Should I hedge?

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by Alshon, Oct 16, 2011.

  1. Alshon

    Alshon Well-Known Member
    Donor
    South Carolina Gamecocks

    3/4 of a teaser complete, pays out 3:1. Last leg is NYJ -1 vs Miami tomorrow. Did some math and these are my 3 options.

    1) jets win by 2+ and no hedge: wins 3 units

    2) take Miami ML:
    A) Miami wins SU: wins 1.375 units
    B) Jets win by 2+ : wins 1.45 units
    C) Jets win by 1: wins .25 units (if it's a push, the payout gets pushed down a level, which is why this scenario pays out a lot less)

    3) take Miami +7.5
    A) Miami covers: wins .95 units
    B) jets cover: wins .95 units

    I'm leaning towards option 2 and praying that anything but a 1 point jet victory happens. Thoughts?
     
  2. Phi Mus Love Boones Farm

    Phi Mus Love Boones Farm Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Auburn TigersNew Orleans Saints

    I think your math is wrong on option 2 (or I may be retarded) If you took Miami ML which is at +250 right now A. would result winning 1.5 units (2.5-1) B. should be 2 units (3-1). Since you shouldn't be paying any juice on a loss
     
  3. Alshon

    Alshon Well-Known Member
    Donor
    South Carolina Gamecocks

    s
    The way I have it set up, it would pay equal (for the most part) regardless of which side won.

    Although I realized I made a mistake with option 2. I calculated it with me only winning 2 units not 3. So it should be:
    A) 2.125
    B) 2.15
    C) 1.15
     
  4. Alshon

    Alshon Well-Known Member
    Donor
    South Carolina Gamecocks

    And option 3 would each be for 1.425
     
  5. Phi Mus Love Boones Farm

    Phi Mus Love Boones Farm Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Auburn TigersNew Orleans Saints

    Option 2 no doubt then
     
  6. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    Jets win. I'd take my 3 units and be happy
     
  7. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Let it ride