TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 8-1, +6.3 units

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by TigerPawsSC, Jan 3, 2010.

  1. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Guess I should start one of these.

    $550 ( :star: :star: :star: :star: :star:) to win $500: Duke team total UNDER 80.

    Clemson hasn't allowed an opponent over 80 this year, and 12 of 14 opponents have been held under 70.

    Against its top-50 opponents (from KenPom), Duke's scored 76, 69, 68 and 64.

    At 15th in defensive efficiency, Clemson is easily the best defensive team Duke has played. 2nd is Wisconsin, who beat Duke and held them to 69.

    KenPom predicts a pace of 72 possessions in this game. That should provide a slow enough pace to make this a really nice play.

    Last year, only 3 conference opponents got over 80 on Clemson in regulation. One was @UNC, another @Wake.

    Duke only got over 80 in 4 of its 19 conference games a year ago.


    Also liking:

    Georgetown -550, $550 to win $100
    Miami -1100, $1100 to win $100
    Iowa State -6.5 (-105), $200 to win $190


    GL!
     
  2. Irish226

    Irish226 Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread

    I also like ISU -6 1/2
     
  3. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread

    2nd overtime. Is it possible we get that lucky?
     
  4. Irish226

    Irish226 Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread

    watching the game live. ISU up by 6 about to shoot 2 free throws with 20 seconds left.
     
  5. Irish226

    Irish226 Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread

    HOLY SHIT made 1 of 2, then blocked shot and score. ISU WINS BY 7!!! WOW SOMEONE WAS WATCHING US THERE :americafuckyeah: :americafuckyeah: :americafuckyeah:
     
  6. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread

    :americafuckyeah:

    Nice start to the day.
     
  7. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread

    Moneylines: 2-0, +$200
    Spreads: 1-0, +$190

    Duke under pending, with them at 30 at half, it's looking good.
     
  8. knowthetoe

    knowthetoe New Member
    Donor

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread

    Congrats TP!! Thanks for the Duke under....
     
  9. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread

    :woot:

    4-0, +$790 for the day
     
  10. New user

    New user Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    Congrats on the good day. I lost on Nc St pick em on the UF 75 foot shot and also lost a total by 1 point...one of those days
     
  11. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    Action for tomorrow:

    Pitt +4.5 ( :star: :star: :star:) $300 to win $285

    Third game in six days for Cincy, Pitt is just a better team, and a host of other factors. Big East ball tends to be a warzone, so 4.5 points is a lot here.

    ODU -800 $1200 to win $150

    Delaware +10 $105 to win $100

    UNC -1000 $1,000 to win $100

    May add a small PITT ML play.
     
  12. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    :killme:

    I thought to myself as that went in. "Wow, what about people who bet on NCST."

    Tough beat.
     
  13. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    Actual UNC moneyline opened significantly higher than I thought it would and the game line has moved FOUR points.

    Still like it for $1000, but now I'll be parlaying with Alabama to get my return back on it. Bama playing Toledo, one of the worst teams in D-1. Toleda has only beaten UMD-Baltimore County and IUPU-Fort Wayne this year.

    Official play is now:

    Alabama -1200
    UNC -1650

    $1,000 to win $149
     
  14. YoungBuckWG

    YoungBuckWG New Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    What do you think about William & Mary (2nd in RPI) -9 vs unc willimington at home? Nc willmington is (4-8) on the year...
     
  15. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    I don't love it.

    Of UNCW's 8 losses, we have margins of 9, 5, 7, 8, 5, 11, 2, and the latest of 30+. Hanging tough on the road at Richmond and losing by 2 is impressive.

    Of W&M's wins, we have margins of 1, 6, 2, 1, 19, 10, 1, 5, 7. This is also their third game in 6 days, so tired legs might be an issue.

    Good chance UNCW keeps it within the number, IMO.
     
  16. The Great Pumpkin

    The Great Pumpkin The Next Portugese Prodigy
    Donor TMB OG

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    I would also throw in that William & Mary has covered 7 straight games. Imo, there is almost no betting value left on a team that is on that kind of ATS streak.
     
  17. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    Agree. Line seems suspiciously low even. WM on that kind of run, while UNCW just lost a game by 34.

    It seems fishy. Too fishy.

    With that in mind, I can't leave it alone.

    Adding UNCW +9 $200 to win $190

    Very glad I got Delaware at +10 as soon as it posted on 5dimes. Overnight lines = $$$$$ Line has moved 2.5 points.
     
  18. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
    Staff TMB OG

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    Wunderdog is on Delaware. That might explain some of the line movement.
     
  19. CUHunter

    CUHunter Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    TPSC what site do you use?
     
  20. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    I have accounts with 5Dimes, TheGreek, BatJam, and BetOnline. I use whichever has the best line for me. All lines equal, I use 5Dimes because I have most of my money there.

    It's now apparent that UNC is going to make me sweat this one out. :thumb:
     
  21. The Great Pumpkin

    The Great Pumpkin The Next Portugese Prodigy
    Donor TMB OG

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    I got Delaware at plus 7.5 and the layup at the buzzer gives me the cover. :smug:
     
  22. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
    Staff TMB OG

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    I had it at 9 so I was good either way but I'm happy for the both of us. :beerchug:
     
  23. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    :beerchug:
     
  24. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    UNC-W win $190 :smug:
    Delaware win $100 :smug:
    ODU win $150 :smug:

    Looking good everywhere else, too.
     
  25. The Great Pumpkin

    The Great Pumpkin The Next Portugese Prodigy
    Donor TMB OG

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    UNC-Wilmington :golfclap:

    :beerchug:
     
  26. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    UNC is garbage this year, FWIW. I think they'll probably pull it out, but they're total garbage.
     
  27. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    Rebounds:

    UNC 50
    Charleston 27

    FTA 31
    Charleston 3

    And they're in overtime. LEARN TO SHOOT THE THREE BALL.
     
  28. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    UNC about to lose.

    YOU'RE DOING IT WRONG.

    :facepalm:
     
  29. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Re: TigerPawsSC's yearly college basketball thread *UPDATED 4-0, +7.9 units

    :blech:

    Pitt :beerchug:

    +$300

    UNC :oshit:

    -$1,000

    Day's total: -$160

    :curses:
     
  30. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Sides: 5-0, +12.65 units
    ML: 3-0, +3.5 units
    ML Parlays: 0-1, -10 units

    +6.15 units total
     
  31. The Great Pumpkin

    The Great Pumpkin The Next Portugese Prodigy
    Donor TMB OG

    Sucks about UNC, but you have to feel great about nailing the sides again. The wrong team was favored in the Pitt game.
     
  32. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Agreed. I wrote that Pitt was the better team and I think that played out. Plus 4.5 points in the BE is like 8 in most conferences.
     
  33. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
    Staff TMB OG

    My bookie had it at 3.5 so I decided to pull the trigger on the +160 ML rather than be pissed about the point he was screwing me out of.

    :chatzy:
     
  34. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Georgia Tech -6 $400 to win $380 :star: :star: :star: :star:

    When GT wins, they win by more than 6. When UGA loses, they don't keep it close for the most part. GT should win and I see them pulling away late.

    Texas -16 $400 to win $380 :star: :star: :star: :star:

    If Iowa creeps up to 17 or 18, I may take it, but not yet.
     
  35. scatman duse

    scatman duse Well-Known Member
    Florida State SeminolesBaltimore RavensFlorida Panthers

    Really like the GT play
     
  36. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Adding ML Parlay

    Texas -1550
    Illinois -1600
    Mississippi -1800

    $1,500 to win $290


    Also adding Ball State +18 $105 to win $100
     
  37. The Great Pumpkin

    The Great Pumpkin The Next Portugese Prodigy
    Donor TMB OG

    Any thoughts on Akron?
     
  38. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    I'd lean Rhode Island in that game. Don't love it either way, though. True toss up, but gun to my head I'm taking RI.
     
  39. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Minnesota +8.5 :star: :star: $200 to win $190

    Gophers are underrated and they haven't lost a game by more than 5 all year. Playing good ball and in the B10 (like the BE), 8.5 is like 10 or 11. Slow pace of play makes 4 possessions an awful lot of chalk. Wouldn't be shocked to see Minnesota win this game.
     
  40. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
    Staff TMB OG

    Any thoughts on Notre Dame/South Florida Tiger?

    The guy we've all been following in the Service Plays thread has South Florida as one of his picks but Nick Parsons has Notre Dame as his pick of the day. I'll probably just not play but curious if you had any thoughts on it.
     
  41. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Adding South Florida +1 $200 to win $190

    Long road trip for ND, South Florida has been a death trap for Big East teams for a number of reasons. Wild atmosphere there, tough gym, and it's a long ass flight. SF has hung with and beaten teams they have no business beating in that building.

    USF with more rest and ND with two straight road games and three games pretty close together.

    I like the USF defense, currently rated 39th by KenPom. ND doesn't defend well at all, so I'll take the good D, the home court, and the better team at home. KenPom has this as a 5-point win for USF, so I see good value.
     
  42. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
    Staff TMB OG

    Glad ND could get the win without costing you money. I agreed with most of what you said except the idea the USF is the better team. ND is inconsistent and not a great road team but we're absolutely better than USF by a large margin.
     
  43. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Yeah, by better team at home, I meant that I thought USF was a better team at home than ND is on the road. On a neutral floor, I like ND better as well. Proved tonight they're probably a bit better all around.
     
  44. The Great Pumpkin

    The Great Pumpkin The Next Portugese Prodigy
    Donor TMB OG

    Any plays that you like tonight?
     
  45. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Yeah about to post that.

    Two things I like tonight are: Wisconsin +5.5 and MSU team total under 70.
     
  46. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    Georgetown $525 to win $500 :star: :star: :star: :star: :star: -4.5

    Wisconsin -2 $210 to win $200