NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX FRIDAY, OCTOBER 2 Game 107-108: Pittsburgh at Louisville Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 94.395; Louisville 81.560 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 13; 51 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 54 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-6 1/2); Under Game 109-110: Utah State at BYU Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 79.005; BYU 110.976 Dunkel Line: BYU by 32; 68 Vegas Line: BYU by 23 1/2; 64 Dunkel Pick: BYU (-23 1/2); Over
NCAAF LONG SHEET Week 5 Friday, October 2 PITTSBURGH (3 - 1) at LOUISVILLE (1 - 2) - 10/2/2009, 8:05 PM Top Trends for this game. PITTSBURGH is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992. Head-to-Head Series History PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons LOUISVILLE is 1-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- UTAH ST (1 - 2) at BYU (3 - 1) - 10/2/2009, 9:00 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game. Head-to-Head Series History UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons BYU is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NCAAF SHORT SHEET Week 5 Friday, 10/2/2009 PITTSBURGH at LOUISVILLE, 8:05 PM ET ESPN PITTSBURGH: 5-1 Over off SU loss as road favorite LOUISVILLE: 1-6 ATS off road loss UTAH ST at BYU, 9:00 PM ET MTN UTAH ST: 10-4 ATS as road underdog BYU: 0-5 ATS in October
NCAAF ADDITIONAL Week 5 Trend Report Friday, October 2 8:00 PM PITTSBURGH vs. LOUISVILLE Pittsburgh is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games Pittsburgh is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games on the road Louisville is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games Louisville is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home 9:00 PM UTAH STATE vs. BYU Utah State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road Utah State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road BYU is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home BYU is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games at home
CFL DUNKEL Edmonton at Winnipeg The Eskimos look to take advantage of a Winnipeg team that is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games following an ATS victory. Edmonton is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Eskimos favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-4). Here are all of this week's CFL picks. FRIDAY, OCTOBER 2 Game 251-252: Edmonton at Winnipeg Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 111.301; Winnipeg 104.540 Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 7; 48 Vegas Line: Edmonton by 4; 51 Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-4); Under Game 253-254: Saskatchewan at BC Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 115.886; BC 111.233 Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 4 1/2; 58 Vegas Line: BC by 1; 54 Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+1); Over
CFL ADDITIONAL Week 14 Trend Report Friday, October 2 7:30 PM EDMONTON vs. WINNIPEG The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road Winnipeg is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Edmonton The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton 10:30 PM SASKATCHEWAN vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia British Columbia is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home British Columbia is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins Winning a championship is hard. Defending it is even harder, especially when two of your biggest stars are less than 100 percent. The Pittsburgh Penguins may be without Sidney Crosby when they begin their season as defending Stanley Cup champs against the New York Rangers Friday. Crosby is nursing an injured groin but told reporters he “feels pretty good” after testing it in practice earlier this week. "I did a lot more battling and things like that in the corners," Crosby told the Sporting News. "Leaning on guys, and stuff. I was happy with the way it felt." While Crosby’s status is still up in the air, the Pens will definitely be without postseason sparkplug Maxime Talbot, who could be out until January while recovering from shoulder surgery. Talbot was huge for Pittsburgh in the run to the Cup including scoring the two winning goals in Game 7 of the final. The Penguins are shuffling lines to make up for holes in the forward corps, which could slow down an offense that scored more than three goals a game and averaged 29 shots on goal. Pick: Under Florida Panthers vs. Chicago Blackhawks (-153, 5.5) There are some huge expectations for a young Blackhawks team to live up to in 2009-10. After getting within a few overtimes of the Cup final, Chicago is everyone’s dark horse to win the West. However, if the Hawks’ exhibition contests against the ZSC Lions this week is any indication, Chicago still has work to do before claiming the conference’s top spot. The Blackhawks dropped a 2-1 game to the Swiss club heading into their season-opening game against the Florida Panthers in Helsinki, Finland Friday. Chicago knows it has work to do before facing the Panthers. They took a 9-2 win over HC Davos the day before losing to the Lions and their tough zone defense. Chicago’s explosive offense was held in check by ZSC and wasn’t given room to operate and make plays. "It's tough, especially the way we played (against Davos) when I thought we played very well," forward Patrick Kane told the team’s website. "Then to have an effort like that; it's definitely something that is tough to swallow. But we'll have to learn from it and move on from here. We got bigger things ahead of us. It'll be tough to put this one behind us.” Pick: Florida +141
NHL LONG SHEET Friday, October 2 FLORIDA (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) vs. CHICAGO (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/2/2009, 12:00 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game. Head-to-Head Series History FLORIDA is 1-1 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons CHICAGO is 1-1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DETROIT (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) vs. ST LOUIS (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/2/2009, 3:00 PM Top Trends for this game. ST LOUIS is 14-10 ATS (+26.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History ST LOUIS is 5-9 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons DETROIT is 9-5-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons 6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PHILADELPHIA (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) at CAROLINA (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/2/2009, 7:00 PM Top Trends for this game. CAROLINA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons PHILADELPHIA is 6-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NY RANGERS (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/2/2009, 7:30 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game. Head-to-Head Series History PITTSBURGH is 10-9 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons PITTSBURGH is 10-9-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons 10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)
DCI Friday, October 2, 2009 Big East Conference Pittsburgh 33, LOUISVILLE 21 FBS Non-Conference BYU 50, Utah State 25
Mighty Quinn Mighty missed with West Virginia (-17) Thursday night. Today it's the White Sox. The surplus is 1,075 sirignanos.
Hondo Red-hot Hondo, winner of two in a row, kept the big red ball rolling in the right direction yesterday when he rode the Twins past the Tigers to reduce the deficit to 1,270 lumpes. Tonight, he'll leave it to Peavy in Detroit -- 10 units on the White Sox.
THE SPORTS ADVISORS FRIDAY, OCTOBER 2 COLLEGE FOOTBALL Pittsburgh (3-1, 2-1 ATS) at Louisville (1-2, 1-1 ATS) Pitt tries to bounce back from its first loss of the season when it travels to Louisville for a battle with the Cardinals in the Big East opener for both teams. The Panthers routed their first three opponents by a combined 119-44, then went to North Carolina State on Saturday and squandered a 14-point lead with less than 20 minutes to play, losing 38-31 in a pick-em contest. Pitt got outgained 530-300 in the defeat, including 208-94 on the ground, and lost the time-of-possession battle 37 minutes to 23 minutes. This is the fifth straight year these squads have met, and after Louisville won the first three clashes by a combined 53 points, Pitt got revenge in a big way last year, rolling 41-7 as a six-point home favorite. The Panthers forced four turnovers (two defensive scores) in the victory, which actually ended Pitt’s seven-game losing streak to the Cardinals that dated to 1990. The Panthers have cashed each of the last two years after going 1-5 ATS in the first six meetings, and the favorite is 3-1 ATS in the last four. Louisville followed up a competitive 31-27 loss at instate rival Kentucky with a 30-14 blowout defeat at Utah on Saturday, failing to cover as a 14-point road underdog. The Cardinals, who have lost seven consecutive games to Division I-A foes (1-6 ATS), got whipped all over the field by Utah, which had a 416-261 edge in total yards (214-80 rushing) and forced three Louisville turnovers. Behind QB Bill Stull (65.6 percent completion rate, 746 yards, 8 TDs, 1 INT), Pitt’s offense is putting up 37.5 points and 360 yards (154 rushing) per game. The defense is allowing 20.5 points and 351.8 yards per outing, including 112.5 rushing ypg (2.9 yards per carry). Long known for an explosive offense, the Cardinals have now scored 21 points or fewer in six of their last eight games, and they’re averaging 23.7 points and just 352.7 total yards (223 passing) per contest. Meanwhile, after holding Division I-AA Indiana State to 10 points and 101 total yards in a season-opening win, the defense has surrendered 31 and 30 points and an average of 381 yards the last two weeks. Pitt is in the midst of ATS slumps of 5-12 as a favorite, 0-4 against teams with a losing record and 16-35 after a SU defeat, but Dave Wannstedt’s squad is 4-1 ATS in its last five October clashes. Louisville is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a home ‘dog, but otherwise is on pointspread slides of 1-6 overall, 0-5 in Big East play, 2-5 in Big East home games, 1-5 on Friday, 1-5 as an underdog and 1-5 against winning teams. The Panthers carry “over” trends of 5-2 on the road, 5-0 as a road chalk, 9-4 in conference play, 5-2 on Friday and 5-2 as a favorite. Similarly, Louisville is on “over” runs of 4-1 overall, 6-2 after a SU loss and 4-0 when playing on grass. However, the under is 3-1 in the last four series meetings in this rivalry. ATS ADVANTAGE: PITTSBURGH Utah State (1-2, 2-0 ATS) at (20) BYU (3-1 SU and ATS) Utah State hits the road for the third time in four games this season, making the short trek to Provo, Utah, for a non-conference clash with the 20th-ranked Cougars. The Aggies got spread-covers as a 20½-point underdog in season-opening road losses at Utah (35-17) and Texas A&M (38-30), then came home on Saturday and pounded Southern Utah 53-34 in a non-lined game. Going back to the start of the 2003 season, Utah State is 15-57 SU against Division I-A foes and has lost 13 consecutive non-conference games to I-A competition, but the Aggies have covered in seven straight lined contests (6-0 ATS as an underdog). BYU rebounded from an ugly 54-28 home loss to Florida State with Saturday’s 42-23 victory over Mountain West Conference rival Colorado State, barely cashing as an 18-point home favorite. The Cougars actually got outgained 438-373 by the Rams, and the defense has now given up 950 yards the last two weeks, while QB Max Hall has tossed five interceptions. The Cougars rolled past Utah State 34-14 last year, but failed to cover as a 29-point road favorite. BYU has won 25 of 28 in this rivalry since 1975, including the last nine in a row. The teams have split the cash over those nine contests at 4-4-1 ATS, with the Aggies going 4-2-1 ATS in the last seven (all as a big underdog). The host is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings. BYU’s Hall now has as many interceptions (eight) as TD passes, but he’s still completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 1,185 yards. Meanwhile, Utah State’s Diondre Borel has 52.1 completion rate for 771 yards with four TDs and one INT, while adding 111 rushing yards and three scores on the ground. In addition to its ATS runs of 7-0 overall and 6-0 as a ‘dog, Utah State is on further pointspread rolls of 16-6 overall, 3-0-1 on the road, 11-4 as a road pup, 5-1 against Mountain West opponents and 4-0-1 after a SU win. Meanwhile, BYU in ATS declines of 6-11 overall, 5-8 as a favorite, 1-6 when laying 20 points or more, 1-4 at home, 2-7 after a SU win, 2-5 against Western Athletic Conference opponents, 1-4-1 on Friday and 0-5 in October. The over is 3-1-1 in Utah State’s last five overall, 3-0-1 in its last four on the road (all as an underdog), 5-1 in BYU’s last six overall and 4-0 in BYU’s last four as a favorite. Conversely, the under is on streaks of 3-0-1 for the Aggies in October, 5-1 for the Cougars in October and 3-1-1 for the Cougars on Friday. ATS ADVANTAGE: UTAH STATE NATIONAL LEAGUE Colorado (91-68) at L.A. Dodgers (93-66) The struggling Dodgers try once again to wrap up the N.L. West title when they open a season-ending three-game home series against the Rockies, who have clinched at least a wild-card berth and can still catch Los Angeles in the division. L.A.’s Randy Wolf (11-6, 3.27 ERA) is slated to oppose Colorado ace Ubaldo Jimenez (14-12, 3.52) tonight. Colorado finished off a three-game sweep of the Brewers on Thursday, prevailing 9-2 to earn a postseason berth for second time in three years. The Dodgers have also punched their playoff ticket despite losing four in a row and six of eight on a just-concluded road trip to Washington, Pittsburgh and San Diego. They’re now just two games up on the Rockies in the division with three to play, meaning L.A. needs one win in this series to capture its second straight N.L. West title and relegate Colorado to the wild card. The Rockies have won four in a row and five of six after going 4-7 in their previous 11 contests. However, Colorado has dropped five straight road games against southpaw starters, eight of 11 against winning clubs and 10 of 12 when facing a winning opponent on the highway. The Dodgers, who were one-hit in Wednesday’s 5-0 loss in San Diego, have scored a total of two runs in the last three games and are batting .230 as a team over their last 10 contests. Joe Torre’s team has lost four of its last five on Friday and five of its last seven after a day off, but it is 5-1 in its last six at home and 6-2 in its last eight against right-handed starters. Los Angeles has owned Colorado this year, going 12-3, including 5-1 at Dodger Stadium. In fact, the Dodgers are 49-23 in the last 72 head-to-head battles in Hollywood. Jimenez gave up four runs on six hits in seven innings in Saturday’s 6-3 home loss to the Cardinals. He’s surrendered 12 runs (11 earned) in his last three outings covering 16 2/3 innings (5.94 ERA). Still, the Rockies are 8-3 in Jimenez’s last 11 starts overall, and 22 of the right-hander’s last 26 outings have been quality starts, allowing two earned runs or fewer in 16 of those 26 contests. Colorado is just 11-25 in Jimenez’s last 36 road starts, where he’s 6-7 with a 3.69 ERA this season. Also, Jimenez is 0-3 with a 7.77 ERA in four starts against the Dodgers in 2009, with the Rockies losing all four games by a combined score of 32-15. For his career, Jimenez is 4-3 with a 6.38 ERA in 11 games (10 starts) against the Dodgers, including 1-1 with a 9.13 ERA in five starts at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers have won four straight and nine of 10 games started by Wolf since Aug. 6, with the southpaw going 6-0 with a 2.73 ERA during this stretch. He got a no-decision on Saturday at Pittsburgh, yielding two runs on four hits in 6 1/3 innings, with L.A. prevailing 8-4 by scoring five runs in the final two innings. With Wolf on the hill, the Dodgers are on runs of 19-7 overall, 21-7 at home, 5-1 against the N.L. West, 5-0 on Friday and 13-3 when he faces an opponent with a winning record. He’s 4-2 with a 3.63 ERA in 17 home starts this year (L.A. is 13-4), and he’s 5-2 with a 4.05 ERA in 12 career starts against Colorado, including 1-0 with a 2.79 ERA in three games this year (all Dodgers victories). The under is 9-2 in Jimenez’s last 11 starts overall, 4-1 in his last five on the road, 8-2 in his last 10 on Friday and 4-1 in his last five against the N.L. West, but nine of his 10 career starts against Los Angeles – including four of five at Dodger Stadium – have topped the posted total. Also, with Wolf pitching, the Dodgers are on “over” runs of 4-0-1 overall, 3-0-1 at home and 5-1-1 against divisional foes. The over is 5-2 in Colorado’s last seven road games and 4-1 in its last five series openers, while Los Angeles is on “over” surges of 8-3 overall, 4-1 at home, 6-2 against the N.L. West and 6-0 against winning teams. However, the last six Dodgers-Rockies battles have stayed under the total, as have six of the last eight meetings at Dodger Stadium. ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS AMERICAN LEAGUE Chicago White Sox (77-82) at Detroit (85-74) After blowing an opportunity to punch their postseason ticket on Thursday, the Tigers give it another shot tonight when they send All-Star Edwin Jackson (13-8, 3.36 ERA) to the mound at Comerica Park, while the White Sox counter with Jake Peavy (2-0, 2.25). Detroit could’ve wrapped up the A.L. Central title Thursday afternoon against second-place Minnesota, but the Tigers lost 8-3. That dropped Detroit’s divisional lead to two games with three to play for each team, meaning any combination of two Detroit wins or Minnesota losses sends the Tigers to the playoffs. In splitting the critical four-game set with the Twins, the Tigers are now 7-4 in their last 11 games (all versus the A.L. Central) after going 3-9 in the previous 12 to allow Minnesota back in the race. Detroit is 35-17 in its last 52 at Comerica, but it has lost six of its last seven series openers. Chicago was off Thursday after taking two of three at Cleveland to start this week and it has won four of six following a 1-7 nosedive. The White Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 after a day off, but otherwise they’re in funks of 12-26 on the road, 9-19 on Friday, 2-6 against winning teams and 21-48 on the highway against winning squads. Detroit holds a slim 8-7 edge in the season series with the White Sox, who have won three of the last four meetings. The host is 6-2 in the last eight clashes, with the Tigers winning four of the last five in their ballpark. Peavy was dominant in a 2-0 home win over Detroit a week ago tonight, scattering six hits and two walks while striking out eight over seven innings. He’s allowed three runs and nine hits in 12 innings with a 13-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his first two starts with the White Sox, both at home. In addition to last Friday’s 2-0 win, Peavy’s only other start against the Tigers came with the Padres in interleague play in 2005, and he gave up five runs (three earned) in six innings of an 8-4 road loss. Jackson has been hit hard in three of his last four starts, giving up five runs in all three of those poor performances. That includes an 8-4 loss at the White Sox on Sunday, when he surrendered the five runs in seven innings. Jackson is 3-3 with a 5.16 ERA in seven starts since Aug. 26, including 1-1 with a 7.41 ERA at home. Still, for the season, the right-hander is 7-2 with a 3.73 ERA at Comerica Park. Jackson has made seven career starts against Chicago, going 1-3 with a 5.66 ERA, including 0-1 with a 4.74 ERA in three games this year. The White Sox are 5-2 all-time when facing Jackson. For Chicago, the under is on stretches of 45-21-1 overall, 34-15-2 on the road, 19-9 in divisional games, 4-1 on Friday, 4-1 after a day off and 40-19-2 against winning teams. Conversely, Detroit carries “over” trends of 4-1-1 overall (all within the division), 8-2-1 at home, 13-4-1 on grass, 8-3-2 against right-handed starters, 4-0 when Jackson starts at home and 5-1 when Jackson faces A.L. Central rivals. The under is 11-4 in this rivalry this year and 45-20-4 over the last seven-plus seasons when these teams meet in Detroit ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
DUNKEL MLB Milwaukee at St. Louis Adam Wainwright goes for his 20th win tonight and looks to take advantage of Milwaukee's 1-4 record in its last 5 games as a road underdog between +150 and +200. St. Louis is the pick (-210) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-210). Here are all of today's picks. FRIDAY, OCTOBER 2 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST Game 901-902: Arizona at Chicago Cubs Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Buckner) 14.273; Cubs (Gorzelanny) 14.612 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-155); No Run Line Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-155); N/A Game 903-904: Florida at Philadelphia Dunkel Ratings: Florida (VandenHurk) 15.882; Philadelphia (Blanton) 14.805 Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-175); 9 Dunkel Pick: Florida (+165); Over Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McCutchen) 15.756; Cincinnati (Lehr) 16.888 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 9 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-135); Over Game 907-908: Houston at NY Mets Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 14.457; NY Mets (Maine) 13.813 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Houston (-140); 8 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-140); Over Game 909-910: Washington at Atlanta Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hernandez) 14.888; Atlanta (Lowe) 15.143 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A Game 911-912: Milwaukee at St. Louis Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Looper) 14.311; St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.224 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-210); 8 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-210); Under Game 913-914: San Francisco at San Diego Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.213; San Diego (Correia) 16.426 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-125); Under Game 915-916: Colorado at LA Dodgers Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 16.069; LA Dodgers (Wolf) 13.833 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Detroit Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 14.739; Detroit (Jackson) 15.146 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A Game 919-920: Toronto at Baltimore Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Purcey) 15.085; Baltimore (Berken) 15.337 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 10 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+135); Over Game 921-922: Cleveland at Boston Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sowers) 14.109; Boston (Matsuzaka) 15.161 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 10 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-200); Over Game 923-924: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.783; Tampa Bay (Price) 14.366 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-160); Under Game 925-926: Kansas City at Minnesota Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Dinardo) 15.734; Minnesota (Manship) 16.232 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A Game 927-928: LA Angels at Oakland Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.831; Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.140 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-125); Under Game 929-930: Texas at Seattle Dunkel Ratings: Texas (McCarthy) 15.323; Seattle (Snell) 16.260 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 9 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Under
SMART ANALYSIS SPORTS HANDICAPPING We won again last night with the outright upset winner UAB. Currently 4-0 on the week. Today we have one official play and that is on another underdog...Lousiville. Play Louisville plus the points. The line is a steady +6.5 even with most of the public playing Pittsburgh. The public SHOULD bring this number up to +7. Again, wait and get the best line that you can get. We are looking closely at the late game and may have a play. Please watch for your email or text. We also hope for a game to set up for a 2nd Half play.
Randle the Handle Chicago -1½ +1.96 over Florida (12:00 PM) Pinnacle Early afternoon action sees the powerful looking Blackhawks facing the Jay Bouwmeester-less Florida Panthers in a game that’ll be played overseas in Helsinki. The Blackhawks are simply loaded with talent and they added a couple of very key ingredients to its roster, most notably, penalty killer extraordinaire, John Madden. Madden not only kills penalties better than anyone, he is also capable of 20 goals and you’ll usually find him playing and frustrating the opposition’s top line. Add another year to all this young and tremendous talent and that makes Chicago even more dangerous. The news out of Finland is that many of the Panthers have come down with the flu so get on this one early. Even without the flu, the Panthers would be hard-pressed to keep this close. Olli Jokinen is gone and now so is Jay Bouwmeester. That leaves the top guys being David Booth, Michael Frolik and Nathan Horton. Since the 1995-96 season, Florida has missed out on the postseason 10 of 12 times and they’re now on their ninth head coach in Peter DeBoer. On top of Florida’s frustration on the ice, the Panthers are going through even more turmoil off of it. Team owner Alan Cohen wants to sell the team that has reportedly lost more than $100 million since his ownership group purchased the Panthers in 2001. Oh, they also do not have a GM and their off-season acquisitions were Jordan Leopold, Ville Koistinen, Steven Reinprecht, Jeff Taffe and Scott Clemmensen. All the Panthers troubles will trickle right down to the ice beginning with this back-to-back opening series against a serious contender. Play: Chicago -1½ +1.96 (Risking 2 units). St. Louis +1.40 over Detroit (3:00 PM) Pinnacle This one goes in Sweden at 3:00 PM. The talk around hockey circles is that the Red Wings dynasty is over because of aging players and a lack of strong goaltending but that kind of talk is extremely premature. Yeah, the Wings lost to Pittsburgh in the playoffs last year but Detroit was without Datsyuk, Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Rafalski and Cleary and that’s the only reason they lost. Detroit still has some of the best players in the league and they’ll be very tough to beat as always. However, in this opener, the Blue Notes are the choice because of a nice price on them and because they can definitely win this one. In fact, they might even be better than the Red Wings. Remember, the Blue Notes were amazing in the second half last season, going a league-best 25-9-7 and grabbing the sixth seed. Also remember that the Blues were missing Erik Johnson, the first player drafted overall in 2006, Eric Brewer played in just 28 games and Paul Kariya played in 11 games after registering 15 points in those first 11 games. That trio is ready to start the season and when you throw in emerging stars T.J. Oshie, Patrick Berglund, David Perron and David Backes to the equation you have an extremely dangerous and talented squad. The Blues also have solid goaltending. Keep a close eye on these Blues because prices like this on them are not going to last long. Overlay. Play: St. Louis +1.40 (Risking 2 units).
BRANDON (FADE) LANG 15 DIMER - WHITE SOX - It's the Jake Peavy show tonight. Since coming off the DL he has been stellar in his first two starts for the White Sox. He went 5 innings in his first start at home against the Royals allowing 3 runs on 5 hits of a 13-3 Chicago win throwing 79 pitches total. His last start against these same Tigers was even better going 7 shutout innings, allowing 6 hits with a pair of walks and 8 strikeouts and throwing just under 100 pitches. To state the obvious, he is back. Going back to his last 7 starts overall with the Padres and the White Sox, he is on a 6-1 run. The Tigers have lost 3 of Edwin Jackson's last 4 starts mainly because Jackson has gotten rocked to the tune of 5 earned in all 3 losses. Pressure does weird things to a man. In fact, in his last 10 starts he has given up 4 earned or more in 6 of those starts. He was hit hard last time out by the White Sox giving up 5 earned on 7 hits in 7 innings throwing 111 pitches. Not exactly getting the bang out of your buck now are you Edwin. I will back Peavy to shut down this Tigers team that is feeling the pressure of a 2 game lead over the Twins and knowing Minnesota has the Royals this weekend. Riding the White Sox tonight. WHITE SOX (Peavy over Jackson) 15 DIMER - LOUISVILLE CARDINALS - This team has been competitive and I like what they showed me at Utah last week. Always a tough place to play in the altitude, they battled to a 23-14 game with 8:51 to go in the 4th but couldn't get the defensive stop allowing Utah to go on a 7 play 80 yard drive for the frontdoor cover on a 33 yard touchdown on a 3rd and 13 screen pass. This team should have knocked off Kentucky on the road but let that game get away from them. I am a fan of Steve Kragthorpe and I really feel he is turning this program around and seeing how competitive they have been this year so far has me on the points here. Pitt comes off a meltdown at NC State which saw them get rocked in the 4th quarter blowing a 31-14 lead giving up the last 21 points to lose 38-31. NC State dominated the statistics with 27 first downs to 11 for Pitt, 530 yards total offense to 300 and 208 yards of that was on the ground. Pitt shouldn't be laying this kind of number tonight. I'm on the Louisville bandwagon tonight. 15 DIMER - UTAH STATE AGGIES - This team is a quality dog tonight. They have covered both their lined games this year at Utah and at Texas A&M and I really feel they will stay well within the number tonight. First and foremost, I love their coaching staff. Their head coach Gary Anderson was the defensive coordinator and assistant head coach at Utah the last 5 years and his new offensive coordinator was the head coach of San Jose State from 1997-2000. This is as solid a coaching staff as you can ask for and you can see just how good from their 2 competitive games at Utah losing by 18 as a 20 point dog and at A&M losing by 8 as a 20 point dog. The change for this team is their offense, which has put up 342 total yards at Utah, 521 yards total offense at A&M and 604 yards total offense at home to Southern Utah. This Byu team is good but they are not great and they are facing a coaching staff that is as familiar with them and what they do on every level. Asking them to cover this kind of number is just a bit too much. Don't know if Utah State can play well enough to pull off the upset but as good as their offense is playing, I don't see them losing by more than the 24 number vegas has thrown out there for Byu to cover. I am riding the big dog Aggies tonight. FREE SELECTION - UTAH STATE-BYU OVER
VEGAS WISEGUY SPORTS Free Trial Picks... NCAAF - 3* PITTSBURGH -6.5 MLB - MINNESOTA -1.5 NHL - 2* CHICAGO & DETROIT
Ben Burns **9** BEST BET!! OVER 63.5,BRIGHAM YOUNG COUGARS -vs-Utah State Aggies 9:00:00 PM Reason: I'm playing on BYU and Utah State to finish OVER the total. At first glance, this o/u number seems very high. However, there's good reason for it being that way and I actually don't think that it's high enough. Let's take a look. The heavily favored Cougars are almost certain to score big points. Since their opening defensive battle vs. Oklahoma, the Cougars have averaged greater than 40 points per game, including 54 and 42 in the two games where they were favored by greater than two touchdowns. They'll face a Utah State defense which has given up 34 or more points every game. While we know the Cougars will score, the Aggies should also be able to help out. They scored 17 against a very good Utah defense, 30 against Texas A&M and then a whopping 53 vs. S. Utah last week. While that was obviously a lower tier opponent, the Aggies still did gain more than 600 yards of total offense (most since 2001) which can only be good for their confidence. QB Diondre Borel has topped 300 yards passing in back to back games, the first Aggie to do so since 2002. Both the Aggies lined games finished above the total. Meanwhile, BYU has seen three straight finish above the number. I expect the Cougars come in with a chip on their shoulder - they won by 19 last week but dropped in the AP rankings - and expect that they'll be happy to run up the score. With the Aggies doing their part, look for that to be enough and for the final combined score to finish above the total. *9 Best Bet
4 Unit Play. Take the Seattle Mariners -110 over the Texas Rangers (Friday @ 10pm est). Indeed, it does seem Ian Snell is righting the ship. The Mariners come off a 4-2 win yesterday and the Rangers take some frustration out on the Angels winning 11-3. More importantly, Snell has been improving steadily for the Mariners and that is a positive sign going into next year. Snell has put together three straight quality starts and has given up just four runs in his last eighteen innings. McCarthy on the other hand comes off a gem against the Rays where he gave up 0 earned runs in seven innings but the Rangers still fell short. I expect him to have a bit of a let down today as I like Snell in this matchup overall. The Rangers have lost McCarthy's last three starts and given that he helped defeat Seattle last time around 6-5 (where he picked up a no-decision), I still expect Seattle to have a beat on his pitches this time out. After all, in Texas the Rangers did hit the young fella’ for four runs in seven innings and they can have similar if not better success today. The Mariners are 9-2 when facing a pitcher with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and the Rangers are 2-10 when McCarthy starts as an Underdog. Good luck, IC
Ben lee Eck had Np on Wednesday or Thursday but won bolth selections on Tuesday. For Friday "Mr Chalk likes the Padres -$130/Giants. "Mr Chalk" is 2-0 +$200 for the week and 83-67 -$2790 for the MLB season.
Ferrall PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND BOLD AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( ) Milwaukee (Looper) ST. LOUIS (WAINWRIGHT) -200 (1) Kansas City (DiNardo) MINNESOTA (MANSHIP) NO EARLY LINE (2) Washington (Hernandez) ATLANTA (LOWE) NO EARLY LINE (3) Run Totals Pittsburgh / Cincinnati UNDER 9 Houston / Mets UNDER 8 Milwaukee / St. Louis UNDER 8 White Sox / Detroit UNDER
Street Rosenthal Thank you for your Purchase Street Rosenthal Finally broke out of last weeks slump, 4-0 last night. Louisville +7 Write up to be posted later. Utah State +24 Write up to be posted later. Toronto Blue Jays-124 I am taking the Away team for the win tonight. I have the Orioles as 5-20 SU since 2004 at home when their starter went less than four innings in his last start after a win. I also have the Orioles as 4-17 SU since 2004 at home when they are off a win in which they never trailed and it is the first game of a series. Finally, we have the Orioles as 4-17 SU since August 18, 2008 after a win and it is the first game of a series. Take the Blue Jays for the win. *200 Cincinnati Reds -124 I am taking the Reds tonight for the win. I have the Pirates as 2-15 SU since 2006 as a dog after a win in which they left 18+ men on base and it is the first game of a series. I also have the Reds as 17-8 SU since 2006 after a 5+ run loss and it is the first game of a series. Take the Reds for the win.
SuperSportsGroup - 10/2 Thanks for purchasing our plays. OK lets finish off the regular season off strong with our pick package tonight. Dont forget our 9* Bet Bet of the day for a special price today!! Friday Oct 2nd Cleveland v. Boston 7pm PICK: OVER 10 -115 (8*) Best Bet San Fran v. San Diego 10:15pm PICK: Giants ML +125 (7*) 3 Team Parlayfor 1* pays 7.6* Pirates ML +105 Baltimore ML +110 Oakland ML ev NCAAF Dont miss out on our 10** Game of the week lined up for tomorrows College football!! Friday Oct 2nd Pittsburgh v. Louisville 8pm PICK: Louisville +6.5 Game (8*) PICK: Louisville +3.5 1H (3*) Utah St v. BYU 9pm PICK: Utah St +14 1H (5*) MLB KC v. Minnesota 8:10pm PICK: OVER 9.5 -110 (7*)
Tony Salinas Baseball Friday, October 02, 2009 23* Bluejays {D.Purcey} (-125) over Orioles {J.Berken} 7:05 PM -- Oriole Park at Camden Yards Mostly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to left field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70. 24* Whitesox {J.Peavy} (+125) over Tigers {E.Jackson} 7:05 PM -- Comerica Park Mostly cloudy with a 70-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing in from center field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 60. 25* Padres {K.Correia} (-135) over Giants {B.Zito} 10:05 PM -- Petco Park Mostly clear. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.
Dominic Fazzini Friday's play 10 Dime -- Utah State (plus points vs. BYU) Utah State The Aggies are not intimidated by playing at BYU. They play the Cougars nearly every year, so traveling to Provo is not going to awe anyone on the Utah State sideline. Plus, the Aggies already have covered in road losses this year at Utah (35-17) and Texas A&M (38-30), so they have shown they can hang with the big boys away from home. BYU won 34-14 at Utah State last year, but failed to cover as a 29-point favorite. The Cougars have won 25 of the last 28 meetings between the teams, but the Aggies have gone 4-2-1 against the spread in the last seven, playing as a big underdog each time. Utah State has a balanced offensive attack, and BYU has allowed 77 points over its last two games, so the Aggies should be able to put up enough points tonight to keep the game relatively close. Utah State is 11-4 ATS as a road underdog, and 5-1 against Mountain West teams. The Cougars are 1-6 ATS as a favorite of at least 20 points. Take the Aggies to cover the spread in tonight's contest.
SquaresWanted.Com Sharp - Ivan Laflare Friday, October 2, 2009 4 stacks Pittsburgh (3-1) at Louisville (1-2) 8:00pm Pittsburgh -6.5 @5dimes Louisville verse Pittsburgh will be another classic Big East match up on the Friday of October. Of Coarse this match can not compare to these two facing off on the hardwood but this game could make an interest match up tonight. The Big East is up for grab this season; this conference is lacking a dominate team that is favor to take home the Big East crown. The Louisville Cardinals do not have any signature wins this season, matter of fact they only have 1 win in total this season and it came against Indiana State. Louisville has never been a football school, basketball will always control the hearts of Cardinals fans. The Cardinals have had a hard time stopping the running, giving up a 133 yards a game. The Pitt Panthers have been a rushing team for the last 3 season. Pitt's running back Dion Lewis has rushed for 7 touchdowns so far this season. Dion Lewis is running behind a line that block for former conference player of the year Lesean McCoy (running back for the Philadelphia Eagles) . Pitt has over 9 running touchdowns this season and will look to add to that total against Louisville tissue paper defensive line. The Cardinals have major issues stopping running backs but the biggest problem are on the offensive end. The Cardinals are 84th in the nation in points scored compare to Pitt that stands at 19th in the nation. Look for the Pitt Panthers to cruise to a victory behind their strong O-line. Paid & confirmed by me...GL to all.
SquaresWanted.Com Sharp - Kyle Brown Sports Picks, Friday October 2, 2009 Cleveland (65-93) vs Boston (91-67) 7:10 pm 5Stars Over 10 @ BetJamaica Paid & confirmed by me...GL to all.
Today's Free Pick: BOSTON RED SOX - 1.5 ALSO HAS FRIDAY'S HIGH ROLLERS ONLY COLLEGE FOOTBALL 4-0 THIS WEEK. LOUISVILLE
FadeStewTheSquare Just a heads up on this service, its fading the squarest moron ever to place a sports bet. The guy blows his bankroll every 2 weeks and is quite possibly the biggest idiot in the history of sports handicapping. He buys hooks on every play and doesnt have any fundemental grasp of how to wager properly. Fading him has made me a ton of money. Here are the opposite of his plays for the weekend: Back-2-back winning nights both nights covered by 20+ points! 13-3 YTD For today: Pitt -6.5 NFL Washington -7 and Houston -9.5 (or better)
WAYNE ROOT is 8-2 on football prime time plays this season. 2009 Football Upset Club Friday, October 02, 2009 3*Louisville (+6½) over Pittsburgh
3 Big Plays for Friday! 1. Matt Fargo 5* Play is on Louisville + 7 2. Cajun Sports CFB "Awesome Angle" Winner 39-1 ATS Friday: 3* Louisville Cardinals + 6.5 3. Lenny Del Genio 20* Big East Game of the Month: Louisville Cardinals + 6.5
Stan Sharp | MLB Money Line Fri, 10/02/09 - 7:10 PM double-dime bet ml 905 PIT (+115) BetUS vs 906 CIN
BEN BURNS: Play Selected Point Spread: 6.5/-102 I'm taking the points with LOUISVILLE. I successfully played against the Panthers at NC State last week. For awhile it looked like I might lose that one, as Pittsburgh had a lead. However, in the end, the Panthers defense couldn't get a stop and the Wolfpack rallied for a 7-point victory. Those are the type of losses that can be tough to bounce back from, particularly when playing the second of back to back road games and playing on a short week. The Cardinals are also coming off a loss. In fact, they've lost two in a row. However, those losses both came on the road. They lost (but covered) by only four at Kentucky before losing by 16 vs. an angry Utah team last time out - a situation where they were the ones playing the second of back to back road games. Naturally, this is a very big game for both teams. With it being at home, playing with 'revenge' from an embarrassing loss, and due to the fact that the Cards have a losing record, I feel that they'll be the team playing with a little more sense of urgency. Note that Louisville is 5-3 ATS the last eight times it was a home underdog in the +3.5 to +7 range. The Panthers have long had a tendency to struggle against teams with a losing record. In fact, they're just 15-30 ATS their last 45 against teams which were below .500. Not surprisingly, they're just 5-12 ATS the last 17 times that they were laying points. Prior to last year, the Cardinals had long dominated the Panthers. I expect a highly motivated effort and look for them to earn at leas the cover. *9 Friday Main Event
Bob Balfe College Football BYU/Utah State over 63.5 BYU is coming off a win last week against Colorado State however they were out played and really lost the game because of CSU turnovers. This BYU defense has not looked good the past two weeks at home and will be taking on a Utah State team that is not the laughing stock of College Football anymore. The Aggies have improved on offense and should make this a competitive game tonight. BYU QB Max Hall has never lost to Utah State and it is crucial for BYU to crush this team tonight. Whatever happens expect a lot of points. Take the Over.
Black Widow 6* Widow Wiseguy Mountain West GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah State +24.5(-110 at betus) Utah State is much improved this season under new head coach Gary Anderson. With 16 starters back, Anderson is making the most of his experience as the Aggies have been competitive in every game they've played. They have already faced a pair of really good opponents, losing at Utah by 18 points in their opener and nearly beating Texas A&M on the road in a 30-38 loss in their second game. They got a confidence builder last week with a 53-34 win over Southern Utah, amassing over 600 yards of total offense. The Aggies are scoring 33.3 points per game, and averaging 489.0 yards of total offense per contest. Utah State is averaging 222 rushing yards per game and 5.4 yards per carry. This team is no pushover like this inflated line would indicate. BYU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons. BYU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. The Cougars are overrated after their fast start, and that was shown when they lost 28-54 at home to Florida State a couple weeks back. They better be on upset alert Friday. Take Utah State and the points.
Savannah Sports Professional Plays Eric Degarde MLB Baseball 2 (**) San Francisco +110 2 (**) Oakland +115