I realize this week isn't over yet but looking ahead, I hope UW wins and Utah beats Cal. Sets up perfectly to take CAL Also, like Ole Miss @ Georgia and Temple @ Louisville
Cal has quit with a shitty QB and a lame duck coach. That's not a good pick. Twitter vegas person was saying initial line would be -3 Oregon at USC, but that seems very low to me.
Spot on per usual. Very good spot fading teams coming off big emotional wins and making them a little overvalued. No lines to go off of yet, but a few more teams that I will probably like for similar reasons: Wake (vs. BC), Baylor (vs. Kansas)
Alabama -8 Texas Tech -3.5 Washington +4 SDSU +16 Georgia -16 Also kind of like Oregon -6 and ASU +3.5
Careful with Washington. Bad bad spot for them. They are not a good road team at all (they have won exactly one road game in the last two seasons). Coming off late win at home against OSU, short week. This line says Cal rolls.
im fading cal the rest of the way. talk of tedford being fired mid-week, tosh will have his DL fired up versus UW, and price and ASF/Williams are good enough for a few points.
yep something tells me King_Of_Expo_Park is going to be very pleased with a few of these openers Cal and Ole Miss look like nice plays also going to take a look at Southern Cal, Hawaii, and NC State
Think 16 is way too many points for UGA to be laying off that huge win against Florida. They aren't going to play with near the emotion this week.
I want to see how this aTm action goes .. I don't think they should favored to any non Kentucky/Missouri/Vandy SEC team on the road.
Auburn is shit, but we just put a historical beatdown on them at their place We beat an average but hard playing ole miss on the road while committing 6 turnovers, including 5 consecutive possessions. I don't know much about MSU, but if we play a clean game, we can really turn it on, even on the road. Not saying you should bet on A&M, but Sumlin has this team playing with a ton of confidence both home and away.
Not sure of its veracity, but Vegas insider shows A&M opened -1.5 at the wynn and was up to -5 an hour later. Very similar to last week when the line moved like 7 pts in a hour or 2 vs auburn http://www.vegasinsider.com/college...mississippi-state.cfm/date/11-03-12/time/1200
In case you guys missed this: “@sunjeffbarker: Caleb Rowe tore ACL and is out for season for #Terps. This is stunning. Maryland has lost its fourth starter at QB -- three in 2 weeks.” They are going to be starting a LB at QB.
Vandy -8 ECU +3 Penn St -3.5 UAB -3 (have no idea why we're favored) LSU +9 (LSU by 3 IMO, really like the Tigers in Death Valley) Boise -14
I like PSU -3.5 I like Iowa +1 gotta like Clemson -14.5 Stanford -28 LSU +10.5 Ohio State -24.5 Pitt +17 Miami OH is fishy... +3 Cincy -5 KSU -8 TX TECH -6.5 USC +7 TN -18 UL Monroe -10.5
will be on it also taking NMST if that line stays above 21. auburn is not capable of beating anyone by that much. not even D2. NMST runs spread. we just can't defend it. even a shitty spread. ULM
are there any plans to go with wallace at QB? yall actually looked like a D-1 football team with him back there
I actually turned the game off once the ATM TT over 34 hit. Haven't watched the replay but the stats look good. Had to be against the bottom of the barrel ATM defensive players right? Worst case he can't be worse than Moseley. But Chizik has and always will play favorites and if Moseley can play, he will start because our coach is dumber than a maurice claiborne
it was a mixture of 1st and 2nd teamers for a while, then 2nd and 3rd teamers. but he looked really good. it was basically all zone read, which probably caught us off guard since we were expecting to face mosely. but i was still impressed. i would give him a chance to get comfortable againt a cupcake next week, then see if he can lead yall to an upset against georgia in 2 weeks
last time this happened with cal, stanford came to town and demolished cal. i understand the rationale, but there are better bets out there.
That analogy is literally the opposite of what we have here. Stanford was coming off a loss in that game, Washington is coming off a monster win here. Cal was coming off a big road win, while here they are coming off a big road loss. In your example Stanford would've been the team to take, not Cal. We are saying when A plays B and A is coming off a bad loss and B is coming off a big win, take team A. Cal is team A here, and Stanford was team A when they played Cal earlier this year.
had a 6 team parlay to win $11,000 on Saturday, hit them all except TT +7 1/2... :lookatme: at least the TT loss was in the middle of the day so it didn't come down to them for me to hit it. That being said I still had my best day ever, both betting wise and bc ND curb stomped OU. I just wanted to share. would post a pic of it, but I don't know how. Thanks for listening
Added WVU -7. They are coming off a bye so have had time to shake off two bad losses. TCU making their 3rd road trip in 4 games, this time 1,200 miles north to Morgantown. You have a banged up, emotionally drained TCU squad, with a ton of travel and a QB that won't be 100% (left game against OSU with knee injury) on the road against a rested WVU team.
Does that Penn State Purdue line feel short to anyone? Can't fathom taking Purdue again after getting burned twice, but... Purdue is getting buried by everyone and are only get just over a field goal at home? Penn State loses to Ohio State last weekend, but before that 5 wins in a row including two beatdowns on the road over Iowa and Illinois. Line feels trappy.
Already locked in Penn State -3.5 Nebraska/Michigan State u44.5 Leans Oklahoma -10.5 Cal -3.5 Will keep my eye on Indiana, Oregon and A&M/Miss St as well.
Ill post the wrong team favored picks. But Ive had a horrible football season. I haven't posted in 2 weeks, 2 weeks ago I went 7-2 in 2+ unit plays. This week I went like 4-10.
Sort of like Iowa State getting DD at home. 7-3 ATS in last 10 as a dog. Oklahoma going on the road after tough tough loss at home against ND, essentially ending any national title aspirations (hangover?).
Knott for ISU is out for the rest of the regular season. He's their team captain and best defensive play. That being said if they can get even average QB play like they did last week they are a very dangerous team as an underdog.