NFL LONG SHEET Week 7 Monday, October 26 PHILADELPHIA (3 - 2) at WASHINGTON (2 - 4) - 10/26/2009, 8:35 PM Top Trends for this game. WASHINGTON is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992. PHILADELPHIA is 130-90 ATS (+31.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992. WASHINGTON is 49-71 ATS (-29.1 Units) versus division opponents since 1992. Head-to-Head Series History WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NFL DUNKEL MONDAY, OCTOBER 26 Game 437-438: Philadelphia at Washington Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 138.357; Washington 126.121 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 12; 41 Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7; 37 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-7); Over
Hondo Hondo hit the double with the Yanks last night (game and ALCS) to greatly offset his losses with the Giants and Falcons and trim the debt to 1,780 van brocklins. Tonight, he'll go green with the Eagles for 10 units.
Doc’s Sports 4 Unit Play. Take Washington over Philadelphia The Redskins needs this game or else they may have a new coach when the resume games on November 8th. Jim Zorn has been striped of his play calling ability and in come Sherman Lewis, a coach that had success with the Green Bay Packers during the 1990s. It is hard to figure that the Eagles deserve to be this big of a favorite since they just lost to the Oakland Raiders. The dog is usually the strong play on Monday Night and the talent on these teams is much closer to a pick’em game then it is a 7-point road favorite. I do believe that Coach Zorn is liked by his players and I believe they will put forth an all-out effort this week to try and save his job. Washington quiets the critics for one week with an impressive victory at Fed Ex Field. Washington 21, Philadelphia 20.
DUNKEL NHL Minnesota at Chicago The Wild look to build on their 6-1 record in their last 7 visits to Chicago. Minnesota is the pick (+175) according to Dunkel, which has the Wild favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+175). Here are all of today's picks. MONDAY, OCTOBER 26 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST Game 51-52: Phoenix at NY Rangers Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.773; NY Rangers 11.915 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-160); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-160); Over Game 53-54: NY Islanders at Montreal Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 9.927; Montreal 11.411 Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-185); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-185); Under Game 55-56: Minnesota at Chicago Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.999; Chicago 11.439 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-185); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+175); Under Game 57-58: Toronto at Anaheim Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 9.988; Anaheim 10.857 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-165); 6 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-165); Over
DCI Season: 53-37 (.589) N.Y. RANGERS 3, Phoenix 2 MONTREAL 4, N.Y. Islanders 2 CHICAGO 3, Minnesota 2 ANAHEIM 4, Toronto 2 DCI Monday, October 26, 2009 Philadelphia 22, WASHINGTON 10
Mike Lineback 4* Teaser 6 pts -110 | [431] New Orleans Saints -0.5 | 4:15p ET; [437] Philadelphia Eagles -1 | Monday, 8:30p ET
WAYNE ROOT 2009 Football Upset Club Monday, October 26, 2009 3*Eagles (-7½) over Redskins 8:30 PM -- FedEx Field Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing from the East at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.
Dominic Fazzini Monday's play 15 Dime -- Eagles (minus points vs. REDSKINS) EAGLES I've tried to think of reasons why I should play the Redskins instead of the Eagles tonight, but I just can't take Washington, even if they are getting more than a touchdown at home. The Redskins are one of the worst offensive teams in the NFL, scoring just 13.2 points per game, and they've already lost to the lowly Lions and Chiefs this season. If that wasn't bad enough, now head coach Jim Zorn has been stripped of his play-calling duties, and Sherm Lewis, who was lured out of retirement two weeks ago and hasn't coached in the NFL since 2004, is taking over those responsibilities. And to make matters worse, one of Washington's top offensive weapons, running back Clinton Portis, is dealing with foot, calf, knee and ankle injuries, although he is expected to start. Philadelphia was embarrassed last week, losing 13-9 to the miserable Raiders, and now Washington is going to pay the price for that humiliation. Eagles coach Andy Reid is not a man that is used to losing, and I expect his team to give a first-rate effort tonight, especially playing on the national stage. He is 8-2 against the spread in his career on Monday night road games, including 5-0 in division games. The Redskins are 1-8 ATS at home under Zorn and 2-9-3 overall, while Philadelphia is 4-0 ATS after both a straight-up loss and noncover. Take the Eagles in this one, as I see the final score tonight somewhere in the neighborhood of 27-16.
Scott Delaney Monday ... 10-Dime PHILADELPHIA EAGLES ... Analysis on this blowout winner due back by 4 p.m. eastern. Please be sure you buy the hook down from 7-1/2 points to 7. I see the line has moved overnight and there is no sense in laying the extra half point with this game. DO NOT GET BEAT BY THE HOOK, and lay only -7 points with Philly.
The Duke's Sports Complimentary NFL Premium for Monday 10/26: Philadelphia (-7') for 2 Units ** Eagles/Redkins 8:30: We like the Eagles' resilience off losses, especially in this situation: under HC Reid they're 7-0 ATS on the road off a SU loss vs a sub .500 division opponent; moreover, they're 6-1 ATS after scoring less than 15 points the previous week. On the other hand, the Redskins are a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games; what's more, they're 0-11 ATS off a non division opponent vs an opponent off a double digit ATS loss w/ revenge. The Eagles got swept last year in this series and are eager to right the ship. Throw in the fact that the Redskins are 2-12 ATS as a less than .500 dog vs a division opponent off a SU/ATS loss and the Eagles look like an excellent trend play. Furthermore, with the ongoing Zorn saga - stripped of his play calling as Sherman Lewis (retired since 2004) suddenly emerges to become a surprising voice that would be better off heard by deaf ears. To attain a thorough grasp of an NFL system in limited time is quite challenging to the best of OCs. This line went from a +5 to +7' pretty quick and concerns us; but given the situation and trends we'll throw a little the Eagles way with limited value left.
THE SPORTS ADVISORS Philadelphia (3-2 SU and ATS) at Washington (2-4 SU and ATS) Two teams coming off ugly losses will try to turn things around when the Eagles visit FedEx Field in Washington, D.C., to take on the Redskins in an NFC East showdown. The Eagles made the cross-country trip to Oakland last week as 14-point favorites and came back with a 13-9 loss to the lowly Raiders. Philly had put up 22 points or more in every game this season until being stymied by the Oakland defense, finishing with just 283 total yards. While he didn’t have a TD or INT last week, QB Donovan McNabb threw for 269 yards and has 612 yards with five TDs and one INT in limited action this season. The dysfunctional Redskins fell 14-6 at home last weekend to the winless Chiefs, failing as a 6½-point favorite. As a result, head coach Jim Zorn has had his play-calling responsibilities taken from him and given to recently hired assistant Sherman Lewis, but Zorn has been told he will remain the head coach at least through the end of the season. Washington’s offense has not scored more than 17 points in any game this season, averaging 13.2 points a game, the fourth-lowest total, in the NFL and it has failed to get in the end zone in two of three games at home, where the ‘Skins average 10.3 points and 301.3 yards per game. Both squads have been strong defensively. Philadelphia yields 19.8 points and 282.8 yards per game (103.8 rushing ypg), while Washington gives up just 16 points and 286.5 yards per outing (117.5 rushing ypg). Both are particularly solid against the pass, with the Redskins ranking third in the league (169 passing ypg allowed) and the Eagles rating fifth (179 ypg). However, Philadelphia is tied for the league-lead with 11 interceptions, compared to just three for Washington. The Redskins swept this series last season, winning 23-17 as 6½-point dogs in Philly in October and then prevailing 10-3 as a 4½-point home pup in December. The road team, and underdog, has won four of the last five games outright and Washington is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine series clashes. Philadelphia has failed to cash in nine of its last 12 roadies against teams with losing home records, but otherwise is on ATS surges of 10-4 against the NFC, 13-6 on the road, 5-1 on Monday and 4-0 following both a SU loss and non-cover. Meanwhile the Redskins are on a plethora of negative ATS runs, including 3-9-2 overall, 1-8 at home 1-3-1 as a home ‘dog, 4-9-1 in October and 1-5 in Week 7 contests. The Eagles went over the total in five straight games before last week’s contest at Oakland stayed low, but the team is also on “under” runs of 5-2 on the highway, 13-6-3 on Monday, 42-20-5 as a favorite and 21-10-3 against losing teams. Washington has stayed under the total in five straight games and is on additional “under” streaks of 19-6-1 overall, 18-7-2 at home, 9-1-1 after a non-cover, 6-0-1 in October and 5-0 against teams with a winning record. In this rivalry, the under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings overall and 5-2-1 in the last eight at FedEx Field. Finally, the “over” is 17-5-1 in Monday Night Football games dating to last season (6-1 this year). ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Randall the Handle Philadelphia -7½ over WASHINGTON It’s not customary for me to lay road points in the NFL, especially this many and especially on Monday night but this year is a whole lot different than previous years. The disparity between teams this season is about as large as its ever been and certainly the largest I’ve seen in the past 25 years. There are a slew of junk teams and Redskins just might be the worst of them all. They have zero talent at the key positions, its offensive line is a complete joke and the Skins results this year speak volumes. The Skins have played the easiest schedule in the league and its 2-4 record could easily be 0-6. They lost to the Giants in week 1, 23-17 but were down 23-10 with just a minute left in the game. They beat the 0-7 or 0-17 Rams 9-7 in Washington and followed that up with a 19-14 loss at the then 0-18 Detroit Lions. The Skins rebounded off that embarrassing loss with a narrow 16-13 home win over the 0-7 Bucs, followed by a 20-17 loss at Carolina and finally a 14-6 loss at Kansas City. Combined, the record of the Skins opponents minus the Giants is 4-29. Incidentally, as it turns out the Giants aren’t that strong either. Now the Skins are being scrutinized inside and out, pressure is highest than its ever been and the coaches, players and front office are more confused and disoriented than Zigfriend and Roy at a nanny convention. Yesterday we saw the Bucs get smoked, the Chiefs get smoked, the Rams get smoked, the Panthers get beaten by a bad Buffalo team and the Giants went down at home too as a 7-point favorite. These are all the results of Washington’s opponents this season and after an embarrassing loss at Oakland last week there is no way the Eagles come up lame again. They’ll score plenty, they won’t allow much and they should bury this dumpster-fire of a team in the same fashion all those garbage squads were buried yesterday. Play: Philadelphia -7½ (Risking 2.08 units to win 2). NY Islanders +1.80 over MONTREAL The Habs are on a bit of a roll and have looked a whole lot better than they did in its first few games but this could be a vulnerable spot for them. For one, they’ve been at home for two full weeks after finishing up a road trip on Oct 10. This will be the Canadiens sixth straight game at home and long home stands are rarely favorable. The Habs just beat these Islanders 5-1, they’re coming off a nice 5-4 win over the Rangers and now that the pressure has been alleviated they could very well be caught flat-footed here. The Islanders are feisty and they’ve been in quite a few close games and OT games including a 3-2 loss to Washington, a 4-3 OT loss to Pittsburgh, a 3-2 OT loss to Ottawa and a 4-3 OT loss to Boston. That’s very close to having a strong record and what you can expect from them here is another good effort with a chance to win. The Canadiens are overpriced and for a team that is average at best, this line is simply too high. Play: NY Islanders +1.80 (Risking 2 units).
Chris Jordan Monday's winners ... 100? PHILADELPHIA EAGLES - I am buying the half-point down to lay just -7 points with this game, as I won't chance it in the event of a backdoor cover, which we've seen one too many times this past week. DO NOT LAY 7-1/2 points with the Eagles, buy the half-point down and lay 7 points only. UPDATE - Looks like the public, the wiseguys or the Lang-faders are moving this line with intensity. Thus, if your line has hit -8 you're stuck laying that line if you didn't get in here early to lay the -7. Not as long a trip for the Eagles, like last week to Oakland, and they're going to be steaming about taking that game lightly. The fourth-ranked defense gets a crack at the 24th-ranked offense, and just seeing how bad the Raiders really are, the Eagles will be fired up. I feel sorry for Washington quarterback Jason Campbell, who was benched last week against Kansas City. He will be back under center, starting tonight, against a team that has caused an NFL second-best 14 turnovers. Trust me, there's nothing to it with this team, except to stop the Redskins' three offensive playmakers: running back Clinton Portis, wide receiver Santana Moss, and tight end Chris Cooley. Philadelphia is going to contain them and win this game easily. The offense will be back in sync - after it failed to get in the end zone last week at Oakland - as I can see them winning this by a score of 28-10, something of that nature. And Washington's touchdown will be during garbage time after the Eagles dominate the entire time. Lay the chalk with the Eagles tonight
Bob Balfe NFL Football Redskins +8 over Eagles Losing to Oakland is no fluke. If you look at Philadelphia's schedule you will find it has been very easy and they have yet to play a quality team except for the Saints which was a blowout loss. The Redskins have been even worst with a soft schedule. Both teams really are underachieving and this line is set too high. Washington has beaten Philly the last two times they have played and seem to have their number. Both teams have offensive line problems and should have trouble scoring tonight. Both defenses are pretty good and I expect them both to play a solid game keeping this a very close game. Look for a low scoring game with Washington getting the cover. This is also not a bad spot for a money line on the Redskins. After such a big week with most of the public money teams covering it would not shock me to see the Skins win outright tonight. Take Washington.
Black Widow 6* Widow Wise guy NFC East GAME OF THE MONTH on Philadelphia Eagles -6.5(-109 at 5dimes) Washington is in shambles right now, and they won't be fixed come Monday Night. After their 14-6 home loss to the Kansas City Chiefs last week, the Redskins have now handed a winless team their first victory of the season for the third time this year. It happened earlier against the Detroit Lions and the Carolina Panthers as well. Now they have to face a very good Philadelphia Eagles team off a huge letdown at Oakland last week, so they'll be fired up and ready to go Monday. Upper management forced Jim Zorn to step down as offensive coordinator, and they brought in Sherman Lewis to take his place. From calling Bingo to calling plays, Sherman Lewis is taking over the favorite part of Jim Zorn's job. Just two weeks ago, Lewis was enjoying his retirement in Michigan, calling Bingo games at a senior center and delivering Meals on Wheels. There is no possible way this move is going to work this week, it may prove to be effective down the road but not in one week's time. The Redskins' offense has yet to reach 20 points this season, with their highest point total at 17 points. For the season, the Redkins are averaging 13.2 points/game including 10.3 points/game at home. They cannot possibly keep up with an Eagles offense that is putting up 27.2 points/game and that factors in the measly 9 points they scored last week. Philly will run away with this one in a blowout, and you will hear "Boos" from the home crowd in Washington D.C. all game long. The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. The Redskins are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games. The Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. That makes for an 18-2 (90%) ATS Angle in favor Philadelphia Monday. Take the Eagles and lay the points.
Tony Weston MONDAY'S PLAYS 20 Dime Eagles 10 Dime Eagles-Redskins Over Eagles at Redskins EAGLES - Sure, the Philadelphia Eagles looked horrible last week against the Oakland Raiders, but the Washington Redskins have looked horrible all season. Things have gotten so bad with the Redskins that former offensive guru Jim Zorn, who happens to be doubling as head coach, has had his play-calling duties stripped in favor of a former coordinator, who just within the last few weeks was calling BINGO numbers at a retirement home. The Redskins come into this game having covered just once so far this season, and that came two weeks ago when the team was catching 5 points on the road in a 20-17 loss at Carolina. Going back a little further, Washington has covered in just 1 of its last 9 games at home and the team has covered in just 4 of its last 14 games in October. Also, the team has gone just 2-9-3 ATS overall its last 14 games, including 1 cover its last last 6 games against the NFC. The Eagles, on the other hand, are 13-6 ATS their last 19 road games and have covered in 9 of their last 13 games overall. The team has also gone 5-2 ATS its last 7 games when installed as a favorite and has covered in 5 of its last 6 games on Monday nights. Philly will come through again and prove last week was nothing more than a fluke. Take the Eagles big in this one. Eagles-Redskins Total OVER - Forget what the Eagles did last week against the Oakland Raiders, don’t let that get the best of you. That was a fluke and the 9 points the team scored were more aberration than anything else. So far this season the Eagles have gone Over the total 4 of 5 times, the lone exception coming last week. But the Total for tonight is set at around 37 1/2 points, which is extremely low, considering Philly is totaling, on average, 47 points per game. Keep in mind, too, Philadelphia has gone Over the total in 4 consecutive games against the NFC East and has seen the Over go 5-0 after failing to cover in the previous week. The Eagles will score in bunches as these two teams will go Over the Total.
Brandon Lang Monday's Selection ... 10 DIME - WASHINGTON REDSKINS - Andy Reid can't be trusted to coach a team on the road laying more than a touchdown. Anytime anywhere. He proved that in Oakland. Last year the Redskins were dreadful, just as bad as this year, and it didn't matter when playing their division rival as they beat them both times. This is a match up dream for Washington and it's the reason they have covered 6 of the last 8 between these two with a push. They just match up well with anything the Eagles want to do. In watching the Raiders get completely destroyed yesterday at Oakland, I kept asking myself the whole game how on God's earth the Eagles lost to the Raiders? How could they have possibly lost to that poor excuse of a football team? At the end of the Jets-Raiders game I had my answer. The Eagles are NOT as good as everyone is making them out to be! They have only played one team this year with a winning record, so who are the Eagles to be laying this kind of number against anybody right now? They have played the Panthers, Saints, Chiefs, Bucs, and the Raiders this year, and only the Saints have a winning record. The bottom line for me is if you can't beat Raiders on the road scoring only 9 points, then for my dollar tonight I can't have any confidence you can cover more than a touchdown against a division rival. I know all the bad numbers surrounding the Redskins tonight, but their is a reason the underdog in every single one of their games have covered the number. Their defense is pretty darn good. The Redskins were catching 6 1/2 at New York to start the year and got the cover and were catching 5 at Carolina and got the cover. I look for them to go to 3-0 ATS as an underdog this year. FREE SELECTION - PHILADELPHIA-WASHINGTON UNDER
OCTOBER 26 2009 FRANK PATRON 10000 UNIT NFL LOCK FRANK PATRON 10000 UNIT NFL LOCK WASHINGTON REDSKINS +9 confirmed by me
Tony George NFL Philadelphia vs. Washington 8:35 EST The Redskins have not scored over 17 points in the regular season. 8 out of the last 11 have gone under in this series. The STRENGTH of Wash. is defense, and Philly will have little issue stopping a horrible Washington attack under a new offensive coordinator who was calling Bingo numbers out at a retirement home 2 weeks ago and has been out of football 5 years. Bottom line, a smashmouth game and battle of defenses. Play 1 Unit on the Under.
Savannah Sports Todays Selections NFL Football 3 (***) Philadelphia -8 Professional Plays Eric Degarde NHL Hockey 3 (***) Chicago Under 5.5 2 (**) NY Rangers Over 5.5