T.G.I.F. What does TMB Like?

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by TLankAU, Oct 7, 2011.

  1. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    Boise -21 @ Fresno O/U 58.5 (pinny)

    Leaning towards Over in this game. I think Fresno can put up at least 20-24 points and Boise should have no trouble hitting 40 on their own vs. this defense
     
  2. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    Fresno St +21
     
  3. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

    Here's my sheet for the pre-Saturday games. I would lean under.

    [​IMG]
     
  4. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    soooooooo.... if i'm reading this right which I'd like to think that I am, Under was a play last night and it is a slightly stronger play tonight? is +/-3.5 the threshold for making it a play?
     
  5. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

    "2011 Total" is a predictive model and "2011 Total**" is based on YTD performance. I have it set up to indicate "PLAY" when both models agree on either the under or the over. It just serves as a way for me to quickly identify what totals to take a closer look at.
    The WKU game was not a "PLAY" because the two totals did not agree. But yes, the under in the Oregon game was something I played very small
     
  6. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

    And the value column is just a straight sum of the two differences for quick reference. It's actually better to see both models have a similar difference (like tonight's game) rather than one large and one small difference (like the Oregon game).
     
  7. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    right on. definitely looking at that Under now. Road Boise doesn't put up points like Smurf Turf Boise does
     
  8. Phi Mus Love Boones Farm

    Phi Mus Love Boones Farm Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Auburn TigersNew Orleans Saints

    FYI Rumor is Moore has an injured knee. He has denied it, but is coming off easily his worst start ever (142 yards 2 TDs 2 INTs)