Starting to hit me that cfb is nearly done and I'm NFL at least Colts -4 o/u 45 Kind of inexplicable to think the Colts could lose 4 in a row and Peyton and co could continue to play this bad. Some bball as well. Looking hard as this Georgetown game. I think they are pretty legit this year. So far I did Colts ML -175 3.5 to win 2 What are you guys on?
Titans are bad and have lost their last 5 games and they have scored 6 points in their last 2 games. Colts aren't playing well right now, but I still see them winning by a TD. I'll probably only play a unit on Indy.
Also just gathered that Titans are 3-10 under Collins last 2 years and have lost 5 in a row as a team this year. The fixture last year @ home with Collins they got spanked. Kenny Britt is back tonight though which will help Tennessee.
Titans' pass D is pretty bad but they are decent at getting to the QB. I think Peyton will know it's on him not to make mistakes tonight that are killing his team. He knows how important this game is. I'm doing the over 45 for 2.2 as well. Can't see Titans winning 20-17 or something. If they win they are dropping at least 28. Hoping for a 27-21 type Indy win. We'll see. This is not sensible gambling by me. Added Georgetown -2 tonight but that could be a close game probably as
Took Georgetown last night for two units. You have to give the advantage to Peyton and the Colts' offense due to it being a short week, regardless of it being a division game.
Colts -3 seems to be what im leaning towards as well.. Like GTown -2 to pull away late and win by 7+ Also on Xavier -1 @ home Vs Butler Celtics -5 @ Philly seems to good to be true so it prolly is but will prolly lay something down on them..
Spread Basketball - 711 Georgetown -½ -115 for 1st Half Spread Basketball - 701 Boston Celtics -1½ -120 for 1st Quarter Spread Basketball - 704 Dallas Mavericks -3½ -115 for 1st Quarter Teaser Basketball - 701 Boston Celtics pk for Game Football - 101 Indianapolis Colts +3½ for Game Total Football - 101 Indianapolis Colts/Tennessee Titans over 7½ -110 for 1st Quarter Total Football - 101 Indianapolis Colts/Tennessee Titans over 13½ -110 for 2nd Quarter Total Football - 101 Indianapolis Colts/Tennessee Titans over 7½ -120 for 3rd Quarter Total Football - 101 Indianapolis Colts/Tennessee Titans over 13 -115 for 4th Quarter Total Football - 101 Indianapolis Colts/Tennessee Titans under 45 -110 for Game possible plays, thought?
Hope more of you stop by the chat tonight. Myself, Gators, Pat & Ty Cobb had some good talks last night
I'm new around these parts. Been reading the gambling board for a couple of months and have found some of the info to be very good. What time do yall chat?
Free Dr. Bob pick tonight: Overall, my math model projects 5.1 yppl for Tennessee and 4.5 yppl for the Colts in this game, but Indianapolis is projected to run 19 more plays than the Titans will and the total yards projection does favor Indy 331 yards to 277 yards. However, Tennessee has an advantage in projected turnovers and a huge edge in special teams and my math still favors Tennessee by 4 ½ points in this game. Even using a compensated points model would favor the Titans. The Colts have out-scored their opponents by an average of 2.2 points while playing a schedule that is 0.5 points tougher than average, so they've been +2.7 points. The Titans have out-scored their opponents by 2.3 points per game while playing a schedule that is 0.3 points tougher than average, so they've been +2.6 points. The adjustments for current personnel (Addai and Collie out for the Colts, Collins at QB for Tennessee) favor Indy by just 0.2 points and home field advantage is 2.9 points this time of year, so I would get Tennessee by 2 ½ points using a compensated points model. The only reason for the Colts being favored is because Tennessee has been in such a negative slide lately, but the trends suggest that is not likely to continue and I'll certainly take advantage of the line value. I'll take Tennessee in a 3-Star Best Bet at +3 ½ points or more and for 2-Stars at +3 points. I also like the Under in this game, as both teams are worse than average offensively with their current personnel and both defenses are better than average. My math model projects just 39 total points and an adjusted compensated points model also comes up with 39 total points. I'll consider the Under (45 points) a Strong Opinion.
Yeah I think I do too. I can't understand backing Tenn as poorly as they've been playing. It's a classic Bob pick though.
I'm not trying to be a Debbie Downer, but it seems like when every one of us is on the same side we lose. I too love the Colts, but I'm gonna play Tenn +3.5 even money for 2U. I haven't seen many on TN and the line is a little short. TN can't stop the run, no Addai. Indy can't stop the run, . LM makes me think TN covers but doesn't win. BOL to all.
Bet 2nd half over I'm slightly uneasy about the Titans turning this into a game and putting my Colts -4 bet in jeopardy but I figure taking the 2nd half over is a safe way to hedge and have a good chance to win both. Basically all the Colts have to do is score 7 points in the 2nd half in order to guarantee I win one of my bets.
Well that's entirely on Jeff Fisher for not kicking a FG and giving his team a chance to win. Guess it's good that I hedged some.
I'm in a quiet rage right now. That entire last drive I was thinking to myself that Jeff Fisher is the kind of coach who is smart enough to know that he needs a FG and a TD and that he would kick it if the situation called for it. Turns out I was wrong. The guy literally doesn't give a fuck anymore.
and that my folks proves this shit is rigged.. UNBELIEVABLE.. I knew I got caught in the trap all day when betus brought down the line more even though all the money was on the colts.... FUCK