Debose seems to be busy the last few Saturdays so I figured I'd give him a break. dover picks san jose +14 4 units navy +12 2 units bowling +3 1 unit Washington at UCLA under 60 4 units Rice at SMU over 53 2 units Wake Forest at Georgia Tech under 63 1 unit Ohio St +3.5 at Penn St under 40 1 unit ytd sides 15-12-2 plus 4 units ytd totals 10-5 plus 18 units
spartan 3* Missouri 2* Alabama 2* Oklahoma 2* Kansas St 2* Texas A and M triple-dime bet 336 Missouri -14.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 335 Baylor Analysis: Mizzou, I team I feel that I know better than any other handicapper in the country provided me with a surprise last week at Colorado as I lost my first game with them this season. A key, or rather the key factor was the health of QB Blaine Gabbert. The Tigers still have a legitimate shot to win the Big 12 North title which frankly is not much to boast about this season. Kind of like debating who was the biggest bad ass, Moe, Curly or Larry. With that said this Baylor team has been dismal since losing Griffin at the outset of the season. With a healthy Gabbert and an improving run game to compliment the passing attack to go along with a very much improved pass rush on defense, to me it all points to a sound Mizzou home victory„. I see the Tigers winning this game by at least 3 touchdowns and quite possibly more. double-dime bet 348 Alabama -7.5 (-110) BetUS vs 347 LSU Analysis: Whether you care for the guy or not you must give Nick Saban credit for coaching winning college football programs. No one being candid can deny the outstanding job he has done restoring the„ Tide to prominence. This is a team on an express track toward a showdown with Florida and I feel confident Saban will have his kids focused and ready to take care of business against Les Miles's LSU squad. As I looked at this game I found what I feel will play a key factor and that is the fact that LSU is tied for last in the conference in sacks with only 11 in 8 games. Fact is the Tide is one of the very best at NOT allowing the quarterback to get sacked. This is not a good combination for LSU and I feel Bama QB Greg McElroy will have sufficient time to do some serious work against the LSU secondary. You give a quarterback enough time to see the field and read his second and third options and it makes all the difference in the world. I feel this year Bama just outclasses LSU and that will very much be evident saturday. LSU might be a trendy pick for some but I'm not buying it. double-dime bet 357 Oklahoma -5.5 (-110) BetUS vs 358 Nebraska Analysis: Okay, I'll bite. Nothing much about this line makes much sense to me. I've looked at this game from every angle and talked with people whom I trust a great deal and there seems to be no skeletons in the closet that nobody is aware of. I just feel OU is far superior to this Husker squad and even though they are meeting in Linclon that just does not bother me that much. Texas Tech went into Lincoln and dominated Nebraska and even Iowa State went in there and prevailed. This Sooner team is an altogether different breed of animal. Nebraska still play„s stout defense make no mistake about that but I have a real difficult time seeing the Husker offense mount enough of an offense to stay within this number. I feel this will be much closer than some anticipate and I am not making this any kind of game of the year or anything of that nature but I do suspect Stoops kids to get the win and clear the number for us. double-dime bet 356 Kansas St. 3.0 (-110) Sportbet vs 355 Kansas Analysis: This is not a game that will garner much attention across the country but I can assure you it is a big deal to the folks in Kansas. These two programs basically do not like one another, at all. At the beginning of the season I wou‚ld have laid three touchdowns with the Jayhawk's over Kansas State. However much has obviously changed with both of these teams and how their seasons have evolved. Bill Snyder has simply been doing of brilliant job of rebuilding the program which really slumped under former coach Ron Prince. Snyder beat Kansas 12 of 13 games before briefly hanging it up, he understands this rivalry and knows how to get his team sky high and ready to rumble with their intrastate rivals. Mark Mangino did his team no favors last week with his benching of team leader and quarterback Todd Reesing. He has a restless locker room and unsettled situation with a team falling short of expectations. They could suddenly rally and put together a huge effort but I feel more confident in the steady hand of Bill Snyder and I know his kids will be prepared. Wildcats very, very much a live dog here in my view. double-dime bet 375 Texas A&M -3.0 (-110) BetUs vs 376 Colorado Analysis: Texas A&M, like many teams in the conference often have struggled when traveling to Boulder to meet Colorado. However Mike Sherman has this Aggies team riding a 2 game winning streak and they seem to have their legs back under them after the beatdown at Kansas State a few weeks back. Sherman is to be applau‚ded for keeping that team together and rebounding when their season could have very easily gone into the tank. Coloradi is still too weak in my view at the quarterback position and were basically toyed with by Missouri most of last saturday. I look for much the same this week from a superior team from the far superior Big 12 South. To me a very reasonable number for us to clear. Aggies should leave Boulder in a good mood.
WUNDERDOG Picks and Analysis Game: Northwestern at Iowa (Saturday 11/07 12:00 PM Eastern) Pick: Iowa -16 (-110) A lot of people are down on Iowa based on their performance last week. They were down 24-14 going into the fourth quarter vs. Indiana. They went on to win the game by 18 points, scoring 28 unanswered in the final period. But instead of getting credit for that feat, they are getting beat up. I was actually impressed by that, knowing that Iowa was in a difficult spot last week. The fact that they could make that sort of comeback says a lot about a team that was supposed to be about defense only. We've been on Iowa a few times this year and they've done well for us. I like them here as well. They feel like they have something to prove based on what happened last week. They are also motivated by revenge. Northwestern beat the Hawkeyes 22-17 last season. That was a stinging loss as Iowa was favored by 9 points coming into the game. Even after allowing 24 last week, the Hawkeyes are giving up just 15.8 per game on average on the season. These teams have shared three opponents this season: Indiana, Michigan State and Penn State. The Wildcats lost two of those three and averaged 18.7 points scored vs. 28.7 allowed. Iowa beat all three including Penn State on the road. Their average score vs. the three was 26 to 15.7. Iowa is just too strong, and they have a couple of big motivating factors to boot. I like Iowa to run away with this one.
Doc’s Sports 6 Unit Play. #32 Take Penn State -4 over Ohio State (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Selection of the Week. In past years this would be a proper line. However, this Ohio State team is not as talented. Do not be misled by the two big wins over Minnesota and New Mexico State. The Gophers played Ohio State after visiting Penn State the week before and the Aggies are one of the worst teams in the country. The Buckeyes started the season with a limited offense and that problem still remains. This unit has trouble moving the football on the ground and QB Pryor is not a big passing threat. Now he must face off against one of the best defenses in the country and expect him to have a long day. As for Penn State, this team is playing better after suffering a setback to Iowa. They are coming off two big road wins and they now appear to be on a mission. They will have a hostile crowd behind them and the Lions will roar loud and clear! Penn State 27, Ohio State 10. 5 Unit Play. #26 Take Michigan -6 over Purdue (Saturday 12 pm Big 10 Network) Top Big 10 Game. I went against the Boilers last week behind the theory that they were running out of gas playing for the ninth straight week. That proved to be a good theory, as they were beaten at Wisconsin, 37-0. Now they are back on the road again this week and I see a similar situation occurring since Purdue is drained. The Boilers offense can be dangerous, but losing a couple of key personal has hurt. The Boilers have played just three road games and given up 38, 35, & 37 points, respectively, in those affairs. This should tell you that their defense is suspect. As for Michigan, they need this one since they are on a two-game losing streak. They are certainly not as strong as in past years but they have the talent to cover this number. Michigan needs this game to ensure a bowl, as their last two are against Wisconsin and Ohio State. Look for an all-out effort here, as the homer gets the call. Michigan 35, Purdue 24. 5 Unit Play. #87 Take LSU +7 ½ over Alabama (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) Top Underdog Play. The Tide had last week off while the Tigers coasted past Tulane, 42-0. As in past years, look for this to be an all-out war. I like taking the points in this type of game since the real pressure is on Alabama. The underdog has the talent to cover and in reality they could win this one straight-up. The Tigers also have something to prove after laying an egg against Florida last month. Revenge should also play a factor, as LSU was beaten in overtime last year. In that game, LSU had a 382-353 advantage in total yards. The Tigers must stop RB Mark Ingram and if they can accomplish this it will go right down to the wire. I do not see a straight-up upset..However, I see an easy cover with the dog. Alabama 24, LSU 20. 4 Unit Play. #26 Take Over 53 in Purdue @ Michigan (Saturday 12 pm Big 10 Network) Top Totals Play. Both teams do not have very good defenses, as the results of their performances last week would indicate. Michigan gave up 38 points last week to Illinois and Purdue gave up 37 points to Wisconsin. Both teams like to pass and, thus, expect a long game with a lot of clock stoppages. Both teams are noted for giving up big plays and Purdue is among the national leaders in turnovers. When you add all of this up, it should be a high scoring game with Michigan coming out of top. Michigan 35, Purdue 24. 4 Unit Play. #46 Take Notre Dame -11 over Navy (Saturday 2:30 pm NBC) I have not backed the Irish much the last few years. However; they seem to be improving each week and this should be a great spot for a rout! Thought that the line would be between 14-17 points, but this is a real gift. Both teams have had injury problems at the quarterback position. However, the Middies have become one-dimensional and cannot throw the ball whatsoever. The Irish have been a very good at stopping the run. Temple had great success controlling the line of scrimmage last week and I see Notre Dame doing the same as well. The Irish have played a much tougher schedule and it will show in this contest. The game will not be close, especially with the likely return of WR Michael Floyd. He is the most athletic player on the field and the defensive backs will not be able to contain him and WR Golden Tate. Homer gets the call. Notre Dame 42, Navy 17. 4 Unit Play. #63 Take Fresno State -8 over Idaho (Saturday 10:30 pm ESPN U) It’s hard to go against Idaho, as the potatoes have become the nation’s sentimental favorite. What a job Coach Robb Akey has done but the reality will set in here. The Vandals will be really tested this week and then likely get blown out by Boise State next week. In fact, I think they will be blown out in both of these games. This week’s match-up will be very similar to Idaho playing Nevada two weeks ago. Idaho could not stop the Wolf Pack at all and gave up 70 points to them. Fresno State is talented and used to playing the heavyweights from BSC Conferences. They have been on the road against Wisconsin & Cincinnati. Idaho has improved but the talent gap is still large. Louisiana Tech ran up 600 yards of total offense on them last week and the Bulldogs should follow suit. Visitor wins this one big! Fresno State 45, Idaho 24. 4 Unit Play. #98 Take Stanford +7 over Oregon (Saturday 3:30 pm FSN) No question that Oregon is playing as well as anyone in the country. They are coming off a big emotional win against USC last week. That win only creates a big letdown spot here. They are on the road against a club that is rested and talented. An interesting statistic is that teams that beat USC are just 11-22 ATS in their next game. As for the Cardinal, they are 4-0 this season at Stanford Stadium. They have dropped seven straight games to Oregon, including in 2008 when they led all the way only to lose, 35-28, in the final seconds. Can they finish the job in 2009? See no reason to say no. Call it close with the Cardinal coming out on top. Stanford 24, Oregon 21.
Dave Malinsky Saturday 3-Pack 6* oregon State +7.5 5* south carolina +7 4* Maryland +7 2-8 Last Saturday College Football 1-4 Sunday NFL 0-2 NBA This week and 2-9 for the season
CKO The Gold Sheet CKO Vol. 48 Nov. 6 - Nov. 9 , 2009 No. 10 * -Denotes Home Team 11 *MINNESOTA over Illinois Late Score Forecast: *MINNESOTA 38 - Illinois 21 10 *GEORGIA TECH over Wake Forest Late Score Forecast: *GEORGIA TECH 38 Wake Forest 13 10 *MISSOURI over Baylor Late Score Forecast: *MISSOURI 40 - Baylor 13 10 *KANSAS STATE over Kansas Late Score Forecast: *KANSAS STATE 31 - Kansas 20 10 ARIZONA over *Chicago Late Score Forecast: ARIZONA 26 - *Chicago 19
DR BOB Rotation #304 Northern Illinois (-21) 3-Stars at -21 or less, 2-Stars up to -23. Rotation #314 Cincinnati (-17) 3-Stars at -19 or less, 2-Stars up to -20. Rotation #344 SMU (-17 1/2) 4-Stars at -19 or less, 3-Stars from -19 1/2 to -21, 2-Stars up to -23. Rotation #358 Nebraska (+5 1/2) 4-Stars at +4 or more, 3-Stars at +3 1/2 or +3, 2-Stars dog of less than 3. Rotation #382 Clemson (-8 1/2) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars from -10 1/2 to -12, 4-Stars at -7. Rotation #402 Middle Tennessee St (-11 1/2) 3-Stars at -12 or less, 2-Stars up to -14. Strong Opinion - Rotation #306 Temple (-17) Strong Opinion at -17 or less, 2-Stars at -16. Strong Opinion - Rotation #315 Syracuse (+21 1/2) Strong Opinion at +21 or more. Strong Opinion - Rotation #320 Minnesota (-7) Strong Opinion at -7 or less. Strong Opinion - Rotation #349 Central Florida (+35 1/2) Strong Opinion at +35 or more. Strong Opinion - Rotation #374 Stanford (+7) Strong Opinion at +6 or more.
KELSO STURGEON NEWSLETTER PITTSBURGH by 28 over Syracuse—Pittsburgh (7-1) comes into this game of a much-needed bye week and will come out firing, despite the fact in must play Notre Dame next week. There is no look-ahead in this Panther squad and when in high gear is going to crush weak teams such as Syracuse (3-5). There is no reason to think this one will be close. WEST VIRGINIA by 17 over Louisville—West Virginia (6-2) has a tremendous edge in talent and comes into this in a bounce-back mode having lost 30-19 last week at South Florida. WVU has almost every single edge one can have against Louisville (3-5), a team that has shown no ability to hold its own against the very good teams on its schedule. ARKANSAS by 14 over South Carolina—Arkansas (4-4) would appear to have South Carolina (6-3) right where it wants the Gamecocks. The Razorbacks have a high octane offense that can score in rapid-fire fashion and South Carolina has shown no signs it can keep up with a team such as this. The Gamecocks play outstanding defense but have no offense. The have scored a total of 29 points in their last three games. Arkansas has the ability to make this a shootout and that puts South Carolina in a big hole. Texas-El Paso by 13 over TULANE—Texas-El Paso (3-5) remains a team of mystery. On one Saturday, the Miners play as if they could beat anybody—as they did in handing Houston its only loss of the season—and then come back and get knocked off by really bad football teams, including UAB last week. However, with that said, UTEP should have little trouble taking care of a Tulane team that has absolutely no offense. SMU by 35 over Rice—SMU (4-4) is back on the map and should have little trouble taking care of a Rice team that stands 0-8 and is getting blown out by everybody. The Mustangs played their best game of the season last week in winning 27-13 at Tulsa and one sensed the best is yet to come. It’s been a long time since SMU played a decent brand of football and I look for the Ponies to put it altogether for this homecoming crowd. TEXAS by 45 over Central Florida—Texas (8-0) is set to run the table and stay alive for a chance to play for the national championship it thought it should have played for last season. Rest assured the Longhorns won’t take Central Florida lightly. Texas went to Central Florida two seasons ago to help the Knights dedicate their new stadium and was life-and-death to get out of town with a 38-35 win. It is also of note Central Florida is coming off a short work week, having played Sunday night. A blowout will be the order of the day. AIR FORCE by 35 over Army—When the service academies get together, they fire their best shots against one another. The problem with the Air Force (5-4) against Army (3-5) matchup is that the former is firing heavy artillery and Army a pea-shooter. There is no doubt the Falcons have superior talent in this one, have competed well against very good teams and should have little trouble getting the better of an improved but by no means good Army team. KANSAS STATE by 13 over Kansas-When this season began, there is little doubt Kansas (5-3) had the brighter future. Kansas State (5-4) was coming off a bad season, was operating with a new coach, who had inherited a real mess, and appeared to be lucky if it won a game or two. But the new coach—Bill Snyder—had been at Kansas State before and had built the team into a national power. It is obvious he is on his way again. The Wildcats started slowly, were terrible early in the season, but stand 4-2 in their last six games and come into this off a 42-30 loss at Oklahoma. This is the one Kansas State wants to win and there is no reason to think the Wildcats won’t pull it off. UTAH by 45 over New Mexico—By Utah (7-1) standards, this is a subpar Utes team but it still is a very good squad that has lost only at Oregon, 31-24, and has the talent to destroy the worst New Mexico (0-8) team this handicapper has seen in the last 15 years. Utah is looking for a major bowl bid and knows it needs to win games such as this, with games at TCU and BYU still on the schedule. The figures say bettors can look for total domination from start to finish. Best Of The Rest MICHIGAN STATE by 28 over Western Michigan IOWA by 21 over Northwestern MINNESOTA by 10 over Illinois Maryland by 4 over N.C. STATE Wisconsin by 17 over INDIANA Oklahoma State by 14 over IOWA STATE MISSOURI by 21 over Baylor FLORIDA by 31 over Vanderbilt NOTRE DAME by 10 over Navy Kent State by 8 over AKRON Fresno State by 21 over IDAHO ARIZONA by 35 over Washington State Oregon State by 3 over CALIFORNIA Washington by 7 over UCLA OREGON by 28 over Stanford Texas A&M by 14 over COLORADO TENNESSEE by 45 over Memphis Florida State by 4 over CLEMSON Houston by 17 over TULSA Arizona State by 6 over USC MICHIGAN by 7 over Purdue Colorado State by 7 over UNLV Utah State by 13 over HAWAII Florida Atlantic b7 6 over UAB UL-Monroe by 24 over NORTH TEXAS Troy by 49 over WESTERN KENTUCKY Arkansas State by 13 over UL-Lafayette MIDDLE TENNESSEE by 17 over Florida International
$300.00 Take #357 Oklahoma (-5.5) over Nebraska (8 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 7) Oklahoma got a bit of a scare last week when Kansas State came to town. But I think that the public is overreacting to stories that OU is "down" this year. They still have a chance to win the Big 12 and I don't think that they will slip up in this game in Lincoln. The key thing here is that the Big 12 South has completely and totally dominated the Big 12 North over the past decade and I have no reason to believe that the same thing won't happen here. If the Huskers can lose at home to Iowa State then they should be catching more than a touchdown from the mighty Sooners. $400.00 Take #360 Penn State (-4) over Ohio State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 7) Home field advantage has meant everything in this series. The host is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between Penn State and Ohio State. I think that the Nittany Lions are more consistent on offense and that while their defense isn't quick as good as the Buckeyes' that they will get a big boost from playing at home. Penn State has beaten the spread in five straight games and they are a very public team. It's clear to me that the books don't have a good read on them and that they are underestimating this team. $200.00 Take #344 SMU (-17.5) over Rice (3 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 7) Rice has been one of the worst teams in Division I football this year and I see another blowout for them on the road this week. SMU has revenge for a 30-point loss to the Owls last year so I don't think that the Mustangs are going to have any mercy. The home team is a stellar 11-2 ATS in this series over the last 13 years. I see that trend continuing. $400.00 Take #356 Kansas State (+2.5) over Kansas (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 7) The home team is again the play in this rivalry. Kansas has blown out K-State in three straight years. But the Jayhawks have also lost three straight games this season outright. Kansas had an amazing ATS run in 2007 and 2008. But this is not the same team. Expectations were very low in Manhattan this year and new (old) coach Bill Snyder has his team playing good football. The Wildcats are undefeated at home this year (4-0) and I think that Manhattan will be rocking and rolling for the big rivals coming into town. We don't need the points: K-State wins outright. $300.00 Take #395 UL-Monroe (+1) over North Texas (4 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 7) Monroe couldn't get it done against Troy last week but I think that they will take out their frustration on North Texas this time around. UL-M is a much more experienced team and they have won three of the last four meetings. The Warhawks are a little undervalued after back-to-back losses on the road against Kentucky and Troy. But UNT isn't in the same class as those two teams. $1000.00 Take #316 Pittsburgh (-21) over Syracuse (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 7) Syracuse is still a team and a program in disarray. This week their top offensive weapon and probably their best player, Mike Williams, quit the team. That is a big blow. This team did not play well on offense without Williams against Akron when he was suspended. But the key to this game is that Syracuse has played six straight home games! They haven't left the Carrier Dome since a 21-point loss at Penn State all the way back on Sept. 12. That was SU's only road game of the season! This is a young team and I don't think that they are at all prepared to go on the road and handle a Top 25 team. The Orange were blown out by Cincinnati, West Virginia and South Florida already this year and all of those games were at home. Big win here for the Panthers and we collect int he process. I stand on those plays Ace-Ace ak allen Eastman
Ken Barnes 5*~ Alabama -7 over Lsu 5*~ Arkansas -6 over S. Carolina 5*~ Notre Dame -12 over Navy 4*~ Penn St -5 over Ohio St 3*~ Pittsburgh -20.5 over Syracuse 3*~ Northwestern +17 over Iowa 3*~ Wake Forest +14 over Ga Tech 2*~ Miami, Fl. -13 over Virginia 4*~ Clemson -9 over Florida St 3*~ Unlv +1 over Colorado St
Larry Ness Sat, 11/07/09 - 2:30 PM free pick Navy 12.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 342 Notre Dame Marc Lawrence Sat, 11/07/09 - 3:30 PM free pick Army 17.0 (-110) BetUS vs 354 Air Force
Tim Trushel 20* Stanford Reg Maryland Reg Army Reg Washington Teddy Covers CFB 20* Big Ticket: Cincinnati -17 CFB Illinois +7 Duke +10 Wisconsin -10 Penn State Under 39 -110 Texas A&M -3 Burns **10** #1 REVENGE play for November!! (day) It was exactly three weeks ago that Ben Burns cashed his #1 "Revenge" play ('Zona on 10/17) from '09. If you enjoyed cashing that ticket, then you're going to LOVE the BEAUTY that Ben's got lined up for this afternoon. Yes, once again, ITS PAYBACK TIME for our "play on" team. This is a BIGTIME OPPORTUNITY. Make sure to DO THE RIGHT THING STANFORD
Randall the Handle NCAAF Season To Date (Since August 2009) 14-8 +11.24 Units Illinois +7 over MINNESOTA PINNACLE Let’s see, a 5-4 Minnesota team at home laying only a touchdown to a 2-6 Illinois team – that must be a mistake?! For the square that doesn’t pay attention to strength of schedule, injuries and motivation, this game seems like a “lock.” Take a closer look, however, to the current state of the Minnesota program and it’s a shock they’re being trusted to lay a touchdown to a team with better talent. Yes, Minnesota has the better record and team statistics but they lost their only offensive playmaker in WR Erick Decker. Without Decker, who had 50 catches for 758 yards in 8 games, Minnesota can’t count on any playmaker to make plays and in any BCS conference that’s a major problem. Ask Oklahoma State what losing a Dez Bryant does to your team’s offense and morale. It’s a huge loss that was masked by Minnesota thrashing Michigan State last week. That game was the first in which Minnesota scored more than three offensive touchdowns this season and you can safely infer that won’t happen again. Illinois finally got their first Big Ten win last week against Michigan, beating them 38-13 as a sizeable underdog. Much maligned quarterback Juice Williams was reinstated as the starter and finished the game without a turnover. Williams can kill your chances against elite teams, but facing a mediocre Minnesota team is exactly the type of opponent Williams’ thrives on. The money-line for this game currently sits at +2.40 and I would definitely recommend playing that number if you feel like gambling a little. I’ll stick to taking the points on one of the biggest overlays of the year. The injuries suffered by Minnesota are serious enough that they must be considered a completely different team; to our fortune the lines-makers have yet to adjust. Play: #319 Illinois +7 (Risking 2.18 units to win 2).
Maddux 3 units on Missouri -14 3 units on SMU -17 3 units on Nebraska +5.5 3 units on San Diego State +24.5 5 units on Stanford +7 3 units on Clemson -8.5 3 units on UAB -6.5 Tony Karpinski / 3G's Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EST, Saturday, November 7 Premium Play Pick: Point Spread: -8 Oklahoma State -- 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR Pick Analysis: I love Oklahoma State to bounce back this week. They were embarassed last Saturday night as Zack Robinson had one of the worst games of his careers throwing 4 INT's in which 2 were returned for TD's. The Cowboys had 5 turnovers in the game. Oklahoma St has the better athletes here and by far the better team. They will rush and pass all over the Cyclones. Iowa St had a first year coach Paul Rhoads who didn't remember the 59-17 beating from last year. Expect more of the same this week as OKLAHOMA STATE takes out their frustrations Saturday afternoon. Oregon vs. Stanford (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EST, Saturday, November 7 Premium Play Pick: Point Spread: +7 Stanford -- 10* bonus doggy Pick Analysis: Oregon is coming off a big emotional win against USC last week. I expect a big letdown spot here against a Stanford team that is rested and can run the ball. This Stanford team is very talented. Stanford is 4-0 this season at home and face them in a big revenge spot Saturday afternoon. Look for a very tight game here, so take all the points with the Stanford Cardinal. MAC MONSTER 15* ALABAMA-7 10* DUKE +10 7* PITTSBURGH -21 5* MISSOURI -14 5* LOUISVILLE + 17 5* TROY Nationwide ( Gold Sheet) Phone Service: Top Play - Kansas State Regular Plays - Duke, Navy, Oklahoma, LSU, Orregon State.
sportsbetsnow 1 unit Colorado +3 1 unit Baylor +14 2 units Stanford +7 2 units Tulsa +1 2 units Nebraska +4.5 1 unit Arizona St. +10
black widow/bill young 4* on Texas A&M -3(-102 at 5dimes) The Aggies are a great play Saturday as just a field goal favorite over lowly Colorado. The Buffaloes have nothing left to play for sitting at 2-6, while Texas A&M could clinch a bowl berth this weekend which is something they want to get out of the way after going 4-8 last season and missing a bowl bid. The Aggies are playing their best football of the season right now, winning back-to-back games with a 52-30 win at Texas Tech and a 35-10 home thumping of Iowa State. The Buffaloes are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. The Buffaloes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Colorado has the worst offense in the Big 12, scoring just 21.7 points/game and averaging 286 total yards/game. Compare that to Texas A&M who scores 35.7 points/game and averages 490 total yards/game and you can see why this thing should result in an Aggies' blowout. Take Texas A&M and lay the points. 4* on Missouri -14(-110 at bookm) This game has three-touchdown blowout written all over it. Baylor is 0-4 in their last 4 games, losing by double-digits each time. Missouri has a great chance to win the Big 12 North still, and after losing three straight to the likes of Nebraska, Texas and Oklahoma State, the Tigers are back on track after trouncing Colorado on the road 36-17 last week. Missouri is 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Baylor, winning 5 of those 7 games by 15 points or more. Baylor is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off 2 straight losses to conference rivals,scoring less than 14 points since 1992. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Missouri and lay the points. 4* on Oklahoma State -7(-105 at bodog) This is an absolute mismatch Saturday and the Cowboys should be a much heavier favorite against Iowa State. Oky State is 2-0 on the road this season, winning by 16.0 points/game. ISU is back to reality after losing 10-35 at Texas A&M last week, which is the same Aggies' team that Oklahoma State beat 36-31 on the road earlier this season. Oky State beat ISU 59-17 last year and we wouldn't be surprised to see a similar final score in this 2009 edition. The Cowboys are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Cyclones are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Take Oklahoma State and lay the points. 4* on Oregon -6.5(-110 at bookm) After thumping USC 47-20 last week, this could be a letdown spot for Oregon. But it won't be, because the Ducks have National Championship aspirations still, and they want to win the Pac-10 to dethrone the Trojans. Oregon will make easy work of Stanford on Saturday, just like they have been doing now for 7 straight games since losing to Boise State in the season-opener. Oregon is 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS since that loss to the Broncos. They have won 5 straight by 14 or more points, which is impressive considering Cal, UCLA, Washington and USC have been on the schedule during that time. Oregon is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. Stanford, including a 55-31 blowout in their last visit. Oregon is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. The Ducks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win. The Ducks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Take Oregon and lay the points. 4* on UConn +16.5(-106 at 5dimes) UConn is 4-4 this season, but honestly they are not far from being 8-0. They have losses by 2, 3, 4 and 4 points this year. So UConn's 4 losses have come by a combined 13 points. This team is not two touchdowns worse than Cincinnati, and it wouldn't surprise us one bit to see them pull off the upset Saturday. The Huskies beat the Bearcats 40-16 last year, and Cincinnati won the Big East last season. UConn is putting up 402 yards/game of total offense, and this unit is much better than they get credit for. UConn is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. The Huskies are 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992. The Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Take UConn and the points. 6* 2009 A CC G AM E OF T HE Y EA R on Florida State +8.5(-106 at 5dimes) Florida State continues to grind it out this season despite their slow start. They have posted back-to-back big wins by 3 points over both UNC and NC State. Now they look to knock off Clemson Saturday, a team that should not be this heavily favored. FSU has played their best football away from home, which is the sign of a mentally tough team. The Seminoles are 2-1 in road games this year, beating BYU and UNC and scoring a whopping 35.0 points/game in the process. FSU averages 444 yards/game of total offense this season, and when you compare that to the 347 yards/game Clemson is putting up, you can see why FSU is the best play in the ACC for all of 2009. FSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points since 1992. The Seminoles are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Tigers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Take Florida State and the points. 5* C F B S at ur day La te-N ig ht B AI LO UT on Idaho +8(-110 at bookm) This Idaho team is one of the best teams in the country that nobody knows about. The Vandals are 7-2 this season after their 35-34 win over Idaho last week. Their only losses have come on the road at Washington and at Nevada, two solid teams. Fresno State has won 4 straight, but they should be on upset alert Saturday against a Vandals' team that has yet to lose at home. Idaho is 4-0 at home this year, scoring 33.7 points/game. The Vandals are putting up 433 yards/game of total offense this season, so they have one of the better offenses in the country. Fresno State is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse over the last 2 seasons. They were lucky to escape with a 31-27 home win over Utah State last week. The Bulldogs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Vandals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Vandals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Idaho and the points.
John Harrison & Patrick GPW Clinton Texas A&M -3 (5 UNITs) Ohio State +5 (4 UNITs) Oklahoma -5.5 (3 UNITs) Houston +1 (1 UNIT) Houston/Tulsa OVER 68 (1 UNIT) Oklahoma State -7 (2 UNITS) Oregon -6.5 (2 UNITS) Michigan/Purdue OVER 53 (2 UNITS)
Lang's Saturday picks 30 DIME - KANSAS STATE WILDCATS 10 DIME - PURDUE BOILERMAKERS 10 DIME - STANFORD CARDINAL FREE SELECTION - OKLAHOMA SOONERS 30 DIME - KANSAS STATE WILDCATS - The wrong team is favored here. The bottom line is this game is about 2 teams heading in opposite directions. Simple as that. Not only has Kansas lost 3 in a row SU, but they have now dropped 5 in a row ATS. This team can't get out of their own way right now and on the road today will not make it any better. Kansas State comes in winners of 3 of their last 5 SU, and 4-1 ATS. The crazy thing about Kansas State is they control their own destiny to get in the Big 12 championship game. A win today, and a win at Nebraska to end the year and they will have a date with Texas. What makes this game even more appealing to me is the effort Kansas State put forth on the road at Oklahoma last week. They were down only 35-20 with 7 minutes to go in the 4th before they just ran out of gas losing 42-30. The same Oklahoma team that a week earlier went into Kansas and just dominated this overrated and over hyped Jayhawks team 35-13. I am all over the home dog to take another step towards the Big 12 championship game today with a big home win. 30 dime Kansas State 10 DIME - PURDUE BOILERMAKERS - Don't feel Michigan is trustworthy to be laying almost a full touchdown in this spot here. I am talking about a Michigan team that comes off back to back losses to Penn State at home 35-10, and at Illinois last week as a 7-point favorite 38-13. Talk about embarrassing. Lose by 25 on the road as a 7 point favorite. Exactly. How soon we forget about Purdue beating Ohio State at home in a game they put up over 300 yards total offense on the Buckeyes defense and overcoming 3 turnovers as well. Yes Purdue does come off a 37-0 loss at Wisconsin, but all that loss did was give me extra value here and it's value I will gladly take. Another thing, I really like here is the fact Michigan runs the spread offense, a little like Ohio State does and in the full scheme of things, I really like how Purdue matches up here. Oh, and one more thing. The talk of college football right now is the Oregon Ducks and just how great they are right now off their win over USC. This Purdue team went into Oregon and lost 38-36 in a game they should have won outright as a 13 point dog. They put up 170 yards on the ground, 271 through the air but just came up a little short. I look for the same kind of effort by Purdue today and an easy cover right along with it. 10 dime Purdue 10 DIME - STANFORD CARDINAL - I really feel this game will be closer than everyone thinks. Stanford has not only covered 10 straight home games, but 4 of those have been outright. With a week off to prepare and catching Oregon off the huge win last week at home to USC, you couldn't have given Stanford a better spot to deliver a shocker than right here. In their 4 home games this year Stanford has won 3 of those by 20 or more, and the other was an 8 point win over UCLA. I am taking nothing away from Oregon and what they have done, but fact of the matter is they have only played 2 road games in the PAC-10 and in those games they have been the beneficiary of 3 turnovers at UCLA and 3 at Washington. Trust me when I tell you Stanford is an upgrade from those 2 teams, and I have all the confidence in the world this is a field goal game all the way and it wouldn't suprise me if Stanford won the game outright. 10 Dime Stanford FREE SELECTION - OKLAHOMA SOONERS
North Coast Comp Under Play Of Week...illinois Big Dog....duke #2 Econ....byu Big 12 Pow.....oklahoma State
Thanks aero. What are you on today. You seem to be having a good year and I have been fairly sucessful following you.
Strike Point Sports 6-Unit Game of the Month. #388 Take Michigan -6 over Purdue (Saturday 11/7 - 12 p.m. EST) No reason not to feel some reluctance after the way Michigan looked against Illinois last week. But the Wolverines are back at home (5-1) against a Purdue team who has allowed over 36 points per game on the road (0-3). Michigan can pound the ball against a Boilermaker defense that has allowed over 650 rushing yards in their three bad road outings. Three factors here that sell me. Michigan owns Purdue in the Big House. Purdue has been absolutely awful on the road this year. And this game is a must-win for Rich Rodriguez after a shaky month. We're sold. Go Blue! 5-Unit Play. #375 Take Texas A&M -3 over Colorado (Saturday 11/7 - 1:30 p.m. EST) Normally A&M hasn't faired too well in Boulder, but right now the Buffs are a hot mess. They can't get any production from the the quarterback position, and their rushing game hasn't been good enough to carry the load. And speaking of rushing attacks, the Aggies can rack up the ground yardage and have outgained their opponents running the ball by nearly 350 yards over the last two games. Both victories came from those games after that bad loss to Kansas State, and Texas A&M continues its bounce back ways and gets to six wins on the year. 4-Unit Play. #327 Take Duke +10 over North Carolina (Saturday 11/7 - 3:30 p.m. EST) Way too high of a number, not only because Duke is playing so well also, but because Carolina still hasn't proven they can score consistently enough to be favored by double figures. The underdog has covered three of the last four meetings, with the winner in each of the last four only coming away with a single digit victory. This game will be close throughout and I think the Blue Devils have a better chance to win outright than does UNC to cover this line. We play the Dukies. 4-Unit Play. #383 Take Houston 'Pk' over Tulsa (Saturday - 11/7 - 7:30 p.m. EST) You can't deny the revenge factor for the Golden Hurricane here, but more importantly we are focusing on this year's team and that means that Houston needs a win. Must-win? Not exactly, but the Cougars already have a conference loss, so in order to stay on pace to play for the C-USA Championship they need to continue to take care of business and prove that lone setback to UTEP was a simple mistake. 4-4 on the year for Tulsa tells me this team isn't the C-USA power it was a couple of seasons ago. They don't even have a winning record at home, and it stays that way as Houston wins on the road. 4-Unit Play. #381 Take Florida State +8.5 over Clemson (Saturday 11/7 - 7:45 p.m. EST) Two straight wins for the Seminoles doesn't fix the problems they have had, but it is a good step in the direction. We like them and the points against Clemson. The Tigers are one of the worst teams in the ACC with regards to turnovers, and not only that but they continue to get inconsistent play from the quarterback position. C.J. Spiller scares me, but it seems he does most of his damage on special teams. Clemson can't cover this spread just with its offense. Hopefully Florida State realizes that, steps up and contains the Tigers special teams. FSU can run the ball well and they do so enough to earn a cover and keep the score close enough in the fourth to compete for an outright victory.
Tim Sullivan (Season: 57-76-2) Alabama -pts over LSU PITT (-21½) over Syracuse: The Panthers, also off a bye, catch the Orange in a turmoil tornado, as receiver Mike Williams left the team. TEXAS (-36½) over Central Florida: The Longhorns offense may take a breather, but the defense, which could score a bunch on its own, won't let up. Northwestern (+16½) over IOWA: The Wildcats showed heart for three quarters vs. Penn State and could frustrate the cardiac Hawkeyes. Navy (+11) over NOTRE DAME: Worried about the Irish receivers blowing past the Middies, but we'll take the double digits and a team that already has covered vs. Ohio State and Wake Forest. PENN STATE (-3½) over Ohio State: Should be nip-and-tuck, but we'll side with the experience and the home crowd as the Lions search for a signature win. Oregon (-6½) over STANFORD: Too easy to predict the letdown here, as the Cardinal might be a step too slow on defense to catch the Ducks . . . on their worst day. Wake Forest (+16) over GEORGIA TECH: The Jackets will score, we know that. But if Vanderbilt can throw up 31 on them, the Deacons can, as well. Texas Christian (-24½) over SAN DIEGO STATE: Tough number. But again, we think the Frogs and Boise will be in a scoreboard-watching tug-of-war the rest of the way, always looking to one-up one another. FLORIDA (-35) over Vanderbilt: Another doozy to handicap here, but the season is shot for the Commodores, and we don't see them with much motivation. TULSA (-1) over Houston: Trap time? Isn't Houston ranked No. 13? The unranked Hurricane, off a loss, should be able to run on that iffy Cougars defense. Southern Cal (-10) over ARIZONA STATE: Can't ignore the bounce-back factor for the Trojans, despite their road woes. Oklahoma (-5½) over NEBRASKA: The Sooners, given the injuries and losses, have lowered their expectations, and it has worked. They can still play defense, and the Cornhuskers still seem in a fog. UConn (+16½) over CINCINNATI: The Bearcats' win at Syracuse was closer than it looked, and we know the Huskies -- with covers at Baylor, West Virginia and Pitt -- will play till the end. OFF THE GRID MIAMI (-13½) over Virginia: It's about time the Huricanes start showing us something late in the year. One-point wins at Wake Forest won't do it. CLEMSON (-8½) over Florida State: Whatever offense the Seminoles mount, their defense will give right back. MICHIGAN (-6½) over Purdue: The Wolverines need one more win for bowl eligibility, and this is their best chance.
On Saturday the System club play is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. Game 392 at 10:00 eastern. Hawaii is not as good as in past years,however they should be able to get this one today at home. Utah.St falls in to a negative system of mine that plays against certain road favorites off a road dog loss and cover if they are taking on an opponent off a road dog loss and cover.This system is 3-16 ats for road favorites like Utah.St since 1980. Both teams suffered tough road losses last week. This week Hawaii is a 2 point dog to a Utah.St team that has lost all 4 times on the road this year and the last 10 road games going back to 2007. They are just 1-6 against the spread as road favorites of less than 5 points. Hawaii has revenge for a loss last year in Utah where they actually had more yards 374-368. Look for a nice home win here tonight by the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. On Saturday I have the 7 unit 2009 College football GAME OF THE YEAR. This big play is backed with 4 systems. One of which has cashed 24 of 25 times going back to 1980. I have cashed all three 7 unit plays released this year.The last one in bases back in July. This game leads a solid overall card that will have 4-5 solid system plays + NBA on the later report. The game goes in late afternoon action. For the System Club play take Hawaii plus the points bol GC.-
Kelso: 200 units Fresno State -7.5 Idaho 15 units UL Monroe -2.5 North Texas 5 units UTEP -6.5 Tulane 4 units Kansas State +2.5 Kansas 3 units Pitt -21 Syracuse
LuckyDaySports.com Saturday’s Comp Plays (we had 2 FREE winners last night with Charlotte and Phoenix in the NBA) NCAA Take Iowa State (+7.5) in the Oklahoma State at Iowa State game Take Maryland (+6.5) in the Maryland at North Carolina State game
sirdukesports Date Kick Off Club Rating Rotation Selection Rating 11/7/2009 12:00:00 PM LA Touchdown Club 388 Michigan Wolverines -6 10* 11/7/2009 12:30:00 PM Private Players 331 South Carolina Gamecocks+7 8* 11/7/2009 12:30:00 PM Attack Dog 356 Kansas St Wildcats +3 11* 11/7/2009 2:00:00 PM Easy Winner 336 Missouri Tiger -14 9* 11/7/2009 8:00:00 PM Members 313 U Connecticut Huskies 7*
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NOVEMBER 7 2009 FRANK PATRON MUST WIN 50000 UNIT GAME OF THE YEAR #2 FRANK PATRON MUST WIN 50000 UNIT GAME OF THE YEAR #2 HOUSTON COUGARS -1.5
Stu Feiner - 1,000,000 Dime Private Play - Ohio State +5 100,000 Dime Private Play - Notre Dame -12.5 10,000 Dimers - Nebraska +4, North Carolina -10; Alabama -7.5 100 Dimers - Michigan -6; Baylor +14, Army +16.5
5 Unit Play. ACC Game of the Year. #327. Take Duke +10 over University of North Carolina (Saturday @ 3:30pm est). At the end of the day, this is a rivalry game. Duke has turned considerably as far as its football prowess goes. Yes, I understand that UNC won at Virginia Tech. And, no doubt, that was a big win. But, Duke lost to this team 20-28 last year, and the year before, the game went into overtime with UNC winning by six at home. Duke lost by 1 point the year before 44-45 and lost by a field goal in 05'. In short, Duke has covered the last three of four of these meetings and the last time they failed to cover by just half a point. This team has lost the last four times to UNC by a combined total of 18 points. Why would we not want to take the ten points here and run with it? Duke is a five win team and they are likely going Bowling which hasn't happened in a long time. This team has beaten Maryland, Virginia on the road by double-digits, crushed NC State as a 15 point dog winning by 21. I like Duke here plus the points as certainly, this is a team that could pull the upset outright at home as they nearly did it in years' past and they are even better this year. The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and the Tar Heels are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games at home. 4 Unit Play. #369. Take Oregon State +7.5 over California (Saturday @ 7pm est). Oregon State is the better team. I have a buddy that follows this team very closely as I do and we were both talking that Cal is great when they want to destroy weaker teams. But, when they face the better teams in the conference such as the USC's and Oregon, they lost by a combined total of 6-72. Oregon State is extremely well coached and I look for them to be very game here. Yes, Cal has revenge from last year, but Oregon State nearly defeated USC on the road this year losing by six points as a 21 point dog. This team won by double-digits at Arizona State as a five point dog. Certainly, I think they are capable of hanging with Cal here on the highway. The Beavers are 4-0 ATS as an Underdog by this margin and the Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. 4 Unit Play. #347. Take Louisiana State Tigers +7.5 over the Alabama Crimson Tide (Saturday @ 3:30pm est). I am a Tide fan through and through. But, our offense is simply not as good as LSU's at least in my opinion. Despite the numbers, LSU has some quality athletes and they remember the tough loss they took to the Tide who was number one at that time in overtime. Certainly, LSU is capable of giving the Tide a run for their money in this SEC West Battle. These are two top ten ranked teams and if the Tennessee vs. Alabama game tells us anything, this could be an outright upset for the Tigers. Remember, Tennessee missed countless field goals in that game or else that result could have been different. LSU has a quality kicker, is well coached in Les Miles who will settle for nothing less than a win here and with these boys having revenge from last year, my Tide could be in for a brutal, hard hitting contest this weekend in Tuscaloosa. The Tigers are 9-3-1 ATS as an Underdog by this margin and the Tide are 1-4-1 ATS when facing a team with a road winning record. 4 Unit Play. #338. Take Florida -35 over Vanderbilt University (Saturday @ 7:15pm est). Florida has plenty of frustration coming into this game. With the story around Brandon Spikes and his eye-gouging antics, this team would love to deflect that attention to nothing more than a dominating win. This game will obviously be televised and Florida will love nothing more, once again, than to crush someone, anyone at this time. This team beat Vanderbilt 42-14 last year, winning by 28 points on the road. Certainly, they can do that much and a touchdown better at home given the surrounding controversy with Urban deciding to bench Spikes for just one half in the Vanderbilt game. Note that Larry Smith of Vandy has thrown for just four touchdowns and 7 interceptions and he will have his work cutout for him against this Florida defense in the swamp. The Gators are 5-1 ATS when they face a team with a losing road record at home. Its a shame that it might be Vandy taking the grunt here, but this game has the sounds of a 49-10 type of finish. Good luck, IC
Today's Picks by Natural Born Thriller CF Game Time Game Pick Bet Analysis Saturday, 11/7/2009 Rice Smu (S: -17.5) 5 3:00pm EST Smu Saturday, 11/7/2009 Oklahoma Nebraska (S: 4.5) 5 8:00pm EST Nebraska Saturday, 11/7/2009 Connecticut Connecticut (S: 17.0) 5
KING CREOLE 'High Noon’ 3*** SIDE PLAY winner 12:00pm ET / #388 / Purdue Boilermakers @ Michigan Wolverines Play on: MICHIGAN WOLVERINES –6 Let’s follow the line move and climb aboard before ALL the value is shot. At least we still get a win if the Wolverines win by a TD or more. Off back-to-back SU and ATS losses in row, the inclination might be to fade the home fav Wolverines. But the Playbook database reveals that home chalk has hit at a high percentage as of late in this situation. 29-13 ATS last 4 years: All Conference home favs of 4 > points off BB SUATS losses in a row (Michigan). If that last loss was a favorite (it was), the results improve to 15-2 ATS. The last team active in this System was WISCONSIN last week against (guess who?)…. Purdue! The Boilermakers got SHUT OUT 37-0. More of the same? Yes sir… may I have ANOTHER? Speaking of getting SHUT OUT in your last game, here’s a ‘go AGAINST’ situation for the Boilermakers. 1-9 ATS since 2001: All home underdogs of 15 < points playing off a conference SHUTOUT loss (Purdue). Michigan was favored by 7 points on the road last week, and were humiliated by the Fighting Illini 38-13. That’s an ATS loss by –32 points! 26-7 ATS last 10 years: Teams off a SU conference road fav loss of 21 or more points (Michigan). In the last 5 years, these teams have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS.
Mighty Quinn Mighty missed with the Nuggets (pick 'em) Friday night. Today it's Kansas, and Rip Van Winkle in the Breeders' Cup Classic ($25 win and place). The surplus is 635 sirignanos.
R.A.W. FOOTBALL 4* Best Bet = Wisconsin 3* = Notre Dame 3* = Kansas State 2* = Duke 2* = Michigan State