We used a first rounder last year on a LT and he looks solid so far before he got hurt. I don't see them going OT again that early. I'd be shocked if the pick isn't a top WR or pass rusher with the Texans pick. I prefer one of the WRs personally but I'm good with a pass rusher too.
I won't dispute OT being one of your core positions. It's definitely important. The Dolphins have a severe lack of true deep threats at WR though even if they have a few solid possession guys. I feel good about our rookies on OL so far plus we have FA and 3 other likely top 50 picks to grab another OT.
I wouldn’t take a WR top 10 for a while, just so much talent. Pitts should be considered next to Chase
I agree with you on Pitts. I want to see if he's announced as a WR or TE when he's selected. His skills are good enough to be a wideout and I think athletically he will test fine. Either way he's probably my #2 skill guy in this draft behind Chase.
Can’t fault ya for that opinion. Those two are absolute studs. But I’d still be confident to bet that Pitts will be drafted ahead of them. Teams drafting that high likely have young/inexperienced QBs. The value of receiving TEs aka Baby QB’s security blanket has shot up. Pitts is athletic enough to consistently beat LBs and has the size and hands to win contested battles with DBs. Guys have been drafted higher for less logical/value reasons (Baker). But yeah Smith and Waddle deserve to be “lottery” picks.
How has the value of a security blanket TE shot up compared to the past 5-10 years? I don’t get it, those are always valuable to a young QB.
If you ain’t drafting top 3 he won’t be available. The best OL prospect since Orlando Pace ain’t dropping.
You’re right. Was just basing it on the trend of passing attempts going up + rule changes toward an offensive pass happy game = pass catching position value steadily trending upwards. Only one TE made 10 mil/year in 2015. Now five are making over that in 2020. Four of the five with 75+ catches last year. Don’t really feel like looking it up. But guessing that a chart of targets for TEs in general prob looks like the Cliffhanger from Price is Right.
Would be interesting to see the top 10 TE salary percentage increase over the past 5 years compared to other positions. Raw salary means nothing, it’s needs to be relative to put it in perspective.
Wouldn’t make a difference compared to the primo positions. But compared to RB salaries that shows a lot. TEs making more than ever and going up. While Leveon and Zeke will prob be some of the last huge money RB contracts. Not to mention draft position money. Safe bet to say we’ll see more teams choose to take hopeful Kittle, Kelce, Ertz types in the higher money “lottery pick” slots than will take a high grade RB.
Yeah my hope is that we end up in the 3-5 range and all the teams ahead of us need quarterbacks. We're gonna end up getting fucked on the draft order because of the tie against Philly
Kittle and Kelce are insanely good in the run game as blockers and still have the speed and size to run past LBs and run over DBs. Pitts hasn't come close to showing that potential as a blocker. He's more like Ertz, who isn't a profile that would get picked top 15. Kittle and Kelce are unicorns.
Second half of our schedule is pretty easy outside of division games. I'm sure we'll fuck up our draft pick by winning a couple meaningless games late in the year.
I'm not saying Pitts/Freiermuth don't have valid reasons to be high picks, but I'd be cautious about my reasoning being immediate help for a young QB. The TE position in general usually doesn't produce much the first year, sometimes two.
I'll gladly take either Waddle or Chase That Houston pick is top 5 now but Im sure it'll be closer to around 10 by the end of the season. They still have Jax, Cleveland, Detroit, Indy twice and Cinci which are all winnable games
Lawrence Sewell Chase Rosseau Fields Parsons Waddle Basham Lance Moore Imvho. I think you can go any of those top 5. Passing on Sewell though if you have your QB is not wise. Whoever your LT is, won't be better than him.
IDK what to make of Rousseau. He has the elite measurables, but seeing that he had 7 of his sacks vs FSU(terrible OL) and Pitt makes me wonder if he just beat up on bad competition
He still had like 9 other sacks but a ton came from stunts and lining up inside on obvious passing downs. He’s still raw and putting more tape up beating tackles on the outside would have helped. This is why I thought he made a mistake sitting out as teams start to get nervous over that as you get closer to the draft and end up getting picked 15 instead of 5
I agree, he has mainly garbage sacks and a majority come from the interior against college guards, which will typically have terrible pass protection skills. He is more projection than others
I don't think Pitts will go before Waddle. He should but Waddle has that Bama hype train behind him. Smith I'm not a fan of, he will be one of the first 10 wideouts taken but I don't have him in my top 10. Someone will regret that pick. Moore is my baby. Loved this kid from his HS days. He's behind my WR2 behind Chase. lol... No. He's built like a tank. His size will be zero issue. This is 18 year old true freshman Moore squatting 600lbs I'm not sure those two guys are they same level of prospect. I think the upside for Pitts and what NFL teams can do with him outweigh what teams can do with Pat. I think Pitts is a top 20 pick and Pat is probably 30-50 range. I like Jordan out of Miami as well but he's likely the 3rd TE off the board.
Other teams he had sacks against 1.5 vs Louisiana tech 2 vs Duke 1 each vs UVA, VT, UNC, Central mich, and UF 0 vs FIU, Bethune cookman and Louisville
8.5, not 9, my bad Not enough tape for me of him blowing past OTs with speed on the outside for me to want to take him top 5-10
Read on PFF that he generated a stop or pressure on 1 of 6 plays. That's the difference between him and a lot of the other DE athletes that go high and don't pan out. He can generate speed to power and is consistently making an impact. His sacks might come against garbage, but he doesn't just get garbage or coverage sacks. He is in on the play when he can be. I would be shocked if he fell out of the top 10. Basham might go top 10. The Big Ten has some freaky athletes learning to play DE as well like Kwity Paye and Jayson Oweh that might push up to the top half of the first round, but idk if they will put up more of a freak show at the combine that Rosseau or have better tape than he had last year.
Paye likely will have better numbers than Rosseau. There's a reason Feldman had him number one on his 2020 college football freaks list.
I was going off of where the mock had us picking. I was just living in fantasy land for a second. Geez
Tackles is a misleading stat imo sometimes you get tackles when you shouldnt have allowed the catch in the first place or you misread a run
tackles is only partially a misleading stat I thought is was useless as well, when Hamsah Nasrildeen had 237 tackles last year I was like pfft bitch just jumps on the pile But see, now that his leg has died, those 237 tackles are going for tds against us So......
I still have nightmares about à defense that the leading tackler was a safety. He would get 10 tackles a game, all of them 15 yards downfield. kyle McCarthy was his name.
He only wins on speed. His lack of size (see weight) will hamper him with 50/50 balls and in tough coverage. He's also gonna be a 23 year old rookie. Obviously we have some football to play and a possible combine/pro days to adjust but my top 10 Ja'Marr Chase Rondale Moore Jaylen Waddle Seth Williams Rashod Bateman Terrance Marshall Dyami Brown Chris Olave Amon-Ra St. Brown Tylan Wallace