Here is a post I found from an obvious UT fan. What does everyone think? Current Line on bodog Tennessee +30 Obviously UF wants to blow us(UT) off the planet and score 70 points BUT that is pretty hard to do when you do not have the football. I am pretty sure that we will come out and RUN the football,try to dominate possession, since everyone and their little sister knows Crompton is mentally unstable. Yes UF will be stacking the box but, we have an absolute stable of backs and it will RUN the clock. Lets remember that TN D is only allowing 131 yards of offense on average, granted we have played far inferior opponents. Lets also note that UF has not yet seen a defense with SEC caliber players: they have played Coastal Carolina and Troy, hell UT even put up 63points against that caliber of team. I am not saying that UF's offense is unimpressive, they are averaging 643yards/game, I am just saying they have not yet been tested. They bring a very balanced O with 330yards running and 313passing. All of these numbers are heavily inflated due to their competition however, it is good to see that they are extremely balanced. This shows me that they are not expecting to pass the ball 40+ times, which would stop the clock, they will keep the clock moving as well. Basically, a lot of this rides on the clock and this being a relatively short game so, if our special teams can protect against a huge play on punts and kickoffs time will not allow Florida to score 45+ points. TN D should create at least one turnover that will allow TN to put points on the board. I know if UF gets up big Urban will keep the pedal down but my theory is that with TN holding the ball they will never be up more than 21 points and a late TD will not kill the spread. I know there are many questions around TN O but all that matters is that they keep the clock moving and score at least one td with a couple of field goals. Interesting side note: The last team to beat UF was Ole Miss which was done IN the swamp. The quarterback who led his team to victory: Snead,Jevan Snead who lost to Vandy at home the week prior to playing UF and his stats were 12 for 25 with 0 tds and 4 ints. Just sayin.... oh and this line opened up at UT +28.5 and the public has already pounded it to 30. Bet with the house. Final Score: UT 17 UF 38 If you are playing units 1-5 this is a 3 unit play. ALL liability is soley upon the person wagering. These are all my OPINIONS.
Taking off the orange and blue glasses here. Let's start with the theory that UT will play keepaway with the ball. To do that you have to get first downs. UF ran a 3 man front pretty much the entire game last week and Troy could not move the ball on the ground. UT's offensive line has less experience than last year, but a much simpler scheme so I call their oline about even with last year except for 1 spot. The center is a walk on (that is scholarship worthy mind you) that played last week (poorly) with both knees having to get injections so he could see the field. I doubt there's much depth there seeing as how the starter is a walkon. UF's dline will get a solid push up the middle and stuff the inside run game (Spikes specialty). Their perimeter run-game will be drasticly slowed by UF's speed at corner/safety and OLB. Crompton will not be able to throw against UF's secondary with his inexperienced receivers vs. Jenkins/Haden/Hill/Black/Wright. I see them unable to move the ball. UF can stack the box all day, it won't matter. UT will be off the field in short order. Keep in mind also, UF scored all their points against CSU in 22 minutes. That was with the all true frosh oline 4th quarter and backups from mid 2nd on. UF will problably run it down there throats and throw at their frosh saftey Janzen Jackson. Add in special teams (James has returned a punt every year against UT) and this has the making of a blowout. Not to mention this is one of Meyers biggest recruiting weekends of the year (FNL big) where he historically does well scoring points anyway. Just my 2 cents.
I agree that UT will have some serious problems moving the ball on O, but how many is UF going to hang on the vols?
Meyer last year 13-1 against the spread. The only loss of course was the Ole Miss loss. I would NEVER EVER bet against Meyer.
I never bet UF either. Just superstitious like that, but with all the info above it would be hard to bet against Florida. Only reason I would, would be the DD dog in the SEC has been $$$ in the past. But times, they are a changin'...
I wouldnt play that either bc our defense is good enough to hold youll to under 42 especially with all the time we will be usuing on offense bc Crompton wont be throwing much. This game to me has no value whatsoever.