***Unofficial Alliance of American Football Thread: Fun N Gun is Back***

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by Corky Bucek, Oct 4, 2018.

  1. JeremyLambsFace

    JeremyLambsFace For bookings contact Morgan at 702-374-3735
    Donor
    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

    They left out the awesome 2pt conversion
     
  2. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

    About to stop raining in BHM
     
    Barves2125 likes this.
  3. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

  4. wes tegg

    wes tegg I'm a Guy's guy, guys. #AioliBoys
    Staff Donor
    Mississippi RebelsAtlanta BravesDenver BroncosChicago Blackhawks

    Weather is too shitty. I’m watching from a bar.
     
    Barves2125 and southlick like this.
  5. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

  6. Capstone 88

    Capstone 88 Going hard in the paint
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesTennessee TitansNashville Predators

    #ForgeOn
     
    wes tegg and Barves2125 like this.
  7. gilstein21

    gilstein21 Tight Rip 26 Seal Right
    Washington State CougarsAuburn TigersSt. Louis CardinalsGreen Bay PackersWyoming Cowboys

    Bham already resting players for the playoffs
     
    Doc Louis, Barves2125 and Capstone 88 like this.
  8. hudson

    hudson Oh, you know...stuff.
    Donor TMB OG
    Nebraska CornhuskersAtlanta BravesPortland Trail BlazersTampa Bay BuccaneersPittsburgh PenguinsFulham

    It’s surprising that I’ve kept up with this league more than the last, and we had a team in the last league.
     
  9. sc_chant

    sc_chant Be A Dog
    South Carolina GamecocksBoston Red Sox

    To be fair, Joe Moglia was the coach. It's easy to get bored
     
  10. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

  11. Sex Fuckhead

    Sex Fuckhead Winter Came
    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersPittsburgh SteelersPittsburgh Penguins

    These boys would roll a bama/Auburn all star team. The iron are the top tier of football in the state of Alabama and it isn’t even close.
     
    JeremyLambsFace and wes tegg like this.
  12. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

    He was throwing to the other WR behind dude that tried to catch it and he was open.
     
    Barves2125 likes this.
  13. Barves2125

    Barves2125 "Ready to drive the Ferarri" - Reuben Foster
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesManchester City

  14. Sex Fuckhead

    Sex Fuckhead Winter Came
    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersPittsburgh SteelersPittsburgh Penguins

    Iron +17.5 vs the oakland raiders, who ya got?
     
  15. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

    Brutal INT right there
     
  16. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Proud Chrysler LeBaron owner
    Staff Donor TMB OG
    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester United

    Where’s the game being played?
     
  17. Sex Fuckhead

    Sex Fuckhead Winter Came
    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersPittsburgh SteelersPittsburgh Penguins

    The rose bowl.
     
  18. Sex Fuckhead

    Sex Fuckhead Winter Came
    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersPittsburgh SteelersPittsburgh Penguins

    Legendary Nebraska coach ending another Alabama dynasty.
     
  19. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

    Two upsets today
     
  20. wes tegg

    wes tegg I'm a Guy's guy, guys. #AioliBoys
    Staff Donor
    Mississippi RebelsAtlanta BravesDenver BroncosChicago Blackhawks

    Three this weekend.
     
  21. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

  22. dallasdawg

    dallasdawg does the tin man have a sheet metal cock?
    Staff Donor
    Oklahoma SoonersGeorgia BulldogsTexas RangersDallas MavericksDallas CowboysDallas Stars

    [​IMG]
     
    Corky Bucek likes this.
  23. IV

    IV I'm often wrong, but occasionally correct
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson Tide

    Everyone in Birmingham was out of town this weekend
     
    Goose likes this.
  24. wes tegg

    wes tegg I'm a Guy's guy, guys. #AioliBoys
    Staff Donor
    Mississippi RebelsAtlanta BravesDenver BroncosChicago Blackhawks

    The weather was also terrible, and it was snowing in SLC. Regardless, TV numbers are what will really matter.
     
  25. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

    AAF WEEK 4 BETTING RECAP, TAKEAWAYS, AND A WEEK 5 LINES PREVIEW: UNDERS STILL MAKE MONEY

    We have four weeks in the books in the inaugural season of the Alliance of American Football (AAF). There were a couple of upsets this past weekend, leaving Orlando as the only remaining undefeated team and the West Division as wide open as ever.

    AAF WEEK 4 SCORES
    San Diego Fleet 23 at Memphis Express 26

    Memphis covers as a home underdog and the game goes Over.

    Orlando Apollos 20 at Salt Lake Stallions 11

    Orlando covers as a road favorite and the game goes Under.

    San Antonio Commanders 12 at Birmingham Iron 11

    San Antonio covers as a road underdog and the game goes Under.

    Atlanta Legends 14 at Arizona Hotshots 11

    Atlanta covers as a double-digit road underdog and the game goes Under.


    WEEK 4 BETTING TAKEAWAYS

    • Unders are money
    It was yet another profitable weekend for Under bettors as the total fell short of the number in three of the four games. The Under has now hit in 12-of-16 games. Weather certainly played a factor this past weekend as the Apollos-Stallions game was played in the snow and the Commanders-Iron had to deal with very wet conditions.

    • Home-team trend fading
    Home teams dominated the league early on but that trend seems to be evening out. Home teams covered in just 1-of-4 games in Week 4 after going 2-2 ATS in Week 2 and Week 3. Home teams are now 10-6 straight up and 9-7 against the spread.

    • Nelson out indefinitely
    San Diego lost starting quarterback Philip Nelson to a shoulder injury in the second quarter of its loss to Memphis and he will not be available in Week 5. Alex Ross replaced Nelson but was pretty awful, going 8-of-18 for 80 yards, a touchdown, an interception and two lost fumbles. Mike Bercovici, the Fleet’s Week 1 starter, is also an option to start next week.

    This is unfortunate for San Diego and the league as a whole as the AAF simply cannot afford to lose quarterback talent. San Diego general manager Dave Boller said the team would have to add another QB and would be looking to see who's available...let the Johnny Manziel rumors begin.

    • It’s Murray time!
    Atlanta’s Aaron Murray finally got his chance to play after starting QB Matt Simms cut his hand on the first possession on Sunday night and he was, predictably, a huge upgrade, going 20-of-33 for 254 yards while also rushing seven times for 54 yards and leading the Legends to their first win. Nothing has been announced yet but it would be shocking if Murray doesn’t get the start in Week 5.

    • Bad beat of the week
    The bad beat of the week definitely goes to San Diego Fleet backers. San Diego jumped out to a 20-6 lead but then the offense was terrible under Nelson’s replacement Ross as he gave the ball away three times in 2.5 quarters. The Fleet managed just three points in the second half and wound up losing outright. My apologies if you had money on San Diego.

    AAF WEEK 5 BETTING PREVIEW
    The AAF lines for Week 5 likely won’t be released until about Wednesday, but I’ll take my weekly shot at predicting the Week 5 lines and totals.

    Orlando at Birmingham (Saturday, 2 p.m. ET)

    Projected line: Orlando -4.5, 39.5

    Salt Lake at San Diego (Saturday, 8 p.m. ET)

    Projected line: Salt Lake -2.5, O/U 38.5

    Memphis at Atlanta (Sunday, 4 p.m. ET)

    Projected line: Atlanta -1, O/U 39

    San Antonio at Arizona (Sunday, 8 p.m. ET)

    Projected line: Arizona -9, O/U 40


    AAF STANDINGS

    East Division

    Orlando Apollos 4-0
    Birmingham Iron 3-1
    Memphis Express 1-3
    Atlanta Legends 1-3


    West Division

    Arizona Hotshots 2-2
    San Diego Fleet 2-2
    San Antonio Commanders 2-2
    Salt Lake Stallions 1-3
     
  26. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

  27. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

  28. Barves2125

    Barves2125 "Ready to drive the Ferarri" - Reuben Foster
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesManchester City

    Time to Forge On! Fuck you, Mix and Mr Bulldops and all other Apollos fans. Apollos came into the Gray Lady and they ain't leaving happy. Woo!
     
    Mr Bulldops and wes tegg like this.
  29. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

    This offense is all kinds of shitty imo
     
    Barves2125 likes this.
  30. Barves2125

    Barves2125 "Ready to drive the Ferarri" - Reuben Foster
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesManchester City

    I may have been needlessly rude before this game and for that I apologize. Let's all just have fun.
     
  31. DaveGrohl

    DaveGrohl When I talked about it, carried on
    Alabama Crimson TideTennessee TitansWolverhampton Wanderers

    We benched Perez
     
    wes tegg likes this.
  32. dallasdawg

    dallasdawg does the tin man have a sheet metal cock?
    Staff Donor
    Oklahoma SoonersGeorgia BulldogsTexas RangersDallas MavericksDallas CowboysDallas Stars

    what channel is this one on
     
  33. UncleItchyBalls

    UncleItchyBalls Fan of: The Tide, PDL and Processing kickers
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesTennessee Titans

    We want Blake Sims
     
    BlazingRebel and DaveGrohl like this.
  34. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

    TNT
     
    dallasdawg, DaveGrohl and wes tegg like this.
  35. wes tegg

    wes tegg I'm a Guy's guy, guys. #AioliBoys
    Staff Donor
    Mississippi RebelsAtlanta BravesDenver BroncosChicago Blackhawks

    No we don’t.
     
  36. Barves2125

    Barves2125 "Ready to drive the Ferarri" - Reuben Foster
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesManchester City

    _______ Price is our guy. That's evident.
     
    wes tegg likes this.
  37. DaveGrohl

    DaveGrohl When I talked about it, carried on
    Alabama Crimson TideTennessee TitansWolverhampton Wanderers

    that fucking illegal defense call :meh:
     
  38. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

    Da fuck Price, he was wide ass open
     
  39. dallasdawg

    dallasdawg does the tin man have a sheet metal cock?
    Staff Donor
    Oklahoma SoonersGeorgia BulldogsTexas RangersDallas MavericksDallas CowboysDallas Stars

    who is this price guy :laugh:
     
  40. wes tegg

    wes tegg I'm a Guy's guy, guys. #AioliBoys
    Staff Donor
    Mississippi RebelsAtlanta BravesDenver BroncosChicago Blackhawks

    Keith Price. He went to Washington.
     
    Barves2125 likes this.
  41. dallasdawg

    dallasdawg does the tin man have a sheet metal cock?
    Staff Donor
    Oklahoma SoonersGeorgia BulldogsTexas RangersDallas MavericksDallas CowboysDallas Stars

    that guy was so far out of my memory

    wasn’t terrible in college
     
    Barves2125 and wes tegg like this.
  42. D. Silver

    D. Silver Russian Gas
    Donor TMB OG
    Florida GatorsWashington NationalsWashington WizardsWashington Capitals

    #TakeAim
     
    J10, HurtsMcGoo and Mr Bulldops like this.
  43. DaveGrohl

    DaveGrohl When I talked about it, carried on
    Alabama Crimson TideTennessee TitansWolverhampton Wanderers

    No posts on the ATL/Memphis game?

    For shame
     
  44. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

  45. HurtsMcGoo

    HurtsMcGoo I DECLARE BANKRUPTCY!!!
    Donor
    Florida GatorsOrlando MagicSan Diego ChargersWashington RedskinsWWEOrlando City

    I want to put my redskins icon into the trash can and put up an Apollo’s icon. When will this possible? #takeaim
     
    JeremyLambsFace likes this.
  46. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

    Don't know. We've asked several times but it seems to fall on deaf ears.
     
    wes tegg likes this.
  47. seanofthedead86

    seanofthedead86 Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersAtlanta BravesAtlanta FalconsAtlanta United

    Hot Shots look terrible
     
  48. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

    We’ve reached the second half of the season in the Alliance of American Football (AAF). Are we finally going to see some offense in this league after the Over went 4-0 last week? Oddsmakers have adjusted the totals slightly with only one total for the week opening in the 30s. We dig into the Week 6 betting odds, trends, leans, and give a best bet.



    WEEK 5 BETTING RECAP
    Make it back-to-back best bet winners after the Salt Lake Stallions staged a late rally to cover the +6 spread. The bet wasn’t looking great as they trailed 24-11 with less than five minutes remaining but two quick touchdowns gave them a late lead, which they then squandered. They still covered, however, moving my best bets to 2-2.

    My leans went 2-2 last week with Orlando covering the -3.5 points and the Memphis-Atlanta game going Over the 38.5-point total. My other two leans were Unders, which, of course, were losers after all four games went Over the total in Week 5. If you were following me on Twitter (@coversBD), I also gave out a winner with Atlanta -1.5, but that won’t count towards my overall record.

    Season totals: Leans 7-9, Best Bets 2-2



    AAF BETTING TRENDS
    • The Over went 4-0 last week and is now 8-12 on the season.
    • The road team went 3-1 against the spread for the second straight week.
    • Home teams are now 10-10 ATS on the season and 12-8 straight up.
    • Favorites went 3-1 straight up and 2-2 ATS last week.
    • Favorites are now 15-5 straight up and 11-9 ATS on the season.
    • No double-digit favorite has covered the spread yet this season (three occurrences).


    AAF WEEK 6 ODDS AND TOTALS
    MEMPHIS EXPRESS (1-4) at SALT LAKE STALLIONS (1-4)

    Opening line: Salt Lake -8, O/U 40

    TV: 4 p.m. ET, B/R Live

    Memphis: 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U. On the road, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U.
    Salt Lake: 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U. At home, 1-1 ATS, 0-2 O/U

    The one notable trend is that both of Salt Lake’s home games have gone Under the total, but bad weather has played a factor in those games. The forecast for Saturday is sunny with a temperature in the 40s, so the weather shouldn’t affect this one.

    Zach Mettenberger has made Memphis’ offense respectable as it is averaging 23 points in his two starts after averaging 11.7 in its first three games. The defense has been consistently mediocre, allowing between 20-26 points (average of 22.6) in each of its five games.

    Salt Lake’s only win came at home in Week 3 over what we thought to be a very good Arizona team. The Hotshots, however, haven’t won since and have gone from looking like one of the AAF’s best teams to one of its worst.

    Lean: Memphis +8. I had projected this line to be closer to a field goal so I'm happily taking the extra points with the Express. Every game that Memphis has played from Week 2 on has been decided by four points or less. Also, how is a 1-4 team with -22 net points laying eight against anyone?

    ARIZONA HOTSHOTS (2-3) at ORLANDO APOLLOS (5-0)
    Opening line: Orlando -9, O/U 43.5

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, NFL Network

    Arizona: 1-4 ATS, 2-3 O/U. On the road, 0-2 ATS, 0-2 O/U.
    Orlando: 4-1 ATS and 2-3 O/U. At home, 1-1 ATS, 0-2 O/U

    At this point, Orlando looks completely unstoppable. The Apollos have scored the most points in the league (149) and have allowed the second fewest (77) for a whopping +72 margin in net points. They’re coming off a game where they scored 31 against the league’s best defense, with QB Garrett Gilbert throwing for 286 yards and two touchdowns and running back De’Veon Smith running for 119 yards on just 14 carries.

    Arizona is a complete mess of late after starting the season 2-0 having lost three straight, two of which were at home. The Hotshots did show a little bit of life in the second half last week, outscoring San Antonio 25-3 but that was after they had fallen behind 26-0 in the first half.

    Lean: Under 43.5. I went back and forth between Orlando -9 and the Under but ultimately settled on the Under for two reasons. First, the Under trends for Arizona road games and Orlando home games. Second, the fact that the Apollos still live in Jacksonville and practice in Georgia — this has to take a toll on them eventually.

    SAN ANTONIO COMMANDERS (3-2) at ATLANTA LEGENDS (2-3)
    Opening line: Atlanta -1.5, O/U 40.5

    TV: 4 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network

    San Antonio: 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U. On the road, 2-1 ATS, 1-2 O/U.
    Atlanta: 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U. At home, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U.

    San Antonio looked amazing in the first half last week, shutting out Arizona 26-0, but then almost blew it as it was outscored 25-3 in the second. The Commanders now play their fourth game in a row on the road.

    Aaron Murray has saved the Legends from being the laughingstock of the AAF as he is 2-0 straight up and ATS as the No. 1 quarterback. It’s also important to note that Atlanta is playing much better on offense under offensive coordinator Ken Zampese — he’s the team’s third OC of the young season after Michael Vick quit in the preseason and Rich Bartel left the team just prior to Week 3.

    Lean: Over 40.5. Atlanta's offense continues to improve each week while the Commanders have given up 25 or more in three of their last four games.

    BIRMINGHAM IRON (3-2) AT SAN DIEGO FLEET (3-2)
    Opening line: San Diego -6, O/U 36

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, NFL Network

    Birmingham: 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U. On the road, 0-1 ATS, 1-0 O/U.
    San Diego: 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U. At home, 2-1 ATS, 1-2 O/U.

    Birmingham became the latest AAF team to make a change at quarterback as it yanked starter Luis Perez in favor of Keith Price late in the first quarter of last week’s loss to Orlando. Price went 18 of 29 for 234 yards and threw the team’s first passing touchdown of the season. The Week 6 starter hasn’t been announced yet but expect Price to get the call. Another key note here is that this is only Birmingham’s second road game — its first was a trip to Atlanta in Week 3.

    San Diego is undefeated at home and probably should be 3-0 ATS as last week’s almost-collapse was the only time the Fleet haven’t covered the number at home. There were questions as to how San Diego’s offense would respond without Philip Nelson but Mike Bercovici, the Week 1 starter, was serviceable last week, throwing for 304 yards and a touchdown, though he completed under 50 percent of his passes (22 of 43).

    Lean: San Diego -6. When at home, San Diego is the clear-cut second-best team in the AAF. I'm also just not sold on Birmingham — its only wins have come against Memphis, Salt Lake, and Atlanta when Matt Simms was its QB.


    WEEK 6 BEST BET

    My best bet for Week 6 in the AAF is the Atlanta Legends -1.5 for a couple of reasons. First, this four-game road trip has to eventually take its toll on San Antonio as football teams rarely, if ever, are forced to play four straight away from home. The road may have started taking its toll on the Commanders last week after they almost blew the 26-0 lead they had built in the first half at Arizona. Second, I really think that Atlanta is finally starting to develop some stability and consistency as a team after going through all the coaching and coordinator changes early in the season, plus the switch at quarterback to Aaron Murray. Take the Legends at -1.5 and let's make it three straight best bet winners.
     
  49. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys

  50. southlick

    southlick Better Than You
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesDallas Cowboys