-4 with a 4.43 ERA prior to the All-Star break and 5-4 with a 4.23 ERA in the second half. Hammel went just 3-3 with a 5.73 ERA at Coors Field (compared with 7-5 with a 3.13 ERA on the road), but the Rockies won 11 of his 15 home starts, including 10 of the last 12. The Rockies went 4-1 in his last five starts as a favorite and 8-2 in his last 10 as a home chalk. Hammel’s only start against Philadelphia came on Aug. 9, and he pitched the Rockies to an 8-3 road win, allowing three runs on nine hits (no walks) in 6 2/3 innings. For Philadelphia, the over is on runs of 10-2-1 overall, 5-0 on the road, 5-1 on Saturday and 6-1-1 after a defeat. However, in the playoffs, the Phillies are on “under” streaks of 5-2-1 overall, 6-2 on the road and 6-1 in the divisional series. Colorado carries “over” trends of 4-1 at home, 4-0 as a favorite, 4-1 after an off day and 4-1-1 after a win. Finally, the “over” has been the play in nine of 13 matchups between these teams since the beginning of last season, with the last five at Coors Field topping the posted number. ATS ADVANTAGE: COLORADO and OVER
Teddy Covers 20* BIG TICKET GOW - OKLAHOMA ST 15* TCU - OVER HAWAII 10* BOSTON COLLEGE - OVER MIAMI OH - STANFORD - UNDER TULANE
R.A.W. FOOTBALL (now 7-1 on 4* Best Bets for the season) 4* Best Bet = Iowa 3* = Connecticut 3* = Georgia 2* = South Carolina 2* = LSU
Joe Wiz - Pay After You Win Sports Service Michigan (Joe said to double down on this. Counting as a 2* play)
Dominic Fazzini Saturday's plays 20 Dime -- WYOMING (minus points vs. New Mexico) 10 Dime -- TCU (minus points vs. AIR FORCE) WYOMING Since first-year coach Dave Christensen inserted freshman quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels into the starting lineup, the Cowboys' offense has taken off. Carta-Samuels has completed 53 of 75 passes (71 percent) for 457 yards and three touchdowns over the last two games with just one interception, and Wyoming has scored 30 points in each of those games, beating UNLV 30-27 in Laramie and winning 30-28 at Florida Atlantic. New Mexico, meanwhile, is having problems, losing all five of its games. The Lobos are 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games, 1-4 ATS in conference games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. First-year coach Mike Locksley is already taking a lot of heat for the team's performance, and he recently was reprimanded for fighting with an assistant coach. Under Locksley, New Mexico is scoring just under 15 points per game while allowing 38. The Cowboys are 3-1 ATS this year, including 2-0 at home and 2-0 with Carta-Samuels as their starting QB. The betting trends in this matchup don't favor Wyoming, as the Cowboys are just 2-5 ATS in the teams' last seven meetings, and 1-4 ATS in their last five games in Laramie. But the Cowboys are surging under their new coach and freshman QB, while the Lobos could be looking at a winless season. Take Wyoming to cover the points today. TCU The Horned Frogs have a BCS bowl in their sites, and they're not about to take any team for granted right now, not even a weak Air Force squad. TCU's defense gets most of the credit for the team's strong play over the past two years, and it should as the unit has allowed 16 points or less in 11 straight Division I-A games and in 15 of 16 since the start of last season. But the Frogs are also sound on offense, averaging 34.8 points per game and 220 yards rushing per game. Junior QB Andy Dalton has performed soundly, completing 68 percent of his passes for 814 yards and six touchdowns with just two interceptions.
Dominic Fazzini Saturday's plays 20 Dime -- WYOMING (minus points vs. New Mexico) 10 Dime -- TCU (minus points vs. AIR FORCE) WYOMING Since first-year coach Dave Christensen inserted freshman quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels into the starting lineup, the Cowboys' offense has taken off. Carta-Samuels has completed 53 of 75 passes (71 percent) for 457 yards and three touchdowns over the last two games with just one interception, and Wyoming has scored 30 points in each of those games, beating UNLV 30-27 in Laramie and winning 30-28 at Florida Atlantic. New Mexico, meanwhile, is having problems, losing all five of its games. The Lobos are 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games, 1-4 ATS in conference games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. First-year coach Mike Locksley is already taking a lot of heat for the team's performance, and he recently was reprimanded for fighting with an assistant coach. Under Locksley, New Mexico is scoring just under 15 points per game while allowing 38. The Cowboys are 3-1 ATS this year, including 2-0 at home and 2-0 with Carta-Samuels as their starting QB. The betting trends in this matchup don't favor Wyoming, as the Cowboys are just 2-5 ATS in the teams' last seven meetings, and 1-4 ATS in their last five games in Laramie. But the Cowboys are surging under their new coach and freshman QB, while the Lobos could be looking at a winless season. Take Wyoming to cover the points today. TCU The Horned Frogs have a BCS bowl in their sites, and they're not about to take any team for granted right now, not even a weak Air Force squad. TCU's defense gets most of the credit for the team's strong play over the past two years, and it should as the unit has allowed 16 points or less in 11 straight Division I-A games and in 15 of 16 since the start of last season. But the Frogs are also sound on offense, averaging 34.8 points per game and 220 yards rushing per game. Junior QB Andy Dalton has performed soundly, completing 68 percent of his passes for 814 yards and six touchdowns with just two interceptions.
october 10 2009 frank patron 20000 unit college lock frank patron 20000 unit college lock alabama crimson tide -4.5
Craig Davis Craig Davis Saturday's Lineup 40 Dime --- FRESNO STATE (Buy the 1/2 point) 20 Dime --- HOUSTON (If your line is +2 1/2, buy the 1/2 point up to +3) 10 Dime --- OKLAHOMA (First half) FRESNO STATE (Buy the 1/2 point) --- Top play of the day on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the number out on the island. Might I suggest you buy this game as quickly as you can, because I have a feeling it's going to go up as the day progresses. It probably shouldn't matter, but I'd hate to get beat by a hook. I will be completely shocked if the Bulldogs don't win this game by 20 or more points, but this is gambling and we need to cover all our bases. You'll notice that any time I back a favorite of 10 or more points, the team they are playing is either really bad overall or they struggle mightily in one aspect of the game (or both). I think in this case, both scenarios apply. The Bulldogs enter this game having lost to the Warriors three straight times, but last year's game did not feature talented Fresno RB Ryan Matthews and let me tell you... this kid can flat out run. Hawaii has absolutely no one who can stop him one-on-one, and if he gets into space it's probably going to result in 6 points. Matthews rushed an amazing 38 times for 145 yards and a TD last week in a 28-20 loss to undefeated Cincinnati. The week before that Matthews rushed just 19 times vs. the "vaunted" Boise State run defense, and finished with 245 yards and 3 scores. Or how about versus Big 10 power Wisconsin where he rushed 19 times for 107 yards? 4 games for Matthews... and 4 times he went over 100 yards rushing. And did you notice the teams I mentioned he did his damage against? Cincy, Boise State and Wisconsin. What do they all have in common... they're all unbeaten on the season --- 15 and 0. So it's not like Matthews was lighting up high school teams... he was doing this against quality caliber... three teams that will easily be playing in bowl games. And have you noticed the maturity of young QB Ryan Colburn? There were a lot of questions surrounding this kid at the beginning of the season, but after he torched the Wisconsin secondary for over 300 yards and then managed his offense quietly in the next two games (not making too many costly mistakes), HC Pat Hill knew this team could start to make a move. Well, that move starts tonight against an inferior Hawaii team that's missing its offensive leader... QB Greg Alexander. You see, Alexander tore knee ligaments in last week's loss to Louisiana Tech and will miss the rest of the season. This is HUGE for the Warriors as the only other QBs they have on the roster are junior college transfer Bryant Moniz or sophomore Shane Austin... neither of which has any real NCAA Division I experience. The biggest problem for Hawaii, however, is the fact they simply can't run the ball and, wouldn't you know it, they can't stop the run either. Much like last night's easy win on Nevada, the scenario was plain as day.... La. Tech simply cannot stop the run while Nevada runs the ball as well as anyone in the WAC. Exact same scenario here tonight. Hawaii can't stop the run whatsoever and now they're being asked to stop Ryan Matthews?? Please. Fresno should be giving 17 points in this game, period... so the fact we're only being asked to lay 10 is a crime... but who am I to complain? Hawaii's only chance to keep this game respectable is to throw the ball 50 or more times... and that's what it's going to take because they'll be trailing the entire game. Every single factor I've looked at favors the Bulldogs, and I have absolutely no fear about this game being played in Hawaii. The weather is expected to be perfect which will only help Colburn and the Fresno passing game... which is far and away better than Hawaii's without Alexander. Top play of the day on Fresno State minus the number. HOUSTON (if your line is +2.5, buy the half point up to +3) --- Perfect situation for line value here, and I believe we're getting it. After rolling through Oklahoma State and Texas Tech, the Houston Cougars fell flat on their face at UTEP last week which put them in a great situation to be ready for another solid conference opponent today. Let's face it, Houston overlooked a very bad UTEP team and got spanked. Trust me, they won't let that happen again... not today. They know they have to come to play, but I doubt the rest of the country believes in them anymore. It's funny... we root for these underdogs until they lose... then we forget about them. It looks like Vegas forgot about them too because this line is just dead wrong. HC Kevin Sumlin is a no nonsense guy trying to bring respectability back to a once proud program and it looked as if they were headed in that direction until last week's embarrassing setback. But this team isn't going to let that loss get them down... they can still win their conference, they can still go to a VERY GOOD bowl game and they can use all of this year as a recruiting tool for next year and years to come. This week of practice has been the hardest these players have experienced all week because Sumlin knows just how physical Miss. State is. He doesn't want his players to get "out-toughed" but an SEC team so he had his boys hit and hit and hit some more in practice this week. Miss. State is getting some love in Vegas because of their recent game with LSU and Georgia Tech. When you are known for being a laughable program, and you all-of-a-sudden play teams in the SEC tough when no one expects it... people start to notice. Unfortunately for the average bettor, they'll be all over SEC because they're still under the impression that the SEC is light years above all other conferences... and I don't believe that for a minute. I'm not sold on the SEC... not this year. Don't get me wrong, I still think they're good and will likely have someone playing for the National Championship, but I just don't believe the middle-tier teams are really that great. Shoot, Oklahoma State beat Georgia in Week 1 but turned around and lost to this same Houston team a week later. You think Missississippi State would beat Georgia? Not a chance. This game should be really fun to watch, and I'm tempted to release the OVER as well, but that number is just too high for me. Houston has beaten the Bulldogs the last two times they've played them and really weren't challenged. If you don't know who Case Keenum is, you will after this game. The Cougars might score just about every time they have the ball and it's going to take a miracle for the 'Dogs to keep up because I have no faith in QB Tyson Lee. Tempted to release this as a moneyline play, but I'll play it safe and tell you to just make sure you have Houston at +3 or more. OKLAHOMA (first half) ---- Absolutely love to back the Sooners when they play at home, and today, coming back from a horrendous road trip to Miami (my big play last week, by the way), the Sooners will completely pummel the injury-riddled Baylor Bears. To be honest, I would have played the Sooners had Landry Jones been the starting QB... but just knowing we get Bradford back today makes this play even more exciting. The reason I'm backing Oklahoma in the first half only is because the number, which currently sits at -28, will likely go up to -29 or 29 1/2 by kickoff and that's simply too rich for my blood (though they'll probably cover it). I like the first half line of -15 1/2 (at the time of this writing) because historically the Sooners have jumped out to HUGE first half leads and then kinda put it on cruise control in the second half. Case in point... the Sooners have played two games at home so far this season and their last home contest was the more impressive of the two... a 45-0 shutout of then unbeaten Tulsa. The halftime score? 31-0. And in case you're wondering, yes, I would put Tulsa on the same field with Baylor and would like my chances. The Bears are in huge trouble with previous third string QB Nick Florence expected to start under center today. The ONLY chance Baylor would have had to keep this game close today was if Robert Griffin was the starting QB. Griffin is down with injury and so is the backup Blake Szymanski... that's right, the Bears are down to a third-stringer and that's going to spell horrible trouble for this Baylor offense. OU's defense played good, not great, against Miami's athletes last week and definitely put themselves in a position to win... so how much more will they be able to do against a Baylor offense that struggled with Kent State until late in the game last week? Here are some of the recent Oklahoma halftime scores with Baylor over the past few years... 35-14, 28-14, 24-13, and 34-3. So you see, Oklahoma has absolutely owned Baylor in its history and they usually get the job done in the second quarter... taking a large lead into the locker room. It's even better that Oklahoma is coming off a loss because you know they'll do everything they can to give the home crowd a show. I'm not sure why, but for some reason the Sooners play a completely different brand of football in Norman than they do on the road... and Baylor will experience this the hard way. Play the Sooners minus the number in the first half to slaughter Baylor and take all the wind out of their proverbial sails. OU 28 Baylor 6 at halftime.
Bettersworld 3* Boston College +14 over Va Tech 3* Pitt -7 Over Uconn 3* Ole Miss +4.5 over Alabama 3* Stanford pk over Oregon State 3* Air Force +10.5 over TCU 3* LSU +8 over Florida 3* Kentucky +10 over South Carolina 2* UCLA +3.5 over Oregon
Nelly's LTS 3* U Conn 2* Tennesee Computer Slam 2* Texas A & M 2* Arizona 1* Mississippi State 1* Fresno State
Deano Here they are guys... Good Luck! HRC LINE EDGES-October 10th Thank You for your Purchase! Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise) -=HIGH ROLLER CLUB COMP ACTION=- ======================== Type: -=Straight=- ======================== All listed games ran through AI giving us the best edge available ******************************* NOTEABLE LINE EDGES ******************************* Game: Auburn @ Arkansas (+2.5) Edge: AUBURN wins by 10 Game: Iowa St. @ Kansas (-19) Edge: KANSAS wins by 24 Game: Alabama @ Mississippi (+4.5) Edge: ALABAMA wins in double digits Game: TCU @ AirForce (+10.5) Edge: TCU wins game by 2 Game: Michigain @ Iowa (-8) Edge: IOWA wins by 3 Game: BYU @ UNLV (+17) Edge: BYU wins in a blowout Game: Michigan St. @ Illinois (+4) Edge: MICHIGAN ST. wins by a TD Game: Vanderbilt @ Army (+10) Edge: VANDERBILT wins by two touchdowns
Coach Ron Meyer Saturday, October 10, 2009 SEC Game of the Year5*Kentucky (+9½) over So Carolina 12:30 PM -- Williams-Brice Stadium
Ben Burns 10* BIG 10 TOTAL OF THE YEAR - UNDER IOWA 10* SEC GOY - MISSISSIPPI 9* MAIN EVENT - ACC FLORIDA ST 8* NON-CONF GOW - ARMY 7* TENNESSEE - ILLINOIS
Wunderdog College Football Upset Alert These are not official picks and won't be counted towards the week's units won/lost. Just sharing and you can do with them what you may... This Week's Picks (12) Louisiana Tech +340 over Nevada (Friday Night) - Strong Play Syracuse +310 over W. Virginia Boston College +400 over Virginia Tech...Get the remaining 9 Upset Alert picks as part of any premium package here. Comp Pick: Game: Michigan at Iowa (Saturday 10/10 8:00 PM Eastern)Pick: Iowa -7.5 (-110) Michigan is a much-improved team, but their miracle finish vs. Notre Dame at home has changed this team into something they are not, at least in the eyes of the public and oddsmakers. We saw a hint of it last week as they opened as a favorite and by kickoff were a four-point underdog. They went on to show the truth in a loss at not-so-highly regarded Michigan State. After four games at home to start the season, last week was their first road game and they must do it again on the road this week. The biggest hole for Michigan is on defense. Eliminating uncompetitive games vs. Eastern Michigan and Western Michigan, the Wolverines have allowed 31 points per game. They face an Iowa team that has the defensive prowess to shut down the Wolverines offense, and that simply puts added pressure on a defense that has trouble getting stops. We were on Iowa vs. Penn State as a 5-unit play two weeks ago when they won as a 10 point dog. I liked them so much in that game because of their defense.The same applies here. The Hawkeyes won that game by holding Penn State (who has better offense than Michigan) to just 10 points on the road. And they were able to generate 21 against a Penn State defense that is much better than Michigan's. So, if Iowa can win in Happy Valley, they should have no problem here at home vs. a weaker team. The Hawkeyes have delivered a 37-17 ATS mark in their last 54 at home. They are 10-2 ATS as a favorite from 3.5-10 points and 8-1 ATS after 5+ straight wins under Kirk Ferentz. Michigan is 2-6-1 ATS the past few years as a Big Ten underdog. And, Rich Rodriguez is just 1-10 ATS vs. teams that allow14 or fewer points per game! I like Iowa in this one.
OC Dooley: “1 UNIT” COLLEGE PRIMETIME INJURY INTANGIBLE (Southern Mississippi -1’ at Louisville in a 7:35 eastern kickoff broadcast on ESPNU-TV): We have excellent line value with tonight’s visitor as the line on this ESPNU televised primetime contest has dropped to account for the fact that Southern Miss just lost starting quarterback Austin Davis (foot) for the rest of the season. On the face of it that is a devastating injury since Davis a year ago (3,128 yards passing, 23 touchdown passes) directed an offense that broke 36 school records and tied 6 others via the “no huddle” spread attack installed by new head coach Larry Fedora. But the fact of the matter is that reserve and now new Golden Eagles starter Martevious Young does have some previous experience and also is blessed with a strong arm along with the ability to gain rushing yards on the ground. Even though Southern Miss just lost their lead quarterback they ARE getting back their #1 options this week both at running back and wide receiver. Senior rusher Damion Fletcher is the nation’s current active leader in carries (866), rush yards (4,658), yards per game (110.9) and all-purpose plays. In last week’s stunning loss against Alabama-Birmingham both Fletcher and star wideout DeAndre Brown missed the game due to injury. Since the Golden Eagles ended up finishing that contest with all 3 of their top players in the offensive backfield hurt, it comes as no shock that Alabama Birmingham came out tops on the scoreboard. But Southern Miss has now had a full week to prepare for a Louisville contingent that failed miserably in an ESPN weeknight telecast versus Pittsburgh which was their Big East Conference opener. It was not all that long ago when Louisville had a 12-1 record and an Orange Bowl berth in what turned out to be Bobby Petrino’s final season as head coach. Without his recruiting prowess the Cardinals program has quickly faded and last year the offense recorded its LOWEST average yards per game dating all the way back to the 2002 campaign. For years Louisville’s attack thrived with star quarterbacks Brian Brohm and Hunter Cantwell leading the way, but these days there are many question marks at that critical position. Louisville played their last game without lead quarterback Justin Burke (sternum) who may be cleared to return this evening. As of this typing the Cardinals are going to make a “game day” decision between Burke or reserve Adam Froman. Whoever plays at quarterback is most likely to struggle against a Southern Mississippi defense that returned 8 starters from a year ago including the entire secondary. As for Louisville who lost a pair of All-Conference linemen to graduation the defense in the past three games (35, 30, 31) has been shredded by the opposition. As mentioned earlier in this analysis Southern Mississippi last week (-10) lost by a 30-17 count at Alabama-Birmingham as they lost their starting quarterback for the rest of the season and were minus #1 injured options at running back and wide receiver. My database research indicates that dating all the way back to 1992, Southern Mississippi has COVERED the spread at a staggering 11-1 ATS clip when shaking off a “double digit” conference loss. That statistic comes as no shock considering that Southern Miss has ripped off 15 consecutive WINNING campaigns. Southern Mississippi tonight most likely will be playing for a fallen teammate as “walk on” punter Peter Wilkes who nearly won the starting job in camp reportedly was killed in a horrible accident this week involving a gun
WAYNE ROOT'S UPSET CLUB Ole Miss (+4½) over Alabama 6*UCLA (+3½) over Oregon Both games are at 3:30 PM
SYNDICATE PLAY - Ethan Law NCAA-F Oct 10 '09 12:30p Kentucky vs South Carolina Take: Kentucky +9½-110 in 7h Note: To my full Season NCAA Subscribers, this play is not part of Ethan Laws premium package. Rather, each week Ethan will be releasing a few plays that were bet by the New York City betting syndicate to which he is one of the lead adviser's on. The Syndicate will likely be releasing more than one selection starting next week, but in the early going they play a very conservative approach. Syndicate play: The second play the syndicate collectively bet this week in the NCAA was KENTUCKY +10! South Carolina opened as a 11.5 point home favorite underdog and when the syndicate placed their wager the line quickly moved down to +10.5. Later in the week the larger players continued to move the line to where it stands now at 10. After some considerable discussion the group decided to place a $45,000 wager on KENTUCKY +10. Ethan’s thoughts: Only one adviser liked this game and I can tell you it was not me. We discussed this game for hours and hours and although I believe it does have some considerable merit, it is not (in my opinion one of the stronger plays on the board. The reason I do not like it is because it could be over after the first quarter, and I always like believe my underdogs will win their games outright and I do not believe that is the case here. Despite my thoughts, the group is sold on the fact that Kentucky comes into this game at a very bargain price. Our runner even told us that Kentucky is the Top selection by most of the larger outfits for that reason, and justifiably so. Granted the true line in this contest should be in the neighborhood of 8.5 to 9 points, but the simple fact that Kentucky got absolutely blasted by No. 1 Florida, 41-7, and followed that up with a terrible 38-20 defeat to Alabama. With that said those are two of the TOP teams in the nation and South Carolina although very good, is not even close to the level of those squads. Because of the fact that Kentucky is 0-3 ATS their last three the lines makers are forced to adjust their numbers, and now I am beginning to become convinced that the adjustment was to substantial to warrant this line. South Carolina has a slew of injuries and for an early season game, this is an absolute MUST WIN for Kentucky if their hopes of making a bowl contest want to stay alive. The Syndicate thinks they can win in this spot. SYNDICATE PLAY: KENTUCKY +9.5 ======================================================= Sport Date Matchup Book Starts NCAA-F Oct 10 '09 8:00p East Carolina vs SMU Take: SMU +6½-105 in 14h Note: To my full Season NCAA Subscribers, this play is not part of Ethan Laws premium package. Rather, each week Ethan will be releasing a few plays that were bet by the New York City betting syndicate to which he is one of the lead adviser's on. The Syndicate will likely be releasing more than one selection starting next week, but in the early going they play a very conservative approach. Syndicate play: The Syndicate was very happy about last weeks success as they placed on their larger wagers of the season on UTEP +15 who absolutely destroyed Houston on their way to an outright win. This week they came back with two selections. The first play the syndicate collectively bet this week in the NCAA was SMU +6.5! SMU opened as a 6.5 home underdog and when the syndicate placed their wager the line quickly moved down to +6. Later in the week the public action on East Carolina has brought the game back up. Nevertheless, after some considerable discussion the group decided to place a $40,000 wager on SMU +6.5. Ethan’s thoughts: I am happy to report that all three advisors flagged Marshall early in the week including myself as I thought this was one of the top plays on the board. To begin we have technical dominance on our side as the Pirates are 0-4 ATS as road favorites of more than six points while SMU is 9-1 ATS inside the conference off a loss after allowing more than 36 points in previous game. East Carolina won at Marshall last week (but really got crushed in the stats) and that triggers a 6-12 ATS system since 2008 when that occurs. Using what I said above, all three advisers were quick to point out that East Carolina leads the East Division of C-USA despite being outscored by 15 points this season. Hmmmm. If you really analyze this team you see a trend developing, which is one of theories behind this selection. East Carolina has a very good defense but they simply cannot score ranking the last in the conference at just 21 points per game and less than 300 yards of total offense per game. Indeed, they have been outgained by an average of 69 yards per game. So the key match-up in this contest comes down to The Pirate defense which is ranked fourth in C-USA in total defense (366.0 yards per game) vs. the Mustang offense ranked fourth in total offense (380.0). If the Mustang offense gets moving, the Pirates will not be able to keep up. In contrast, SMU has a virtual cornucopia of offensive weapons surrounding quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell, including running back Shawnbrey McNeal and receivers Emmanuel Sanders, Aldrick Robinson, and Terrance Wilkerson. So if the Mustangs just reach their season average of 26 points a game that will without question make them win this game easily. We also noted that thie same SMU team really took TCU to the wire as last week they trailed just 12-7 at the half. SYNDICATE PLAY: SMU +6.5
Sports Insights Auburn vs. Arkansas You're reading it right; we're still not believers in Gene Chizik's new-look Auburn Tigers. Did they go into a hostile environment and beat up on a much-ballyhooed Tennessee defense? They did. But it's easy to forget that Tennessee has gotten most of its publicity this year because of its new coach's snarky remarks, not because of results. If the public wants to overvalue this primetime victory because of all the media attention surrounding Lane Kiffin's orange and wife - err, white - we don't mind at all. That may very well be the case. The Tigers, who travel to Fayetteville this week to take on the Razorbacks, opened as 3-point favorites at Pinnacle. Sportswriters have been all over Auburn's story this week, noting that they finally feel respected after cracking the polls at #17. These headlines have probably also obscured the fact that they've trailed in every game but their last, as Auburn is getting 68% of bets on the spread and 68% of parlays. In spite of this strong public support, the line has dropped to -2.5 at Pinnacle as well as -2 at other books. Sports Insights Betting Systems are hammering this game, with four Smart Money moves on Arkansas (including BetOnline, +6.82 Units Won). Our best early performer, 5dimes Steam Moves, has also made an appearance. They're already up 20.4 Units on the young college football season, so we'll bet this one with confidence. Arkansas +3 Connecticut vs. Pittsburgh What passes for elite in Big East football may be a bit misleading, but it looks like there's going to be some serious competition at the top of the conference this season. Cincinnati and South Florida have cracked the Top 25, and whichever team wins this match-up will have a solid argument as well. Connecticut's only loss of the season came against North Carolina, a game determined by an offensive holding call in the end zone, resulting in a safety. Pittsburgh fell short at NC State but does have an impressive 27-14 victory over the Navy's triple-option attack under their belt. Pittsburgh opened as a 10.5-point favorite at CRIS and has received 55% of spread bets. Additionally, 78% of parlay bets are falling on the Panthers, but the line has not grown as one might expect. The reverse line movement in this game is significant, dropping at least 3 points across the board. Pitt is now -7 at CRIS and can be found as low as -6.5. Sharp money surely is falling on the Huskies, and we have evidence of it in another 5dimes Steam Move (+20.4 Units Won). Connecticut +7 Oregon vs. UCLA Oregon has been an awfully confusing team this season. They opened with a primetime loss to Boise State, after which their star running back leveled an opposing player with a mean right cross. Since then, they've been more and more impressive in each game, particularly two weeks ago in a 42-3 dismantling of then #6 California. To make matters more baffling, the Ducks' quarterback Jeremiah Masoli missed Monday and Tuesday's practice, was limited Wednesday, and visited doctors again on Thursday to examine his injured right knee. He insists he'll play. On the flip side, UCLA quarterback Kevin Prince rejoined practice this week after breaking his jaw against Tennessee in Week 2 and having it wired shut. Reports have had him on a diet on blended beans, spinach, rice and salsa (we were dying to know as well), and he looks ready to go against the Pac-10 leading Ducks. Did we mention befuddling? Yet these are the games for which Sports Insights Betting Systems were made. Market analysis has proven time and again to be more dependable and accessible than poring over statistics and match-ups. Games like this allow us to get out of our own way and invest, rather than gamble. Oregon opened as a 6.5-point favorite at Pinnacle and has taken a strong 70% of spread bets as well as 85% of parlays. You'd think the sportsbooks would want to encourage some action on UCLA by giving them more points, right? Instead, the line has dropped precipitously, down to -3.5 at Pinnacle and -3 at other books. We've seen 5 Smart Money plays on UCLA triggered by profitable sportsbooks, including CRIS (+12.6 Units Won). And to complete the trifecta, you know what's coming... a 5dimes Steam Move (+20.4 Units Won). UCLA +3.5
Speculate Sports Wisconsin at Ohio State 3:30pm EST Selection: WISCONSIN +16.5 Profile: Wisconsin has started the season 5-0, but several experts do not have much respect for the Badgers based on their weak opening schedule. However, they have two quality wins over Big 10 opponents Minnesota and Michigan State. The Spartans are a decent team this season, with a win over Michigan State and a close defeat at Notre Dame. I feel there are two main reasons why Wisconsin can stay within the number. First, their starting quarterback, Scott Tolzien, is a senior that has been in the program for several years now. He is not a typical first year starter and it has shown with the experience he has displayed. Tolzien makes several references to managing the offense, playing within himself, and avoiding mistakes. These are keys that are critical to quarterbacks playing well on the road. Also, Wisconsin has a dominant running game, averaging over 200 yards per game on the ground with their bruising tailback John Clay. While Ohio State does have a dominant rush defense, I expect Wisconsin to put enough points on the board to keep this game close. In addition, Ohio State does not have an explosive offense, which makes it much harder to cover this of a spread against quality opponents. Look for this game to be closer than expected. 3 UNIT SELECTION
FairwayJay 20* BIG DRIVE BIG DOG - WISCONSIN 15* ARIZONA 10* UCLA - UNDER COLORADO ST - KANSAS ST - TCU - SMU - UNDER FLORIDA ST - UTEP
DCI Season: 17-13 (.567) BOSTON 4, N.Y. Islanders 2 Pittsburgh 4, TORONTO 3 Atlanta vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL PHILADELPHIA 4, Anaheim 3 New Jersey vs. FLORIDA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL DETROIT 4, Washington 3 Carolina vs. TAMPA BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL ST. LOUIS 4, Los Angeles 3 NASHVILLE 3, Buffalo 2 CHICAGO 3, Colorado 2 PHOENIX 3, Columbus 2 EDMONTON 4, Montreal 3 Minnesota vs. SAN JOSE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
APACHE 27 syracuse (acc game of year) 17 e. michigan 22 kansas 22 army 14 wyoming 14 arkansas 22 indiana 12 pittsburgh 22 ucla 17 oklahoma 9 wake forest 24 texas tech over 22 toledo 12 tcu 17 smu over 14 florida 17 idaho 22 florida international 27 fresno st (wac game of the year)
From another web site Teddy Covers 20* BIG TICKET GOW - OKLAHOMA ST 15* TCU - OVER HAWAII 10* BOSTON COLLEGE - OVER MIAMI OH - STANFORD - UNDER TULANE
The Millionaires Club Guaranteed Selections Date: Saturday, October 10, 2009 $45.00 Guaranteed: We are now 772-383 since joining this site! Bottom Line is we win with a different approach to handicapping as we have situations that tell us what the line should be by looking at the teams stats compared to line history! This has proven to be very successful for us the past three years! Today we have isolated an 96% COLLEGE FOOTBALL NON CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR - $35 GUARANTEED! 10/10/2009 96% COLLEGE FOOTBALL NON CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR 377 Navy -10.5 3:30 EST
Chris Jordan Chris Jordan Saturday's winners ... 600? WYOMING COWBOYS - The offensive surge is quite evident with the Cowboys, now that frosh quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels has seized control of the unit. He has a veteran offensive line to protect him and since thirteen players have caught at least one pass this season, it's clear he has options. The blustery conditions aren't the best for a top-rated game like this, but Wyoming has been practicing in it all week. The Lobos' lethargic defense could be frozen into icicles by halftime, allowing Carta-Samuels and goto guy David Leonard to hook up for a couple of scores - bare minimum. Balancing things out is a veteran defensive crew that had its best game in stopping third-down conversions last week, allowing the Howard Schnellenberger's Florida Atlantic to go just 2-for-9. The goal is simple: do well on first and second down, and create third-and-long situations. That shouldn't be too much of an issue to accomplish against the Lobos. New Mexico is barely running for 100 yards per game thanks to a banged-up running back corps, while the Lobos haven't been able to establish a real go-to receiver. I know there are some believing last week was a turnaround point for the Lobos; I am one to believe Texas Tech didn't play at its best and took the game lightly. Fact is, with off-field distractions, the new defensive regime and an overall porous defense, I don't see the Lobos doing much offensively at all. Lay the chalk with Wyoming. 100? COLORADO ROCKIES (LIST Hammel over Martinez) - Welcome to the blizzard-worn Coors Field. I'll be the one with seven layers of clothes on and bundled underneath a blanket. The Rockies will be the ones emerging from the wild-card ranks and looking more like the higher seed. This is a team that has a knack for going on unstoppable runs, and there couldn't be a better situation than tonight to take advantage of this series. I like Hammel over Martinez, as Colorado's import for Tampa won five of his last seven decisions to finish 10-8. He's found great command and is throwing strikes effectively. I expect him to challenge the Phillies hitters tonight in the frigid weather. As for Martinez, put it this way, he'll be older than the temperature at the time of the first pitch. Colorado won 51 games at Coors Field, the second most in the National League this season. Play Colorado tonight.
Karl Garrett 40 DIMER - WISCONSIN.....10 DIMERS - BOWLING GREEN, & MINNESOTA 40 DIMER - WISCONSIN BADGERS - 3:30 PM Just too many points today at the Horseshoe for the Buckeyes to comfortably cover. Last year the Badgers held Tyrelle Pryor to 164 yards of total offense, and while Pryor is improved, the Bucks are still erratic on offense and I don't see them pulling away. Wisconsin comes in at 5-0 straight up, and QB Scott Tolzien has done a solid job putting up some nice numbers, while RB John Clay has also been doing damage with his legs. That combination should be just enough to keep Wiscy within earshot against an OSU team that is just 2-5 against the spread their last 7 as a home favorite. The Badgers lost a tough one 20-17 last season to the Buckeyes at Camp Randall, so expect a fired-up effort today in Columbus. The points work! 10 DIMER - BOWLING GREEN FALCONS - 3:30 PM Bowling Green hasn't won since opening week when they handled Troy with ease. That fact win change today, as Kent is the perfect foe for the Falcons at Dix Stadium. The points haven't worked for the Golden Flashes, especially at home where they are 5-13-1 against the spread their last 19 at home! Bowling Green won last year 45-30, and owns the series 54-16. Kent State only beat 0-5 Miami University by 10 points. The combined score of their other 4 games, 175-39! The Falcons have lost 4 in a row, but each game was winnable (except Boise State) and the combined records of those teams is 15-4 (at Missouri, Boise State, at Marshall, and Ohio). The line on this one has been all over the board, and I am not sure why? I am sure that Bowling Green is going to notch their 2nd win, and do so convincingly. 10 DIMER - MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS - 12:00 PM Both teams are off tough losses, but Purdue's loss to Northwestern may take the cake, as the Boilers turned it over 5 times in a 17-minute span to blow a 21-3 lead against the Wildcats! That made it 4 straight losses for the Boilermakers, while Minnesota is at least 3-2 straight up this year. Expect the turnovers to continue for Purdue, as last year Minnesota had 4 takeaways in a 17-6 win in West Lafayette. Home-cooking in the new stadium comes through in this one, as the Golden Gophers are a TD better than the Boilermakers in this Big 10 battle.