The Public: CFB Week 3

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Sep 18, 2009.

  1. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    [​IMG]


    Notes:

    -5 games shaded in gray with notable reverse line movement
    -Public all over road favorites Cal and Cincinnati
    -Public on road dogs Mississippi St. and Buffalo, but Vegas has given bettors more points
    -3 of the top 4 public bets are Big 12 teams
     
  2. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    Alabama Crimson TideNew York YankeesJacksonville Jaguars2pacSneakersFormula 1

    Tell me what to think of this. I take it to go the other way on all 5. Mirite?
     
  3. MBKRogers

    MBKRogers New Member

    Sem some of this is just wrong.

    MisSt opened +10

    WashSt opened +4.5

    Miami (OH) Opened +16
     
  4. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
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    The public is on MSstate? I don't see it.

    Vandy's right tackle could be a big problem though if its that same young soft replacement they rolled out during the lsu game. If not Vandy would run all over that team, still should
     
  5. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
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    Im pretty sure I saw it at 8 earlier this week on like Tue
     
  6. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Using Pinnacle numbers. They usually have the sharpest lines. MissSt opened at +8. WashSt opened at -7. Miami opened at +17.

    To call someone "wrong" is a little assumptive considering there are hundreds of books out there that open at all sorts of numbers.
     
  7. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    Oregon was -4 now -5...with the kind of number on them (everywhere) that's notable to me....
     
  8. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Had it going from 4.5 to 5. Notable for sure because % is over 70, but I guess I overlooked it because it was just a half a point to a normally meaningless number.
     
  9. MBKRogers

    MBKRogers New Member

    Ok but THE openers are at Cris/Bookmaker (same site). Pinnacle releases hours later.
     
  10. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    You're right I'm wrong. Will you move on now?
     
  11. MBKRogers

    MBKRogers New Member

    Sem, not looking for a fight, just wanted to make sure you knew. We're all trying to win here.
     
  12. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Then there's no need to nitpick. I went by the opening lines at Pinnacle. There are no "official" opening lines.
     
  13. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
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    How much do points usually move with the public? Like say you have 60% on one side, how many points would you expect it to change against it?
     
  14. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    All depends on the book. Smaller books generally move lines quicker than larger books.
     
  15. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    [​IMG]

    Public went 23-26 (47%)

    Pretty subpar week for the public.

    4-3 (57%) on games above 75% but 15-20 (43%) above 60%. 2-4 in games with reverse line movement.