Week 1 4-6 Week 2 5-5 Week 3 5-5 Week 4 8-2 Week 5 6-4 Week 6 4-6 Week 7 4-6 Week 8 7-3 Week 9 6-3-1 Week 10 6-4 Week 11 5-5 Week 12 6-4 -------------- Total 66-53-1 55.4 % Pick 10 Early leans. Phil PL at Det TB +3 at Indy Chi at GB -9 Boise St -7.5 at SJSU Tulsa -6 at Tulane Vandy +17 at Tenn Duke -4 at WF Indiana -6.5 at Purdue Marshall +10.5 at West Kent SMU at Memphis -22 UTEP +2.5 at NT Wis -2.5 at Minn
ESPN Chalk Spoiler fter an impressive 2014 season, "Stanford Steve" Coughlin of SportsCenter with Scott Van Pelt, and Chris Fallica of ESPN Stats & Information and College GameDay are back. Every Wednesday during the college football season, they'll give their best bets for picking the weekend's top college football games. 2015 season record: Fallica: 49-32-3 ATS (last week: 2-4) Coughlin: 33-24-3 ATS (last week: 2-2-1) 2014 season record: Fallica: 44-40 ATS (52.4 percent) Coughlin: 45-28-1 ATS (60.8 percent) Note: Against the spread (ATS)/total picks are in bold. Odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook. Ohio State Buckeyes (+1.5) at Michigan Wolverines Fallica: It's amazing to see Ohio State as an underdog here, but it might be deserved. Michigan is the team which has played with hunger and desire this year, on the verge of an improbable 10-win season. This is a dangerous spot, though, as Urban Meyer is 6-0 at Ohio State as an underdog. A loss to Michigan in Harbaugh's first year could signal a shift in power of the rivalry. While the Buckeyes have disappointed, Michigan still hasn't beaten a top-40 team this year and will probably have a lot of trouble with the Ohio State defense. After last week's hideous offensive performance, I expect Ohio State will throw everything out there -- Braxton Miller taking snaps included. ATS pick: Ohio State 24, Michigan 17 Harris: Early betting notes for CFB Week 13 Will Harris offers takeaways from Week 12 of college football and looks at early intel for Week 13. Coughlin: I know things couldn't be worse for the state of the Ohio State program with how things have unfolded after the loss last week to Sparty, but if there is a coach who can somehow funnel that negative energy and turn it into a rage of excitement and motivation for the ultimate rivalry in the Big Ten, it's Meyer. I know that everyone has been so impressed with how Michigan QB Jake Rudock has looked the past couple of weeks in road wins over Minnesota, Indiana and Penn State, but I believe those are mediocre to below-average defenses. I think the Ohio State defense dominates this game and causes enough turnovers to make its offense turn things around and get a road win in "The Game." ATS pick: Ohio State 27, Michigan 20 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+4) at Stanford Cardinal Fallica: Why would I be petrified to be on Stanford here? I haven't heard anybody side with the Irish yet, and that's usually a good side to be on; plus, this number might go up even more. With all the injuries Notre Dame has, shouldn't Stanford win this game easily? The Cardinal has a Heisman candidate in Christian McCaffrey and an outside shot still at reaching the CFP. Even with all the perceived advantages Stanford has here, I will take the Irish with the points. The Irish have been a dog twice this year and came through with a dominant win over Georgia Tech and a two-point loss at No. 1 Clemson. Notre Dame has overcome adversity all season long, so why should it stop and get blown out now? McCaffrey will put on a show for the Heisman voters and DeShone Kizer-to-Will Fuller will be shouted more than once. I expect a high-scoring affair on The Farm. ATS pick: Notre Dame 35, Stanford 33 Coughlin: After seeing the latest College Football Playoff rankings this week, there is no doubt the most motivated team will be Notre Dame. First off, I like the matchup for the Irish because their defense is obviously their strength and matches up well with the Stanford offense, and most importantly I think the Irish run defense has the goods to shut down Heisman candidate McCaffery. Another factor you have to consider is Stanford lost fullback Daniel Marx for the season with a lower leg injury against Cal. I don't think the Stanford offense is balanced enough to keep the Irish off guard, which makes me think the Irish win the game straight-up. ATS pick: Notre Dame 31, Stanford 21 Oklahoma State Cowboys (+6.5) vs. Oklahoma Sooners Fallica: Oh good, I get to miss on another Big 12 game! I think I have won one Big 12 game this year (Texas Tech/TCU), so take the next few sentences as lightly as one can. Wondering which side to take? Check out PickCenter and do your research before making that critical decision. PickCenter I've been bitten by backing Big 12 favorites the past few weeks, so I will opt for the home dog here. After being embarrassed by the Baylor offense last week, I would expect Glenn Spencer's defense to play a much better game this week. And this is the end of a tough three-game stretch for the Sooners. Might they be a little tapped on the emotional end? In the end, Samaje Perine should be the difference as he gives OU a massive advantage in the running game. And that might be just what the OU defense needs to stay fresh against the Oklahoma State offense. ATS pick: Oklahoma 34, Oklahoma State 31 Coughlin: It's Bedlam time, with what seems like everything on the line for the Sooners, plus we have the uncertainty of whether Baker Mayfield will be calling the plays for Oklahoma. With that information, I think the Cowboys have just what it take to ruin the Sooners' season, if not at least make them earn every point they need for a victory, which you would have to think makes them earn a spot in the College Football Playoff. We have seen how the pressure has built up on these Big 12 teams with this backloaded conference schedule, and I'm just going off the notion that I don't think many teams in America could pull off the three-game stretch that the Sooners are about to pull off. Take the home underdog, ATS pick: Oklahoma State 35, Oklahoma 31 Illinois Fighting Illini (+3.5) vs. Northwestern Wildcats Fallica: This game features two bad offenses against two above-average defenses. Northwestern has been held under 20 points five times this year, including last week when it put up just 13 points and 209 yards against Wisconsin. It's also one last chance for Bill Cubit to help his cause for a head coaching job -- whether it be at Illinois or elsewhere. There isn't a team the computer power rankings and the traditional polls differ on more than Northwestern (17th in AP poll, 55th in ESPN's Football Power Index). I'll take the points here. ATS pick: Illinois 17, Northwestern 16 NC State Wolfpack (+7) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Fallica: I was really impressed with North Carolina last week in Blacksburg. UNC may have its detractors because of its résumé, but the Tar Heels pass the eye test for me. While the Virginia Tech offense isn't anything special, the Tar Heels made a ton of plays and were in the backfield all day. However, Jacoby Brissett is capable of making plays with his feet. NC State should score its share of points -- after all, the Pack put up 41 on Clemson and 24 at Boston College, which has one of the best defenses in the country. I will reiterate the stat I mentioned last week about UNC on the road: It has played one-possession games in all three true road games. I expect that to continue this week. NC State put a beating on UNC last year as a dog, so the Heels will be motivated to make amends for that. I believe they will, but it will be close. ATS pick: North Carolina 38, NC State 35 San Jose State Spartans (+7.5) vs. Boise State Broncos Fallica: I don't see why the Broncos are over a touchdown favorite here -- and maybe I'm being suckered into something here. Boise State has dropped two straight outright at home as a double-digit favorite and is 1-4 ATS in its past five games. The Spartans have cashed on six of eight, but need one more win to qualify for a bowl game as their last two losses have come by a combined four points. Boise is overvalued here because of its past success. San Jose State's defense has tailed off a little bit from its early-season success, but its offense rates 13 spots higher in terms of efficiency. With nothing truly at stake for a slumping Boise team, I'll side with the team needing a win to make the postseason. ATS pick: San Jose State 31, Boise State 30 Purdue Boilermakers (+6.5) vs. Indiana Hoosiers Fallica: FPI has the Hoosiers as a one-point favorite here, so there is a lot of value with the home underdog. Indiana needs a win for bowl eligibility for the first time since 2007. However, Purdue has been a very good dog this year -- 5-2 in Big Ten games and 5-0 when catching more than a touchdown. The Hoosiers have the worst defensive efficiency rating among Power 5 teams, so David Blough and the Boilermakers' offense should enjoy more success than it did the last two weeks against Northwestern and Iowa. I'll go with the home underdog in a rivalry game. ATS pick: Purdue 35, Indiana 31 UCLA Bruins at USC Trojans (-4) Coughlin: It feels like Jim Mora coaches against a new USC head coach every time these teams play the past couple of years. To add on top of the rivalry, there is a spot in the Pac-12 title game and a rematch versus Stanford on the line. It's hard to fathom how impressive Bruins freshman phenom QB Josh Rosen has been this year. He has shown way more than the usual flashes that you expect from a highly recruited and touted frosh. And when you look at both teams as a whole, I just trust the Bruins more, especially when you consider what both teams did last week, as UCLA won in Salt Lake City and the Trojans got blown out in Eugene (against what I think is the best team in the Pac-12 right now). We'll take the points in what I expect to be a close game. ATS pick: UCLA 34, USC 31 Florida State Seminoles (-2) at Florida Gators Coughlin: This is strictly going against the grain here. Has there been a top-25 team that has looked worse in the past couple of weeks than the Gators? The answer is no. The playoff committee even dropped them four spots after their latest brutal-looking win against Florida Atlantic, which had to go to overtime. So why do I like the home team? It's a night game at The Swamp and this will be the best defense the Seminoles will face this season. Whoever starts or gets snaps at QB for Jimbo Fisher's squad will be running for his life all night long, as the athleticism of the Gators' front seven will dominate this game. ATS pick: Florida 17, Florida State 14
Playing a 3 team 10 pt teaser tomorrow for some decent $$ Philadelphia Eagles/Detroit Lions o35½ Carolina Panthers +11½ Green Bay Packers +1½
Week 1 4-6 Week 2 5-5 Week 3 5-5 Week 4 8-2 Week 5 6-4 Week 6 4-6 Week 7 4-6 Week 8 7-3 Week 9 6-3-1 Week 10 6-4 Week 11 5-5 Week 12 6-4 -------------- Total 66-53-1 55.4 % Pick 10 Buf at KC -3.5 Min +2.5 at Atl Car at Dal +1 UTEP +2.5 at NT Wis -2.5 at Minn Tulsa -6 at Tulane (Best bet) Kent State at Akron -10.5 Duke -4 at WF Indiana -6.5 at Purdue Marshall +10.5 at WKU Happy thanksgiving. Best of luck.
Thought I had this shit locked up. I mean the Bears winning AT Lambeau?!? Fucking Packers receivers are just shit. Can't get open and can't catch the fucking ball when they do. Davante Adams in particular is garbage. FUUUUUCK
Buf at KC -3.5 Min +2.5 at Atl Car at Dal +1 LOSS UTEP +2.5 at NT Wis -2.5 at Minn Tulsa -6 at Tulane (Best bet) WIN Kent State at Akron -10.5 WIN Duke -4 at WF WIN Indiana -6.5 at Purdue WIN Marshall +10.5 at WKU LOSS
Buf at KC -3.5 Min +2.5 at Atl Car at Dal +1 LOSS UTEP +2.5 at NT WIN Wis -2.5 at Minn WIN Tulsa -6 at Tulane (Best bet) WIN Kent State at Akron -10.5 WIN Duke -4 at WF WIN Indiana -6.5 at Purdue WIN Marshall +10.5 at WKU LOSS 6-2 to start the week. 2 more to go!
Week 1 4-6 Week 2 5-5 Week 3 5-5 Week 4 8-2 Week 5 6-4 Week 6 4-6 Week 7 4-6 Week 8 7-3 Week 9 6-3-1 Week 10 6-4 Week 11 5-5 Week 12 6-4 Week 13 8-2 -------------- Total 74-55-1 57.3 % Pick 10 Buf at KC -3.5 WIN Min +2.5 at Atl WIN Car at Dal +1 LOSS UTEP +2.5 at NT WIN Wis -2.5 at Minn WIN Tulsa -6 at Tulane (Best bet) WIN Kent State at Akron -10.5 WIN Duke -4 at WF WIN Indiana -6.5 at Purdue WIN Marshall +10.5 at WKU LOSS 8-2 week.
nice week. i was out of pocket and didn't post, but i lost 3 units. so far this week i have: UH -6 So Miss +8