Int he last few minutes 15% more came in from Delaware and the margin actually went down in the county. That’s excellent news.
You also get 75,000 Ohio State undergrads and grad/professional back at school. This district includes everything north of 14th Avenue.
My fucking good friend for many years who I am really struggling with lately just texted me this... Hey. I know its not your thing but can u see if Death of a Nation is avail?
its likely going to be sub 1% either way Reps will do a victory lap if they win but they're going to be shook. DEEP CUT but theres a trend where historical Dem areas are swinging more Dem vs historical Rep areas which there are more of the former than the latter coming in November so that micro trend going to be beneficial. For reference this is a historical hardcore Republican area.
I live at 11th and 4th, I’m aware. I still believe the gerrymandering isn’t showing tonight, it will in November when the R’s turn out I like Danny but this district is really lopsided
My bad. I have a huge Plex media library server that I share with him. He wanted me to upload it on my server. Ridiculous.
I have said this a million times, but the Democrats literally have won only 1 of the last 39 Congressional elections in the Ohio 12, and the win was 38 years ago.
"Kasich is basically a Democrat" Kasich might be moderate (debatable), but the people he associates with politically are not moderate. Guilt by association imo.
Yeah O'Connor isn't winning this now with Franklin basically done. Going to be tight as fuck, just hope like hell all these close wins are legitimate and we see a christload more competitive seats flipping in November.
Doesn’t look good now. O’Connor didn’t do well enough in the remaining Franklin County. I am thinking he loses by 500 now.
Seems like game over based on nyt County breakdown. 201 vote lead with a bunch left in the slight R leaning county. Unless the outstanding precincts there are D leaning, it's a wrap imo.
99% of Franklin is reported and OConnor only has a 201 lead with 34% of Delaware still out. It don’t look good.
He’s going to win on the gerrymander. Split Franklin County and then win 2-1 in the further east rural areas.
I'm guessing a swing like that would net a huge amount of seats for Dems. I can't find a list of competitive house districts and their lean right now, but I know one exists on 538.
He’s going to be the governor even though a judge sent him back to school because he sucked so bad with his fake voter fraud case
since I was focused on the data pt I didn't realize until people here mentioned its all done over again in November (despite 7.5million spent, largely by national GOP groups) this is super dumb, but good data point for Dems, so whatever